This opponent (Randers FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Randers FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.20
1.79
1.07
1.81
1.31
vs Stronger (8)
1.50
1.25
2.00
1.00
1.20
1.40
vs Similar (22)
1.91
1.18
1.73
1.09
2.09
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.5%
Under 2.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.3%
Under 3.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.1%
No
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
0-1
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
4.8%
Sonderjyske goals ↓
Randers FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
5.9%
6.3%
3.8%
1.7%
1
4.5%
11%
9.1%
5.5%
2.5%
2
4.0%
7.3%
6.6%
4.0%
1.8%
3
1.9%
3.5%
3.2%
1.9%
0.9%
4
0.7%
1.3%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sonderjyske goals (down), columns = Randers FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
1.97
FC Midtjylland
1.94
Brondby
1.59
Silkeborg
1.58
Viborg
1.47
Randers FC
1.45
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Aarhus
1.25
Sonderjyske
1.16
Vejle
0.88
Lyngby
0.84
Aalborg
0.75
Sonderjyske is 0.30 points worse than Randers FC in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.45).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.00
FC Copenhagen
1.88
Brondby
1.81
Silkeborg
1.79
Viborg
1.78
Randers FC
1.76
Aarhus
1.66
FC Nordsjaelland
1.66
Sonderjyske
1.47
Vejle
1.16
Aalborg
1.06
Lyngby
0.81
Sonderjyske is 0.29 goals worse than Randers FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Copenhagen
1.03
Silkeborg
1.27
FC Midtjylland
1.31
Lyngby
1.34
Aarhus
1.44
Brondby
1.44
Viborg
1.56
Randers FC
1.61
FC Nordsjaelland
1.75
Sonderjyske
2.00
Vejle
2.00
Aalborg
2.09
Sonderjyske is 0.39 goals worse than Randers FC in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
61%
Brondby
54%
Silkeborg
54%
FC Copenhagen
53%
Aarhus
52%
Viborg
49%
FC Midtjylland
48%
Aalborg
47%
Sonderjyske
47%
Lyngby
47%
Randers FC
46%
Vejle
42%
Sonderjyske is 0.4 percentage points better than Randers FC in terms of average possession (47% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sonderjyske
For 4.6 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 9.8 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Randers FC
For 5.3 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sonderjyske
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.7
10.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
22.2
20.5
23.6
vs Stronger (5)
11.5
10.7
14.0
2.0
1.2
5.0
19.8
18.7
23.0
vs Similar (30)
10.4
10.7
10.3
1.2
1.2
1.1
23.2
22.3
23.7
vs Weaker (15)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
69%
67%
71%
14%
12%
15%
54%
33%
71%
% under line
31%
33%
29%
86%
88%
85%
46%
67%
29%
This opponent (Randers FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Randers FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.5
10.6
3.6
3.8
3.5
23.1
24.0
22.2
vs Stronger (15)
11.5
9.3
13.0
3.3
4.2
2.8
19.9
21.8
18.6
vs Similar (35)
10.1
10.8
9.1
3.7
3.7
3.8
24.6
24.7
24.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
65%
62%
67%
46%
58%
35%
62%
71%
54%
% under line
35%
38%
33%
54%
42%
65%
38%
29%
46%
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Viborg
10.9
Sonderjyske
10.8
Lyngby
10.7
Vejle
10.6
Randers FC
10.5
FC Nordsjaelland
10.4
FC Copenhagen
10.4
Aalborg
10.2
FC Midtjylland
10.2
Brondby
10.1
Aarhus
9.4
Silkeborg
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aarhus
4.4
FC Midtjylland
4.2
Vejle
4.0
Viborg
4.0
FC Nordsjaelland
3.9
Brondby
3.9
Randers FC
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.8
FC Copenhagen
3.7
Aalborg
3.6
Lyngby
3.6
Silkeborg
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lyngby
23.8
Aarhus
23.6
Vejle
23.1
Randers FC
23.1
Sonderjyske
22.2
Viborg
21.9
FC Midtjylland
21.5
Brondby
21.5
Aalborg
21.3
FC Nordsjaelland
20.2
FC Copenhagen
20.2
Silkeborg
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
61.0%
Under 9.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.0%
Under 3.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
48.2%
Under 21.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sonderjyske
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.64
0.50
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.80
0.75
0.75
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.55
0.86
0.43
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (5)
0.00
0.40
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Randers FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.43
1.07
0.43
0.81
0.44
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
0.38
1.33
0.67
0.60
0.20
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.45
1.00
0.36
0.91
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sonderjyske over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sonderjyske
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.93
0.64
0.86
1.19
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.80
0.50
1.75
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.05
0.80
0.71
0.43
1.23
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.60
0.67
0.67
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Randers FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.77
0.71
0.64
1.00
0.88
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.88
0.67
0.33
0.60
1.20
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.73
0.73
0.73
1.18
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sonderjyske over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sonderjyske
