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Spartans vs Clyde Result & Analysis

Date: 14/12/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 3-2
Spartans
Spartans
Vs
43%
27%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Spartans are favoured to win, with a 43% chance of triumph, a 27% chance of a draw and a 30% chance of Clyde taking the victory. The model expects 2.8 goals on average, but the most likely total is two goals, a 25% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.8% chance. Spartans, playing at home against a weaker side, average 1.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded, while Clyde, away against a stronger opponent, average 1.93 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 80%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 77.5%, Under 5.5 cards at 77.1% and Under 11.5 corners at 75.4%. All selections are presented with their exact percentages.

Results analysis

The Spartans’ win extends their recent form, with the final score 3-2 confirming a home victory. The model’s favourite was a home win, predicted at 43% probability, and it proved correct. The suggested selections all performed as expected: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 80%, Over 1.5 goals hit at 78.8%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 77.5%, and Under 5.5 cards hit at 77.1%. Only the Under 11.5 corners missed, coming in at 75.4%. The match’s most likely scoreline of 2-1, with a 25% chance, was eclipsed by the 3-2 result, yet the overall predictions remained largely accurate.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spartans win✓ Hit
43.2%
Avg Implied 37.9% · @ 2.42
Edge
+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.39
Edge
+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Clyde win✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied 35.0% · @ 2.62
Edge
-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L01L11D02L13L12L12L30W30W13LA·ABE21/09H·EAS28/09A·CLY05/10A·EDI12/10H·ELG19/10H·COW26/10A·PET02/11A·FOR09/11H·STI16/11H·STR10/12
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.201.071.331.271.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.271.270.861.291.621.25
vs Weaker (15)1.071.131.251.380.860.86
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D22D11D13L11D22D01L31W32WH·EDI14/09H·ELG21/09A·PET28/09H·SPA05/10A·STI19/10A·ELG26/10H·BON02/11A·EDI09/11H·EAS16/11H·PET07/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.371.201.071.801.67
vs Stronger (27)1.591.481.231.231.931.71
vs Similar (3)0.670.331.000.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.1%
@ 1.93+5.5%
Under 2.5
45.9%
@ 1.82-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.8%
Under 3.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
Spartans goals ↓
Clyde goals →
01234
07.0%6.2%4.7%2.0%0.6%
18.0%13%7.4%3.1%1.0%
27.2%9.1%5.8%2.5%0.8%
33.8%4.8%3.0%1.3%0.4%
41.5%1.9%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartans goals (down), columns = Clyde goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
1.83
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.56
Elgin
1.53
Spartans
1.44
Stirling
1.33
Clyde
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Stranraer
1.11
Forfar
1.00
Spartans is 0.25 points better than Clyde in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.50
Peterhead
1.44
Stirling
1.39
Clyde
1.36
Spartans
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.11
Stranraer
0.94
Forfar
0.81
Spartans is 0.03 goals worse than Clyde in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.36).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
East Fife
1.03
Peterhead
1.11
Elgin
1.14
Stranraer
1.17
Forfar
1.17
Spartans
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.31
Clyde
1.50
Stirling
1.58
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.72
Spartans is 0.19 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SpartansSpartans

For 5.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

170424355271028273545289671091210109717H·STRH·STIA·FORA·PETH·ELGA·EDIA·CLYH·EASA·ELGH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

6032312413233113222135425562544H·STRH·STIA·FORA·PETH·ELGA·EDIA·CLYH·EASA·ELGH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 13.6 · Total 24.7

⚠️ Fouls

380991212713191017131313618172131281518242029302624381523H·STRH·STIA·FORA·PETH·ELGA·EDIA·CLYH·EASA·ELGH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

For 4.6 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

130125642849372481348431168131069712H·PETH·EASA·EDIH·BONA·STIH·SPAA·PETH·ELGH·EDIA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

110442132563112123124383511323537H·PETH·EASA·EDIH·BONA·STIH·SPAA·PETH·ELGH·EDIA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 11.1 · Total 26.4

⚠️ Fouls

310199131016101514131018616151615159121328232629232431312425H·PETH·EASA·EDIH·BONA·STIH·SPAA·PETH·ELGH·EDIA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SpartansSpartans

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.68.93.03.03.022.623.022.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)8.39.27.32.93.42.324.424.824.0
vs Weaker (26)10.010.010.03.12.73.521.121.320.9
% over line47%48%45%42%40%44%56%62%50%
% under line53%52%55%58%60%56%44%38%50%
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.39.53.53.73.222.321.423.2
vs Stronger (42)8.98.89.03.23.82.822.822.123.4
vs Similar (8)11.811.013.04.63.66.319.918.821.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line47%48%45%46%52%40%60%57%64%
% under line53%52%55%54%48%60%40%43%36%
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.5
Edinburgh City
10.0
Forfar
9.8
Stranraer
9.7
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.5
East Fife
9.4
Spartans
9.2
Clyde
9.2
Elgin
8.8
Peterhead
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.1
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.4
Edinburgh City
4.2
Stirling
4.1
Elgin
4.1
Stranraer
3.9
East Fife
3.8
Forfar
3.8
Clyde
3.8
Spartans
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
25.0
Elgin
24.9
Forfar
24.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
24.3
East Fife
22.4
Edinburgh City
22.2
Clyde
21.8
Spartans
21.6
Stirling
21.2
Stranraer
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.5%
Under 9.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.4%
Under 3.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
65.9%
Under 21.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SpartansSpartans

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W00D11D01L11D20W00D12LA·ABE21/09H·EAS28/09A·CLY05/10A·EDI12/10H·ELG19/10H·COW26/10A·PET02/11A·FOR09/11H·STI16/11H·STR10/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.500.330.600.470.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.400.400.290.430.500.38
vs Weaker (15)0.400.600.380.750.430.43
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L01L11D10W11D00D10W21WH·EDI14/09H·ELG21/09A·PET28/09H·SPA05/10A·STI19/10A·ELG26/10H·BON02/11A·EDI09/11H·EAS16/11H·PET07/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.400.530.800.67
vs Stronger (27)0.670.670.460.620.860.71
vs Similar (3)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SpartansSpartans

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L01L02L02L11D01L10W30W01LA·ABE21/09H·EAS28/09A·CLY05/10A·EDI12/10H·ELG19/10H·COW26/10A·PET02/11A·FOR09/11H·STI16/11H·STR10/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.730.730.800.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.870.870.570.861.120.88
vs Weaker (15)0.670.530.880.620.430.43
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D21W10W02L01L11D01L21W11DH·EDI14/09H·ELG21/09A·PET28/09H·SPA05/10A·STI19/10A·ELG26/10H·BON02/11A·EDI09/11H·EAS16/11H·PET07/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.770.800.531.001.00
vs Stronger (27)0.930.810.770.621.071.00
vs Similar (3)0.670.331.000.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls80.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards77.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
SPA wins
4
Draws
0
CLY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Spartans vs Clyde · H/A from SPA
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/24AClyde Vs SPA1-1
23/03/24AClyde Vs SPA0-0
27/01/24HSPA Vs Clyde1-1
04/11/23AClyde Vs SPA1-2
05/08/23HSPA Vs Clyde1-1

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/24HSPA Vs Stranraer1-3
16/11/24HSPA Vs Stirling3-0
09/11/24AForfar Vs SPA0-3
02/11/24APeterhead Vs SPA2-1
26/10/24HSPA Vs Cowdenbeath1-2
19/10/24HSPA Vs Elgin1-3
12/10/24AEdinburgh City Vs SPA2-0
05/10/24AClyde Vs SPA1-1
28/09/24HSPA Vs East Fife0-1
21/09/24AAberdeen Vs SPA4-0

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/12/24HCLY Vs Peterhead3-2
16/11/24HCLY Vs East Fife3-1
09/11/24AEdinburgh City Vs CLY1-0
02/11/24HCLY Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-2
26/10/24AElgin Vs CLY1-1
19/10/24AStirling Vs CLY3-1
05/10/24HCLY Vs Spartans1-1
28/09/24APeterhead Vs CLY2-2
21/09/24HCLY Vs Elgin0-0
14/09/24HCLY Vs Edinburgh City1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Spartans
Spartans
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.52
HomeLLLWL1.40
AwayLDLLW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%40%44%
AVG goals2.582.522.64
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.381.201.56
Conceded1.201.321.08
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet42%44%40%
Corners9.269.628.91
Cards3.493.623.36
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWW1.16
HomeDDDWW1.40
AwayLDLDL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%36%20%
AVG goals3.022.643.40
Over 1.5 %82%76%88%
Over 2.5 %58%52%64%
Over 3.5 %38%36%40%
Scored1.401.201.60
Conceded1.621.441.80
BTTS64%56%72%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners9.429.309.55
Cards3.844.043.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3666
53%
1.8
5240+12
2.6
61%
44%
33%
8.5
36%
5.3
86%
25.0
75%
0
0001.41.1
-
2East FifeEast Fife3665
56%
1.8
6537+28
2.8
72%
47%
28%
9.7
56%
4.2
67%
23.6
58%
0
0001.81.0
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3656
47%
1.6
5447+7
2.8
75%
47%
28%
9.2
42%
4.8
81%
24.4
72%
0
0001.51.3
-
4ElginElgin3655
44%
1.5
4841+7
2.5
72%
39%
19%
9.4
53%
4.8
75%
23.4
61%
0
0001.31.1
-
5SpartansSpartans3652
42%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.8
39%
4.2
67%
22.0
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StirlingStirling3648
39%
1.3
5057-7
3.0
86%
61%
33%
10.1
64%
4.2
61%
21.5
47%
0
0001.41.6
-
7ClydeClyde3643
31%
1.2
4954-5
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.6
50%
4.6
64%
22.8
58%
0
0001.41.5
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
33%
1.2
4062-22
2.8
86%
50%
28%
9.0
39%
4.9
78%
24.4
69%
0
0001.11.7
-
9StranraerStranraer3640
31%
1.1
3442-8
2.1
67%
42%
11%
9.1
42%
4.2
56%
20.6
33%
0
0000.91.2
-
10ForfarForfar3636
22%
1.0
2942-13
2.0
61%
33%
11%
9.3
36%
4.9
78%
24.7
78%
0
0000.81.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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