Spartans vs Edinburgh City Result & Analysis

Spartans host Edinburgh City on 28 December, and the model favours an away win with a 42% probability, followed by a 31% chance of a home victory and a 27% draw. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderate-scoring encounter, yet the most likely total is 2 goals, a 25% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is a 1-1 draw, with a 13% chance. Spartans, playing at home against a weaker side, have averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded, while Edinburgh City, on the road against a stronger opponent, have averaged 1.0 scored and 2.45 conceded. The Spartans’ recent form shows a draw after a 3-3 tie with Clyde, while Edinburgh City also came from a 1-1 draw with Forfar. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 79.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.2%, Over 19.5 fouls at 76.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 75.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 72.6%, and Under 25.5 fouls at 70.9%.

The surprise came early as the pre-match favourite, the away win, failed to materialise, with the home side securing a 1-0 victory. The Spartans, who had just drawn 3-3 with Clyde, were on a shaky run, while Edinburgh City, fresh from a 1-1 draw with Forfar, had been expected to edge the game. The model’s pick of an away win, at 42% probability, was wrong. The suggested selections delivered mixed results: Under 5.5 cards (79.1%) missed, Over 1.5 (78.2%) missed, Over 19.5 fouls (76.1%) hit, Over 2.5 cards (75.6%) hit, Under 11.5 corners (72.6%) hit, and Under 25.5 fouls (70.9%) missed. The final score of 1-0 confirmed a home win.