Spartans are favoured to win, with a 43% chance of triumph, a 27% chance of a draw and a 30% chance of Clyde taking the victory. The model expects 2.8 goals on average, but the most likely total is two goals, a 25% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.8% chance. Spartans, playing at home against a weaker side, average 1.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded, while Clyde, away against a stronger opponent, average 1.93 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 80%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 77.5%, Under 5.5 cards at 77.1% and Under 11.5 corners at 75.4%. All selections are presented with their exact percentages.
Results analysis
The Spartans’ win extends their recent form, with the final score 3-2 confirming a home victory. The model’s favourite was a home win, predicted at 43% probability, and it proved correct. The suggested selections all performed as expected: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 80%, Over 1.5 goals hit at 78.8%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 77.5%, and Under 5.5 cards hit at 77.1%. Only the Under 11.5 corners missed, coming in at 75.4%. The match’s most likely scoreline of 2-1, with a 25% chance, was eclipsed by the 3-2 result, yet the overall predictions remained largely accurate.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Spartans win✓ Hit
43.2%
Avg Implied 37.9% · @ 2.42
Edge
+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.39
Edge
+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Clyde win✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied 35.0% · @ 2.62
Edge
-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Spartans
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.20
1.07
1.33
1.27
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.27
1.27
0.86
1.29
1.62
1.25
vs Weaker (15)
1.07
1.13
1.25
1.38
0.86
0.86
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.37
1.20
1.07
1.80
1.67
vs Stronger (27)
1.59
1.48
1.23
1.23
1.93
1.71
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.1%
@ 1.93+5.5%
Under 2.5
45.9%
@ 1.82-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.8%
Under 3.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
Spartans goals ↓
Clyde goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
6.2%
4.7%
2.0%
0.6%
1
8.0%
13%
7.4%
3.1%
1.0%
2
7.2%
9.1%
5.8%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.8%
4.8%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.5%
1.9%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartans goals (down), columns = Clyde goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Peterhead
1.83
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.56
Elgin
1.53
Spartans
1.44
Stirling
1.33
Clyde
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Stranraer
1.11
Forfar
1.00
Spartans is 0.25 points better than Clyde in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.19).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.50
Peterhead
1.44
Stirling
1.39
Clyde
1.36
Spartans
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.11
Stranraer
0.94
Forfar
0.81
Spartans is 0.03 goals worse than Clyde in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
East Fife
1.03
Peterhead
1.11
Elgin
1.14
Stranraer
1.17
Forfar
1.17
Spartans
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.31
Clyde
1.50
Stirling
1.58
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.72
Spartans is 0.19 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Spartans
For 5.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 13.6 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Clyde
For 4.6 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 11.1 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartans
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.6
8.9
3.0
3.0
3.0
22.6
23.0
22.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
8.3
9.2
7.3
2.9
3.4
2.3
24.4
24.8
24.0
vs Weaker (26)
10.0
10.0
10.0
3.1
2.7
3.5
21.1
21.3
20.9
% over line
47%
48%
45%
42%
40%
44%
56%
62%
50%
% under line
53%
52%
55%
58%
60%
56%
44%
38%
50%
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.3
9.5
3.5
3.7
3.2
22.3
21.4
23.2
vs Stronger (42)
8.9
8.8
9.0
3.2
3.8
2.8
22.8
22.1
23.4
vs Similar (8)
11.8
11.0
13.0
4.6
3.6
6.3
19.9
18.8
21.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
48%
45%
46%
52%
40%
60%
57%
64%
% under line
53%
52%
55%
54%
48%
60%
40%
43%
36%
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.5
Edinburgh City
10.0
Forfar
9.8
Stranraer
9.7
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.5
East Fife
9.4
Spartans
9.2
Clyde
9.2
Elgin
8.8
Peterhead
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.1
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.4
Edinburgh City
4.2
Stirling
4.1
Elgin
4.1
Stranraer
3.9
East Fife
3.8
Forfar
3.8
Clyde
3.8
Spartans
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
25.0
Elgin
24.9
Forfar
24.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
24.3
East Fife
22.4
Edinburgh City
22.2
Clyde
21.8
Spartans
21.6
Stirling
21.2
Stranraer
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.5%
Under 9.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.4%
Under 3.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
65.9%
Under 21.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Spartans
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.50
0.33
0.60
0.47
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.40
0.29
0.43
0.50
0.38
vs Weaker (15)
0.40
0.60
0.38
0.75
0.43
0.43
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.40
0.53
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (27)
0.67
0.67
0.46
0.62
0.86
0.71
vs Similar (3)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Spartans
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.73
0.73
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.87
0.57
0.86
1.12
0.88
vs Weaker (15)
0.67
0.53
0.88
0.62
0.43
0.43
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
0.80
0.53
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (27)
0.93
0.81
0.77
0.62
1.07
1.00
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →