Spartak Trnava host Dukla Banská Bystrica in the Slovakia: Super Liga. The home side comes into this match off the back of a win, having beaten Komárno 2-1. Meanwhile, Dukla Banská Bystrica has struggled recently, suffering three consecutive defeats, including a 0-2 loss to Dunajská Streda.
The model favours a home win, with a probability of 59%. The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with an average of 2.4 goals expected. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 14.6%.
Spartak Trnava has been strong at home, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding just 0.2 goals per match against similar-strength opponents. Dukla Banská Bystrica, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, scoring 1.75 goals and conceding 0.83 goals per match against similar-strength opponents.
The model's selection is the Under 3.5, with a probability of 78.8% and a notable edge of 11%. The other selection, Over 21.5 fouls, has a probability of 82.6%. This match is expected to be a closely contested affair, with the home side's win percentage at 59%, draw percentage at 26%, and away win percentage at 15%.
Spartak Trnava's 2-game winning run continued with a convincing 3-0 victory over Dukla Banská Bystrica, as the home team extended their dominance. The model's prediction of a home win proved correct, with a pre-match probability of 53%. The model's selection of a home win was also spot on, while the selections of Over 1.5 goals and Under 3.5 goals both landed, with probabilities of 74.2% and 73.9% respectively. The most likely score had been a 1-1 draw, but the actual result was a 3-0 thrashing of the visitors, who were on a 4-game losing streak.
Spartak Trnava| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.47 | 1.33 | 1.64 | 0.93 | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.60 | 2.00 | 0.33 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (19) | 1.74 | 1.37 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.55 | 1.64 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 1.33 | 0.67 | 2.00 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-0pp vs league) | |||||
Dukla Banská Bystrica| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.93 | 0.97 | 2.14 | 1.14 | 1.75 | 0.81 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (28) | 2.07 | 0.82 | 2.31 | 0.92 | 1.87 | 0.73 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+10pp vs league) | |||||
| Dukla Banská Bystrica goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11% | 13% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 10% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Spartak Trnava
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Spartak Trnava| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.0 | 9.0 | 8.9 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 28.5 | 29.8 | 27.3 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 8.5 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 24.5 | 24.0 | 25.0 |
| vs Similar (37) | 9.2 | 9.7 | 8.8 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 28.6 | 30.3 | 26.9 |
| vs Weaker (8) | 8.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 30.2 | 30.0 | 30.5 |
| % over line | 42% | 33% | 50% | 32% | 22% | 41% | 92% | 100% | 83% |
| % under line | 58% | 67% | 50% | 68% | 78% | 59% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
Dukla Banská Bystrica| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 11.4 | 10.2 | 12.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 26.1 | 26.5 | 25.8 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 31.0 | - |
| vs Similar (47) | 12.0 | 11.7 | 12.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 25.6 | 25.0 | 25.8 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 60% | 50% | 67% | 14% | 12% | 16% | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| % under line | 40% | 50% | 33% | 86% | 88% | 84% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
Spartak Trnava| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.63 | 0.79 | 0.50 | 0.62 | 0.75 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.63 | 0.79 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.64 | 0.91 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 1.33 | 0.33 | 2.00 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+26pp vs league) | |||||
Dukla Banská Bystrica| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 0.40 | 0.86 | 0.57 | 0.69 | 0.25 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (28) | 0.82 | 0.29 | 0.92 | 0.38 | 0.73 | 0.20 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+40pp vs league) | |||||
Spartak Trnava| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 0.70 | 0.86 | 0.43 | 0.69 | 0.94 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.40 | 1.60 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (19) | 1.11 | 0.58 | 1.38 | 0.38 | 0.91 | 0.73 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
Dukla Banská Bystrica| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.17 | 0.57 | 1.29 | 0.57 | 1.06 | 0.56 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (28) | 1.25 | 0.54 | 1.38 | 0.54 | 1.13 | 0.53 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+26pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 92.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 85.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 2.5 cards | 82.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 74.2% | 1.19 | 1.25 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.20 | -3.8% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 73.9% | 1.44 | 1.48 | 1.47 | 1.45 | 1.45 | 1.44 | +9.6% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 73.7% | 1.41 | 1.44 | 1.40 | 1.38 | - | - | +8.1% | - |
| Over 23.5 fouls | 73.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/25 | A | 1-4 | |
| 22/09/24 | H | 1-0 | |
| 24/02/24 | H | 2-0 | |
| 08/10/23 | A | 1-2 | |
| 06/05/23 | H | 0-1 | |
| 08/04/23 | A | 2-0 | |
| 08/10/22 | A | 0-2 | |
| 24/07/22 | H | 1-2 |
Spartak Trnava| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 25/07/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 16/05/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 22/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 05/04/26 | H | 4-1 |
Dukla Banská Bystrica| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 26/07/26 | H | 0-4 | |
| 15/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 08/05/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 17/04/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 03/04/26 | H | 4-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 17 | 2 | +15 | 3.8 | 100% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 15 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 3.4 | 0.4 | - |
| 2 | Spartak Trnava | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 3.0 | 100% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 3 | Žilina | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 4.5 | 83% | 83% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 12 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2.5 | 2.0 | - |
| 4 | Slovan Bratislava | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 15 | 3 | +12 | 3.6 | 100% | 100% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 3.0 | 0.6 | - |
| 5 | Podbrezová | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 3.7 | 100% | 83% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | - |
| 6 | Zemplín Michalovce | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.0 | 83% | 17% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 7 | Skalica | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 4.0 | 100% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 2.5 | - |
| 8 | FK Košice | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 5.4 | 100% | 100% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2.8 | 2.6 | - |
| 9 | AS Trencin | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3.6 | 100% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1.4 | 2.2 | - |
| 10 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3.5 | 83% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.5 | - |
| 11 | Komárno | 6 | 3 | 0% | 0.5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 2.8 | 100% | 67% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 12 | Ružomberok | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 3.2 | 83% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | 2.5 | - |