This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.53
0.67
1.20
0.93
1.87
vs Stronger (20)
0.75
1.85
0.60
1.50
0.90
2.20
vs Similar (10)
0.90
0.90
0.80
0.60
1.00
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Spezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.0%
Under 1.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.8%
@ 1.49-10.9%
Under 2.5
48.2%
@ 2.50+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.6%
Under 3.5
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.3%
No
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.5%
3-0
6.6%
3-1 ✓
6.0%
1-2
4.9%
Spezia goals ↓
Cosenza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
4.8%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
1
11%
12%
4.9%
1.5%
0.3%
2
11%
9.8%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
3
6.6%
6.0%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
4
3.0%
2.8%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spezia goals (down), columns = Cosenza goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sassuolo
2.16
Pisa
1.95
Spezia
1.74
Cremonese
1.62
Juve Stabia
1.49
Catanzaro
1.37
Cesena
1.36
Palermo
1.33
Bari
1.26
Sudtirol
1.21
Modena
1.18
Carrarese
1.18
Reggiana
1.16
Mantova
1.16
Brescia
1.13
Frosinone
1.13
Sampdoria
1.13
Salernitana
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Cosenza
0.89
Spezia is 0.84 points better than Cosenza in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 0.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sassuolo
2.05
Cremonese
1.64
Pisa
1.63
Spezia
1.55
Palermo
1.33
Sudtirol
1.32
Catanzaro
1.29
Modena
1.26
Mantova
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Brescia
1.11
Reggiana
1.11
Juve Stabia
1.10
Bari
1.08
Carrarese
1.03
Sampdoria
1.03
Frosinone
0.97
Salernitana
0.95
Cosenza
0.84
Cittadella
0.82
Spezia is 0.71 goals better than Cosenza in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 0.84).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.88
Pisa
0.97
Sassuolo
1.00
Bari
1.05
Juve Stabia
1.10
Palermo
1.13
Cremonese
1.14
Catanzaro
1.20
Cesena
1.23
Salernitana
1.26
Sampdoria
1.26
Brescia
1.26
Carrarese
1.29
Frosinone
1.32
Modena
1.32
Reggiana
1.37
Cittadella
1.42
Cosenza
1.47
Mantova
1.47
Sudtirol
1.50
Spezia is 0.59 goals better than Cosenza in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Mantova
62%
Cremonese
60%
Catanzaro
55%
Sassuolo
52%
Salernitana
52%
Juve Stabia
52%
Bari
51%
Spezia
50%
Palermo
49%
Carrarese
49%
Cosenza
49%
Cesena
49%
Modena
48%
Sampdoria
48%
Frosinone
47%
Brescia
46%
Pisa
46%
Cittadella
45%
Reggiana
44%
Sudtirol
44%
Spezia is 0.9 percentage points better than Cosenza in terms of average possession (50% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Spezia
For 6.2 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 16.9 · Total 33.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cosenza
For 3.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 13.1 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spezia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.6
10.0
6.0
6.3
5.6
34.2
36.0
32.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
9.3
8.7
9.8
6.1
6.7
5.6
34.3
36.7
31.8
vs Weaker (12)
11.5
12.3
10.7
5.4
5.2
5.7
33.9
33.7
34.2
% over line
56%
56%
56%
90%
88%
92%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
44%
44%
44%
10%
12%
8%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.1
10.5
6.1
5.8
6.4
28.9
29.5
28.1
vs Stronger (34)
9.9
9.9
9.9
5.9
5.7
6.1
28.5
28.5
28.5
vs Similar (16)
11.1
10.7
11.4
6.6
6.1
7.0
29.6
32.3
27.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
58%
58%
92%
92%
92%
82%
85%
79%
% under line
42%
42%
42%
8%
8%
8%
18%
15%
21%
This opponent (Spezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Palermo
10.4
Cosenza
10.3
Spezia
9.8
Juve Stabia
9.8
Brescia
9.5
Bari
9.4
Catanzaro
9.4
Frosinone
9.4
Sudtirol
9.4
Carrarese
9.4
Sampdoria
9.2
Salernitana
9.1
Cesena
9.0
Sassuolo
9.0
Cremonese
9.0
Cittadella
8.9
Modena
8.9
Mantova
8.5
Reggiana
8.4
Pisa
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.1
Spezia
6.0
Juve Stabia
6.0
Reggiana
5.7
Mantova
5.6
Sampdoria
5.4
Modena
5.3
Bari
5.3
Brescia
5.1
Cremonese
5.1
Carrarese
5.0
Cittadella
4.9
Cesena
4.9
Pisa
4.9
Sudtirol
4.9
Frosinone
4.8
Palermo
4.6
Catanzaro
4.6
Salernitana
4.6
Sassuolo
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mantova
35.1
Spezia
34.2
Juve Stabia
34.0
Cittadella
31.8
Reggiana
31.0
Sampdoria
30.8
Sudtirol
30.2
Cesena
29.8
Cremonese
29.7
Bari
29.5
Frosinone
29.3
Palermo
29.1
Brescia
29.0
Cosenza
28.9
Salernitana
28.8
Carrarese
28.4
Pisa
28.2
Modena
27.9
Catanzaro
27.7
Sassuolo
24.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.2%
Under 9.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
86.4%
Under 3.5
13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
97.9%
Under 21.5
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Spezia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.50
0.73
0.53
0.80
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.75