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lirim Qamili35%
Mads Agger27%
Ivan Djantou13%
Alexander Lyng13%
Tobias Sommer12%
Olti Hyseni10%
José Gallegos7%
Maxime Soulas6%
Lukas Björklund6%
Marc Dal Hende6%
Mohamed Haidara6%
Tobias Klysner5%
Kristall Máni Ingason5%
Chidiebube Duru5%
Daníel Grétarsson5%
Sefer Emini4%
Rasmus Vinderslev0%
Jeppe Simonsen0%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Nikolai Flø0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Jakob Busk0%
Matti Olsen0%
Soren Andreasen0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Atli Barkarson0%
Ivan Nikolov0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Anders Bergholt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jeppe Simonsen25%
Matthew Hoppe25%
Dalton Wilkins22%
Maxime Soulas19%
Lukas Björklund19%
Daníel Grétarsson18%
Marc Dal Hende18%
Rasmus Vinderslev17%
Kristall Máni Ingason15%
Sefer Emini14%
Andreas Oggesen13%
Ivan Djantou13%
Tobias Sommer12%
Mohamed Haidara12%
Lirim Qamili12%
Mads Agger12%
Olti Hyseni10%
Alexander Lyng9%
Jakob Busk7%
José Gallegos7%
Tobias Klysner0%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Nikolai Flø0%
Matti Olsen0%
Soren Andreasen0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Atli Barkarson0%
Ivan Nikolov0%
Anders Bergholt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andreas Oggesen20%
Lirim Qamili19%
Anders Bergholt17%
Tobias Sommer12%
Marc Dal Hende12%
Mads Agger12%
Sefer Emini11%
Tobias Klysner10%
Olti Hyseni10%
Rasmus Vinderslev9%
Maxime Soulas6%
Lukas Björklund6%
Kristall Máni Ingason5%
Jeppe Simonsen0%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Nikolai Flø0%
Jakob Busk0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Matti Olsen0%
Soren Andreasen0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
José Gallegos0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Atli Barkarson0%
Ivan Nikolov0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Alexander Lyng0%
Ivan Djantou0%
Mohamed Haidara0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lirim Qamili31%
Sefer Emini25%
Atli Barkarson25%
Mads Agger15%
Olti Hyseni15%
Kristall Máni Ingason5%
Maxime Soulas3%
Rasmus Vinderslev0%
Jeppe Simonsen0%
Tobias Klysner0%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Nikolai Flø0%
Marc Dal Hende0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Jakob Busk0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Matti Olsen0%
Soren Andreasen0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
José Gallegos0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Ivan Nikolov0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Tobias Sommer0%
Alexander Lyng0%
Lukas Björklund0%
Anders Bergholt0%
Ivan Djantou0%
Mohamed Haidara0%
Randers FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Simen Bolkan Nordli34%
Norman Campbell26%
Mads Enggård25%
Mohamed Touré21%
Mathias Greve20%
Wessel Dammers16%
Elies Mahmoud15%
Frederik Lauenborg13%
Tammer Bany13%
Florian Danho11%
Mike Themsen5%
Stephen Odey4%
André Rømer4%
Nicolas Dyhr4%
Oliver Olsen3%
John Björkengren3%
Daniel Høegh3%
Paul Izzo0%
Björn Kopplin0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Noah Shamoun0%
Oliver Zandén0%
Musa Touré0%
Laurits Pedersen0%
Sabil Hansen0%
Hakim Sulemana0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Elies Mahmoud23%
André Rømer22%
John Björkengren22%
Tammer Bany20%
Norman Campbell19%
Laurits Pedersen18%
Florian Danho16%
Frederik Lauenborg13%
Stephen Odey12%
Oliver Olsen12%
Mohamed Touré11%
Wessel Dammers9%
Noah Shamoun9%
Nicolas Dyhr7%
Sabil Hansen7%
Simen Bolkan Nordli6%
Paul Izzo6%
Daniel Høegh6%
Mathias Greve4%
Björn Kopplin0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Oliver Zandén0%
Mads Enggård0%
Musa Touré0%
Mike Themsen0%
Hakim Sulemana0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simen Bolkan Nordli31%
Tammer Bany27%
Mathias Greve20%
Florian Danho16%
Mohamed Touré11%
André Rømer7%
Nicolas Dyhr7%
John Björkengren6%
Laurits Pedersen6%
Stephen Odey4%
Norman Campbell4%
Oliver Olsen3%
Daniel Høegh3%
Paul Izzo0%
Björn Kopplin0%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Wessel Dammers0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Noah Shamoun0%
Oliver Zandén0%
Elies Mahmoud0%
Mads Enggård0%
Musa Touré0%
Sabil Hansen0%
Mike Themsen0%
Hakim Sulemana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Norman Campbell15%
Mohamed Touré14%
Florian Danho11%
Simen Bolkan Nordli9%
Elies Mahmoud8%
Tammer Bany7%
Oliver Olsen6%
Stephen Odey4%
Mathias Greve4%
Paul Izzo0%
Björn Kopplin0%
André Rømer0%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Daniel Høegh0%
Wessel Dammers0%
Hugo Andersson0%
John Björkengren0%
Nicolas Dyhr0%
Noah Shamoun0%
Oliver Zandén0%
Mads Enggård0%
Musa Touré0%
Laurits Pedersen0%
Sabil Hansen0%
Mike Themsen0%
Hakim Sulemana0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
Sonderjyske and Randers FC have a similar squad value (both €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
Sonderjyske's attack is €2m less valuable than Randers FC's (€3m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
Sonderjyske and Randers FC have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
VEJ (9)
€4m
Sonderjyske and Randers FC have a similar defence value (both €6m).
Denmark: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Silkeborg
Brondby
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
Aarhus
Vejle
Lyngby
Aalborg