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Southampton vs Watford Result & Analysis

Date: 07/02/2026
Time: 12:31
Final 1-0
Southampton
Southampton
Vs
41%
29%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Referee: E Bell

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southampton win✓ Hit
41.2%
Avg Implied 48.9% · @ 1.92
Edge
-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.56
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Watford win✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied 24.7% · @ 3.80
Edge
+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D12L11D00D04L32W12L10W11D20WH·COV20/12A·OXF26/12A·BIR29/12H·MIL01/01A·MID04/01A·DON10/01H·HUL17/01H·SHE21/01A·POR25/01A·STO31/01
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.371.330.831.671.72
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (25)1.321.321.180.821.431.71
vs Weaker (4)3.001.503.001.003.001.67
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W21W10W30W15L02L11D11D02L00DH·STO20/12A·LEI26/12A·NOR29/12H·BIR01/01A·BRI10/01H·MIL17/01H·POR21/01A·BLA24/01H·SWA31/01A·HUL03/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.301.501.061.141.57
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (29)1.341.311.501.061.151.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.4%
Under 1.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.1%
@ 1.80-3.9%
Under 2.5
51.9%
@ 1.95+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.7%
No
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0 ✓
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
Southampton goals ↓
Watford goals →
01234
08.7%7.5%5.2%2.0%0.6%
19.3%14%7.3%2.9%0.8%
27.5%8.8%5.2%2.0%0.6%
33.5%4.2%2.5%1.0%0.3%
41.3%1.5%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Southampton goals (down), columns = Watford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Southampton is 0.47 points better than Watford in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Southampton is 0.58 goals better than Watford in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Southampton is 0.23 goals better than Watford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Southampton is 5.1 percentage points better than Watford in terms of average possession (56% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SouthamptonSouthampton

For 5.6 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

1605424678256511665275729613101116127129A·STOA·PORH·SHEH·HULA·DONA·MIDH·MILA·BIRA·OXFH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

503212312234132112125342544333A·STOA·PORH·SHEH·HULA·DONA·MIDH·MILA·BIRA·OXFH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.9 · Total 21.9

⚠️ Fouls

260188149111451510101276111510914101126232520201917252321A·STOA·PORH·SHEH·HULA·DONA·MIDH·MILA·BIRA·OXFH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

For 5.4 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

1505758878744434438657512131515878111112A·HULH·SWAA·BLAH·PORH·MILA·BRIH·BIRA·NORA·LEIH·STO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

803422211441112123337422823156A·HULH·SWAA·BLAH·PORH·MILA·BRIH·BIRA·NORA·LEIH·STO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.3 · Against 11.8 · Total 20.1

⚠️ Fouls

29091210117891272212551468814101221211521291719142222A·HULH·SWAA·BLAH·PORH·MILA·BRIH·BIRA·NORA·LEIH·STO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SouthamptonSouthampton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.011.09.33.73.24.123.022.523.4
vs Stronger (7)10.715.07.52.72.03.219.615.722.5
vs Similar (38)9.910.49.43.73.34.223.623.623.6
vs Weaker (5)10.29.010.54.64.04.823.424.023.2
% over line55%73%41%54%52%56%59%59%59%
% under line45%27%59%46%48%44%41%41%41%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.69.54.33.94.621.021.120.8
vs Stronger (3)10.314.08.53.00.04.522.018.024.0
vs Similar (47)10.110.49.64.34.14.620.921.220.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line58%65%50%52%50%54%44%42%46%
% under line42%35%50%48%50%46%56%58%54%
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.2
Oxford
11.1
Coventry
10.8
Hull
10.7
Millwall
10.4
Sheffield Weds
10.4
Preston
10.3
Norwich
10.3
Portsmouth
10.2
Blackburn
10.2
QPR
10.1
Middlesbrough
10.1
Watford
10.1
Southampton
10.1
Ipswich
10.0
Leicester
9.9
West Brom
9.8
Stoke
9.7
Derby
9.6
Swansea
9.6
Wrexham
9.6
Bristol City
9.4
Birmingham
9.4
Charlton
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.3
Ipswich
4.0
Portsmouth
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Hull
3.8
Swansea
3.8
Blackburn
3.8
Southampton
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Derby
3.7
QPR
3.6
Charlton
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Birmingham
3.6
Sheffield United
3.5
Norwich
3.5
Preston
3.5
Oxford
3.5
Leicester
3.4
Millwall
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Bristol City
3.3
Sheffield Weds
3.2
Wrexham
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Swansea
23.0
Blackburn
23.0
Southampton
22.9
Ipswich
22.8
Portsmouth
22.4
Middlesbrough
22.3
Millwall
22.1
Birmingham
22.1
QPR
21.9
Charlton
21.8
Sheffield United
21.7
Stoke
21.7
West Brom
21.6
Sheffield Weds
21.6
Leicester
21.5
Norwich
21.5
Derby
21.4
Hull
21.4
Oxford
21.3
Watford
21.0
Preston
20.8
Coventry
20.7
Bristol City
20.4
Wrexham
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.8%
Under 9.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.0%
Under 3.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
54.6%
Under 21.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SouthamptonSouthampton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D00D00D00D30W02L10W00D10WH·COV20/12A·OXF26/12A·BIR29/12H·MIL01/01A·MID04/01A·DON10/01H·HUL17/01H·SHE21/01A·POR25/01A·STO31/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.400.920.420.830.39
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.600.320.820.360.430.29
vs Weaker (4)2.750.752.001.003.000.67
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D20W02L00D00D11D00D00DH·STO20/12A·LEI26/12A·NOR29/12H·BIR01/01A·BRI10/01H·MIL17/01H·POR21/01A·BLA24/01H·SWA31/01A·HUL03/02
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.800.750.620.431.00
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (29)0.590.790.750.620.381.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Southampton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SouthamptonSouthampton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L11D00D04L02L10W00D11D10WH·COV20/12A·OXF26/12A·BIR29/12H·MIL01/01A·MID04/01A·DON10/01H·HUL17/01H·SHE21/01A·POR25/01A·STO31/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.970.420.420.831.33
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.721.000.360.451.001.43
vs Weaker (4)0.250.751.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W10W13L02L11D00D02L00DH·STO20/12A·LEI26/12A·NOR29/12H·BIR01/01A·BRI10/01H·MIL17/01H·POR21/01A·BLA24/01H·SWA31/01A·HUL03/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.500.750.440.710.57
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.760.520.750.440.770.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Southampton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards78.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls76.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls70.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Southampton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyle Larin41%
Ross Stewart30%
Adam Armstrong28%
Mateus Fernandes25%
Finn Azaz21%
Kuryu Matsuki18%
Cameron Archer17%
Leo Scienza16%
Shea Charles16%
Ryan Manning16%
James Bree12%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis12%
Jay Robinson7%
Flynn Downes7%
Jack Stephens6%
Ryan Fraser6%
Caspar Jander5%
Cameron Bragg5%
Nathan Wood2%
Mads Roerslev0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Welington0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Tom Fellows0%
Joshua Quarshie0%
Damion Downs0%
Elias Jelert0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Flynn Downes37%
Oriol Romeu29%
Mateus Fernandes25%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis23%
Cyle Larin18%
Cameron Bragg18%
Joshua Quarshie17%
Caspar Jander16%
Shea Charles16%
Jack Stephens16%
Finn Azaz15%
Joe Aribo14%
Ryan Manning14%
Nathan Wood13%
Adam Armstrong12%
Daniel Peretz12%
Kuryu Matsuki11%
Mads Roerslev10%
Welington10%
Cameron Archer8%
Ronnie Edwards7%
Damion Downs7%
Ross Stewart6%
Gavin Bazunu5%
Tom Fellows5%
James Bree4%
Leo Scienza2%
Ryan Fraser0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Elias Jelert0%
Jay Robinson0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mateus Fernandes25%
Leo Scienza20%
Tom Fellows19%
Finn Azaz15%
James Bree12%
Ryan Manning12%
Ryan Fraser11%
Cameron Archer11%
Samuel Edozie11%
Mads Roerslev10%
Welington10%
Adam Armstrong9%
Ross Stewart9%
Elias Jelert9%
Damion Downs7%
Kuryu Matsuki7%
Joshua Quarshie6%
Shea Charles5%
Cyle Larin5%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis4%
Jay Robinson4%
Flynn Downes2%
Caspar Jander2%
Nathan Wood2%
Alex McCarthy0%
Jack Stephens0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Armstrong44%
Leo Scienza25%
Finn Azaz17%
Cyle Larin9%
Kuryu Matsuki7%
Ross Stewart6%
Jay Robinson4%
Jack Stephens3%
Cameron Archer3%
Shea Charles3%
Tom Fellows2%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis2%
Ryan Manning2%
Mads Roerslev0%
Ryan Fraser0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Nathan Wood0%
James Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Welington0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Caspar Jander0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Joshua Quarshie0%
Damion Downs0%
Mateus Fernandes0%
Elias Jelert0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jack Grieves20%
Rocco Vata17%
Othmane Maamma16%
Imrân Louza16%
Luca Kjerrumgaard16%
Mamadou Doumbia15%
Vivaldo14%
Nestory Irankunda10%
Edoardo Bove9%
Edo Kayembe8%
Tom Ince7%
Kwadwo Baah7%
Jeremy Ngakia6%
Marc Bola5%
James Abankwah3%
Matthew Pollock3%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Giorgi Chakvetadze0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Hector Kyprianou0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Max Alleyne0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Amin Nabizada0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Morris33%
Hector Kyprianou31%
Pierre Ekwah29%
Nestory Irankunda29%
Imrân Louza25%
Stephen Mfuni25%
Ryan Andrews25%
Giorgi Chakvetadze21%
Matthew Pollock19%
James Abankwah19%
Edoardo Bove18%
Jeremy Petris17%
Formose Mendy17%
Saba Goglichidze17%
Mamadou Doumbia15%
Kwadwo Baah14%
Edo Kayembe13%
Jeremy Ngakia12%
Max Alleyne12%
Kévin Keben Biakolo10%
Nampalys Mendy8%
Egil Selvik7%
Vivaldo7%
Marc Bola5%
Othmane Maamma4%
Luca Kjerrumgaard2%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Tom Ince0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Rocco Vata0%
Jack Grieves0%
Amin Nabizada0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Imrân Louza20%
Rocco Vata17%
Jeremy Ngakia12%
Giorgi Chakvetadze10%
Nestory Irankunda10%
Marc Bola8%
Vivaldo7%
Kévin Keben Biakolo6%
Othmane Maamma4%
Hector Kyprianou4%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Matthew Pollock3%
Edo Kayembe3%
Luca Kjerrumgaard2%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Tom Ince0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Edoardo Bove0%
Max Alleyne0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
James Abankwah0%
Jack Grieves0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Amin Nabizada0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rocco Vata33%
Amin Nabizada33%
Nestory Irankunda21%
Othmane Maamma16%
Imrân Louza16%
Luca Kjerrumgaard14%
Vivaldo11%
Edo Kayembe11%
Tom Ince7%
Mamadou Doumbia6%
Marc Bola5%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Jeremy Ngakia3%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Hector Kyprianou0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Edoardo Bove0%
Max Alleyne0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
James Abankwah0%
Jack Grieves0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Southampton's squad is €116m more valuable than Watford's (€205m vs €88m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Southampton's attack is €45m more valuable than Watford's (€72m vs €28m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Southampton's midfield is €14m more valuable than Watford's (€53m vs €38m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Southampton's defence is €57m more valuable than Watford's (€79m vs €22m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
SOU wins
2
Draws
1
WAT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Southampton vs Watford · H/A from SOU
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/25AWatford Vs SOU2-2
13/04/24HSOU Vs Watford3-2
09/12/23AWatford Vs SOU1-1
13/03/22HSOU Vs Watford1-2
30/10/21AWatford Vs SOU0-1

