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Southampton vs Bolton Prediction & Stats

Date: 17/10/2026
Time: 14:00
Southampton
Southampton
Vs
63%
22%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bolton
Bolton
England: Championship
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Southampton’s recent 5-1 triumph over Millwall fuels the model’s confidence in a home win, reflected in a 64% probability. The Championship side averages 2.14 goals scored and 0.93 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Bolton, on the road, averages only 0.78 goals scored and concedes a full goal per match. The model therefore favours a 2-0 victory for the Saints, the single most likely scoreline with a 12% chance. The expected total goals sit at 2.8, with the most probable total of two goals (25%). The match outcome probabilities are 64% home win, 23% draw, and 13% away win. Suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals (99.7%), Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.3%), Away under 2.5 goals (97.7%), Home +2 handicap (97.7%), Under 5.5 (95.1%), Home or Draw (91.0%), and Home +1 handicap (91.0%). These selections highlight the model’s view that Southampton’s attacking potency and Bolton’s defensive frailty will shape a low-scoring, home-side-favoured encounter.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southampton win
63.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bolton win
14.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D31W00D11D20W12L31W14L51W11DH·IPS28/04A·PRE02/05A·MID09/05H·MID12/05A·COL08/08A·WAT16/08H·STO22/08H·WES25/08H·MIL29/08A·BIR01/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.002.131.001.931.00
vs Stronger (2)1.501.502.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (24)2.081.042.251.081.921.00
vs Weaker (4)2.000.501.500.502.500.50
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BoltonBolton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D23L10W10W41W01L21W00D01L23LA·BRA25/04H·LUT02/05H·BRA09/05A·BRA14/05H·STO24/05A·SHE08/08H·PRE15/08A·QPR22/08H·LIN29/08A·SHE01/09← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.232.211.431.121.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.571.432.181.640.901.20
vs Weaker (9)1.780.782.330.671.500.83
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57.7%
Under 2.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
35.3%
Under 3.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.4%
No
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.4%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
Southampton goals ↓
Bolton goals →
01234
05.9%3.6%2.1%0.6%0.1%
19.4%10%4.3%1.3%0.3%
211%9.9%4.5%1.4%0.3%
37.5%6.9%3.1%1.0%0.2%
43.9%3.6%1.6%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Southampton goals (down), columns = Bolton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
West Ham
1.92
Wolves
1.90
Millwall
1.75
Burnley
1.72
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Birmingham
1.39
Swansea
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Sheffield United
1.30
Preston
1.30
Cardiff
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Stoke
1.20
Portsmouth
1.20
West Brom
1.15
Charlton
1.15
Blackburn
1.13
Bolton
1.00
Lincoln
0.94
Southampton is 0.71 points better than Bolton in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
West Ham
1.82
Wolves
1.81
Southampton
1.73
Burnley
1.63
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Birmingham
1.24
Swansea
1.24
Cardiff
1.23
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Charlton
0.96
Bolton
0.95
Blackburn
0.91
Lincoln
0.89
Southampton is 0.78 goals better than Bolton in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 0.95).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
West Ham
0.92
Wolves
0.93
Middlesbrough
1.00
Burnley
1.03
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Norwich
1.22
Stoke
1.22
West Brom
1.26
Charlton
1.26
Bristol City
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Derby
1.28
Preston
1.35
Cardiff
1.36
Portsmouth
1.39
Wrexham
1.41
Watford
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
QPR
1.59
Bolton
1.77
Lincoln
1.87
Southampton is 0.58 goals better than Bolton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.77).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SouthamptonSouthampton

For 5.4 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.5

🚩 Corners

1905381125428451115111510598197612616121514A·BIRH·MILH·WESH·STOA·WATA·COLH·MIDA·MIDA·PREH·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

9023212363644213215329982421A·BIRH·MILH·WESH·STOA·WATH·MIDA·MIDA·PREH·IPSA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 13.3 · Total 22.1

⚠️ Fouls

3408126107810219125141519127611101920161531211934191729A·BIRH·MILH·WESH·STOA·WATA·COLH·MIDA·MIDA·PREH·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BoltonBolton

For 5.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

1605514229525652385453561016117117119811A·SHEH·LINA·QPRH·PREA·SHEH·STOA·BRAH·BRAH·LUTA·BRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

702321233311143222335331274A·SHEH·LINA·QPRH·PREA·SHEH·STOA·BRAH·BRAH·LUTA·BRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.2 · Total 22.9