0.58
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.17
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.40
0.80
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (20)
0.45
0.95
0.40
1.00
0.50
0.90
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.20
0.40
0.40
0.60
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Spezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spezia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Spezia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.33
0.93
0.27
0.53
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.38
0.92
0.33
0.50
0.42
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.17
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.83
0.27
0.40
0.40
1.27
vs Stronger (20)
0.30
0.90
0.20
0.50
0.40
1.30
vs Similar (10)
0.40
0.70
0.40
0.20
0.40
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Spezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spezia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 4.5 cards
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Spezia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Francesco Pio Esposito42%
Gianluca Lapadula21%
Edoardo Soleri19%
Salvatore Esposito16%
Luca Vignali15%
Rachid Kouda14%
Giuseppe Aurelio13%
Nicolò Bertola10%
Przemysław Wiśniewski8%
Giuseppe Di Serio6%
Salvatore Elia6%
Petko Hristov5%
Pietro Candelari5%
Antonio Čolak4%
Diego Falcinelli4%
Filippo Bandinelli3%
Aleš Matějů3%
Arkadiusz Reca0%
Ádám Nagy0%
Stefano Gori0%
Francesco Cassata0%
Leandro Chichizola0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Duccio Degli Innocenti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Francesco Cassata25%
Filippo Bandinelli24%
Luca Vignali24%
Francesco Pio Esposito22%
Nicolò Bertola21%
Aleš Matějů21%
Petko Hristov21%
Giuseppe Di Serio20%
Salvatore Elia19%
Przemysław Wiśniewski19%
Salvatore Esposito19%
Arkadiusz Reca18%
Duccio Degli Innocenti18%
Ádám Nagy14%
Edoardo Soleri14%
Rachid Kouda14%
Leandro Chichizola9%
Diego Falcinelli8%
Gianluca Lapadula7%
Pietro Candelari5%
Giuseppe Aurelio3%
Antonio Čolak0%
Stefano Gori0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Salvatore Esposito24%
Rachid Kouda19%
Filippo Bandinelli9%
Antonio Čolak8%
Francesco Pio Esposito8%
Arkadiusz Reca7%
Giuseppe Di Serio6%
Salvatore Elia6%
Aleš Matějů5%
Edoardo Soleri5%
Pietro Candelari5%
Nicolò Bertola3%
Francesco Cassata3%
Luca Vignali3%
Przemysław Wiśniewski3%
Petko Hristov3%
Ádám Nagy0%
Diego Falcinelli0%
Stefano Gori0%
Gianluca Lapadula0%
Leandro Chichizola0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Giuseppe Aurelio0%
Duccio Degli Innocenti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Francesco Pio Esposito52%
Salvatore Esposito16%
Gianluca Lapadula14%
Giuseppe Di Serio11%
Edoardo Soleri10%
Luca Vignali6%
Duccio Degli Innocenti6%
Aleš Matějů5%
Rachid Kouda5%
Diego Falcinelli4%
Salvatore Elia3%
Arkadiusz Reca0%
Antonio Čolak0%
Ádám Nagy0%
Filippo Bandinelli0%
Stefano Gori0%
Francesco Cassata0%
Petko Hristov0%
Przemysław Wiśniewski0%
Leandro Chichizola0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Giuseppe Aurelio0%
Nicolò Bertola0%
Pietro Candelari0%
Cosenza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Manuel Ricciardi12%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Massimo Zilli12%
Tommaso D'Orazio8%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Michael Venturi4%
Charlys4%
Riccardo Ciervo3%
José Mauri0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Christian Kouan0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aldo Florenzi40%
Tommaso D'Orazio35%
Pietro Martino29%
Charlys29%
Christian Kouan26%
Luca Strizzolo25%
Mario Gargiulo24%
Gabriele Artistico24%
Giacomo Ricci23%
Christian Dalle Mura22%
Luca Garritano20%
Filippo Sgarbi20%
Christos Kourfalidis20%
Manuel Ricciardi19%
Michael Venturi18%
Alessandro Caporale18%
Juan Manuel Cruz17%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Simone Mazzocchi15%
José Mauri13%
Michele Camporese12%
Mohamed Sankoh11%
Alessandro Micai11%
Andrea Hristov10%
Massimo Zilli8%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Baldovino Cimino14%
Luca Strizzolo12%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Gabriele Artistico6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Christian Dalle Mura4%
Tommaso Fumagalli4%
Massimo Zilli4%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Michael Venturi4%
Alessandro Caporale4%
Charlys4%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna3%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Simone Mazzocchi0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli20%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Tommaso D'Orazio12%
Aldo Florenzi10%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Charlys4%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Sassuolo
Pisa
Cremonese
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
Cesena
Palermo
Bari
Sudtirol
Modena
Carrarese
Mantova
Sampdoria
Reggiana
Brescia
Frosinone
Salernitana
Cittadella