This Scotland: League Two match between Spartans and Elgin is finely balanced, with Spartans coming off a defeat against Stranraer and Elgin having just secured a 4-1 win over Kelty Hearts. Spartans are the slight favourites to win at home, with a 40% chance of a home win, 29% chance of a draw, and 32% chance of an away win. The model's selection is a home win, which is expected to be a low-scoring affair with an average of 2.6 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 13.7% chance of occurrence. Spartans have a strong home record, scoring 1 goal on average and conceding 0.5, while Elgin's away form is less impressive, scoring 0.5 goals and conceding 1. The model suggests taking the Over 1.5 goals, with a 74.7% chance of success, and the Under 3.5 goals, with a 73.4% chance of success, which also has a 7% edge. The draw percentage is 29%, the home win percentage is 40%, and the away win percentage is 32%.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, a 40% chance of a home win, failed to materialise as the match finished 3-3, a draw that extends both sides’ recent form narratives. Spartans, coming off a draw, and Elgin, also fresh from a draw, produced a high-scoring affair that the model’s predictions largely captured. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 (99.5% hit), Under 6.5 (98.2% hit), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.0% hit), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6% hit), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.1% hit), Away under 3.5 goals (96.5% hit), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.4% hit). Only Under 5.5 (95.0%) missed. The overall outcome was a surprising draw, underscoring the unpredictability of the league.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Spartans win✗ Miss
39.7%
Avg Implied 46.1% · @ 1.97
Edge
-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Dafabet
1.99
Draw✓ Hit
28.7%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.34
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.60
Betano
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
10Bet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Elgin win✗ Miss
31.6%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.41
Edge
+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.60
10Bet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
Pinnacle
3.45
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Spartans
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.27
1.36
0.93
1.81
1.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
2.00
1.57
1.00
1.00
2.40
1.80
vs Weaker (23)
1.48
1.17
1.42
0.92
1.55
1.45
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.77
1.47
1.67
1.60
1.87
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
1.18
2.73
1.83
2.83
0.40
2.60
vs Weaker (18)
1.67
1.22
1.22
0.89
2.11
1.56
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.7%
@ 1.24+0.2%
Under 1.5
25.3%
@ 3.62-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.10
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.4%
@ 1.80-3.4%
Under 2.5
51.6%
@ 1.94+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.85
SBO
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82
Superbet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Under
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.95
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.6%
@ 2.93-4.9%
Under 3.5
73.4%
@ 1.35+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Superbet
2.85
Under
Betano
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.2%
@ 1.67-1.3%
No
45.8%
@ 2.08+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.69
Betano
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Betfair
1.67
No
Betfair
2.15
William Hil
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 6.44+6.7%
1-0
9.0%@ 7.55+3.0%
2-1
8.7%@ 8.08+3.1%
0-0
8.6%@ 10.34+4.2%
0-1
7.7%@ 10.41+3.4%
1-2
7.6%@ 11.18+3.6%
2-0
7.1%@ 9.58+2.4%
0-2
5.5%@ 17.39+2.9%
Spartans goals ↓
Elgin goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
7.7%
5.5%
2.2%
0.7%
1
9.0%
14%
7.6%
3.1%
0.9%
2
7.1%
8.7%
5.3%
2.1%
0.7%
3
3.3%
4.0%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.2%
1.4%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartans goals (down), columns = Elgin goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Elgin
2.20
Clyde
2.00
Forfar
1.60
Edinburgh City
1.60
Stranraer
1.40
Spartans
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Kelty Hearts
1.20
Stirling
0.80
Dumbarton
0.60
Spartans is 1.00 points worse than Elgin in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 2.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Elgin
3.40
Spartans
2.40
Clyde
2.20
Edinburgh City
1.40
Kelty Hearts
1.40
Forfar
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Stirling
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Dumbarton
0.40
Spartans is 1.00 goals worse than Elgin in terms of goals scored per game (2.40 vs 3.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Forfar
1.00
Elgin
1.00
Clyde
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.40
Edinburgh City
1.60
Dumbarton
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Spartans
2.20
Stirling
2.40
Spartans is 1.20 goals worse than Elgin in terms of goals conceded per game (2.20 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Spartans
For 6.5 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 10.6 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Elgin
For 3.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartans
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.8
10.1
2.9
3.2
2.7
19.9
21.7
18.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
8.3
7.5
9.0
2.5
2.4
2.5
22.9
26.5
20.0
vs Weaker (37)
9.8
9.1
10.4
3.1
3.4
2.8
19.0
20.4
17.6
% over line
49%
39%
58%
42%
46%
38%
32%
50%
16%
% under line
51%
61%
42%
58%
54%
62%
68%
50%
84%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.3
10.8
3.0
3.0
2.9
22.8
21.6
23.8
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
9.7
11.0
8.6
2.4
2.3
2.4
23.7
21.2
25.6
vs Weaker (32)
10.9
10.1
11.6
3.4
3.5
3.3
22.5
21.7
23.2
% over line
61%
59%
63%
42%
50%
33%
61%
53%
68%
% under line
39%
41%
37%
58%
50%
67%
39%
47%
32%
This opponent (Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Dumbarton
10.4
Stranraer
10.3
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.8
Kelty Hearts
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Forfar
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Spartans
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Stranraer
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Clyde
21.7
Stirling
21.1
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.8%
@ 1.80-0.7%
Under 9.5
49.2%
@ 1.91+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Under
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.6%
Under 3.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.2%
Under 21.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Spartans or Draw✓ Hit
68.4%
Avg Implied 73.4% · @ 1.25
Edge
-5.0%
40%
29%
32%
covers Spartans + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.26
Spartans or Elgin✗ Miss
71.3%
Avg Implied 73.6% · @ 1.24
Edge
-2.3%
40%
29%
32%
covers Spartans + Elgin
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Draw or Elgin✓ Hit
60.3%
Avg Implied 53.0% · @ 1.73
Edge
+7.3%
40%
29%
32%
covers Draw + Elgin
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.80
SBO
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.70
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Spartans over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.2%
@ 1.18-3.0%
Under
24.8%
@ 4.23+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
1xBet
4.30
10Bet
4.20
Betano
4.20
