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Sparta Praha II vs Sigma Olomouc II Result & Analysis

Date: 28/05/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-2
Sparta Praha II
Sparta Praha II
Vs
46%
29%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sigma Olomouc II
Sigma Olomouc II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sparta Praha II win✗ Miss
45.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II win✓ Hit
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L21W22D21W20W10W20W22D11D01LA·VYS31/03H·TÁB09/04H·KAR16/04A·OPA19/04H·PRO23/04A·ART29/04H·VAR08/05A·TŘI13/05H·DUK18/05A·PŘÍ24/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.281.210.931.001.60
vs Stronger (4)1.502.002.001.001.003.00
vs Similar (23)1.041.131.180.910.921.33
vs Weaker (2)1.001.500.001.002.002.00
Clean sheet %28% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D11D23L41W20W41W22D02L03LH·ART02/04A·TŘI08/04H·VAR16/04A·DUK19/04H·PŘÍ24/04A·SLA29/04A·VLA06/05H·CHR14/05A·VYŠ20/05H·TÁB24/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.341.591.601.471.071.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.411.671.711.571.081.77
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %24% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.9%
Under 2.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.9%
Under 3.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
Sparta Praha II goals ↓
Sigma Olomouc II goals →
01234
010%7.5%4.4%1.5%0.4%
111%14%6.3%2.1%0.5%
29.0%9.0%4.5%1.5%0.4%
34.3%4.3%2.2%0.7%0.2%
41.5%1.5%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sparta Praha II goals (down), columns = Sigma Olomouc II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Karviná
1.87
Vyškov
1.73
Příbram
1.70
Dukla Praha
1.57
Artis
1.53
Varnsdorf
1.43
Táborsko
1.40
Chrudim
1.30
Sigma Olomouc II
1.30
Sparta Praha II
1.30
Vlašim
1.27
Prostějov
1.20
Opava
1.13
Vysočina Jihlava
1.13
Slavia Praha II
1.07
Třinec
0.90
Sparta Praha II and Sigma Olomouc II are level in average points per game (both 1.30).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Karviná
1.93
Vlašim
1.80
Varnsdorf
1.80
Dukla Praha
1.70
Příbram
1.60
Vyškov
1.50
Slavia Praha II
1.40
Sigma Olomouc II
1.37
Táborsko
1.30
Prostějov
1.30
Artis
1.27
Vysočina Jihlava
1.23
Chrudim
1.07
Sparta Praha II
1.07
Třinec
1.00
Opava
0.87
Sparta Praha II is 0.30 goals worse than Sigma Olomouc II in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Artis
0.90
Opava
0.97
Vyškov
0.97
Chrudim
1.07
Příbram
1.07
Karviná
1.23
Sparta Praha II
1.30
Táborsko
1.43
Dukla Praha
1.50
Sigma Olomouc II
1.53
Varnsdorf
1.53
Třinec
1.60
Vlašim
1.63
Vysočina Jihlava
1.70
Slavia Praha II
1.87
Prostějov
1.90
Sparta Praha II is 0.23 goals better than Sigma Olomouc II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L11D10W00D10W10W00D10W00DA·VYS31/03H·TÁB09/04H·KAR16/04A·OPA19/04H·PRO23/04A·ART29/04H·VAR08/05A·TŘI13/05H·DUK18/05A·PŘÍ24/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.450.620.570.430.330.80
vs Stronger (4)0.751.251.000.500.502.00
vs Similar (23)0.430.520.550.360.330.67
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %52% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W12L30W00D11D21W02L01LH·ART02/04A·TŘI08/04H·VAR16/04A·DUK19/04H·PŘÍ24/04A·SLA29/04A·VLA06/05H·CHR14/05A·VYŠ20/05H·TÁB24/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.720.761.000.670.430.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.780.811.070.710.460.92
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %45% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sparta Praha II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W11D11D20W00D10W22D01L01LA·VYS31/03H·TÁB09/04H·KAR16/04A·OPA19/04H·PRO23/04A·ART29/04H·VAR08/05A·TŘI13/05H·DUK18/05A·PŘÍ24/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.660.660.640.500.670.80
vs Stronger (4)0.750.751.000.500.501.00
vs Similar (23)0.610.610.640.550.580.67
vs Weaker (2)1.001.000.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %48% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D01L11D11D20W30W01L00D02LH·ART02/04A·TŘI08/04H·VAR16/04A·DUK19/04H·PŘÍ24/04A·SLA29/04A·VLA06/05H·CHR14/05A·VYŠ20/05H·TÁB24/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.830.600.800.640.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.630.850.640.860.620.85
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %48% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sparta Praha II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
ART (30)
€9m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
TŘI (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TŘI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
TŘI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
ART (13)
€5m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SPI wins
0
Draws
1
SOI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sparta Praha II vs Sigma Olomouc II · H/A from SPI
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/22ASigma Olomouc II Vs SPI1-0

Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/23APříbram Vs SPI1-0
18/05/23HSPI Vs Dukla Praha1-1
13/05/23ATřinec Vs SPI2-2
08/05/23HSPI Vs Varnsdorf2-0
29/04/23AArtis Vs SPI0-1
23/04/23HSPI Vs Prostějov2-0
19/04/23AOpava Vs SPI1-2
16/04/23HSPI Vs Karviná2-2
09/04/23HSPI Vs Táborsko2-1
31/03/23AVysočina Jihlava Vs SPI2-1

Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/23HSOI Vs Táborsko0-3
20/05/23AVyškov Vs SOI2-0
14/05/23HSOI Vs Chrudim2-2
06/05/23AVlašim Vs SOI1-4
29/04/23ASlavia Praha II Vs SOI0-2
24/04/23HSOI Vs Příbram4-1
19/04/23ADukla Praha Vs SOI3-2
16/04/23HSOI Vs Varnsdorf1-1
08/04/23ATřinec Vs SOI1-1
02/04/23HSOI Vs Artis1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sparta Praha II
Sparta Praha II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDL1.34
HomeWDWWD1.64
AwayLWWDL1.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%43%33%
AVG goals2.382.142.60
Over 1.5 %72%71%73%
Over 2.5 %45%36%53%
Over 3.5 %21%21%20%
Scored1.101.211.00
Conceded1.280.931.60
BTTS45%43%47%
Clean Sheet28%43%13%
Corners---
Cards---
Sigma Olomouc II
Sigma Olomouc II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.24
HomeLDWDL1.53
AwayDLWWL0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%40%21%
AVG goals2.933.072.79
Over 1.5 %79%80%79%
Over 2.5 %55%67%43%
Over 3.5 %45%47%43%
Scored1.341.601.07
Conceded1.591.471.71
BTTS48%53%43%
Clean Sheet24%33%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KarvináKarviná3056
57%
1.9
5837+21
3.2
80%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
4121.91.2
-
2VyškovVyškov3052
47%
1.7
4529+16
2.5
77%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
3PříbramPříbram3051
47%
1.7
4832+16
2.7
83%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.1
-
4Dukla PrahaDukla Praha3047
47%
1.6
5145+6
3.2
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3121.71.5
-
5ArtisArtis3046
43%
1.5
3827+11
2.2
63%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2251.30.9
-
6VarnsdorfVarnsdorf3043
40%
1.4
5446+8
3.3
90%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
7TáborskoTáborsko3042
37%
1.4
3943-4
2.7
73%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.4
-
8ChrudimChrudim3039
27%
1.3
3232+0
2.1
70%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II3039
33%
1.3
4146-5
2.9
80%
53%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
10Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II3039
37%
1.3
3239-7
2.4
73%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
11VlašimVlašim3038
37%
1.3
5449+5
3.4
90%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.81.6
-
12ProstějovProstějov3036
30%
1.2
3957-18
3.2
90%
53%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.9
-
13OpavaOpava3034
27%
1.1
2629-3
1.8
53%
27%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.91.0
-
14Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava3034
30%
1.1
3751-14
2.9
80%
57%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.7
-
15Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II3032
27%
1.1
4256-14
3.3
80%
60%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3261.41.9
-
16TřinecTřinec3027
20%
0.9
3048-18
2.6
80%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
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Czech-Republic: FNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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