This opponent (PSV Eindhoven) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PSV Eindhoven
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
0.97
2.50
0.71
1.69
1.19
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
1.75
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (26)
2.23
0.85
2.62
0.69
1.85
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Rotterdam) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.7%
Under 1.5
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.5%
@ 1.60+11.4%
Under 2.5
29.5%
@ 2.31-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.4%
Under 3.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.6%
No
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.3%
1-2
9.0%
2-2
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.4%
0-2
5.9%
2-3
4.8%
0-1
4.7%
Sparta Rotterdam goals ↓
PSV Eindhoven goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.5%
4.7%
5.9%
4.2%
2.2%
1
3.1%
9.3%
9.0%
6.4%
3.4%
2
3.0%
6.4%
6.8%
4.8%
2.6%
3
1.5%
3.2%
3.4%
2.4%
1.3%
4
0.6%
1.2%
1.3%
0.9%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sparta Rotterdam goals (down), columns = PSV Eindhoven goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ajax
2.59
PSV Eindhoven
2.12
AZ Alkmaar
2.09
Vitesse
1.79
Feyenoord
1.74
Utrecht
1.56
Groningen
1.47
Sparta Rotterdam
1.38
Heracles
1.29
Twente
1.21
Fortuna Sittard
1.21
Heerenveen
1.15
PEC Zwolle
1.12
Willem II
0.91
Waalwijk
0.88
Emmen
0.88
VVV Venlo
0.68
Den Haag
0.65
Sparta Rotterdam is 0.74 points worse than PSV Eindhoven in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 2.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ajax
3.00
AZ Alkmaar
2.21
PSV Eindhoven
2.18
Feyenoord
1.88
Vitesse
1.53
Utrecht
1.53
Fortuna Sittard
1.47
Sparta Rotterdam
1.44
Twente
1.41
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Heerenveen
1.26
VVV Venlo
1.26
Heracles
1.24
Willem II
1.18
Groningen
1.18
Emmen
1.18
Waalwijk
0.97
Den Haag
0.85
Sparta Rotterdam is 0.74 goals worse than PSV Eindhoven in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 2.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
0.68
PSV Eindhoven
1.03
Feyenoord
1.06
Groningen
1.09
Vitesse
1.12
AZ Alkmaar
1.21
Utrecht
1.21
Sparta Rotterdam
1.41
Heerenveen
1.44
Twente
1.47
PEC Zwolle
1.56
Heracles
1.56
Waalwijk
1.62
Fortuna Sittard
1.71
Willem II
2.00
Emmen
2.00
Den Haag
2.24
VVV Venlo
2.68
Sparta Rotterdam is 0.38 goals worse than PSV Eindhoven in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sparta Rotterdam
For 4.8 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 9.7 · Total 20.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PSV Eindhoven
For 6.6 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 10.4 · Total 19.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sparta Rotterdam
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.0
10.5
3.4
3.6
3.2
22.2
23.0
21.5
vs Stronger (15)
10.0
9.8
10.3
3.1
3.9
2.1
21.3
21.6
21.0
vs Similar (24)
10.5
11.0
10.1
3.8
3.6
3.9
21.5
22.9
20.4
vs Weaker (11)
10.0
8.9
12.0
3.0
3.1
2.8
25.2
24.6
26.2
% over line
60%
60%
60%
42%
48%
36%
48%
56%
40%
% under line
40%
40%
40%
58%
52%
64%
52%
44%
60%
This opponent (PSV Eindhoven) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PSV Eindhoven
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.5
10.2
3.0
2.5
3.6
20.5
19.5
21.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
11.8
12.5
11.5
3.8
3.0
4.2
19.5
17.0
20.8
vs Weaker (44)
10.1
10.3
9.9
2.9
2.4
3.5
20.7
19.8
21.5
% over line
66%
79%
54%
32%
21%
42%
44%
33%
54%
% under line
34%
21%
46%
68%
79%
58%
56%
67%
46%
This opponent (Sparta Rotterdam) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Heerenveen
11.4
Ajax
10.7
PEC Zwolle
10.6
Fortuna Sittard
10.6
Feyenoord
10.4
Utrecht
10.3
PSV Eindhoven
10.3
Sparta Rotterdam
10.2
Den Haag
10.2
AZ Alkmaar
10.2
Heracles
10.1
Vitesse
10.1
VVV Venlo
9.8
Emmen
9.7
Groningen
9.6
Twente
9.6
Willem II
9.3
Waalwijk
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Vitesse
3.7
Emmen
3.7
Waalwijk
3.6
Heracles
3.6
Fortuna Sittard
3.5
Den Haag
3.5
Twente
3.4
Sparta Rotterdam
3.4
Willem II
3.3
Groningen
3.2
AZ Alkmaar
3.1
Feyenoord
3.1
PEC Zwolle
3.1
PSV Eindhoven
3.0
Utrecht
3.0
Ajax
3.0
VVV Venlo
3.0
Heerenveen
2.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Heracles
24.0
Vitesse
23.8
Twente
23.8
Emmen
23.4
VVV Venlo
23.4
Willem II
23.0
Fortuna Sittard
22.6
Waalwijk
22.4
Sparta Rotterdam
22.2
Feyenoord
22.2
PEC Zwolle
22.2
AZ Alkmaar
21.6
Utrecht
21.6
Den Haag
21.4
Groningen
21.4
PSV Eindhoven
20.5
Ajax
20.5
Heerenveen
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.5%
Under 9.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.3%
Under 3.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
46.5%
Under 21.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sparta Rotterdam
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.80
0.80
0.93
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.12
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.80
0.29
1.00
0.50
0.62
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.43
2.00
0.25
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (PSV Eindhoven) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PSV Eindhoven
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.40
1.14
0.36
0.81
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.25
0.00
1.00
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (26)
1.04
0.27
1.23
0.31
0.85
0.23
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Rotterdam) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sparta Rotterdam
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.80
1.33
0.53
0.53
1.07
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
0.88
1.25
0.25
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.93
0.86
0.57
0.38
1.25
vs Weaker (7)
1.57
0.43
2.25
0.75
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (PSV Eindhoven) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PSV Eindhoven
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.57
1.36
0.36
0.88
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (26)
1.19
0.58
1.38
0.38
1.00
0.77
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Rotterdam) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PSV Eindhoven over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
70.5%
1.60
-
-
-
-
-
+11.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sparta Rotterdam · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Milan Zonneveld50%
Marvin Young50%
Nökkvi Þórisson33%
Nick Verschuren25%
Robin van Cruijsen25%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Filip Bednarek0%
Mitchell Van Bergen0%
Jens Toornstra0%
Bas Kuipers0%
Casper Terho0%
Shunsuke Mito0%
Joel Ideho0%
Julian Baas0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Ayoni Santos0%
Lushendry Edward Martes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jens Toornstra33%
Mitchell Van Bergen25%
Bas Kuipers25%
Casper Terho25%
Lushendry Edward Martes25%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Nökkvi Þórisson0%
Filip Bednarek0%
Shunsuke Mito0%
Joel Ideho0%
Julian Baas0%
Milan Zonneveld0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Marvin Young0%
Nick Verschuren0%
Ayoni Santos0%
Robin van Cruijsen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bas Kuipers50%
Shunsuke Mito50%
Nökkvi Þórisson33%
Joel Ideho33%
Mitchell Van Bergen25%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Filip Bednarek0%
Jens Toornstra0%
Casper Terho0%
Julian Baas0%
Milan Zonneveld0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Marvin Young0%
Nick Verschuren0%
Ayoni Santos0%
Robin van Cruijsen0%
Lushendry Edward Martes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nökkvi Þórisson67%
Ayoni Santos33%
Robin van Cruijsen25%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Filip Bednarek0%
Mitchell Van Bergen0%
Jens Toornstra0%
Bas Kuipers0%
Casper Terho0%
Shunsuke Mito0%
Joel Ideho0%
Julian Baas0%
Milan Zonneveld0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Marvin Young0%
Nick Verschuren0%
Lushendry Edward Martes0%
PSV Eindhoven · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sergiño Dest67%
Ricardo Pepi50%
Ruben van Bommel50%
Sven Mijnans33%
Noah Fernandez33%
Ivan Perišić25%
Mauro Júnior25%
Guus Til25%
Ryan Flamingo25%
Armando Obispo0%
Dennis Man0%
Matěj Kovář0%
Paul Wanner0%
Kodai Sano0%
Amir Bouhamdi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dennis Man33%
Armando Obispo25%
Ruben van Bommel25%
Ivan Perišić0%
Mauro Júnior0%
Guus Til0%
Sven Mijnans0%
Sergiño Dest0%
Ricardo Pepi0%
Matěj Kovář0%
Paul Wanner0%
Ryan Flamingo0%
Kodai Sano0%
Noah Fernandez0%
Amir Bouhamdi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sergiño Dest67%
Ivan Perišić25%
Mauro Júnior25%
Paul Wanner25%
Ruben van Bommel25%
Amir Bouhamdi25%
Armando Obispo0%
Guus Til0%
Sven Mijnans0%
Dennis Man0%
Ricardo Pepi0%
Matěj Kovář0%
Ryan Flamingo0%
Kodai Sano0%
Noah Fernandez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ricardo Pepi75%
Guus Til50%
Sergiño Dest33%
Dennis Man33%
Kodai Sano33%
Ivan Perišić25%
Ruben van Bommel25%
Armando Obispo0%
Mauro Júnior0%
Sven Mijnans0%
Matěj Kovář0%
Paul Wanner0%
Ryan Flamingo0%
Noah Fernandez0%
Amir Bouhamdi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
WI (24)
€13m
HER (28)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
EMM (21)
€5m
VV (19)
€4m
Sparta Rotterdam's squad is €252m less valuable than PSV Eindhoven's (€28m vs €280m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
PZ (8)
€8m
FS (6)
€6m
WI (8)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
Sparta Rotterdam's attack is €92m less valuable than PSV Eindhoven's (€14m vs €106m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EMM (7)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
VV (3)
€0m
Sparta Rotterdam's midfield is €58m less valuable than PSV Eindhoven's (€2m vs €60m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
FS (10)
€7m
WI (12)
€5m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
Sparta Rotterdam's defence is €102m less valuable than PSV Eindhoven's (€12m vs €115m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Groningen
Heracles
Twente
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Willem II
Waalwijk
Emmen
VVV Venlo