Spartans over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.6%
@ 1.93-7.5%
Under
59.4%
@ 1.78+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.97
BetVictor
1.95
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Under
Betano
1.83
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.77
Spartans over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
16.5%
@ 3.87-7.3%
Under
83.5%
@ 1.21+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.88
1xBet
3.88
Superbet
3.70
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Spartans over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 7.63-6.9%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.06+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.70
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Elgin over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.4%
@ 1.37+3.4%
Under
29.6%
@ 2.79-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Under
BetVictor
2.88
1xBet
2.84
Betano
2.80
Bet365
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Elgin over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
34.4%
@ 2.80+1.4%
Under
65.6%
@ 1.38-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.88
Betano
2.85
1xBet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.80
10Bet
2.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Elgin over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
12.5%
@ 6.73-1.2%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.06+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
1xBet
6.90
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
Elgin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 11.75-4.4%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
12.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Spartans, so a minus line means Spartans give that many goals of a start and Elgin receive them. At -1, Spartans must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Spartans win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Spartans)Actual: Elgin
Spartans -2
7.1%
@ 7.10-5.4%
Draw -2
12.1%
@ 5.67-3.5%
Elgin +2
80.8%
@ 1.24+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.20
Bet365
7.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.85
Bet365
5.50
Away
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Handicap -1 (Spartans)Actual: Elgin
Spartans -1
19.2%
@ 3.51-5.9%
Draw -1
20.5%
@ 3.71-3.3%
Elgin +1
60.3%
@ 1.73+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Draw
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.60
Away
10Bet
1.80
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.70
Marathonbet
1.67
Handicap +1 (Spartans)Actual: Spartans
Spartans +1
68.4%
@ 1.24-2.3%
Draw +1
17.8%
@ 5.10+0.6%
Elgin -1
13.8%
@ 7.20+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw
Marathonbet
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Away
Marathonbet
7.40
Bet365
7.00
Handicap +2 (Spartans)Actual: Spartans
Spartans +2
86.2%
@ 1.08-0.4%
Draw +2
9.3%
@ 11.00+0.8%
Elgin -2
4.5%
@ 19.00-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Spartans
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.43
0.50
0.29
0.56
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.57
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (23)
0.48
0.39
0.58
0.33
0.36
0.45
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
0.80
0.53
0.73
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.55
1.00
1.00
0.83
0.00
1.20
vs Weaker (18)
0.89
0.61
0.67
0.33
1.11
0.89
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.2%
@ 1.34+0.6%
Under 0.5
30.8%
@ 2.94-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
BetVictor
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Under
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.02
Superbet
2.85
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
32.4%
@ 2.57-3.4%
Under 1.5
67.6%
@ 1.44+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
William Hil
2.62
Betfair
2.60
Pinnacle
2.60
1xBet
2.59
Under
10Bet
1.48
William Hil
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
11.9%
@ 6.32-2.7%
Under 2.5
88.1%
@ 1.08+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
William Hil
6.50
1xBet
6.10
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
47.5%
@ 1.83-3.0%
Under
52.5%
@ 1.87+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.2%
@ 5.12-2.8%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.12+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.35
Marathonbet
5.35
Betano
4.65
Under
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 9.75-6.7%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.03+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
38.4%
@ 2.30-1.6%
Under
61.6%
@ 1.54+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.29
Superbet
2.27
Under
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.53
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
9.6%
@ 7.87-2.1%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.04+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.30
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Spartans
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.83
0.86
0.64
1.25
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.40
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.00
0.78
0.83
0.58
1.18
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.00
0.67
1.13
0.87
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.64
1.73
0.83
2.00
0.40
1.40
vs Weaker (18)
0.78
0.61
0.56
0.56
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.6%
Under 0.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
43.7%
Under 1.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
16.3%
Under 2.5
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
56.6%
Under
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
20.7%
Under
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
47.4%
Under
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.4%
Under
87.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.1%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.0%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+5.8%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
94.7%
1.06
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.4%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+2.1%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.1%
1.08
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.07
+2.7%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
87.6%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
+4.5%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
87.5%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
+1.2%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
86.2%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.8%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
83.5%
1.21
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
+7.3%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
80.8%
1.24
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
-
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
75.2%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.7%
1.24
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.22
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
73.4%
1.35
Betano
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.33
+4.9%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.7%
1.31
1xBet
1.31
-
-
-
-
+3.2%
-
Home or Away
71.3%
1.24
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
-2.3%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
70.4%
1.37
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
10Bet
1.36
+3.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Clyde
Forfar
Edinburgh City
Stranraer
Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
Stirling
Dumbarton