⚠️ Fouls

340138615861211817811141410101717111321211423251928203424A·SHEH·LINA·QPRH·PREA·SHEH·STOA·BRAH·BRAH·LUTA·BRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SouthamptonSouthampton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.511.511.43.23.43.021.722.420.9
vs Stronger (2)13.013.013.02.03.01.019.020.018.0
vs Similar (41)11.511.511.63.43.43.522.022.821.0
vs Weaker (7)10.510.510.52.13.01.820.519.021.2
% over line72%77%67%42%36%48%44%41%48%
% under line28%23%33%58%64%52%56%59%52%
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BoltonBolton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.411.09.93.03.52.421.721.022.4
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (34)10.611.010.33.13.92.322.022.121.9
vs Weaker (15)9.910.99.02.93.12.821.118.923.4
% over line60%62%57%36%48%24%50%33%67%
% under line40%38%43%64%52%76%50%67%33%
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.4
Southampton
11.1
West Ham
11.1
Middlesbrough
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Millwall
10.8
Cardiff
10.8
Blackburn
10.8
Bolton
10.5
Preston
10.5
Watford
10.4
Stoke
10.4
Norwich
10.2
Birmingham
10.2
Wrexham
10.1
Derby
10.0
QPR
10.0
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Charlton
9.8
Burnley
9.6
West Brom
9.4
Wolves
9.4
Lincoln
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Derby
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Sheffield United
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Norwich
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Portsmouth
3.8
Southampton
3.8
West Ham
3.8
QPR
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Bolton
3.6
Charlton
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Millwall
3.4
Preston
3.4
West Brom
3.3
Burnley
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.4
Lincoln
23.0
Derby
22.9
Swansea
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
West Ham
22.1
Southampton
21.9
Bolton
21.9
Middlesbrough
21.7
Birmingham
21.7
Norwich
21.5
Charlton
21.5
Bristol City
21.4
Sheffield United
21.4
Stoke
21.0
Watford
20.9
West Brom
20.9
QPR
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Blackburn
20.5
Millwall
20.5
Preston
20.4
Burnley
19.9
Wrexham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
61.2%
Under 9.5
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
50.1%
Under 3.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
53.7%
Under 21.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Southampton or Draw
90.0%
Avg Implied -
63%
22%
15%
covers Southampton + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Southampton or Bolton
80.2%
Avg Implied -
63%
22%
15%
covers Southampton + Bolton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Bolton
29.9%
Avg Implied -
63%
22%
15%
covers Draw + Bolton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Southampton over/under 0.5
Over
88.8%
Under
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5
Over
64.3%
Under
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5
Over
37.5%
Under
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 3.5
Over
17.9%
Under
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 0.5
Over
51.5%
Under
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 1.5
Over
16.4%
Under
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 2.5
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 3.5
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Southampton, so a minus line means Southampton give that many goals of a start and Bolton receive them. At -1, Southampton must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Southampton win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Southampton)
Southampton -2
25.4%
Draw -2
21.4%
Bolton +2
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Southampton)
Southampton -1
46.8%
Draw -1
23.3%
Bolton +1
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Southampton)
Southampton +1
90.0%
Draw +1
7.1%
Bolton -1
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Southampton)
Southampton +2
97.1%
Draw +2
2.3%
Bolton -2
0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SouthamptonSouthampton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D11D00D02L11D11D21W10WH·IPS28/04A·PRE02/05A·MID09/05H·MID12/05A·COL08/08A·WAT16/08H·STO22/08H·WES25/08H·MIL29/08A·BIR01/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.471.000.400.470.53
vs Stronger (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.710.581.000.500.420.67
vs Weaker (4)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BoltonBolton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W00D00D11D00D20W00D00D11DA·BRA25/04H·LUT02/05H·BRA09/05A·BRA14/05H·STO24/05A·SHE08/08H·PRE15/08A·QPR22/08H·LIN29/08A·SHE01/09← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.400.860.360.190.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.520.380.910.450.100.30
vs Weaker (9)0.440.440.670.000.330.67
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Southampton over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SouthamptonSouthampton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D21W00D00D20W10W20W03L30W01LH·IPS28/04A·PRE02/05A·MID09/05H·MID12/05A·COL08/08A·WAT16/08H·STO22/08H·WES25/08H·MIL29/08A·BIR01/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.531.130.601.470.47
vs Stronger (2)1.001.501.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (24)1.380.461.250.581.500.33
vs Weaker (4)1.000.500.500.501.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BoltonBolton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L10W10W30W01L01L00D01L12LA·BRA25/04H·LUT02/05H·BRA09/05A·BRA14/05H·STO24/05A·SHE08/08H·PRE15/08A·QPR22/08H·LIN29/08A·SHE01/09← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.831.361.070.940.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.051.051.271.180.800.90
vs Weaker (9)1.330.331.670.671.170.17
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Southampton over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals99.4%-------
Under 7.599.0%-------
Under 6.597.1%-------
Home +2 handicap97.1%-------
Away under 2.5 goals96.3%-------
Under 5.592.5%-------
Home or Draw90.0%-------
Home +1 handicap90.0%-------
Home over 0.5 goals88.8%-------
Away under 1.5 goals83.6%-------
Under 5.5 cards83.3%-------
Under 4.583.0%-------
Home under 3.5 goals82.1%-------
Over 1.581.1%-------
Home or Away80.2%-------
Under 25.5 fouls77.0%-------
Over 8.5 corners72.9%-------
Over 2.5 cards71.1%-------
Over 19.5 fouls70.2%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Southampton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyle Larin67%
Léo Scienza33%
Romeo Akachukwu33%
Ryan Manning20%
Tom Fellows20%
D. Mubama20%
Finn Azaz17%
J. Stephens0%
N. Wood-Gordon0%
J. Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Kuryu Matsuki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Manning40%
J. Bree33%
Flynn Downes33%
N. Wood-Gordon25%
Tom Fellows20%
D. Mubama20%
Cyle Larin17%
Léo Scienza17%
Cameron Bragg17%
J. Stephens0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Finn Azaz0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Kuryu Matsuki0%
Romeo Akachukwu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Finn Azaz50%
Ryan Manning40%
Léo Scienza33%
Flynn Downes17%
Cameron Bragg17%
Cyle Larin0%
J. Stephens0%
N. Wood-Gordon0%
J. Bree0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Tom Fellows0%
D. Mubama0%
Kuryu Matsuki0%
Romeo Akachukwu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cyle Larin83%
Kuryu Matsuki17%
J. Stephens0%
N. Wood-Gordon0%
Ryan Manning0%
J. Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Finn Azaz0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Tom Fellows0%
Léo Scienza0%
D. Mubama0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Romeo Akachukwu0%
Bolton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
S. Dalby40%
Thierry Gale20%
Akin Famewo0%
Ben Davies0%
J. Bonham0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
J. Sheehan0%
John McAtee0%
Gaizka Larrazabal0%
Lewis Brunt0%
S. Iling-Junior0%
M. Conway0%
Chris Forino0%
Kyliane Dong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Hardie33%
Akin Famewo20%
J. Sheehan20%
John McAtee20%
Thierry Gale20%
Gaizka Larrazabal20%
Chris Forino20%
S. Dalby0%
Ben Davies0%
J. Bonham0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Lewis Brunt0%
S. Iling-Junior0%
M. Conway0%
Kyliane Dong0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
John McAtee20%
Thierry Gale20%
S. Dalby0%
Akin Famewo0%
Ben Davies0%
J. Bonham0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
J. Sheehan0%
Gaizka Larrazabal0%
Lewis Brunt0%
S. Iling-Junior0%
M. Conway0%
Chris Forino0%
Kyliane Dong0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Sheehan40%
John McAtee40%
S. Iling-Junior25%
S. Dalby20%
Thierry Gale20%
Akin Famewo0%
Ben Davies0%
J. Bonham0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Gaizka Larrazabal0%
Lewis Brunt0%
M. Conway0%
Chris Forino0%
Kyliane Dong0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
Southampton's squad is €188m more valuable than Bolton's (€205m vs €17m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
Southampton's attack is €69m more valuable than Bolton's (€72m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
LIN (4)
€2m
Southampton's midfield is €49m more valuable than Bolton's (€53m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (12)
€141m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
LIN (13)
€6m
Southampton's defence is €70m more valuable than Bolton's (€79m vs €9m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SOU wins
0
Draws
0
BOL wins

Head-to-head

Southampton vs Bolton · H/A from SOU
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26ABirmingham Vs SOU1-1
29/08/26HSOU Vs Millwall5-1
25/08/26HSOU Vs West Ham1-4
22/08/26HSOU Vs Stoke3-1
16/08/26AWatford Vs SOU2-1
08/08/26AColchester Vs SOU0-2
12/05/26HSOU Vs Middlesbrough1-1
09/05/26AMiddlesbrough Vs SOU0-0
02/05/26APreston Vs SOU1-3
28/04/26HSOU Vs Ipswich2-2

BoltonBolton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26ASheffield United Vs BOL3-2
29/08/26HBOL Vs Lincoln0-1
22/08/26AQPR Vs BOL0-0
15/08/26HBOL Vs Preston2-1
08/08/26ASheffield Weds Vs BOL1-0
24/05/26HBOL Vs Stockport4-1
14/05/26ABradford Vs BOL0-1
09/05/26HBOL Vs Bradford1-0
02/05/26HBOL Vs Luton2-3
25/04/26ABradford Vs BOL1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Southampton
Southampton
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD1.82
HomeDDWLW2.00
AwayWDWLD1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%56%48%
AVG goals3.062.843.28
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %62%56%68%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.861.881.84
Conceded1.200.961.44
BTTS70%60%80%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners11.1211.2011.04
Cards3.843.843.83
Bolton
Bolton
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLL1.68
HomeLWWWL2.16
AwayDWLDL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%64%28%
AVG goals2.683.082.28
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %54%72%36%
Over 3.5 %30%40%20%
Scored1.522.041.00
Conceded1.161.041.28
BTTS58%64%52%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners10.5611.179.96
Cards3.564.123.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SwanseaSwansea410
75%
2.5
71+6
2.0
75%
50%
0%
9.2
25%
4.2
100%
22.2
75%
91
569261.80.2
55%
2QPRQPR410
75%
2.5
73+4
2.5
75%
75%
25%
8.5
50%
2.8
25%
18.8
25%
71
2915271.80.8
46%
3CharltonCharlton410
75%
2.5
63+3
2.2
75%
50%
0%
10.5
75%
3.0
25%
24.5
75%
31
183101.50.8
42%
4SouthamptonSouthampton47
50%
1.8
105+5
3.8
100%
75%
50%
11.2
50%
6.5
75%
22.0
25%
205
7253792.51.2
56%
5WolvesWolves47
50%
1.8
118+3
4.8
100%
100%
100%
10.0
50%
4.2
75%
23.2
50%
273
79791162.82.0
-
6MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough47
50%
1.8
75+2
3.0
100%
75%
25%
10.2
75%
3.0
50%
21.0
25%
142
7427411.81.2
59%
7Bristol CityBristol City47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
10.5
75%
3.2
25%
22.5
50%
66
2919181.81.5
49%
8West BromWest Brom47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
10.5
75%
2.0
0%
21.8
25%
52
1522151.81.5
52%
9BirminghamBirmingham46
25%
1.5
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
25%
9.2
50%
3.7
33%
23.0
75%
93
4612351.21.0
54%
10Sheffield UnitedSheffield United46
25%
1.5
54+1
2.2
50%
50%
50%
10.8
75%
3.3
67%
23.2
75%
110
2932491.21.0
52%
11MillwallMillwall46
50%
1.5
68-2
3.5
100%
75%
25%
11.2
75%
4.0
50%
20.8
50%
85
3029251.52.0
48%
12WrexhamWrexham45
25%
1.2
64+2
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.8
50%
2.5
0%
23.5
100%
77
1523391.51.0
48%
13West HamWest Ham45
25%
1.2
87+1
3.8
100%
75%
50%
12.5
100%
4.0
75%
20.0
25%
274
84481412.01.8
-
14BlackburnBlackburn45
25%
1.2
55+0
2.5
75%
75%
25%
10.0
75%
4.5
100%
21.8
50%
36
157141.21.2
48%
15WatfordWatford45
25%
1.2
45-1
2.2
100%
25%
0%
11.8
75%
4.8
75%
20.2
25%
88
2838221.01.2
51%
16BoltonBolton44
25%
1.0
45-1
2.2
50%
50%
25%
11.0
75%
3.2
25%
19.8
25%
17
4491.01.2
-
17DerbyDerby44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
100%
75%
25%
11.8
75%
4.2
50%
23.5
100%
57
2514181.21.8
44%
18LincolnLincoln44
25%
1.0
35-2
2.0
50%
50%
25%
12.2
100%
3.2
50%
25.0
75%
12
3260.81.2
-
19CardiffCardiff43
0%
0.8
67-1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
13.2
75%
3.5
50%
22.5
100%
29
154101.51.8
-
20NorwichNorwich43
25%
0.8
57-2
3.0
75%
75%
25%
9.2
50%
4.8
75%
23.0
75%
107
4631291.21.8
54%
21PortsmouthPortsmouth43
25%
0.8
58-3
3.2
100%
75%
50%
11.8
100%
2.8
25%
25.0
50%
32
135141.22.0
50%
22StokeStoke43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
75%
75%
50%
7.8
0%
5.5
100%
26.8
100%
79
3511321.02.2
52%
23BurnleyBurnley42
0%
0.5
510-5
3.8
100%
75%
75%
8.5
25%
4.8
75%
20.0
0%
115
708371.22.5
-
24PrestonPreston40
0%
0.0
39-6
3.0
75%
75%
50%
8.5
25%
3.5
50%
25.0
75%
43
173220.82.2
46%
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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