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/01/26AStoke Vs SOU0-2
25/01/26APortsmouth Vs SOU1-1
21/01/26HSOU Vs Sheffield United1-0
17/01/26HSOU Vs Hull1-2
10/01/26ADoncaster Vs SOU2-3
04/01/26AMiddlesbrough Vs SOU4-0
01/01/26HSOU Vs Millwall0-0
29/12/25ABirmingham Vs SOU1-1
26/12/25AOxford Vs SOU2-1
20/12/25HSOU Vs Coventry1-1

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/02/26AHull Vs WAT0-0
31/01/26HWAT Vs Swansea0-2
24/01/26ABlackburn Vs WAT1-1
21/01/26HWAT Vs Portsmouth1-1
17/01/26HWAT Vs Millwall0-2
10/01/26ABristol City Vs WAT5-1
01/01/26HWAT Vs Birmingham3-0
29/12/25ANorwich Vs WAT0-1
26/12/25ALeicester Vs WAT1-2
20/12/25HWAT Vs Stoke1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Southampton
Southampton
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDW1.10
HomeWDDLW1.09
AwayDLWDW1.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%26%30%
AVG goals2.802.393.15
Over 1.5 %86%74%96%
Over 2.5 %62%57%67%
Over 3.5 %30%22%37%
Scored1.221.041.37
Conceded1.581.351.78
BTTS66%57%74%
Clean Sheet18%26%11%
Corners10.0411.009.26
Cards3.763.324.11
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLD1.20
HomeWWLDL1.54
AwayWWLDD0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%42%17%
AVG goals2.382.352.42
Over 1.5 %70%77%62%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %18%12%25%
Scored1.101.230.96
Conceded1.281.121.46
BTTS58%54%62%
Clean Sheet22%27%17%
Corners10.0810.589.54
Cards4.263.924.62

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches