This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forfar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.23
1.19
1.31
1.00
1.14
vs Stronger (18)
1.00
1.11
1.12
1.00
0.90
1.20
vs Similar (9)
1.11
1.67
1.17
1.83
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.67
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.3%
Under 1.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.6%
Under 2.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.2%
Under 3.5
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.4%
No
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 â
13.6%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
Spartans goals ↓
Forfar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
6.9%
3.3%
0.9%
0.2%
1
14%
13%
4.9%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.0%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
3
5.5%
4.5%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.1%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartans goals (down), columns = Forfar goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Livingston
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
Falkirk
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
ST Johnstone
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
Queen's Park
1.80
Airdrie United
1.80
Partick
1.75
Montrose
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Morton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Kilmarnock
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Inverness CT
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Dumbarton
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
Elgin
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Buckie Thistle
0.00
Spartans is 1.00 points better than Forfar in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Queen's Park
3.20
Airdrie United
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Rangers
2.50
Falkirk
2.50
Clyde
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Ross County
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Livingston
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Buckie Thistle
1.25
Dumbarton
1.00
Dunfermline
1.00
Stranraer
1.00
Morton
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Elgin
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Inverness CT
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Brechin
0.50
Stirling
0.50
Kelty Hearts
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Kilmarnock
0.00
ST Mirren
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Spartans is 0.58 goals better than Forfar in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 0.75).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
Dundee
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
ST Mirren
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
Falkirk
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Dundee Utd
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Montrose
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
Ayr Utd
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Celtic
1.50
Morton
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Stirling
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Brechin
2.50
Stranraer
2.50
Peterhead
2.75
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
Edinburgh City
4.00
East Kilbride
4.00
Buckie Thistle
4.25
Spartans is 0.17 goals worse than Forfar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.00).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Spartans
For 3.5 · Against 6.0 · Total 9.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.5
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 11.8 · Total 22.8
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Forfar
For 4.6 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.5
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 11.9 · Total 25.4
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartans
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (38)
9.4
9.8
8.9
3.1
2.9
3.2
20.9
20.3
21.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
8.3
9.4
7.2
3.0
3.3
2.7
22.7
21.6
23.8
vs Weaker (20)
10.2
10.1
10.3
3.1
2.6
3.7
19.4
19.2
19.7
% over line
47%
50%
44%
39%
26%
53%
44%
44%
44%
% under line
53%
50%
56%
61%
74%
47%
56%
56%
56%
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forfar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.3
9.8
3.2
3.1
3.2
23.7
24.3
23.2
vs Stronger (28)
9.5
10.5
8.3
3.4
3.3
3.4
24.6
24.0
25.2
vs Similar (18)
10.9
10.0
11.5
3.0
3.4
2.7
22.3
24.9
20.7
vs Weaker (4)
9.2
9.5
9.0
2.5
0.5
4.5
24.5
24.5
24.5
% over line
55%
55%
56%
44%
46%
42%
68%
73%
64%
% under line
45%
45%
44%
56%
54%
58%
32%
27%
36%
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.9
Rangers
11.3
Heart Of Midlothian
11.2
Dundee
11.1
Dundee Utd
11.1
Ross County
11.1
Kelty Hearts
11.0
Morton
10.9
ST Mirren
10.8
Motherwell
10.8
Falkirk
10.8
Kilmarnock
10.7
Arbroath
10.7
Dunfermline
10.7
Aberdeen
10.5
Dumbarton
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.3
Hibernian
10.3
Stirling
10.3
Montrose
10.2
ST Johnstone
10.1
Cove Rangers
10.1
Forfar
10.1
Annan Athletic
10.0
Partick
10.0
Brechin
10.0
Inverness CT
10.0
Edinburgh City
10.0
Stranraer
9.9
Airdrie United
9.9
Clyde
9.8
East Fife
9.6
Livingston
9.5
Spartans
9.4
Peterhead
8.8
Elgin
8.3
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.8
Annan Athletic
4.7
Heart Of Midlothian
4.3
Morton
4.3
Rangers
4.2
Aberdeen
4.1
Kilmarnock
4.0
Dumbarton
4.0
Stenhousemuir
4.0
Dundee
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Hibernian
4.0
Falkirk
4.0
Montrose
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
ST Johnstone
3.8
Ross County
3.8
East Fife
3.7
Dunfermline
3.6
Elgin
3.6
Edinburgh City
3.6
Celtic
3.6
Kelty Hearts
3.6
Stranraer
3.5
Brechin
3.5
Partick
3.5
Livingston
3.5
Arbroath
3.4
Clyde
3.4
Forfar
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Spartans
3.2
ST Mirren
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Inverness CT
2.8
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.8
Aberdeen
24.2
Livingston
23.9
Elgin
23.7
Forfar
23.7
Kilmarnock
22.8
Heart Of Midlothian
22.7
Motherwell
22.4
ST Johnstone
22.3
Morton
22.3
Ross County
22.2
Dundee Utd
22.2
Rangers
21.9
Stenhousemuir
21.9
Falkirk
21.8
Kelty Hearts
21.7
Hibernian
21.6
East Fife
21.5
ST Mirren
21.3
Montrose
21.1
Annan Athletic
20.9
Arbroath
20.9
Spartans
20.9
Dumbarton
20.5
Edinburgh City
20.4
Clyde
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Stirling
20.2
Stranraer
20.0
Dundee
20.0
Partick
19.9
Celtic
19.5
Inverness CT
19.3
Dunfermline
19.3
Cove Rangers
18.8
Airdrie United
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.8%
Under 9.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.7%
Under 3.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
73.4%
Under 21.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Spartans or Drawâ Hit
80.7%
Avg Implied -
52%
29%
19%
covers Spartans + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartans or Forfarâ Hit
71.3%
Avg Implied -
52%
29%
19%
covers Spartans + Forfar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Forfarâ Miss
48.0%
Avg Implied -
52%
29%
19%
covers Draw + Forfar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Spartans over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.5%
Under
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.9%
Under
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.9%
Under
81.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.5%
Under
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
55.8%
Under
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
19.7%
Under
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âïļ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Spartans, so a minus line means Spartans give that many goals of a start and Forfar receive them. At -1, Spartans must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Spartans win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Spartans)Actual: Forfar
Spartans -2
11.0%
Draw -2
16.3%
Forfar +2
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Spartans)Actual: Draw
Spartans -1
27.3%
Draw -1
24.7%
Forfar +1
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Spartans)Actual: Spartans
Spartans +1
80.7%
Draw +1
13.0%
Forfar -1
6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Spartans)Actual: Spartans
Spartans +2
93.6%
Draw +2
4.9%
Forfar -2
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Spartans
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.43
0.57
0.64
0.75
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.36
0.67
0.67
0.88
0.12
vs Weaker (16)
0.56
0.50
0.50
0.62
0.62
0.38
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forfar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.69
0.56
0.50
0.43
vs Stronger (18)
0.61
0.33
0.62
0.38
0.60
0.30
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.89
1.00
0.83
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Spartans
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
0.64
0.93
1.12
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.14
0.93
0.50
1.50
1.62
0.50
vs Weaker (16)
0.69
0.62
0.75
0.50
0.62
0.75
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forfar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.71
vs Stronger (18)
0.39
0.78
0.50
0.62
0.30
0.90
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.78
0.17
1.00
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 6.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 4.5
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home or Draw
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home +1 handicap
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home or Away
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →