Southampton are the clear favourites, with a 53% chance of victory, a 24% chance of a draw and a 23% chance of a Middlesbrough win. The match is expected to see about 3.1 goals, but the most likely total is two, with a 1-1 scoreline the single most probable outcome at 11.4%. Southampton have been prolific at home, averaging 2.14 goals scored and only 0.93 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Middlesbrough, on the road, have managed 1.73 goals for and 1.73 against. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.5%), Under 6.5 (96.9%), Under 5.5 (92.1%), Home +2 handicap (91.9%), Away under 2.5 goals (90.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (88.0%) and Home over 0.5 goals (84.6%). Southampton’s recent form, highlighted by a 5-1 win over Millwall, and Middlesbrough’s two-game winning run, set the tone for a high-scoring, home-side dominated encounter.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Southampton win
50.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough win
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Southampton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.00
2.13
1.00
1.93
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
2.08
1.04
2.25
1.08
1.92
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.50
1.50
0.50
2.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Middlesbrough
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.07
1.43
0.64
1.75
1.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.68
1.23
1.70
0.70
1.67
1.67
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
0.62
0.75
0.50
2.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.0%
Under 2.5
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.6%
Under 3.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
61.1%
No
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.5%
Southampton goals ↓
Middlesbrough goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
4.5%
3.5%
1.4%
0.4%
1
7.3%
11%
6.4%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.7%
6.0%
2.5%
0.8%
3
4.8%
6.0%
3.7%
1.5%
0.5%
4
2.2%
2.8%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Southampton goals (down), columns = Middlesbrough goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
West Ham
1.92
Wolves
1.90
Millwall
1.75
Burnley
1.72
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Birmingham
1.39
Swansea
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Sheffield United
1.30
Preston
1.30
Cardiff
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Stoke
1.20
Portsmouth
1.20
West Brom
1.15
Charlton
1.15
Blackburn
1.13
Bolton
1.00
Lincoln
0.94
Southampton is 0.03 points better than Middlesbrough in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
West Ham
1.82
Wolves
1.81
Southampton
1.73
Burnley
1.63
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Birmingham
1.24
Swansea
1.24
Cardiff
1.23
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Charlton
0.96
Bolton
0.95
Blackburn
0.91
Lincoln
0.89
Southampton is 0.24 goals better than Middlesbrough in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.49).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
West Ham
0.92
Wolves
0.93
Middlesbrough
1.00
Burnley
1.03
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Norwich
1.22
Stoke
1.22
West Brom
1.26
Charlton
1.26
Bristol City
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Derby
1.28
Preston
1.35
Cardiff
1.36
Portsmouth
1.39
Wrexham
1.41
Watford
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
QPR
1.59
Bolton
1.77
Lincoln
1.87
Southampton is 0.19 goals worse than Middlesbrough in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Southampton is 3.1 percentage points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average possession (56% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Southampton
For 5.4 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 13.3 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Middlesbrough
For 5.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.7 · Total 21.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Southampton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.3
11.2
2.8
3.0
2.5
21.6
22.5
20.8
vs Stronger (2)
13.0
13.0
13.0
2.0
3.0
1.0
19.0
20.0
18.0
vs Similar (42)
11.3
11.3
11.4
2.9
3.0
2.8
22.1
23.1
21.0
vs Weaker (6)
10.2
10.5
10.0
2.0
3.0
1.5
20.0
19.0
20.7
% over line
69%
78%
61%
38%
33%
42%
44%
44%
44%
% under line
31%
22%
39%
62%
67%
58%
56%
56%
56%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Middlesbrough
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
12.4
9.9
2.6
2.4
2.8
21.1
21.7
20.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (37)
11.1
13.0
9.5
2.7
2.5
3.0
21.1
21.4
20.8
vs Weaker (13)
11.3
11.3
11.2
2.2
2.1
2.2
21.0
22.3
19.0
% over line
64%
83%
44%
40%
36%
44%
33%
28%
39%
% under line
36%
17%
56%
60%
64%
56%
67%
72%
61%
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.4
Southampton
11.1
West Ham
11.1
Middlesbrough
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Millwall
10.8
Cardiff
10.8
Blackburn
10.8
Bolton
10.5
Preston
10.5
Watford
10.4
Stoke
10.4
Norwich
10.2
Birmingham
10.2
Wrexham
10.1
Derby
10.0
QPR
10.0
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Charlton
9.8
Burnley
9.6
West Brom
9.4
Wolves
9.4
Lincoln
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Derby
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Sheffield United
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Norwich
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Portsmouth
3.8
Southampton
3.8
West Ham
3.8
QPR
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Bolton
3.6
Charlton
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Millwall
3.4
Preston
3.4
West Brom
3.3
Burnley
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.4
Lincoln
23.0
Derby
22.9
Swansea
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
West Ham
22.1
Southampton
21.9
Bolton
21.9
Middlesbrough
21.7
Birmingham
21.7
Norwich
21.5
Charlton
21.5
Bristol City
21.4
Sheffield United
21.4
Stoke
21.0
Watford
20.9
West Brom
20.9
QPR
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Blackburn
20.5
Millwall
20.5
Preston
20.4
Burnley
19.9
Wrexham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
59.4%
Under 9.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
56.0%
Under 3.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
51.7%
Under 21.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Southampton or Draw
77.7%
Avg Implied -
51%
25%
24%
covers Southampton + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Southampton or Middlesbrough
74.6%
Avg Implied -
51%
25%
24%
covers Southampton + Middlesbrough
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Middlesbrough
47.7%
Avg Implied -
51%
25%
24%
covers Draw + Middlesbrough
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Southampton over/under 0.5
Over
83.4%
Under
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5
Over
53.5%
Under
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5
Over
26.8%
Under
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 3.5
Over
10.8%
Under
89.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5
Over
67.0%
Under
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5
Over
30.4%
Under
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5
Over
10.1%
Under
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 3.5
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Southampton, so a minus line means Southampton give that many goals of a start and Middlesbrough receive them. At -1, Southampton must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Southampton win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Southampton)
Southampton -2
13.6%
Draw -2
16.4%
Middlesbrough +2
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Southampton)
Southampton -1
29.9%
Draw -1
22.4%
Middlesbrough +1
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Southampton)
Southampton +1
77.7%
Draw +1
13.4%
Middlesbrough -1
8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Southampton)
Southampton +2
91.1%
Draw +2
6.2%
Middlesbrough -2
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Southampton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.47
1.00
0.40
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.58
1.00
0.50
0.42
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Middlesbrough
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.33
0.64
0.14
0.94
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.91
0.41
0.80
0.10
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (8)
0.50
0.12
0.25
0.25
0.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Southampton over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Southampton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.53
1.13
0.60
1.47
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.38
0.46
1.25
0.58
1.50
0.33
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Middlesbrough
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
0.79
0.50
0.81
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.82
0.90
0.60
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.50
0.50
0.25
1.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Southampton over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Southampton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyle Larin67%
Léo Scienza33%
Romeo Akachukwu33%
Ryan Manning20%
Tom Fellows20%
D. Mubama20%
Finn Azaz17%
J. Stephens0%
N. Wood-Gordon0%
J. Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Kuryu Matsuki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Manning40%
J. Bree33%
Flynn Downes33%
N. Wood-Gordon25%
Tom Fellows20%
D. Mubama20%
Cyle Larin17%
Léo Scienza17%
Cameron Bragg17%
J. Stephens0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Finn Azaz0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Kuryu Matsuki0%
Romeo Akachukwu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Finn Azaz50%
Ryan Manning40%
Léo Scienza33%
Flynn Downes17%
Cameron Bragg17%
Cyle Larin0%
J. Stephens0%
N. Wood-Gordon0%
J. Bree0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Tom Fellows0%
D. Mubama0%
Kuryu Matsuki0%
Romeo Akachukwu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cyle Larin83%
Kuryu Matsuki17%
J. Stephens0%
N. Wood-Gordon0%
Ryan Manning0%
J. Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Finn Azaz0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Tom Fellows0%
Léo Scienza0%
D. Mubama0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Romeo Akachukwu0%
Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Will Lankshear67%
Jeremy Sarmiento40%
Alfie Jones25%
Aidan Morris25%
Kyle Joseph17%
Neto Borges0%
Riley McGree0%
Callum Brittain0%
Luke Ayling0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Sebastian Berhalter0%
Radek Vitek0%
Leo Castledine0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Will Lankshear50%
Alfie Jones25%
Myles Peart-Harris25%
Neto Borges17%
Riley McGree0%
Callum Brittain0%
Luke Ayling0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Sebastian Berhalter0%
Aidan Morris0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Kyle Joseph0%
Radek Vitek0%
Leo Castledine0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sebastian Berhalter33%
Riley McGree25%
Morgan Whittaker20%
Jeremy Sarmiento20%
Luke Ayling17%
Neto Borges0%
Callum Brittain0%
Alfie Jones0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Aidan Morris0%
Kyle Joseph0%
Radek Vitek0%
Leo Castledine0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
Will Lankshear0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Whittaker40%
Will Lankshear33%
Leo Castledine20%
Sebastian Berhalter17%
Kyle Joseph17%
Neto Borges0%
Riley McGree0%
Callum Brittain0%
Alfie Jones0%
Luke Ayling0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Aidan Morris0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Radek Vitek0%
Maximilian Arfsten0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
Southampton's squad is €63m more valuable than Middlesbrough's (€205m vs €142m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
Southampton's attack is €2m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€72m vs €74m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
LIN (4)
€2m
Southampton's midfield is €26m more valuable than Middlesbrough's (€53m vs €27m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (12)
€141m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
LIN (13)
€6m
Southampton's defence is €38m more valuable than Middlesbrough's (€79m vs €41m).
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →