Spartans are tipped to win, with a 46% chance of a home victory, 26% for a draw and 28% for a Clyde win. The match is expected to produce 2.9 goals, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 24% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.4% chance of that exact result. Spartans, playing at home against a weaker side, average 1.17 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. Clyde, on the road against a stronger opponent, average 0.85 scored and 1.77 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 85.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 81.1%, Under 25.5 fouls at 80.4%, Over 1.5 at 79.8%, Under 4.5 cards at 71.8% and Under 10.5 corners at 71.6%. The final result was a 1-1 draw.
Results analysis
The surprise came early as the pre-match favourite Spartans failed to deliver, ending the game in a 1-1 draw. The model had tipped a home win with a 46% probability, but that call was wrong. The match saw all of the model’s other selections hit: Under 5.5 cards (85.2%), Under 11.5 corners (81.1%), Under 25.5 fouls (80.4%), Over 1.5 goals (79.8%), Under 4.5 cards (71.8%) and Under 10.5 corners (71.6%). Spartans, who had been coming off a draw in their last five matches, could not break Clyde’s defensive solidity, while Clyde, also fresh from a draw, held the Spartans to a single goal. The result matched the model’s prediction of a 1-1 scoreline, but the expected 2.9 total goals proved too optimistic.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Spartans win✗ Miss
46.1%
Avg Implied 60.4% · @ 1.51
Edge
-14.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.4%
Avg Implied 22.4% · @ 4.07
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Clyde win✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 17.2% · @ 5.30
Edge
+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Spartans
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.72
1.17
1.40
1.10
2.12
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.86
1.00
1.75
1.75
2.00
0.00
vs Weaker (11)
1.64
1.27
1.17
0.67
2.20
2.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.90
1.07
1.93
1.00
1.87
vs Stronger (26)
0.96
1.77
1.08
1.77
0.85
1.77
vs Similar (4)
1.50
2.75
1.00
3.00
2.00
2.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.7%
@ 1.65-0.7%
Under 2.5
44.3%
@ 2.13+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.3%
Under 3.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.9%
No
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
Spartans goals ↓
Clyde goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
5.7%
4.2%
1.8%
0.5%
1
7.9%
12%
7.0%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.5%
9.4%
5.9%
2.4%
0.8%
3
4.2%
5.2%
3.3%
1.4%
0.4%
4
1.7%
2.2%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartans goals (down), columns = Clyde goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Spartans is 0.56 points better than Clyde in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.06).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Spartans is 0.19 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.28).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Spartans is 0.42 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Spartans
For 3.9 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Clyde
For 4.3 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 9.2 · Total 19.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartans
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (18)
9.1
8.7
9.6
3.4
2.9
4.1
20.4
19.4
21.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
7.3
7.2
7.3
3.9
3.2
4.7
22.9
21.8
24.3
vs Weaker (11)
10.3
9.7
11.0
3.2
2.7
3.8
18.9
17.8
20.2
% over line
33%
30%
38%
56%
30%
88%
44%
40%
50%
% under line
67%
70%
62%
44%
70%
12%
56%
60%
50%
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.3
9.9
3.6
3.7
3.5
20.3
19.9
20.8
vs Stronger (46)
9.4
9.2
9.7
3.7
3.8
3.5
20.4
20.1
20.8
vs Similar (4)
11.2
10.5
12.0
3.5
3.5
3.5
19.2
17.5
21.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
42%
38%
50%
58%
42%
40%
42%
38%
% under line
60%
58%
62%
50%
42%
58%
60%
58%
62%
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.5
Dumbarton
10.4
Forfar
10.0
Stranraer
10.0
East Fife
9.8
Clyde
9.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.5
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Elgin
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.6
East Fife
4.4
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.4
Dumbarton
4.3
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Elgin
4.0
Clyde
3.6
Forfar
3.6
Stranraer
3.6
Spartans
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
23.6
Forfar
23.1
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.0
Elgin
22.8
East Fife
21.7
Stenhousemuir
21.2
Stranraer
21.0
Spartans
20.4
Clyde
20.3
Dumbarton
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
40.1%
Under 9.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.2%
Under 3.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
49.2%
Under 21.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Spartans
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.33
0.20
0.40
1.25
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.29
0.25
0.50
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (11)
0.73
0.36
0.17
0.33
1.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.97
0.80
1.00
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (26)
0.58
0.92
0.77
0.92
0.38
0.92
vs Similar (4)
1.00
1.25
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Spartans
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.06
0.83
1.20
0.70
0.88
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.29
0.71
1.50
1.25
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.91
1.00
0.33
0.80
1.60
Clean sheet %
39% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.93
0.27
0.93
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (26)
0.38
0.85
0.31
0.85
0.46
0.85
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.50
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →