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Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose Result & Analysis

Date: 01/03/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
Spartans
Spartans
Vs
53%
27%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Spartans win✓ Hit
52.7%
Avg Implied 45.1% · @ 2.03
Edge
+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.20
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose win✗ Miss
20.0%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.47
Edge
-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L10W22D10W02L31W01L05L20W11DA·EAS21/12H·EDI28/12A·BON21/01H·PET25/01A·STR01/02A·STI04/02H·EAS08/02A·EDI15/02A·CLY22/02H·FOR25/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.371.130.871.131.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.851.460.710.711.002.33
vs Weaker (17)1.351.291.501.001.221.56
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L02L22D03L31W21W03L34L11D02LA·PET21/12A·EDI04/01H·SPA21/01A·STI25/01H·STR28/01H·CLY01/02A·ELG04/02H·PET08/02A·EAS15/02H·FOR22/02
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.601.671.071.072.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.081.921.331.500.862.29
vs Weaker (17)1.591.351.890.781.252.00
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.8%
@ 1.86-4.3%
Under 2.5
54.2%
@ 1.87+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.7%
No
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
Spartans goals ↓
Bonnyrigg Rose goals →
01234
09.3%6.2%3.3%1.0%0.2%
112%13%5.3%1.6%0.4%
210%9.5%4.3%1.3%0.3%
35.6%5.1%2.3%0.7%0.2%
42.3%2.0%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartans goals (down), columns = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
1.83
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.56
Elgin
1.53
Spartans
1.44
Stirling
1.33
Clyde
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Stranraer
1.11
Forfar
1.00
Spartans is 0.28 points better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.17).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.50
Peterhead
1.44
Stirling
1.39
Clyde
1.36
Spartans
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.11
Stranraer
0.94
Forfar
0.81
Spartans is 0.22 goals better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.11).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
East Fife
1.03
Peterhead
1.11
Elgin
1.14
Stranraer
1.17
Forfar
1.17
Spartans
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.31
Clyde
1.50
Stirling
1.58
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.72
Spartans is 0.42 goals better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.72).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

SpartansSpartans

For 3.8 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

11065542745517282661561061110810875H·FORA·CLYA·EDIH·EASA·STIA·STRH·PETA·BONH·EDIA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8035241523143134418662354381H·FORA·CLYA·EDIH·EASA·STIA·STRH·PETA·BONH·EDIA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 10.1 · Total 21.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

28012131213111512535791491016208882525261781623262816H·FORA·CLYA·EDIH·EASA·STIA·STRH·PETA·BONH·EDIA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 3.5 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

120356625632422210625417812796412898H·FORA·EASH·PETA·ELGH·CLYH·STRA·STIH·SPAA·EDIA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

603331114241123331256426536335H·FORA·EASH·PETA·ELGH·CLYH·STRA·STIH·SPAA·EDIA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 25.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

310121515111318111015151813159161010916627263121303124261922H·FORA·EASH·PETA·ELGH·CLYH·STRA·STIH·SPAA·EDIA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SpartansSpartans

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.98.43.23.33.021.923.120.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)8.69.97.22.53.21.923.223.822.6
vs Weaker (26)9.510.09.23.83.54.020.822.319.8
% over line49%55%43%42%46%38%51%60%43%
% under line51%45%57%58%54%62%49%40%57%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.410.04.54.24.824.326.322.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (23)9.39.29.54.34.34.426.629.223.7
vs Weaker (27)10.09.510.44.64.15.122.323.521.2
% over line46%48%44%64%64%64%66%76%56%
% under line54%52%56%36%36%36%34%24%44%
This opponent (Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.7
Forfar
9.6
East Fife
9.5
Clyde
9.4
Stranraer
9.4
Edinburgh City
9.3
Elgin
8.9
Spartans
8.9
Peterhead
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.2
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.5
Edinburgh City
4.4
Forfar
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Stirling
4.0
Stranraer
3.9
Clyde
3.9
East Fife
3.9
Spartans
3.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
25.0
Forfar
24.8
Elgin
24.8
Bonnyrigg Rose
24.3
Edinburgh City
23.3
East Fife
22.6
Spartans
22.3
Clyde
22.0
Stirling
21.2
Stranraer
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.9%
Under 9.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.6%
Under 3.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.0%
Under 21.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SpartansSpartans

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D11D00D01L20W00D02L10W01LA·EAS21/12H·EDI28/12A·BON21/01H·PET25/01A·STR01/02A·STI04/02H·EAS08/02A·EDI15/02A·CLY22/02H·FOR25/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.600.270.400.530.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.230.540.140.140.331.00
vs Weaker (17)0.530.650.380.620.670.67
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L11D03L20W20W01L23L10W01LA·PET21/12A·EDI04/01H·SPA21/01A·STI25/01H·STR28/01H·CLY01/02A·ELG04/02H·PET08/02A·EAS15/02H·FOR22/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.730.400.530.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.690.620.830.670.570.57
vs Weaker (17)0.590.710.670.220.501.25
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SpartansSpartans

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L10W11D10W01L11D01L03L10W10WA·EAS21/12H·EDI28/12A·BON21/01H·PET25/01A·STR01/02A·STI04/02H·EAS08/02A·EDI15/02A·CLY22/02H·FOR25/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.770.870.470.601.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.920.570.570.671.33
vs Weaker (17)0.820.651.120.380.560.89
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L11D00D11D01L02L11D01L01LA·PET21/12A·EDI04/01H·SPA21/01A·STI25/01H·STR28/01H·CLY01/02A·ELG04/02H·PET08/02A·EAS15/02H·FOR22/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.930.930.670.531.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.381.310.500.830.291.71
vs Weaker (17)1.000.651.220.560.750.75
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards86.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls78.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners75.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards71.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
3
SPA wins
3
Draws
0
BR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose · H/A from SPA
DateH/AGameScore
21/01/25ABonnyrigg Rose Vs SPA2-2
10/08/24HSPA Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-0
20/04/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs SPA0-1
05/03/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs SPA2-2
24/02/24HSPA Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-1
30/09/23HSPA Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-2

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/02/25HSPA Vs Forfar1-1
22/02/25AClyde Vs SPA0-2
15/02/25AEdinburgh City Vs SPA5-0
08/02/25HSPA Vs East Fife0-1
04/02/25AStirling Vs SPA1-3
01/02/25AStranraer Vs SPA2-0
25/01/25HSPA Vs Peterhead1-0
21/01/25ABonnyrigg Rose Vs SPA2-2
28/12/24HSPA Vs Edinburgh City1-0
21/12/24AEast Fife Vs SPA5-1

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/25HBR Vs Forfar0-2
15/02/25AEast Fife Vs BR1-1
08/02/25HBR Vs Peterhead3-4
04/02/25AElgin Vs BR3-0
01/02/25HBR Vs Clyde2-1
28/01/25HBR Vs Stranraer3-1
25/01/25AStirling Vs BR3-0
21/01/25HBR Vs Spartans2-2
04/01/25AEdinburgh City Vs BR2-0
21/12/24APeterhead Vs BR2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Spartans
Spartans
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD1.42
HomeWWWLD1.46
AwayDLWLW1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%35%
AVG goals2.542.422.65
Over 1.5 %66%58%73%
Over 2.5 %50%46%54%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored1.221.121.31
Conceded1.321.291.35
BTTS44%46%42%
Clean Sheet38%42%35%
Corners9.149.958.43
Cards3.704.003.43
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.12
HomeDWWLL1.48
AwayLLLLD0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%40%16%
AVG goals2.722.682.76
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %48%44%52%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.241.520.96
Conceded1.481.161.80
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners9.689.3610.00
Cards4.484.204.76

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3666
53%
1.8
5240+12
2.6
61%
44%
33%
8.5
36%
5.3
86%
25.0
75%
0
0001.41.1
-
2East FifeEast Fife3665
56%
1.8
6537+28
2.8
72%
47%
28%
9.7
56%
4.2
67%
23.6
58%
0
0001.81.0
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3656
47%
1.6
5447+7
2.8
75%
47%
28%
9.2
42%
4.8
81%
24.4
72%
0
0001.51.3
-
4ElginElgin3655
44%
1.5
4841+7
2.5
72%
39%
19%
9.4
53%
4.8
75%
23.4
61%
0
0001.31.1
-
5SpartansSpartans3652
42%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.8
39%
4.2
67%
22.0
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StirlingStirling3648
39%
1.3
5057-7
3.0
86%
61%
33%
10.1
64%
4.2
61%
21.5
47%
0
0001.41.6
-
7ClydeClyde3643
31%
1.2
4954-5
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.6
50%
4.6
64%
22.8
58%
0
0001.41.5
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
33%
1.2
4062-22
2.8
86%
50%
28%
9.0
39%
4.9
78%
24.4
69%
0
0001.11.7
-
9StranraerStranraer3640
31%
1.1
3442-8
2.1
67%
42%
11%
9.1
42%
4.2
56%
20.6
33%
0
0000.91.2
-
10ForfarForfar3636
22%
1.0
2942-13
2.0
61%
33%
11%
9.3
36%
4.9
78%
24.7
78%
0
0000.81.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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