The match sits on a razor-thin edge, with the model favouring a Southampton win but the probabilities spread across all outcomes. Home victory sits at 39%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 32%. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly high scoring affair, yet the most likely total is two goals, with a 26% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is a 1-1 draw, carrying a 13.6% probability.
Southampton, playing at home against a similarly ranked side, averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Swansea, on the road, scores 0.82 and concedes 1.27 against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 79.1%, Over 19.5 fouls at 76.8%, Over 1.5 at 75.2% (miss), Under 5.5 cards at 75.1%, Under 3.5 at 72.9%, and Under 25.5 fouls at 70.1%. Each pick is listed with its exact probability, and the edge percentages are noted where provided.
Results analysis
Southampton, riding a win streak, faced Swansea, who were on a two-game winning run, but the match finished 0-0, a draw that surprised the model’s pre-match favourite, a home win at 39%. The model’s call was wrong. The model’s selections were mixed: Over 2.5 cards hit at 79.1%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 76.8%, Over 1.5 missed at 75.2%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 75.1%, Under 3.5 hit at 72.9%, and Under 25.5 fouls hit at 70.1%. The final score of 0-0 confirmed the unexpected draw.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Southampton win✗ Miss
39.3%
Avg Implied 47.6% · @ 1.98
Edge
-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.6%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.48
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Swansea win✗ Miss
32.1%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.71
Edge
+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Southampton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.80
0.71
1.79
1.19
1.81
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
2.50
0.50
2.00
0.75
3.00
vs Similar (21)
1.10
1.62
0.80
1.70
1.36
1.55
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Swansea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.17
1.47
1.12
0.92
1.23
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
-
-
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.15
1.19
1.38
1.12
0.82
1.27
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.2%
Under 1.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.0%
@ 2.01+2.3%
Under 2.5
51.0%
@ 1.76-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.1%
Under 3.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.7%
No
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-0 ✓
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
Southampton goals ↓
Swansea goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
7.7%
5.5%
2.3%
0.7%
1
8.8%
14%
7.7%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.0%
8.7%
5.4%
2.2%
0.7%
3
3.2%
4.0%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Southampton goals (down), columns = Swansea goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Southampton is 0.32 points better than Swansea in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Southampton is 0.49 goals better than Swansea in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Southampton is 0.10 goals better than Swansea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.28).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Southampton is 1.8 percentage points better than Swansea in terms of average possession (56% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Southampton
For 5.7 · Against 3.5 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 11.8 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Swansea
For 4.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Southampton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.4
9.9
3.9
3.3
4.4
23.8
22.3
25.1
vs Stronger (16)
11.3
12.6
10.1
3.0
2.5
3.5
20.2
18.0
22.1
vs Similar (33)
9.5
9.4
9.7
4.2
3.6
4.8
25.5
24.5
26.4
vs Weaker (1)
12.0
-
12.0
7.0
-
7.0
29.0
-
29.0
% over line
59%
67%
52%
56%
44%
68%
63%
57%
68%
% under line
41%
33%
48%
44%
56%
32%
37%
43%
32%
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Swansea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.2
9.6
3.6
3.7
3.4
23.5
23.0
24.0
vs Stronger (4)
5.8
4.5
7.0
5.0
4.0
6.0
26.5
24.0
29.0
vs Similar (45)
9.5
9.3
9.8
3.5
3.8
3.1
23.3
23.1
23.6
vs Weaker (1)
15.0
15.0
-
2.0
2.0
-
18.0
18.0
-
% over line
41%
46%
35%
48%
46%
50%
63%
62%
65%
% under line
59%
54%
65%
52%
54%
50%
37%
38%
35%
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.4
Sheffield Weds
11.1
Portsmouth
10.9
Sheffield United
10.5
Stoke
10.4
Ipswich
10.4
Oxford
10.3
QPR
10.3
Southampton
10.3
Norwich
10.2
Millwall
10.1
Watford
10.1
Hull
10.1
Middlesbrough
10.0
Leicester
9.8
West Brom
9.8
Blackburn
9.7
Derby
9.6
Bristol City
9.6
Swansea
9.4
Preston
9.4
Charlton
9.3
Wrexham
9.3
Birmingham
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Watford
4.6
Southampton
4.3
Portsmouth
4.2
Ipswich
4.1
Blackburn
3.9
Norwich
3.9
Stoke
3.8
Sheffield United
3.8
Charlton
3.8
QPR
3.8
Leicester
3.8
Birmingham
3.8
West Brom
3.8
Coventry
3.7
Preston
3.7
Swansea
3.6
Oxford
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Derby
3.6
Hull
3.6
Bristol City
3.5
Sheffield Weds
3.5
Wrexham
3.4
Millwall
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Birmingham
24.6
Blackburn
24.2
Millwall
24.1
Southampton
24.0
Charlton
23.6
Portsmouth
23.5
Swansea
23.5
Sheffield Weds
23.4
QPR
23.1
Watford
23.1
Sheffield United
22.9
Ipswich
22.9
Preston
22.5
Norwich
22.4
Hull
21.8
West Brom
21.4
Leicester
21.3
Middlesbrough
21.3
Oxford
21.3
Derby
21.2
Coventry
21.1
Stoke
20.9
Wrexham
20.5
Bristol City
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.0%
Under 9.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.7%
Under 3.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
61.8%
Under 21.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Southampton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.87
0.21
0.57
0.38
1.12
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.12
0.25
0.75
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.33
0.81
0.20
0.50
0.45
1.09
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Swansea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.65
0.71
0.15
0.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.44
0.59
0.62
0.75
0.18
0.36
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Southampton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Southampton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.93
0.50
1.21
0.81
0.69
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.38
0.25
1.25
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.81
0.60
1.20
0.91
0.45
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Swansea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.60
0.82
0.41
0.77
0.85
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.50
-
-
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.70
0.59
0.75
0.38
0.64
0.91
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Southampton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Southampton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyle Larin41%
Ross Stewart30%
Adam Armstrong28%
Mateus Fernandes25%
Finn Azaz21%
Kuryu Matsuki18%
Cameron Archer17%
Leo Scienza16%
Shea Charles16%
Ryan Manning16%
James Bree12%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis12%
Jay Robinson7%
Flynn Downes7%
Jack Stephens6%
Ryan Fraser6%
Caspar Jander5%
Cameron Bragg5%
Nathan Wood2%
Mads Roerslev0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Welington0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Tom Fellows0%
Joshua Quarshie0%
Damion Downs0%
Elias Jelert0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Flynn Downes37%
Oriol Romeu29%
Mateus Fernandes25%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis23%
Cyle Larin18%
Cameron Bragg18%
Joshua Quarshie17%
Caspar Jander16%
Shea Charles16%
Jack Stephens16%
Finn Azaz15%
Joe Aribo14%
Ryan Manning14%
Nathan Wood13%
Adam Armstrong12%
Daniel Peretz12%
Kuryu Matsuki11%
Mads Roerslev10%
Welington10%
Cameron Archer8%
Ronnie Edwards7%
Damion Downs7%
Ross Stewart6%
Gavin Bazunu5%
Tom Fellows5%
James Bree4%
Leo Scienza2%
Ryan Fraser0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Elias Jelert0%
Jay Robinson0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mateus Fernandes25%
Leo Scienza20%
Tom Fellows19%
Finn Azaz15%
James Bree12%
Ryan Manning12%
Ryan Fraser11%
Cameron Archer11%
Samuel Edozie11%
Mads Roerslev10%
Welington10%
Adam Armstrong9%
Ross Stewart9%
Elias Jelert9%
Damion Downs7%
Kuryu Matsuki7%
Joshua Quarshie6%
Shea Charles5%
Cyle Larin5%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis4%
Jay Robinson4%
Flynn Downes2%
Caspar Jander2%
Nathan Wood2%
Alex McCarthy0%
Jack Stephens0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Armstrong44%
Leo Scienza25%
Finn Azaz17%
Cyle Larin9%
Kuryu Matsuki7%
Ross Stewart6%
Jay Robinson4%
Jack Stephens3%
Cameron Archer3%
Shea Charles3%
Tom Fellows2%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis2%
Ryan Manning2%
Mads Roerslev0%
Ryan Fraser0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Nathan Wood0%
James Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Welington0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Caspar Jander0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Joshua Quarshie0%
Damion Downs0%
Mateus Fernandes0%
Elias Jelert0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Swansea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Žan Vipotnik43%
Adam Idah19%
Bobby Wales17%
Liam Cullen12%
Ronald10%
Leo Walta10%
Ethan Galbraith9%
Gonçalo Franco8%
Marko Stamenić8%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Josh Key6%
Zeidane Inoussa3%
Jay Fulton3%
Malick Yalcouyé3%
Ben Cabango2%
Josh Tymon2%
Cameron Burgess2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Joel Ward0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Ishé Samuels-Smith0%
Melker Widell0%
Samuel Parker0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marko Stamenić34%
Ishé Samuels-Smith25%
Josh Tymon20%
Jay Fulton18%
Ben Cabango17%
Gonçalo Franco16%
Ethan Galbraith16%
Cameron Burgess16%
Melker Widell14%
Zeidane Inoussa14%
Josh Key12%
Liam Cullen12%
Malick Yalcouyé8%
Ronald8%
Adam Idah7%
Joel Ward6%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Žan Vipotnik4%
Lawrence Vigouroux2%
Manuel Benson0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Leo Walta0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Bobby Wales0%
Samuel Parker0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josh Tymon20%
Bobby Wales17%
Ishé Samuels-Smith12%
Ronald10%
Josh Key9%
Gustavo Nunes8%
Marko Stamenić8%
Kaelan Casey8%
Adam Idah7%
Zeidane Inoussa7%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Gonçalo Franco6%
Žan Vipotnik6%
Malick Yalcouyé6%
Melker Widell5%
Liam Cullen2%
Ethan Galbraith2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Joel Ward0%
Jay Fulton0%
Cameron Burgess0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Ben Cabango0%
Leo Walta0%
Samuel Parker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Žan Vipotnik18%
Ji-sung Eom10%
Adam Idah7%
Ethan Galbraith5%
Josh Tymon4%
Liam Cullen2%
Melker Widell2%
Gonçalo Franco2%
Ronald2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Josh Key0%
Joel Ward0%
Jay Fulton0%
Cameron Burgess0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Ben Cabango0%
Leo Walta0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Zeidane Inoussa0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Ishé Samuels-Smith0%
Bobby Wales0%
Samuel Parker0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Southampton's squad is €114m more valuable than Swansea's (€205m vs €91m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Southampton's attack is €17m more valuable than Swansea's (€72m vs €56m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Southampton's midfield is €44m more valuable than Swansea's (€53m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Southampton's defence is €54m more valuable than Swansea's (€79m vs €26m).
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Coventry
Ipswich
Millwall
Middlesbrough
Hull
Wrexham
Derby
Norwich
Birmingham
Bristol City
Sheffield United
Preston
QPR
Watford
Stoke
Portsmouth
West Brom
Charlton
Leicester
Blackburn
Oxford
Sheffield Weds