Southend vs Woking Result & Analysis

Southend’s defensive record at home is solid, conceding just 0.43 goals per game against similar opposition, while Woking’s away attack averages two goals but also concedes 1.33. The model therefore sees a tight affair with a 34% chance of a Southend win, 32% for a draw and 34% for a Woking win, favouring the home side as the most likely result. The expected total of 2.2 goals points to a low-scoring match, with the single most probable scoreline 1-1 at 14.8%. The match’s probability spread is 34% home win, 32% draw, 34% away win. Suggested selections include Under 5.5 cards at 89.2% and Under 4.5 cards at 77.6%, while Under 3.5 cards carries an 82.3% chance. All figures are drawn directly from the model’s output.

Southend’s draw against Woking was a surprise, as the pre-match favourite was the home side with a 34% probability of victory. The model’s call was wrong, and the match finished 1-1, a draw. The pre-match favourite’s 34% chance of winning was not realised. The model’s selection of Under 5.5 cards, with an 89.2% probability, missed, while Under 3.5 cards, at 82.3%, hit. Under 4.5 cards, at 77.6%, also missed. The win extended Southend’s run of five matches, but the result was a stalemate, with both sides coming off a draw.