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Southampton vs Stoke Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Southampton
Southampton
Vs
35%
30%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Referee: J Smith

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southampton win✗ Miss
34.6%
Avg Implied 49.9% · @ 1.89
Edge
-15.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.63
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke win✓ Hit
35.6%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.91
Edge
+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D12L02L00D02L12L21W10W11DH·AST12/04A·WES19/04H·FUL26/04A·LEI03/05H·MAN10/05A·EVE18/05H·ARS25/05H·WRE09/08A·NOR12/08A·IPS17/08← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.772.030.752.190.791.86
vs Stronger (11)0.552.640.502.500.602.80
vs Similar (18)0.891.780.902.000.881.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D11D10W20W06L02L00D31W00D30WA·PRE05/04H·LUT08/04A·CAR12/04H·SHE18/04A·LEE21/04H·SHE25/04A·DER03/05H·DER09/08H·WAL12/08A·SHE16/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.301.200.930.931.67
vs Stronger (5)0.802.400.501.001.003.33
vs Similar (24)1.171.121.421.000.921.25
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.8%
Under 1.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.7%
@ 1.89-4.9%
Under 2.5
55.3%
@ 1.86+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.5%
Under 3.5
76.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.8%
0-1
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
1-2 ✓
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
Southampton goals ↓
Stoke goals →
01234
09.8%9.3%6.6%2.7%0.8%
19.1%14%8.0%3.3%1.0%
26.3%7.9%4.9%2.0%0.6%
32.6%3.2%2.0%0.8%0.3%
40.8%1.0%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Southampton goals (down), columns = Stoke goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Southampton is 0.51 points better than Stoke in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Southampton is 0.62 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Southampton is 0.03 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Southampton is 4.5 percentage points better than Stoke in terms of average possession (56% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SouthamptonSouthampton

For 4.5 · Against 7.5 · Total 12.0

🚩 Corners

160548474585411577135221491211139161413716A·IPSA·NORH·WREH·ARSA·EVEH·MANA·LEIH·FULA·WESH·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

70224322112311112314740224234A·IPSA·NORH·WREH·ARSA·EVEH·MANA·LEIH·FULA·WESH·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 9.4 · Total 21.8

⚠️ Fouls

29020719101213781069813121012131411427292515161725222715A·IPSA·NORH·WREH·ARSA·EVEH·MANA·LEIH·FULA·WESH·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

For 4.9 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

130764673458315243346911310109116661010A·SHEH·WALH·DERA·DERH·SHEA·LEEH·SHEA·CARH·LUTA·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

703211212321223122343333514447A·SHEH·WALH·DERA·DERH·SHEA·LEEH·SHEA·CARH·LUTA·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.4

