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Southampton vs Derby Prediction & Stats

Date: 21/11/2026
Time: 12:30
Southampton
Southampton
Vs
58%
23%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Derby
Derby
England: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Southampton are tipped to win, with a 58% chance of triumph, a 23% draw probability and a 18% chance of Derby taking the match. The match is expected to see an average of 3.0 goals, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 23%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11% probability. Southampton, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 2.25 goals scored and 1.08 conceded, while Derby, on the road, averages 1.5 scored and 1.36 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.8%), Under 6.5 (96.5%), Home +2 handicap (93.0%), Under 5.5 (91.3%), Away under 2.5 goals (91.1%), Home over 0.5 goals (86.3%) and Home under 3.5 goals (86.0%). Southampton’s recent form shows a draw in their last match, while Derby come off a win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southampton win
58.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Derby win
18.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D31W00D11D20W12L31W14L51W11DH·IPS28/04A·PRE02/05A·MID09/05H·MID12/05A·COL08/08A·WAT16/08H·STO22/08H·WES25/08H·MIL29/08A·BIR01/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.002.131.001.931.00
vs Stronger (2)1.501.502.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (24)2.081.042.251.081.921.00
vs Weaker (4)2.000.501.500.502.500.50
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W12L32W12L12L12L22D03L20WA·SOU11/04H·OXF18/04A·NOR21/04A·QPR25/04H·SHE02/05H·LIN08/08A·CHA15/08H·CAR22/08H·SWA29/08A·POR01/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.371.331.271.531.47
vs Stronger (4)1.252.501.002.332.003.00
vs Similar (26)1.461.191.421.001.501.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.6%
Under 1.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.4%
Under 2.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
36.0%
Under 3.5
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
Southampton goals ↓
Derby goals →
01234
05.8%4.0%2.6%0.9%0.2%
18.6%11%5.2%1.8%0.5%
29.5%9.9%5.2%1.8%0.5%
36.3%6.6%3.4%1.2%0.3%
43.1%3.3%1.7%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Southampton goals (down), columns = Derby goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
West Ham
1.92
Wolves
1.90
Millwall
1.75
Burnley
1.72
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Birmingham
1.39
Swansea
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Sheffield United
1.30
Preston
1.30
Cardiff
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Stoke
1.20
Portsmouth
1.20
West Brom
1.15
Charlton
1.15
Blackburn
1.13
Bolton
1.00
Lincoln
0.94
Southampton is 0.21 points better than Derby in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
West Ham
1.82
Wolves
1.81
Southampton
1.73
Burnley
1.63
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Birmingham
1.24
Swansea
1.24
Cardiff
1.23
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Charlton
0.96
Bolton
0.95
Blackburn
0.91
Lincoln
0.89
Southampton is 0.27 goals better than Derby in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.46).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
West Ham
0.92
Wolves
0.93
Middlesbrough
1.00
Burnley
1.03
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Norwich
1.22
Stoke
1.22
West Brom
1.26
Charlton
1.26
Bristol City
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Derby
1.28
Preston
1.35
Cardiff
1.36
Portsmouth
1.39
Wrexham
1.41
Watford
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
QPR
1.59
Bolton
1.77
Lincoln
1.87
Southampton is 0.10 goals better than Derby in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Southampton is 11.9 percentage points better than Derby in terms of average possession (56% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SouthamptonSouthampton

For 5.4 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.5

🚩 Corners

1905381125428451115111510598197612616121514A·BIRH·MILH·WESH·STOA·WATA·COLH·MIDA·MIDA·PREH·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

9023212363644213215329982421A·BIRH·MILH·WESH·STOA·WATH·MIDA·MIDA·PREH·IPSA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 13.3 · Total 22.1

⚠️ Fouls

3408126107810219125141519127611101920161531211934191729A·BIRH·MILH·WESH·STOA·WATA·COLH·MIDA·MIDA·PREH·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DerbyDerby

For 4.6 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

16021156774536646104373261311149910167108A·PORH·SWAH·CARA·CHAH·LINH·SHEA·QPRA·NORH·OXFA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

7021325131243313241213563374553A·PORH·SWAH·CARA·CHAH·LINH·SHEA·QPRA·NORH·OXFA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 10.2 · Total 23.8

⚠️ Fouls

2701512167121015712121312812179141314827232222242520262722A·PORH·SWAH·CARA·CHAH·LINH·SHEA·QPRA·NORH·OXFA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SouthamptonSouthampton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.211.211.32.93.22.721.722.420.9
vs Stronger (2)13.013.013.02.03.01.019.020.018.0
vs Similar (41)11.311.211.43.13.23.022.123.021.0
vs Weaker (7)10.510.510.52.13.01.820.519.021.2
% over line68%74%63%38%33%42%45%42%47%
% under line32%26%37%62%67%58%55%58%53%
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.29.83.13.23.023.423.123.7
vs Stronger (6)10.511.38.02.22.81.022.821.327.0
vs Similar (44)10.010.19.93.23.33.223.523.423.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line51%60%42%42%46%38%74%75%74%
% under line49%40%58%58%54%62%26%25%26%
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.4
Southampton
11.1
West Ham
11.1
Middlesbrough
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Millwall
10.8
Cardiff
10.8
Blackburn
10.8
Bolton
10.5
Preston
10.5
Watford
10.4
Stoke
10.4
Norwich
10.2
Birmingham
10.2
Wrexham
10.1
Derby
10.0
QPR
10.0
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Charlton
9.8
Burnley
9.6
West Brom
9.4
Wolves
9.4
Lincoln
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Derby
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Sheffield United
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Norwich
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Portsmouth
3.8
Southampton
3.8
West Ham
3.8
QPR
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Bolton
3.6
Charlton
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Millwall
3.4
Preston
3.4
West Brom
3.3
Burnley
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.4
Lincoln
23.0
Derby
22.9
Swansea
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
West Ham
22.1
Southampton
21.9
Bolton
21.9
Middlesbrough
21.7
Birmingham
21.7
Norwich
21.5
Charlton
21.5
Bristol City
21.4
Sheffield United
21.4
Stoke
21.0
Watford
20.9
West Brom
20.9
QPR
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Blackburn
20.5
Millwall
20.5
Preston
20.4
Burnley
19.9
Wrexham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
60.9%
Under 9.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.7%
Under 3.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
56.5%
Under 21.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Southampton or Draw
81.6%
Avg Implied -
58%
23%
18%
covers Southampton + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Southampton or Derby
76.6%
Avg Implied -
58%
23%
18%
covers Southampton + Derby
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Derby
41.8%
Avg Implied -
58%
23%
18%
covers Draw + Derby
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Southampton over/under 0.5
Over
86.3%
Under
13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5
Over
59.0%
Under
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5
Over
32.0%
Under
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 3.5
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5
Over
64.9%
Under
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5
Over
28.1%
Under
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5
Over
8.9%
Under
91.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 3.5
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Southampton, so a minus line means Southampton give that many goals of a start and Derby receive them. At -1, Southampton must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Southampton win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Southampton)
Southampton -2
17.5%
Draw -2
18.1%
Derby +2
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Southampton)
Southampton -1
35.6%
Draw -1
22.6%
Derby +1
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Southampton)
Southampton +1
81.6%
Draw +1
11.4%
Derby -1
7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Southampton)
Southampton +2
93.0%
Draw +2
5.0%
Derby -2
2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SouthamptonSouthampton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D11D00D02L11D11D21W10WH·IPS28/04A·PRE02/05A·MID09/05H·MID12/05A·COL08/08A·WAT16/08H·STO22/08H·WES25/08H·MIL29/08A·BIR01/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.471.000.400.470.53
vs Stronger (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.710.581.000.500.420.67
vs Weaker (4)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L11D10W12L10W12L02L10WA·SOU11/04H·OXF18/04A·NOR21/04A·QPR25/04H·SHE02/05H·LIN08/08A·CHA15/08H·CAR22/08H·SWA29/08A·POR01/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.630.670.670.930.60
vs Stronger (4)0.750.750.670.671.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.810.620.670.670.930.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Southampton over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SouthamptonSouthampton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D21W00D00D20W10W20W03L30W01LH·IPS28/04A·PRE02/05A·MID09/05H·MID12/05A·COL08/08A·WAT16/08H·STO22/08H·WES25/08H·MIL29/08A·BIR01/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.531.130.601.470.47
vs Stronger (2)1.001.501.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (24)1.380.461.250.581.500.33
vs Weaker (4)1.000.500.500.501.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D11D21W02L00D02L10W01L10WA·SOU11/04H·OXF18/04A·NOR21/04A·QPR25/04H·SHE02/05H·LIN08/08A·CHA15/08H·CAR22/08H·SWA29/08A·POR01/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.730.670.600.600.87
vs Stronger (4)0.501.750.331.671.002.00
vs Similar (26)0.650.580.750.330.570.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Southampton over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.8%-------
Under 6.596.5%-------
Home +2 handicap93.0%-------
Under 5.591.3%-------
Away under 2.5 goals91.1%-------
Home over 0.5 goals86.3%-------
Home under 3.5 goals86.0%-------
Home or Draw81.6%-------
Home +1 handicap81.6%-------
Over 1.581.6%-------
Under 4.581.0%-------
Under 5.5 cards80.0%-------
Home or Away76.6%-------
Under 25.5 fouls74.8%-------
Over 2.5 cards74.7%-------
Over 8.5 corners72.6%-------
Over 19.5 fouls72.5%-------
Away under 1.5 goals71.9%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Southampton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyle Larin67%
Léo Scienza33%
Romeo Akachukwu33%
Ryan Manning20%
Tom Fellows20%
D. Mubama20%
Finn Azaz17%
J. Stephens0%
N. Wood-Gordon0%
J. Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Kuryu Matsuki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Manning40%
J. Bree33%
Flynn Downes33%
N. Wood-Gordon25%
Tom Fellows20%
D. Mubama20%
Cyle Larin17%
Léo Scienza17%
Cameron Bragg17%
J. Stephens0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Finn Azaz0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Kuryu Matsuki0%
Romeo Akachukwu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Finn Azaz50%
Ryan Manning40%
Léo Scienza33%
Flynn Downes17%
Cameron Bragg17%
Cyle Larin0%
J. Stephens0%
N. Wood-Gordon0%
J. Bree0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Tom Fellows0%
D. Mubama0%
Kuryu Matsuki0%
Romeo Akachukwu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cyle Larin83%
Kuryu Matsuki17%
J. Stephens0%
N. Wood-Gordon0%
Ryan Manning0%
J. Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Finn Azaz0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Tom Fellows0%
Léo Scienza0%
D. Mubama0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Romeo Akachukwu0%
Derby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
S. Szmodics75%
Carlton Morris33%
L. Salvesen20%
Bobby Clark20%
Rhian Brewster0%
C. Taylor0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewis Travis75%
Sondre Langås60%
D. Sanderson40%
Rhian Brewster25%
A. Mowatt25%
Corey Blackett-Taylor25%
Oscar Fraulo25%
C. Taylor20%
M. Johnston20%
L. Salvesen0%
S. Szmodics0%
Carlton Morris0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Bobby Clark0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bobby Clark40%
Carlton Morris33%
Oscar Fraulo25%
Rhian Brewster0%
L. Salvesen0%
S. Szmodics0%
C. Taylor0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Szmodics25%
Corey Blackett-Taylor25%
L. Salvesen20%
Bobby Clark20%
Rhian Brewster0%
C. Taylor0%
Carlton Morris0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
Southampton's squad is €148m more valuable than Derby's (€205m vs €57m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
Southampton's attack is €48m more valuable than Derby's (€72m vs €25m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
LIN (4)
€2m
Southampton's midfield is €39m more valuable than Derby's (€53m vs €14m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (12)
€141m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
LIN (13)
€6m
Southampton's defence is €61m more valuable than Derby's (€79m vs €18m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
SOU wins
1
Draws
0
DER wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Southampton vs Derby · H/A from SOU
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26HSOU Vs Derby2-1
04/10/25ADerby Vs SOU1-1

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26ABirmingham Vs SOU1-1
29/08/26HSOU Vs Millwall5-1
25/08/26HSOU Vs West Ham1-4
22/08/26HSOU Vs Stoke3-1
16/08/26AWatford Vs SOU2-1
08/08/26AColchester Vs SOU0-2
12/05/26HSOU Vs Middlesbrough1-1
09/05/26AMiddlesbrough Vs SOU0-0
02/05/26APreston Vs SOU1-3
28/04/26HSOU Vs Ipswich2-2

DerbyDerby

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26APortsmouth Vs DER0-2
29/08/26HDER Vs Swansea0-3
22/08/26HDER Vs Cardiff2-2
15/08/26ACharlton Vs DER2-1
08/08/26HDER Vs Lincoln1-2
02/05/26HDER Vs Sheffield United1-2
25/04/26AQPR Vs DER2-3
21/04/26ANorwich Vs DER2-1
18/04/26HDER Vs Oxford1-0
11/04/26ASouthampton Vs DER2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Southampton
Southampton
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD1.82
HomeDDWLW2.00
AwayWDWLD1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%56%48%
AVG goals3.062.843.28
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %62%56%68%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.861.881.84
Conceded1.200.961.44
BTTS70%60%80%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners11.1211.2011.04
Cards3.843.843.83
Derby
Derby
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW1.44
HomeWLLDL1.44
AwayLLWLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%40%44%
AVG goals2.682.482.88
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %56%48%64%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.401.241.56
Conceded1.281.241.32
BTTS64%64%64%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners10.0410.0810.00
Cards4.064.084.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SwanseaSwansea410
75%
2.5
71+6
2.0
75%
50%
0%
9.2
25%
4.2
100%
22.2
75%
91
569261.80.2
55%
2QPRQPR410
75%
2.5
73+4
2.5
75%
75%
25%
8.5
50%
2.8
25%
18.8
25%
71
2915271.80.8
46%
3CharltonCharlton410
75%
2.5
63+3
2.2
75%
50%
0%
10.5
75%
3.0
25%
24.5
75%
31
183101.50.8
42%
4SouthamptonSouthampton47
50%
1.8
105+5
3.8
100%
75%
50%
11.2
50%
6.5
75%
22.0
25%
205
7253792.51.2
56%
5WolvesWolves47
50%
1.8
118+3
4.8
100%
100%
100%
10.0
50%
4.2
75%
23.2
50%
273
79791162.82.0
-
6MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough47
50%
1.8
75+2
3.0
100%
75%
25%
10.2
75%
3.0
50%
21.0
25%
142
7427411.81.2
59%
7Bristol CityBristol City47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
10.5
75%
3.2
25%
22.5
50%
66
2919181.81.5
49%
8West BromWest Brom47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
10.5
75%
2.0
0%
21.8
25%
52
1522151.81.5
52%
9BirminghamBirmingham46
25%
1.5
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
25%
9.2
50%
3.7
33%
23.0
75%
93
4612351.21.0
54%
10Sheffield UnitedSheffield United46
25%
1.5
54+1
2.2
50%
50%
50%
10.8
75%
3.3
67%
23.2
75%
110
2932491.21.0
52%
11MillwallMillwall46
50%
1.5
68-2
3.5
100%
75%
25%
11.2
75%
4.0
50%
20.8
50%
85
3029251.52.0
48%
12WrexhamWrexham45
25%
1.2
64+2
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.8
50%
2.5
0%
23.5
100%
77
1523391.51.0
48%
13West HamWest Ham45
25%
1.2
87+1
3.8
100%
75%
50%
12.5
100%
4.0
75%
20.0
25%
274
84481412.01.8
-
14BlackburnBlackburn45
25%
1.2
55+0
2.5
75%
75%
25%
10.0
75%
4.5
100%
21.8
50%
36
157141.21.2
48%
15WatfordWatford45
25%
1.2
45-1
2.2
100%
25%
0%
11.8
75%
4.8
75%
20.2
25%
88
2838221.01.2
51%
16BoltonBolton44
25%
1.0
45-1
2.2
50%
50%
25%
11.0
75%
3.2
25%
19.8
25%
17
4491.01.2
-
17DerbyDerby44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
100%
75%
25%
11.8
75%
4.2
50%
23.5
100%
57
2514181.21.8
44%
18LincolnLincoln44
25%
1.0
35-2
2.0
50%
50%
25%
12.2
100%
3.2
50%
25.0
75%
12
3260.81.2
-
19CardiffCardiff43
0%
0.8
67-1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
13.2
75%
3.5
50%
22.5
100%
29
154101.51.8
-
20NorwichNorwich43
25%
0.8
57-2
3.0
75%
75%
25%
9.2
50%
4.8
75%
23.0
75%
107
4631291.21.8
54%
21PortsmouthPortsmouth43
25%
0.8
58-3
3.2
100%
75%
50%
11.8
100%
2.8
25%
25.0
50%
32
135141.22.0
50%
22StokeStoke43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
75%
75%
50%
7.8
0%
5.5
100%
26.8
100%
79
3511321.02.2
52%
23BurnleyBurnley42
0%
0.5
510-5
3.8
100%
75%
75%
8.5
25%
4.8
75%
20.0
0%
115
708371.22.5
-
24PrestonPreston40
0%
0.0
39-6
3.0
75%
75%
50%
8.5
25%
3.5
50%
25.0
75%
43
173220.82.2
46%
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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