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Spartans vs Arbroath Result & Analysis

Date: 11/07/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-2
Spartans
Spartans
Vs
18%
26%
57%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spartans win✗ Miss
17.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arbroath win✓ Hit
56.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D11D30W12L20W11D22D02L11DH·FOR17/03A·FOR21/03H·EAS28/03A·EDI04/04H·STR11/04A·ANN18/04H·ELG25/04A·STI02/05A·CLY05/05H·CLY09/05← League OneLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.101.210.791.751.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)2.171.171.000.673.331.67
vs Weaker (24)1.331.081.270.821.381.31
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L24L01L01L21W21W00D00D01L00DA·MOR28/03H·ST 04/04A·AYR11/04A·AYR11/04H·RAI18/04H·RAI18/04H·PAR25/04A·DUN01/05A·DUN05/05H·DUN08/05← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.001.290.931.061.06
vs Stronger (9)1.221.441.501.751.001.20
vs Similar (21)1.140.811.200.601.091.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.8%
Under 1.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.7%
Under 2.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.9%
Under 3.5
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.3%
No
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-2 ✓
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
Spartans goals ↓
Arbroath goals →
01234
08.4%12%11%6.4%2.8%
15.3%12%9.7%5.6%2.5%
22.8%4.9%4.3%2.5%1.1%
30.8%1.4%1.2%0.7%0.3%
40.2%0.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartans goals (down), columns = Arbroath goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
ST Johnstone
2.60
Partick
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Rangers
2.33
ST Mirren
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Motherwell
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Celtic
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Inverness CT
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Stranraer
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Annan Athletic
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Elgin
0.00
Spartans is 0.50 points better than Arbroath in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
Ross County
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.33
Inverness CT
2.25
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Partick
2.17
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Morton
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Aberdeen
1.50
Arbroath
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Cove Rangers
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Annan Athletic
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Elgin
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Brechin
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Spartans is 0.50 goals worse than Arbroath in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
ST Johnstone
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Celtic
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Spartans
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Stirling
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
Spartans is 0.25 goals worse than Arbroath in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SpartansSpartans

For 6.6 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

16093438367115646257437412711131610812711A·STIH·ELGA·ANNH·STRA·EDIH·EASA·FORH·FORH·CLYA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

8011232114224111244122535442383A·STIH·ELGA·ANNH·STRA·EDIH·EASA·FORH·FORH·CLYA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.2 · Total 21.2

⚠️ Fouls

33071219141113613104159101010141389519332419142420242114A·STIH·ELGA·ANNH·STRA·EDIH·EASA·FORH·FORH·CLYA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArbroathArbroath

For 4.8 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

1206664237824294212661010696H·DUNA·DUNH·RAIA·AYRH·QUEH·AYRA·QUEA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

704332322322135275554452H·DUNA·DUNH·RAIA·AYRH·QUEH·AYRA·QUEA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.0

⚠️ Fouls

29012111111111016131288139159152322212920212424H·DUNA·DUNH·RAIA·AYRH·QUEH·AYRA·QUEA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SpartansSpartans

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.28.89.53.33.43.220.021.418.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (15)7.47.57.32.92.03.423.126.520.8
vs Weaker (35)9.79.110.43.53.83.118.920.117.6
% over line45%40%50%50%52%48%35%50%20%
% under line55%60%50%50%48%52%65%50%80%
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.48.38.41.11.11.123.522.324.6
vs Stronger (16)7.76.78.51.71.61.823.921.325.8
vs Similar (34)9.210.08.30.80.90.723.223.323.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line38%33%43%18%22%15%69%50%86%
% under line62%67%57%82%78%85%31%50%14%
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.9
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Dundee
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Inverness CT
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Kilmarnock
24.7
Falkirk
24.5
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
ST Johnstone
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Montrose
22.3
Dundee
22.2
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Inverness CT
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Ross County
21.5
Dunfermline
21.3
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.5%
Under 9.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.5%
Under 3.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
71.8%
Under 21.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Spartans or Draw✗ Miss
43.2%
Avg Implied -
18%
26%
57%
covers Spartans + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartans or Arbroath✓ Hit
74.3%
Avg Implied -
18%
26%
57%
covers Spartans + Arbroath
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Arbroath✓ Hit
82.5%
Avg Implied -
18%
26%
57%
covers Draw + Arbroath
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Spartans over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
58.4%
Under
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.9%
Under
78.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.9%
Under
94.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.6%
Under
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
52.1%
Under
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.5%
Under
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.0%
Under
90.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Spartans, so a minus line means Spartans give that many goals of a start and Arbroath receive them. At -1, Spartans must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Spartans win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Spartans)Actual: Arbroath
Spartans -2
1.5%
Draw -2
4.5%
Arbroath +2
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Spartans)Actual: Arbroath
Spartans -1
6.0%
Draw -1
11.5%
Arbroath +1
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Spartans)Actual: Draw
Spartans +1
43.2%
Draw +1
24.1%
Arbroath -1
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Spartans)Actual: Spartans
Spartans +2
67.3%
Draw +2
17.9%
Arbroath -2
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SpartansSpartans

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W11D00D00D11D10W00D00D01L10WH·FOR17/03A·FOR21/03H·EAS28/03A·EDI04/04H·STR11/04A·ANN18/04H·ELG25/04A·STI02/05A·CLY05/05H·CLY09/05← League OneLeague Cup →
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.500.360.690.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.670.500.000.001.331.00
vs Weaker (24)0.580.500.640.450.540.54
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D00D00D10W10W00D00D01L00DA·MOR28/03H·ST 04/04A·AYR11/04A·AYR11/04H·RAI18/04H·RAI18/04H·PAR25/04A·DUN01/05A·DUN05/05H·DUN08/05← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.370.430.140.620.56
vs Stronger (9)0.440.330.500.250.400.40
vs Similar (21)0.570.380.400.100.730.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SpartansSpartans

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D11D30W01L10W11D22D01L01LH·FOR17/03A·FOR21/03H·EAS28/03A·EDI04/04H·STR11/04A·ANN18/04H·ELG25/04A·STI02/05A·CLY05/05H·CLY09/05← League OneLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.600.710.431.060.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.500.671.000.672.000.67
vs Weaker (24)0.750.580.640.360.850.77
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L01L01L11D11D00D00D00D00DA·MOR28/03H·ST 04/04A·AYR11/04A·AYR11/04H·RAI18/04H·RAI18/04H·PAR25/04A·DUN01/05A·DUN05/05H·DUN08/05← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.860.790.440.50
vs Stronger (9)0.781.111.001.500.600.80
vs Similar (21)0.570.430.800.500.360.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals98.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.594.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals94.1%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap94.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals90.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.587.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls84.2%--------
Away over 0.5 goals82.6%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away82.5%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap82.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals78.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.6%--------
Under 11.5 corners77.0%--------
Under 5.5 cards77.0%--------
Over 1.574.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals74.5%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away74.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls71.8%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SPA wins
0
Draws
0
ARB wins

Head-to-head

Spartans vs Arbroath · H/A from SPA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26HSPA Vs Clyde1-1
05/05/26AClyde Vs SPA2-0
02/05/26AStirling Vs SPA2-2
25/04/26HSPA Vs Elgin1-1
18/04/26AAnnan Athletic Vs SPA0-2
11/04/26HSPA Vs Stranraer1-2
04/04/26AEdinburgh City Vs SPA0-3
28/03/26HSPA Vs East Kilbride1-1
21/03/26AForfar Vs SPA1-1
17/03/26HSPA Vs Forfar1-0

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/26HARB Vs Dunfermline0-0
05/05/26ADunfermline Vs ARB1-0
01/05/26ADunfermline Vs ARB0-0
25/04/26HARB Vs Partick0-0
18/04/26HARB Vs Raith Rovers2-1
18/04/26HARB Vs Raith Rvs2-1
11/04/26AAyr Utd Vs ARB1-0
11/04/26AAyr Vs ARB1-0
04/04/26HARB Vs ST Johnstone2-4
28/03/26AMorton Vs ARB2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Spartans
Spartans
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLD1.68
HomeWDLDD1.92
AwayDWWDL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%56%40%
AVG goals2.642.203.08
Over 1.5 %82%72%92%
Over 2.5 %52%40%64%
Over 3.5 %24%16%32%
Scored1.521.361.68
Conceded1.120.841.40
BTTS56%48%64%
Clean Sheet30%44%16%
Corners9.158.809.50
Cards4.154.254.05
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLD1.48
HomeLWWDD1.87
AwayLLLDL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%48%30%
AVG goals2.362.432.30
Over 1.5 %66%65%67%
Over 2.5 %46%43%48%
Over 3.5 %22%26%19%
Scored1.241.481.04
Conceded1.120.961.26
BTTS52%57%48%
Clean Sheet28%39%19%
Corners8.388.338.43
Cards4.234.334.14

🏆 17. League Table

Spartans plays in Scotland - League Two
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ElginElgin511
60%
2.2
175+12
4.4
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.41.0
-
2ClydeClyde510
60%
2.0
116+5
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3ForfarForfar58
40%
1.6
65+1
2.2
80%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City58
40%
1.6
78-1
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
5StranraerStranraer57
40%
1.4
66+0
2.4
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
6SpartansSpartans56
20%
1.2
1211+1
4.6
80%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.42.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic56
40%
1.2
67-1
2.6
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
8Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts56
40%
1.2
710-3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.42.0
-
9StirlingStirling54
20%
0.8
612-6
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
10DumbartonDumbarton53
20%
0.6
210-8
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.0
-
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
Arbroath plays in Scotland - Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir410
75%
2.5
82+6
2.5
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.5
-
2PartickPartick48
50%
2.0
41+3
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.2
-
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers47
50%
1.8
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.20.8
-
4ArbroathArbroath47
50%
1.8
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
-
5LivingstonLivingston46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.00.8
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
7DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
23-1
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2020.50.8
-
8Inverness CTInverness CT43
0%
0.8
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.0
-
9MortonMorton41
0%
0.2
26-4
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.5
-
10QueenQueen's Park41
0%
0.2
16-5
1.8
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.21.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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