This opponent (Groningen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Groningen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.53
1.86
0.93
1.06
2.06
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
2.70
1.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (19)
1.42
0.95
1.70
0.60
1.11
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
6.00
1.00
6.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Rotterdam) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.8%
Under 1.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.8%
Under 2.5
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.6%
Under 3.5
80.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.6%
No
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.3%
Sparta Rotterdam goals ↓
Groningen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10%
6.3%
2.3%
0.7%
1
11%
15%
7.4%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.0%
7.8%
4.3%
1.6%
0.4%
3
2.7%
3.0%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sparta Rotterdam goals (down), columns = Groningen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barendrecht
2.50
SC Genemuiden
2.33
Excelsior
2.33
Heerenveen
2.33
Rijnsburgse Boys
2.25
ASWH
2.25
Utrecht
2.25
GO Ahead Eagles
2.20
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Heracles
2.20
Noordwijk
2.17
De Graafschap
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Waalwijk
2.00
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Quick Boys
1.75
PSV Eindhoven
1.75
Blauw Geel
1.67
Hercules
1.67
FC Volendam
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Cambuur
1.50
Sportlust '46
1.50
Groningen
1.50
UDI '19
1.50
Poortugaal
1.50
Ajax
1.50
Fortuna Sittard
1.50
TEC
1.50
Gemert
1.50
Twente
1.50
ADO '20
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Dovo
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Capelle
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Spakenburg
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
RKAV Volendam
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Hoogeveen
0.99
Walcheren
0.99
Dongen
0.99
ARC
0.99
Groene Ster
0.99
Halsteren
0.99
Velocitas
0.99
Sportclub 25
0.99
't Zand
0.99
Westlandia
0.99
Erp
0.99
AWC
0.99
VV Scherpenzeel
0.99
HZVV
0.99
Staphorst
0.99
Roosendaal
0.99
DVO
0.99
Zwaluwen
0.99
Heino
0.99
VVOG
0.99
Kampong
0.99
Aalsmeer
0.99
De Foresters
0.99
Mierlo-Hout
0.99
Willem II
0.50
Katwijk
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Juliana '31
0.50
Almere City FC
0.00
Emmen
0.00
De Treffers
0.00
Harkemase Boys
0.00
GOES
0.00
Kozakken Boys
0.00
URK
0.00
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ACV
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Huizen
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Kloetinge
0.00
HHC
0.00
UNA
0.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Dordrecht
0.00
FC OSS
0.00
NAC Breda
0.00
Roda
0.00
Den Bosch
0.00
Vitesse
0.00
VVV Venlo
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
SteDoCo
0.00
Sparta Rotterdam is 0.50 points worse than Groningen in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Eindhoven
4.00
PSV Eindhoven
3.50
Ijsselmeervogels
3.33
Sparta Nijkerk
3.25
Barendrecht
3.00
Groningen
3.00
Utrecht
3.00
De Graafschap
2.67
Excelsior
2.67
Waalwijk
2.67
FC Volendam
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Fortuna Sittard
2.50
Blauw Geel
2.33
Hercules
2.33
Quick Boys
2.25
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Katwijk
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
GOES
2.00
URK
2.00
Sportlust '46
2.00
ACV
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
TEC
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Gemert
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Twente
2.00
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00
SteDoCo
2.00
Noordwijk
1.83
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Capelle
1.67
Willem II
1.50
Telstar
1.50
ASWH
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Juliana '31
1.50
MVV
1.50
Hoogeveen
1.42
Walcheren
1.42
Dongen
1.42
ARC
1.42
Groene Ster
1.42
Halsteren
1.42
Velocitas
1.42
Sportclub 25
1.42
't Zand
1.42
Westlandia
1.42
Erp
1.42
AWC
1.42
VV Scherpenzeel
1.42
HZVV
1.42
Staphorst
1.42
Roosendaal
1.42
DVO
1.42
Zwaluwen
1.42
Heino
1.42
VVOG
1.42
Kampong
1.42
Aalsmeer
1.42
De Foresters
1.42
Mierlo-Hout
1.42
Heracles
1.40
Koninklijke HFC
1.33
SC Genemuiden
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
De Treffers
1.00
Harkemase Boys
1.00
Dovo
1.00
Kozakken Boys
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Huizen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Ajax
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Kloetinge
1.00
ADO '20
1.00
UNA
1.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
FC OSS
1.00
NAC Breda
1.00
Roda
1.00
Den Bosch
1.00
Vitesse
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
Hoek
0.50
Almere City FC
0.00
Emmen
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
HHC
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
Sparta Rotterdam is 2.00 goals worse than Groningen in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 3.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Heracles
0.40
Barendrecht
0.50
Sportlust '46
0.50
ASWH
0.50
ADO '20
0.50
SC Genemuiden
0.67
Noordwijk
0.83
Emmen
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
Telstar
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Hollandia
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Ajax
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Gemert
1.00
HHC
1.00
Utrecht
1.00
Meerssen
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.00
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.25
PSV Eindhoven
1.25
Blauw Geel
1.33
Feyenoord
1.33
Heerenveen
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Waalwijk
1.33
FC Volendam
1.50
Quick Boys
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Excelsior Maassluis
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Hercules
1.67
Excelsior
1.67
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Hoogeveen
1.95
Walcheren
1.95
Dongen
1.95
ARC
1.95
Groene Ster
1.95
Halsteren
1.95
Velocitas
1.95
Sportclub 25
1.95
't Zand
1.95
Westlandia
1.95
Erp
1.95
AWC
1.95
VV Scherpenzeel
1.95
HZVV
1.95
Staphorst
1.95
Roosendaal
1.95
DVO
1.95
Zwaluwen
1.95
Heino
1.95
VVOG
1.95
Kampong
1.95
Aalsmeer
1.95
De Foresters
1.95
Mierlo-Hout
1.95
Willem II
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
Harkemase Boys
2.00
Dovo
2.00
Kozakken Boys
2.00
Capelle
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Groningen
2.00
Huizen
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
Kloetinge
2.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
2.00
Juliana '31
2.00
Dordrecht
2.00
NAC Breda
2.00
Den Bosch
2.00
VVV Venlo
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.33
Katwijk
2.50
Eemdijk
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Twente
2.50
Rijnvogels
2.67
Almere City FC
3.00
Koninklijke HFC
3.00
AFC Amsterdam
3.00
GVVV Veenendaal
3.00
TEC
3.00
Roda
3.00
Vitesse
3.00
Helmond Sport
3.00
SteDoCo
3.00
De Treffers
4.00
GOES
4.00
URK
4.00
ADO Den Haag
4.00
TOGB
4.00
ROHDA Raalte
4.00
Excelsior '31
4.00
UNA
4.00
FC OSS
4.00
ACV
5.00
Sparta Rotterdam is 1.00 goals better than Groningen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
GO Ahead Eagles
54%
AZ Alkmaar
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sparta Rotterdam
For 3.5 · Against 7.1 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.7 · Against 9.7 · Total 17.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Groningen
For 4.8 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 11.4 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sparta Rotterdam
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.0
10.7
3.1
3.1
3.0
17.9
18.6
17.2
vs Stronger (17)
10.9
10.0
11.8
3.3
4.5
2.2
16.3
18.8
14.1
vs Similar (31)
10.0
9.6
10.3
3.1
2.5
3.6
18.9
19.0
18.8
vs Weaker (2)
11.5
15.0
8.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
16.0
12.0
20.0
% over line
54%
48%
60%
36%
38%
35%
21%
22%
20%
% under line
46%
52%
40%
64%
62%
65%
79%
78%
80%
This opponent (Groningen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Groningen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.3
9.0
3.6
3.9
3.3
21.2
21.1
21.4
vs Stronger (15)
8.6
8.5
8.8
3.7
5.5
2.6
20.6
24.2
18.0
vs Similar (33)
9.4
9.7
9.1
3.6
3.5
3.7
21.7
20.2
23.4
vs Weaker (2)
8.0
8.0
8.0
3.0
1.0
5.0
18.0
18.0
18.0
% over line
38%
38%
38%
54%
58%
50%
52%
54%
50%
% under line
62%
62%
62%
46%
42%
50%
48%
46%
50%
This opponent (Sparta Rotterdam) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gemert
16.0
Excelsior Maassluis
15.0
Sparta Nijkerk
14.0
Quick Boys
12.0
GVVV Veenendaal
12.0
Den Bosch
11.7
Dordrecht
11.4
Waalwijk
11.4
VVV Venlo
11.4
GO Ahead Eagles
11.2
FC OSS
11.0
PSV Eindhoven
10.8
Almere City FC
10.7
MVV
10.6
Vitesse
10.6
Sparta Rotterdam
10.5
Heracles
10.5
Willem II
10.5
NEC Nijmegen
10.4
Telstar
10.4
Helmond Sport
10.3
De Graafschap
10.3
FC Volendam
10.3
Fortuna Sittard
10.2
Emmen
10.1
Utrecht
9.9
Roda
9.8
Cambuur
9.8
AZ Alkmaar
9.8
Excelsior
9.8
Feyenoord
9.7
ADO Den Haag
9.6
PEC Zwolle
9.5
FC Eindhoven
9.4
