The clash between Spartans and Clyde is a tight affair, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win chances sit at 36% and 37% respectively, while a draw is 28%. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a modestly high-scoring match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.2% probability. Spartans, at home against a weaker side, average 1.27 goals scored and 0.82 conceded, whereas Clyde, playing away against a stronger opponent, average 1.82 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 82.6%, Over 1.5 goals at 77.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.3%, Under 25.5 fouls at 74.5%, Over 19.5 fouls at 72.7% (miss), and Under 5.5 cards at 70.4% (miss). The recent form of both sides shows they are coming off 3-3 draws, adding to the uncertainty of the outcome.
Results analysis
The draw was a shock, as the pre-match favourite was the away side, predicted to win with a 37% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. Spartans and Clyde finished 1-1, a result that matched the model’s 28% draw probability. The match delivered on the model’s suggested picks: Over 2.5 cards hit at 82.6%, Over 1.5 hit at 77.5%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 76.3%, and Under 25.5 fouls hit at 74.5%. The other selections missed: Over 19.5 fouls at 72.7% and Under 5.5 cards at 70.4%. Both sides were coming off a 3-3 draw, keeping the tension high.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Spartans win✗ Miss
35.6%
Avg Implied 50.8% · @ 1.77
Edge
-15.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.9%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.52
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Clyde win✗ Miss
36.6%
Avg Implied 23.7% · @ 3.80
Edge
+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Spartans
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.10
1.50
0.94
1.64
1.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.62
1.62
2.00
1.20
1.38
1.88
vs Weaker (17)
1.53
0.71
1.27
0.82
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.33
1.69
1.31
1.71
1.36
vs Stronger (24)
1.75
1.46
1.69
1.54
1.82
1.36
vs Similar (6)
1.50
0.83
1.67
0.33
1.33
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.3%
@ 1.69-2.2%
Under 2.5
47.7%
@ 2.02+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.4%
No
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
Spartans goals ↓
Clyde goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
7.6%
6.1%
2.8%
1.0%
1
7.4%
13%
8.4%
3.9%
1.4%
2
5.9%
8.3%
5.8%
2.7%
0.9%
3
2.7%
3.8%
2.6%
1.2%
0.4%
4
0.9%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartans goals (down), columns = Clyde goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
East Kilbride
1.92
Spartans
1.78
Clyde
1.56
Forfar
1.39
Stranraer
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Annan Athletic
1.14
Dumbarton
1.11
Edinburgh City
1.08
Stirling
1.06
Spartans is 0.22 points better than Clyde in terms of average points per game (1.78 vs 1.56).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
East Kilbride
2.14
Spartans
1.67
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.42
Forfar
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.31
Dumbarton
1.31
Stirling
1.28
Stranraer
1.28
Edinburgh City
1.25
Spartans is 0.06 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.61).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartans
1.08
Clyde
1.14
Stranraer
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Forfar
1.31
Elgin
1.53
Annan Athletic
1.61
Dumbarton
1.69
Stirling
1.75
Edinburgh City
2.00
Spartans is 0.06 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Spartans
For 5.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.0 · Against 10.8 · Total 18.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Clyde
For 4.9 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 8.9 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartans
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.0
9.0
3.8
3.9
3.8
21.5
22.7
20.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
8.3
9.1
7.7
3.1
2.8
3.3
23.7
26.1
22.0
vs Weaker (28)
9.4
8.9
10.0
4.4
4.6
4.2
20.1
20.9
19.1
% over line
47%
43%
50%
62%
64%
60%
49%
52%
45%
% under line
53%
57%
50%
38%
36%
40%
51%
48%
55%
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.5
9.4
4.0
4.2
3.7
23.1
24.0
22.1
vs Stronger (43)
9.6
9.9
9.3
3.9
4.3
3.5
23.2
24.1
22.2
vs Similar (7)
8.6
6.7
10.0
4.4
4.0
4.8
22.4
23.3
21.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
48%
43%
56%
62%
50%
64%
70%
57%
% under line
55%
52%
57%
44%
38%
50%
36%
30%
43%
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
East Kilbride
11.1
Dumbarton
10.9
Stirling
10.5
Elgin
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Stranraer
9.7
Clyde
9.6
Forfar
9.4
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.5
Edinburgh City
5.3
Elgin
4.9
Forfar
4.9
Stirling
4.5
Clyde
4.3
Stranraer
4.3
Spartans
4.3
Dumbarton
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
27.8
Forfar
24.9
Edinburgh City
24.2
Elgin
24.0
Clyde
23.0
Stirling
22.0
Stranraer
21.7
Spartans
21.3
Annan Athletic
20.6
Dumbarton
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.5%
Under 9.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.7%
Under 3.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
56.8%
Under 21.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Spartans
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.38
0.56
0.86
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.69
0.60
0.80
0.88
0.62
vs Weaker (17)
0.47
0.47
0.27
0.45
0.83
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.56
0.81
0.79
0.64
vs Stronger (24)
0.71
0.75
0.62
0.92
0.82
0.55
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Spartans
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.53
1.12
0.38
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.85
0.92
1.40
0.40
0.50
1.25
vs Weaker (17)
1.06
0.24
1.00
0.36
1.17
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Clyde
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.60
1.12
0.50
0.93
0.71
vs Stronger (24)
1.04
0.71
1.08
0.62
1.00
0.82
vs Similar (6)
1.00
0.17
1.33
0.00
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →