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Spaeri vs Samgurali Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 3-4
Spaeri
Spaeri
Vs
18%
22%
60%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Samgurali
Samgurali
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Samgurali's recent form, coming off a win, suggests they're in good spirits, while Spaeri's recent form, coming off a defeat, indicates a slight slump. However, the model's prediction of an away win, with a 59% probability, indicates that Samgurali's away scoring and conceding numbers, 2.0 and 1.6 goals per match respectively, against a similar opponent strength, are more promising than Spaeri's home scoring and conceding numbers, 1.33 and 1.17 goals per match.

This match is expected to be high-scoring, with an expected total of 3.3 goals. The single most likely correct score is 1-1, with a 10.2% probability. The model suggests an Over 1.5 goals selection, with an 84.5% probability, indicating a high chance of both teams scoring.

Home win percentage stands at 19%, draw percentage at 22%, and away win percentage at 59%. The model's most likely score is 1-1 (10.2%). The model's suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals (84.5%) and Spaeri to score (no edge information provided).

Results analysis

The match saw Spaeri’s recent slump continue as they fell 3-4 to Samgurali, who extended their winning run with a victory. The model had picked an away win with a 60 % probability, and the outcome matched that call, confirming the model’s choice. The predicted total of 3.3 goals proved far short of reality; the game produced seven goals, a clear over-performance. Among the model’s selections, Under 7.5 hit with a 98.1 % chance, Home under 3.5 goals also hit at 97.3 %, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.9 %. The other picks - Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8 %) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.0 %) - missed.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spaeri win✗ Miss
18.1%
Avg Implied 34.4% · @ 2.61
Edge
-16.3%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
2.70
Dafabet
2.65
Superbet
2.65
Betano
2.65
Pinnacle
2.63
Draw✗ Miss
22.0%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.15
Edge
-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.24
Dafabet
3.15
Samgurali win✓ Hit
59.9%
Avg Implied 37.1% · @ 2.42
Edge
+22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.49
Marathonbet
2.46
1xBet
2.46
Betano
2.45
Dafabet
2.45

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SpaeriSpaeri

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L21W20W12L12L11D13L00D12L11DH·LOK29/11A·SAB06/12A·GAR10/12H·GAR14/12A·RUS29/05A·SAB12/06A·DIL16/06A·TOR22/06H·DIN09/08A·GAG17/08← Erovnuli Liga 2Erovnuli Liga →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.371.311.620.941.18
vs Stronger (6)0.502.170.503.500.501.50
vs Similar (22)1.271.181.501.301.081.08
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SamguraliSamgurali

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-524L12L40W03L32W21W35L00D21W04LH·TOR22/11A·DIL26/11H·DIN30/11A·TEL06/12A·DIL29/05H·TOR13/06A·DIN18/06A·GAG24/06A·MES09/08H·DIN16/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.801.431.361.752.19
vs Stronger (18)1.672.171.561.561.782.78
vs Similar (12)1.501.251.201.001.711.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Spaeri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.7%
@ 1.24+12.0%
Under 1.5
15.3%
@ 3.31-12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Under
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
Superbet
3.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.5%
@ 1.88+14.1%
Under 2.5
36.5%
@ 1.84-14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.98
Bet365
1.95
Superbet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.87
Betano
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Bet365
1.85
Superbet
1.82
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.4%
@ 2.96+10.8%
Under 3.5
58.6%
@ 1.30-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.05
1xBet
2.92
Marathonbet
2.92
Under
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.29
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.5%
@ 1.66+5.1%
No
39.5%
@ 2.06-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
William Hil
1.62
No
William Hil
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.04
Superbet
2.00

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%@ 5.75+2.8%
1-2
9.8%@ 8.56+4.9%
0-2
8.8%@ 10.87+4.9%
0-1
7.2%@ 7.65+1.8%
1-3
7.1%@ 17.36+4.6%
0-3
6.3%@ 21.61+4.4%
2-2
5.5%@ 11.58+1.9%
2-1
5.1%@ 8.94+0.4%
Spaeri goals ↓
Samgurali goals →
01234
04.7%7.2%8.8%6.3%3.4%
13.3%10%9.8%7.1%3.8%
22.4%5.1%5.5%4.0%2.1%
30.9%1.9%2.1%1.5%0.8%
40.3%0.5%0.6%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spaeri goals (down), columns = Samgurali goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rustavi
2.38
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.14
Dinamo Batumi
2.00
Samgurali
1.75
Gagra
1.62
Dila
1.43
Saburtalo
1.17
Torpedo Kutaisi
0.62
Meshakhte
0.50
Spaeri
0.38
Spaeri is 1.38 points worse than Samgurali in terms of average points per game (0.38 vs 1.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.57
Dila
2.29
Dinamo Batumi
2.12
Samgurali
1.88
Rustavi
1.62
Saburtalo
1.33
Gagra
1.25
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.25
Spaeri
1.00
Meshakhte
0.88
Spaeri is 0.88 goals worse than Samgurali in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Rustavi
0.75
Gagra
1.12
Dinamo Batumi
1.12
Saburtalo
1.67
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.71
Dila
1.71
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.88
Spaeri
2.00
Meshakhte
2.00
Samgurali
2.12
Spaeri is 0.12 goals better than Samgurali in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 2.12).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Saburtalo
55%
Meshakhte
50%
Gagra
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SpaeriSpaeri

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

SamguraliSamgurali

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

SpaeriSpaeri

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (40)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Samgurali) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SamguraliSamgurali

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (28)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (21)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Spaeri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
10.2
Saburtalo
9.7
Dila
8.9
Dinamo Tbilisi
7.8
Dinamo Batumi
7.0
Meshakhte
5.0
Gagra
5.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
6.3
Saburtalo
5.4
Dila
5.2
Meshakhte
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.5
Dinamo Tbilisi
3.2
Gagra
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Saburtalo
41.0
Dila
30.7
Torpedo Kutaisi
28.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
25.0
Dinamo Batumi
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
3.2%
Under 9.5
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.8%
Under 3.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Spaeri or Draw✗ Miss
40.1%
Avg Implied 63.3% · @ 1.44
Edge
-23.2%
18%
22%
60%
covers Spaeri + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.50
Betfair
1.44
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Spaeri or Samgurali✓ Hit
78.0%
Avg Implied 71.6% · @ 1.27
Edge
+6.4%
18%
22%
60%
covers Spaeri + Samgurali
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Draw or Samgurali✓ Hit
81.9%
Avg Implied 65.1% · @ 1.40
Edge
+16.8%
18%
22%
60%
covers Draw + Samgurali
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.39

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Spaeri over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.4%
@ 1.27-4.2%
Under
32.6%
@ 3.20+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.27
Under
1xBet
3.20
Spaeri over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
30.9%
@ 2.37-8.0%
Under
69.1%
@ 1.51+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
1xBet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.35
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Spaeri over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
10.4%
@ 5.20-7.1%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.10+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Spaeri over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.4%
@ 1.25+15.6%
Under
11.6%
@ 3.34-15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.25
Under
1xBet
3.34
Samgurali over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
63.3%
@ 2.29+22.8%
Under
36.7%
@ 1.56-22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Samgurali over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
36.4%
@ 4.95+18.1%
Under
63.6%
@ 1.11-18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.95
Under
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Samgurali over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
17.1%
Under
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Spaeri, so a minus line means Spaeri give that many goals of a start and Samgurali receive them. At -1, Spaeri must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Spaeri win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Spaeri)Actual: Samgurali
Spaeri -2
2.1%
@ 6.80-9.6%
Draw -2
5.0%
@ 4.80-11.5%
Samgurali +2
92.9%
@ 1.10+21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.80
Draw
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Spaeri)Actual: Samgurali
Spaeri -1
7.1%
@ 5.17-9.9%
Draw -1
11.0%
@ 4.20-9.9%
Samgurali +1
81.9%
@ 1.41+19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.10
Draw
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Away
10Bet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.38
Handicap +1 (Spaeri)Actual: Draw
Spaeri +1
40.1%
@ 1.43-21.0%
Draw +1
21.9%
@ 4.15+0.9%
Samgurali -1
38.0%
@ 4.88+20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Draw
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Away
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
Handicap +2 (Spaeri)Actual: Spaeri
Spaeri +2
62.0%
@ 1.12-8.6%
Draw +2
18.3%
@ 4.70+1.5%
Samgurali -2
19.7%
@ 6.30+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Marathonbet
6.30

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SpaeriSpaeri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W10W10W01L01L11D00D10W00DH·LOK29/11A·SAB06/12A·GAR10/12H·GAR14/12A·RUS29/05A·SAB12/06A·DIL16/06A·TOR22/06H·DIN09/08A·GAG17/08← Erovnuli Liga 2Erovnuli Liga →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.620.540.410.47
vs Stronger (6)0.331.000.501.500.250.75
vs Similar (22)0.550.360.700.300.420.42
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SamguraliSamgurali

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L20W01L12L10W22D00D11D03LH·TOR22/11A·DIL26/11H·DIN30/11A·TEL06/12A·DIL29/05H·TOR13/06A·DIN18/06A·GAG24/06A·MES09/08H·DIN16/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.830.710.500.751.12
vs Stronger (18)0.890.941.000.670.781.22
vs Similar (12)0.500.670.200.200.711.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Spaeri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.5%
@ 1.36+1.4%
Under 0.5
31.5%
@ 2.77-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Under
Betfair
3.00
Pinnacle
2.95
William Hil
2.80
Marathonbet
2.71
1xBet
2.71
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
35.0%
@ 2.65+0.5%
Under 1.5
65.0%
@ 1.40-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.70
Pinnacle
2.66
1xBet
2.63
Marathonbet
2.63
Under
Pinnacle
1.42
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
14.0%
@ 6.43-0.4%
Under 2.5
86.0%
@ 1.08+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
6.50
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.30
Under
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.07

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spaeri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.5%
@ 2.06-1.2%
Under
56.5%
@ 1.66+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.06
Pinnacle
2.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Spaeri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
13.1%
@ 6.50-1.0%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.06+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Under
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Spaeri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.8%
@ 2.02+3.4%
Under
51.2%
@ 1.68-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.05
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Under
Pinnacle
1.71
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
Samgurali over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.8%
@ 6.25-0.7%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.06+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.25
Under
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Samgurali over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SpaeriSpaeri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L01L10W02L11D10W02L00D02L11DH·LOK29/11A·SAB06/12A·GAR10/12H·GAR14/12A·RUS29/05A·SAB12/06A·DIL16/06A·TOR22/06H·DIN09/08A·GAG17/08← Erovnuli Liga 2Erovnuli Liga →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.691.080.530.71
vs Stronger (6)0.171.170.002.000.250.75
vs Similar (22)0.730.820.801.000.670.67
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SamguraliSamgurali