NAC Breda
9.4
Heerenveen
9.4
Twente
9.2
Groningen
9.1
Ajax
9.0
HHC
8.0
Katwijk
4.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sparta Nijkerk
6.0
Excelsior Maassluis
5.0
GVVV Veenendaal
5.0
AZ Alkmaar
4.7
Ajax
4.4
ADO Den Haag
4.2
Cambuur
4.1
Twente
4.1
Dordrecht
4.0
Vitesse
4.0
Emmen
4.0
Gemert
4.0
HHC
4.0
FC OSS
4.0
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
Groningen
3.9
Roda
3.7
NAC Breda
3.7
Excelsior
3.7
Feyenoord
3.7
Den Bosch
3.7
Fortuna Sittard
3.6
Utrecht
3.6
Helmond Sport
3.6
GO Ahead Eagles
3.6
PSV Eindhoven
3.6
De Graafschap
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.5
Heracles
3.5
FC Volendam
3.5
FC Eindhoven
3.4
VVV Venlo
3.4
Sparta Rotterdam
3.4
Telstar
3.4
MVV
3.4
Heerenveen
3.3
Almere City FC
3.3
Willem II
3.2
Waalwijk
3.0
Katwijk
3.0
Quick Boys
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Excelsior Maassluis
31.0
GVVV Veenendaal
31.0
FC OSS
28.4
Helmond Sport
27.0
Cambuur
26.9
ADO Den Haag
26.8
Vitesse
26.7
Emmen
26.0
Dordrecht
26.0
Telstar
25.4
Ajax
24.5
MVV
24.1
Sparta Nijkerk
24.0
HHC
24.0
FC Volendam
23.9
Roda
23.8
VVV Venlo
23.4
Den Bosch
23.3
De Graafschap
23.2
Heracles
23.1
Gemert
23.0
Fortuna Sittard
22.9
Excelsior
22.7
NEC Nijmegen
22.7
AZ Alkmaar
22.6
Twente
22.4
FC Eindhoven
22.2
Utrecht
22.0
PEC Zwolle
21.9
Heerenveen
21.5
Groningen
21.4
NAC Breda
21.3
Quick Boys
21.0
Feyenoord
21.0
Almere City FC
20.4
Willem II
20.1
GO Ahead Eagles
20.1
Waalwijk
19.3
PSV Eindhoven
18.2
Sparta Rotterdam
17.9
Katwijk
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.2%
Under 9.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.4%
Under 3.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
68.3%
Under 21.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sparta Rotterdam or Draw✓ Hit
67.0%
Avg Implied -
36%
31%
33%
covers Sparta Rotterdam + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam or Groningen✓ Hit
68.8%
Avg Implied -
36%
31%
33%
covers Sparta Rotterdam + Groningen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Groningen✗ Miss
64.2%
Avg Implied -
36%
31%
33%
covers Draw + Groningen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.9%
Under
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
32.6%
Under
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
11.4%
Under
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.1%
Under
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
30.5%
Under
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.2%
Under
89.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sparta Rotterdam, so a minus line means Sparta Rotterdam give that many goals of a start and Groningen receive them. At -1, Sparta Rotterdam must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sparta Rotterdam win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Groningen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Groningen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.77
0.93
0.50
0.69
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.50
0.33
1.00
0.71
1.71
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.42
1.00
0.40
0.67
0.44
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Rotterdam) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sparta Rotterdam
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.93
0.87
1.07
0.93
0.80
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
1.70
0.80
2.00
0.80
1.40
vs Similar (19)
1.00
0.58
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Groningen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Groningen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
0.93
0.43
0.38
1.06
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.20
0.67
1.00
0.29
1.29
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.53
0.70
0.20
0.44
0.89
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Rotterdam) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Groningen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sparta Rotterdam
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Lauritsen38%
Milan Zonneveld36%
Shunsuke Mito26%
Sayfallah Ltaief17%
Joshua Kitolano12%
Casper Terho11%
Ayoub Oufkir11%
Mitchell Van Bergen10%
Nökkvi Þórisson8%
Patrick van Aanholt7%
Pelle Clement7%
Ayoni Santos7%
Bruno Martins Indi7%
Lance Duijvestijn7%
Teo Quintero3%
Jonathan de Guzmán0%
Joël Drommel0%
Saïd Bakari0%
Vito van Crooij0%
Filip Bednarek0%
Jens Toornstra0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Shurandy Sambo0%
Julian Baas0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Mike Kleijn0%
Marvin Young0%
Giannino Vianello0%
