Spartans are tipped to win in a 2-0 home victory, the model’s favourite outcome. The match is expected to see 2.7 goals on average, with a 26% chance of exactly two goals. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.9% probability. Spartans, playing at home against a weaker side, average 1.5 goals scored and 1.12 conceded, while Clyde, on the road to a stronger opponent, averages 1.08 scored and 2.31 conceded. Home win probability stands at 48%, draw 27%, and away win 25%. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 79.7%, Over 1.5 goals at 76.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 75.8%, Over 19.5 fouls at 74.6%, Under 5.5 cards at 74.4%, Under 25.5 fouls at 72.6%, and Under 3.5 goals at 70.9%. Each selection is presented with its exact probability, reflecting the expected flow of the game.
Results analysis
The Spartans’ recent form, highlighted by a draw in their last outing, set the stage for a home victory that the model predicted correctly. The final score of 2-0 matched the actual result, confirming the home win pick. The model’s favourite, Home win, carried a 48% probability and proved accurate. Every suggested selection also hit: Over 2.5 cards at 79.7%, Over 1.5 goals at 76.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 75.8%, Over 19.5 fouls at 74.6%, Under 5.5 cards at 74.4%, Under 25.5 fouls at 72.6% and Under 3.5 points at 70.9%. The match delivered on the model’s predictions across the board.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Spartans win✓ Hit
48.1%
Avg Implied 43.7% · @ 2.11
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.37
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Clyde win✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.18
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Spartans
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.57
1.29
1.21
1.25
1.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.07
1.93
1.00
1.33
1.12
2.38
vs Weaker (16)
1.44
1.25
1.50
1.12
1.38
1.38
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.57
1.40
1.00
1.13
2.13
vs Stronger (27)
1.22
1.67
1.36
1.07
1.08
2.31
vs Similar (3)
1.67
0.67
2.00
0.00
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.7%
Under 1.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.2%
@ 1.93+2.6%
Under 2.5
48.8%
@ 1.82-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.1%
Under 3.5
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.8%
No
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-0 ✓
8.6%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
Spartans goals ↓
Clyde goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
6.1%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
1
9.5%
13%
6.5%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.6%
9.5%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.6%
5.1%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.9%
2.1%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartans goals (down), columns = Clyde goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Peterhead
1.83
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.56
Elgin
1.53
Spartans
1.44
Stirling
1.33
Clyde
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Stranraer
1.11
Forfar
1.00
Spartans is 0.25 points better than Clyde in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.19).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.50
Peterhead
1.44
Stirling
1.39
Clyde
1.36
Spartans
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.11
Stranraer
0.94
Forfar
0.81
Spartans is 0.03 goals worse than Clyde in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
East Fife
1.03
Peterhead
1.11
Elgin
1.14
Stranraer
1.17
Forfar
1.17
Spartans
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.31
Clyde
1.50
Stirling
1.58
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.72
Spartans is 0.19 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Spartans
For 3.9 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.0 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Clyde
For 5.6 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.9 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartans
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.7
8.4
3.2
3.2
3.2
22.4
22.9
22.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
8.2
8.9
7.7
2.6
2.7
2.6
23.8
24.4
23.3
vs Weaker (25)
9.7
10.4
9.0
3.8
3.6
4.0
21.2
21.5
20.9
% over line
44%
50%
39%
44%
46%
42%
53%
50%
57%
% under line
56%
50%
61%
56%
54%
58%
47%
50%
43%
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.6
10.0
3.7
4.1
3.3
22.9
23.7
22.0
vs Stronger (44)
9.7
9.7
9.8
3.7
4.3
3.0
23.6
24.4
22.8
vs Similar (6)
10.0
9.0
11.0
3.7
2.3
5.0
18.0
19.0
17.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
51%
52%
50%
48%
56%
40%
58%
65%
50%
% under line
49%
48%
50%
52%
44%
60%
42%
35%
50%
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.2
Clyde
9.8
Forfar
9.7
East Fife
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.4
Stranraer
9.4
Elgin
9.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.3
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.2
Forfar
4.6
Elgin
4.5
Edinburgh City
4.5
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.5
Clyde
4.2
Stirling
4.1
Stranraer
4.0
East Fife
3.9
Spartans
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.6
Forfar
24.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
24.4
Elgin
24.0
Edinburgh City
24.0
East Fife
23.0
Clyde
22.9
Spartans
22.0
Stirling
21.2
Stranraer
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.0%
Under 9.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.5%
Under 3.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.0%
Under 21.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Spartans
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.43
0.57
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.71
0.33
0.50
0.62
0.88
vs Weaker (16)
0.62
0.50
0.50
0.62
0.75
0.38
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.77
0.53
0.47
0.40
1.07
vs Stronger (27)
0.48
0.85
0.57
0.50
0.38
1.23
vs Similar (3)
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Spartans
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.97
0.86
0.64
0.56
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.57
1.21
0.67
0.83
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (16)
0.81
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.62
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.80
0.87
0.53
0.73
1.07
vs Stronger (27)
0.74
0.81
0.79
0.57
0.69
1.08
vs Similar (3)
1.33
0.67
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Peterhead
East Fife
Edinburgh City
Elgin
Stirling
Stranraer
Forfar