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L10W20W02L20W11D13L00D10W01LH·TOR22/11A·DIL26/11H·DIN30/11A·TEL06/12A·DIL29/05H·TOR13/06A·DIN18/06A·GAG24/06A·MES09/08H·DIN16/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.970.710.861.001.06
vs Stronger (18)0.781.220.560.891.001.56
vs Similar (12)1.000.581.000.801.000.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Spaeri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.8%
Under 0.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.5%
Under 1.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
20.0%
Under 2.5
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spaeri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.3%
Under
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
54.4%
Under
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
16.8%
Under
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners99.5%--------
Under 10.5 corners98.6%--------
Under 7.598.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.8%-------✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals97.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners96.8%--------
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 6.595.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 8.5 corners93.2%--------
Away under 2.5 HT goals92.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals89.6%1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
---+7.1%✗ Miss
Under 5.588.6%1.03
1xBet
1.03
-----4.1%✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals88.4%1.25
1xBet
1.25
----+15.6%✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards87.7%--------
Home under 1.5 HT goals86.9%1.06
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
---+1.0%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals86.2%1.06
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
---+0.7%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals86.0%1.08
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.07
--+0.4%✗ Miss
Over 1.584.7%1.24
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
--+12.0%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals84.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals83.2%-------✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals82.9%-------✗ Miss
Draw or Away81.9%1.40
10Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.39
+16.8%✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap81.9%1.41
10Bet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.38
---+19.8%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals80.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals80.0%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away78.0%1.27
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
+6.4%✓ Hit
Under 4.576.7%1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
----6.7%✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards73.8%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
RUS (22)
€2m
MES (21)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
Spaeri's squad is €1m less valuable than Samgurali's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
RUS (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (7)
€1m
Spaeri and Samgurali have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
MES (5)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
RUS (4)
€0m
SPA (4)
€0m
Spaeri and Samgurali have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
RUS (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (9)
€1m
Spaeri and Samgurali have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SPA wins
0
Draws
0
SAM wins

Head-to-head

Spaeri vs Samgurali · H/A from SPA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

SpaeriSpaeri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/26AGagra Vs SPA1-1
09/08/26HSPA Vs Dinamo Tbilisi1-2
22/06/26ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs SPA0-0
16/06/26ADila Vs SPA3-1
12/06/26ASaburtalo Vs SPA1-1
29/05/26ARustavi Vs SPA2-1
14/12/25HSPA Vs Gareji1-2
10/12/25AGareji Vs SPA0-2
06/12/25ASaburtalo II Vs SPA1-2
29/11/25HSPA Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi2-3

SamguraliSamgurali

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26HSAM Vs Dinamo Batumi0-4
09/08/26AMeshakhte Vs SAM1-2
24/06/26AGagra Vs SAM0-0
18/06/26ADinamo Tbilisi Vs SAM5-3
13/06/26HSAM Vs Torpedo Kutaisi2-1
29/05/26ADila Vs SAM2-3
06/12/25ATelavi Vs SAM3-0
30/11/25HSAM Vs Dinamo Batumi4-0
26/11/25ADila Vs SAM2-1
22/11/25HSAM Vs Torpedo Kutaisi2-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Spaeri
Spaeri
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLD1.46
HomeDWLLL1.61
AwayLDLDD1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%43%33%
AVG goals2.603.132.15
Over 1.5 %76%83%70%
Over 2.5 %48%65%33%
Over 3.5 %18%30%7%
Scored1.421.831.07
Conceded1.181.301.07
BTTS54%61%48%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Samgurali
Samgurali
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL1.30
HomeDLWWL1.58
AwayLWLDW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%27%
AVG goals3.062.833.27
Over 1.5 %80%67%92%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %30%33%27%
Scored1.541.671.42
Conceded1.521.171.85
BTTS58%42%73%
Clean Sheet22%33%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RustaviRustavi819
75%
2.4
136+7
2.4
75%
62%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
2Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi816
62%
2.0
179+8
3.2
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.1
-
3Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi715
71%
2.1
1812+6
4.3
100%
100%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.61.7
-
4SamguraliSamgurali814
50%
1.8
1517-2
4.0
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.92.1
-
5GagraGagra813
38%
1.6
109+1
2.4
88%
50%
12%
5.0
0%
3.0
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.1
46%
6DilaDila710
43%
1.4
1612+4
4.0
100%
100%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.31.7
-
7SaburtaloSaburtalo67
33%
1.2
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
17%
5.0
0%
7.0
100%
-
0%
6
3221.31.7
55%
8Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi85
12%
0.6
1015-5
3.1
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.21.9
-
9MeshakhteMeshakhte84
12%
0.5
716-9
2.9
75%
50%
25%
5.0
0%
5.0
50%
-
0%
2
1110.92.0
50%
10SpaeriSpaeri83
0%
0.4
816-8
3.0
88%
62%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.0
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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