Lushendry Edward Martes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lushendry Edward Martes33%
Vito van Crooij30%
Jens Toornstra25%
Teo Quintero24%
Julian Baas24%
Shurandy Sambo22%
Bruno Martins Indi20%
Marvin Young20%
Patrick van Aanholt14%
Pelle Clement14%
Lance Duijvestijn13%
Casper Terho11%
Ayoub Oufkir11%
Tobias Lauritsen11%
Joshua Kitolano9%
Ayoni Santos7%
Mitchell Van Bergen3%
Joël Drommel3%
Jonathan de Guzmán0%
Nökkvi Þórisson0%
Saïd Bakari0%
Filip Bednarek0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Shunsuke Mito0%
Sayfallah Ltaief0%
Milan Zonneveld0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Mike Kleijn0%
Giannino Vianello0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Patrick van Aanholt21%
Shunsuke Mito19%
Tobias Lauritsen16%
Mitchell Van Bergen16%
Nökkvi Þórisson15%
Casper Terho11%
Ayoub Oufkir11%
Vito van Crooij10%
Pelle Clement7%
Mike Kleijn7%
Lance Duijvestijn7%
Lushendry Edward Martes7%
Joshua Kitolano6%
Teo Quintero6%
Jens Toornstra5%
Shurandy Sambo4%
Ayoni Santos3%
Marvin Young3%
Jonathan de Guzmán0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Joël Drommel0%
Saïd Bakari0%
Filip Bednarek0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Sayfallah Ltaief0%
Julian Baas0%
Milan Zonneveld0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Giannino Vianello0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mitchell Van Bergen26%
Tobias Lauritsen22%
Sayfallah Ltaief17%
Ayoub Oufkir17%
Lance Duijvestijn13%
Casper Terho11%
Shunsuke Mito11%
Vito van Crooij10%
Nökkvi Þórisson8%
Julian Baas4%
Ayoni Santos3%
Joshua Kitolano3%
Teo Quintero3%
Jonathan de Guzmán0%
Patrick van Aanholt0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Joël Drommel0%
Saïd Bakari0%
Pelle Clement0%
Filip Bednarek0%
Jens Toornstra0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Shurandy Sambo0%
Milan Zonneveld0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Mike Kleijn0%
Marvin Young0%
Giannino Vianello0%
Lushendry Edward Martes0%
Groningen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thom van Bergen25%
Younes Taha18%
Stije Resink16%
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson14%
Oskar Zawada12%
Tika de Jonge10%
Tygo Land10%
Marco Rente10%
Marvin Peersman9%
David van der Werff8%
Dies Janse6%
Mats Seuntjens6%
Thijmen Blokzijl3%
Jorg Schreuders3%
Etienne Vaessen0%
Hidde Jurjus0%
Rui Mendes0%
Noam Emeran0%
Mark Hoekstra0%
Travis Hernes0%
Wouter Prins0%
Tyrique Mercera0%
Nils Eggens0%
Ryan Metu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mark Hoekstra25%
Dies Janse21%
Stije Resink20%
Younes Taha18%
Marvin Peersman17%
Tygo Land13%
Tyrique Mercera13%
Thijmen Blokzijl11%
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson10%
Tika de Jonge10%
Etienne Vaessen10%
Travis Hernes9%
Thom van Bergen8%
Jorg Schreuders8%
Marco Rente6%
Oskar Zawada6%
Mats Seuntjens6%
David van der Werff6%
Hidde Jurjus0%
Rui Mendes0%
Noam Emeran0%
Wouter Prins0%
Nils Eggens0%
Ryan Metu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Younes Taha24%
Stije Resink20%
Thom van Bergen11%
Marco Rente10%
Wouter Prins9%
Jorg Schreuders8%
Dies Janse6%
Marvin Peersman6%
David van der Werff6%
Tyrique Mercera4%
Tika de Jonge3%
Tygo Land3%
Etienne Vaessen3%
Thijmen Blokzijl3%
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson0%
Mats Seuntjens0%
Hidde Jurjus0%
Oskar Zawada0%
Rui Mendes0%
Noam Emeran0%
Mark Hoekstra0%
Travis Hernes0%
Nils Eggens0%
Ryan Metu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thom van Bergen36%
Younes Taha32%
Stije Resink20%
David van der Werff11%
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson7%
Marvin Peersman6%
Jorg Schreuders6%
Dies Janse3%
Etienne Vaessen0%
Mats Seuntjens0%
Hidde Jurjus0%
Oskar Zawada0%
Marco Rente0%
Rui Mendes0%
Noam Emeran0%
Thijmen Blokzijl0%
Tika de Jonge0%
Mark Hoekstra0%
Travis Hernes0%
Tygo Land0%
Wouter Prins0%
Tyrique Mercera0%
Nils Eggens0%
Ryan Metu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
Sparta Rotterdam's squad is €4m less valuable than Groningen's (€28m vs €32m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
Sparta Rotterdam's attack is €2m more valuable than Groningen's (€14m vs €12m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
Sparta Rotterdam's midfield is €4m less valuable than Groningen's (€2m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
Sparta Rotterdam's defence is €2m less valuable than Groningen's (€12m vs €14m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
GO Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
Telstar
PEC Zwolle
FC Volendam
NAC Breda
Heracles