⚠️ Fouls

3001012813121491016119716141113121315922212619271630242524A·SHEH·WALH·DERA·DERH·SHEA·LEEH·SHEA·CARH·LUTA·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SouthamptonSouthampton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.710.13.43.13.824.022.125.7
vs Stronger (17)11.411.910.93.32.93.821.218.923.5
vs Similar (32)9.79.99.63.43.23.625.424.126.7
vs Weaker (1)12.0-12.07.0-7.029.0-29.0
% over line64%67%61%48%40%56%64%57%70%
% under line36%33%39%52%60%44%36%43%30%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.110.43.73.63.721.422.320.5
vs Stronger (6)11.012.010.32.75.51.218.022.015.3
vs Similar (42)10.29.910.43.93.64.221.822.421.3
vs Weaker (2)10.010.0-1.51.5-21.021.0-
% over line57%52%61%56%60%52%50%57%43%
% under line43%48%39%44%40%48%50%43%57%
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.6
Sheffield Weds
11.1
Portsmouth
11.1
QPR
10.8
Sheffield United
10.7
Hull
10.5
Oxford
10.4
Ipswich
10.4
Millwall
10.3
Stoke
10.3
West Brom
10.2
Derby
10.1
Southampton
10.1
Middlesbrough
10.1
Norwich
10.0
Watford
9.9
Leicester
9.9
Blackburn
9.8
Bristol City
9.7
Swansea
9.6
Charlton
9.6
Preston
9.5
Wrexham
9.3
Birmingham
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Portsmouth
4.3
Blackburn
4.0
Norwich
4.0
Sheffield United
3.9
Charlton
3.9
Stoke
3.9
Southampton
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Preston
3.8
Middlesbrough
3.8
Coventry
3.8
QPR
3.8
Birmingham
3.8
West Brom
3.8
Leicester
3.7
Swansea
3.7
Oxford
3.7
Sheffield Weds
3.6
Wrexham
3.6
Bristol City
3.5
Derby
3.5
Hull
3.4
Millwall
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Birmingham
24.9
Millwall
24.2
Portsmouth
24.1
Blackburn
24.0
Southampton
23.9
Preston
23.9
Sheffield Weds
23.6
Charlton
23.6
Swansea
23.5
QPR
22.9
Ipswich
22.8
Watford
22.8
Norwich
22.5
Sheffield United
22.3
Middlesbrough
21.8
Hull
21.8
West Brom
21.5
Wrexham
21.5
Leicester
21.3
Stoke
21.3
Coventry
21.3
Derby
21.3
Oxford
21.3
Bristol City
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.6%
Under 9.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.6%
Under 3.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
57.5%
Under 21.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SouthamptonSouthampton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W02L00D02L01L01L00D11DH·AST12/04A·WES19/04H·FUL26/04A·LEI03/05H·MAN10/05A·EVE18/05H·ARS25/05H·WRE09/08A·NOR12/08A·IPS17/08← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.070.311.000.361.14
vs Stronger (11)0.271.450.171.670.401.20
vs Similar (18)0.390.890.400.600.381.25
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L00D00D10W05L01L00D00D00D10WA·PRE05/04H·LUT08/04A·CAR12/04H·SHE18/04A·LEE21/04H·SHE25/04A·DER03/05H·DER09/08H·WAL12/08A·SHE16/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.600.400.330.400.87
vs Stronger (5)0.201.600.000.500.332.33
vs Similar (24)0.460.420.500.330.420.50
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Southampton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SouthamptonSouthampton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D02L00D00D00D11D20W10W00DH·AST12/04A·WES19/04H·FUL26/04A·LEI03/05H·MAN10/05A·EVE18/05H·ARS25/05H·WRE09/08A·NOR12/08A·IPS17/08← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.970.441.190.430.71
vs Stronger (11)0.271.180.330.830.201.60
vs Similar (18)0.500.890.501.400.500.25
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D10W10W01L01L00D31W00D20WA·PRE05/04H·LUT08/04A·CAR12/04H·SHE18/04A·LEE21/04H·SHE25/04A·DER03/05H·DER09/08H·WAL12/08A·SHE16/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.800.600.530.80
vs Stronger (5)0.600.800.500.500.671.00
vs Similar (24)0.710.710.920.670.500.75
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Southampton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards78.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls73.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.571.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Southampton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyle Larin41%
Ross Stewart30%
Adam Armstrong28%
Mateus Fernandes25%
Finn Azaz21%
Kuryu Matsuki18%
Cameron Archer17%
Leo Scienza16%
Shea Charles16%
Ryan Manning16%
James Bree12%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis12%
Jay Robinson7%
Flynn Downes7%
Jack Stephens6%
Ryan Fraser6%
Caspar Jander5%
Cameron Bragg5%
Nathan Wood2%
Mads Roerslev0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Welington0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Tom Fellows0%
Joshua Quarshie0%
Damion Downs0%
Elias Jelert0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Flynn Downes37%
Oriol Romeu29%
Mateus Fernandes25%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis23%
Cyle Larin18%
Cameron Bragg18%
Joshua Quarshie17%
Caspar Jander16%
Shea Charles16%
Jack Stephens16%
Finn Azaz15%
Joe Aribo14%
Ryan Manning14%
Nathan Wood13%
Adam Armstrong12%
Daniel Peretz12%
Kuryu Matsuki11%
Mads Roerslev10%
Welington10%
Cameron Archer8%
Ronnie Edwards7%
Damion Downs7%
Ross Stewart6%
Gavin Bazunu5%
Tom Fellows5%
James Bree4%
Leo Scienza2%
Ryan Fraser0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Elias Jelert0%
Jay Robinson0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mateus Fernandes25%
Leo Scienza20%
Tom Fellows19%
Finn Azaz15%
James Bree12%
Ryan Manning12%
Ryan Fraser11%
Cameron Archer11%
Samuel Edozie11%
Mads Roerslev10%
Welington10%
Adam Armstrong9%
Ross Stewart9%
Elias Jelert9%
Damion Downs7%
Kuryu Matsuki7%
Joshua Quarshie6%
Shea Charles5%
Cyle Larin5%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis4%
Jay Robinson4%
Flynn Downes2%
Caspar Jander2%
Nathan Wood2%
Alex McCarthy0%
Jack Stephens0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Armstrong44%
Leo Scienza25%
Finn Azaz17%
Cyle Larin9%
Kuryu Matsuki7%
Ross Stewart6%
Jay Robinson4%
Jack Stephens3%
Cameron Archer3%
Shea Charles3%
Tom Fellows2%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis2%
Ryan Manning2%
Mads Roerslev0%
Ryan Fraser0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Nathan Wood0%
James Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Welington0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Caspar Jander0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Joshua Quarshie0%
Damion Downs0%
Mateus Fernandes0%
Elias Jelert0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé11%
Divin Mubama11%
Million Manhoef10%
Sam Gallagher10%
Milan Smit7%
Ben Gibson7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Ben Wilmot5%
Róbert Boženík4%
Junior Tchamadeu4%
Bosun Lawal3%
Steven​ N'Zonzi3%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ben Pearson3%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Ashley Phillips0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Junior Tchamadeu42%
Maksym Talovierov42%
Ben Pearson35%
Favour Fawunmi25%
Bosun Lawal23%
Sydney Agina20%
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé14%
Ashley Phillips14%
Ben Wilmot14%
Tommy Simkin12%
Divin Mubama11%
Tatsuki Seko9%
Róbert Boženík8%
Million Manhoef8%
Viktor Johansson8%
Ben Gibson7%
Steven​ N'Zonzi6%
Tomáš Rigo6%
Jun-Ho Bae4%
Aaron Cresswell4%
Sam Gallagher0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Milan Smit0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sorba Thomas21%
Jamie Donley17%
Aaron Cresswell12%
Million Manhoef8%
Lamine Cissé8%
Junior Tchamadeu8%
Milan Smit7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Eric Bocat6%
Lewis Baker6%
Viktor Johansson4%
Divin Mubama4%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Tatsuki Seko2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Róbert Boženík0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Divin Mubama14%
Lamine Cissé14%
Million Manhoef12%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi12%
Sorba Thomas11%
Tomáš Rigo9%
Milan Smit7%
Bosun Lawal7%
Lewis Baker6%
Róbert Boženík4%
Ben Wilmot3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Jun-Ho Bae2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Southampton's squad is €126m more valuable than Stoke's (€205m vs €79m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Southampton's attack is €37m more valuable than Stoke's (€72m vs €35m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Southampton's midfield is €42m more valuable than Stoke's (€53m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Southampton's defence is €47m more valuable than Stoke's (€79m vs €32m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
SOU wins
0
Draws
1
STK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Southampton vs Stoke · H/A from SOU
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/24HSOU Vs Stoke3-2
27/04/24HSOU Vs Stoke0-1
03/10/23AStoke Vs SOU0-1

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/25AIpswich Vs SOU1-1
12/08/25ANorthampton Vs SOU0-1
09/08/25HSOU Vs Wrexham2-1
25/05/25HSOU Vs Arsenal1-2
18/05/25AEverton Vs SOU2-0
10/05/25HSOU Vs Manchester City0-0
03/05/25ALeicester Vs SOU2-0
26/04/25HSOU Vs Fulham1-2
19/04/25AWest Ham Vs SOU1-1
12/04/25HSOU Vs Aston Villa0-3

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/25ASheffield Weds Vs STK0-3
12/08/25HSTK Vs Walsall0-0
09/08/25HSTK Vs Derby3-1
03/05/25ADerby Vs STK0-0
25/04/25HSTK Vs Sheffield United0-2
21/04/25ALeeds Vs STK6-0
18/04/25HSTK Vs Sheffield Weds2-0
12/04/25ACardiff Vs STK0-1
08/04/25HSTK Vs Luton1-1
05/04/25APreston Vs STK1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Southampton
Southampton
England: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWD0.64
HomeLLDLW0.60
AwayDLLWD0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%16%16%
AVG goals2.983.042.92
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %60%68%52%
Over 3.5 %38%36%40%
Scored0.900.880.92
Conceded2.082.162.00
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet10%12%8%
Corners10.3910.6710.13
Cards3.913.714.09
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDW1.16
HomeDWLWD1.44
AwayDWLDW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%32%20%
AVG goals2.442.482.40
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %38%40%36%
Over 3.5 %28%36%20%
Scored1.121.360.88
Conceded1.321.121.52
BTTS50%56%44%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners10.2810.1310.43
Cards3.983.914.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches