This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.10
1.31
1.06
0.57
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.80
1.40
1.14
1.14
0.50
1.62
vs Weaker (15)
1.13
0.80
1.44
1.00
0.67
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
54.7%
Under 1.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
26.9%
Under 2.5
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
10.8%
Under 3.5
89.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
30.6%
No
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
19.9%
0-0
17.7%
2-0 ✓
13.4%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
7.6%
2-1
7.0%
3-0
5.7%
3-1
3.0%
Sporting Gijon goals ↓
Almeria goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
18%
7.6%
2.3%
0.4%
0.1%
1
20%
12%
2.9%
0.5%
0.1%
2
13%
7.0%
1.9%
0.3%
0.0%
3
5.7%
3.0%
0.8%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.8%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sporting Gijon goals (down), columns = Almeria goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Rayo Vallecano
1.81
Huesca
1.79
Sporting Gijon
1.69
Zaragoza
1.69
Valladolid
1.60
Numancia
1.55
Oviedo
1.55
Cadiz
1.52
Osasuna
1.52
Granada CF
1.45
Tenerife
1.40
Lugo
1.31
Reus Deportiu
1.24
Alcorcon
1.24
Gimnastic
1.24
Cordoba
1.21
Albacete
1.17
Almeria
1.14
Cultural Leonesa
1.14
Barcelona B
1.05
Mallorca
0.79
Sevilla B
0.76
Sporting Gijon is 0.55 points better than Almeria in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.64
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Huesca
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Tenerife
1.38
Cordoba
1.36
Zaragoza
1.36
Granada CF
1.31
Oviedo
1.29
Cultural Leonesa
1.29
Numancia
1.24
Barcelona B
1.10
Gimnastic
1.05
Osasuna
1.05
Cadiz
1.00
Lugo
0.93
Almeria
0.90
Alcorcon
0.88
Mallorca
0.88
Albacete
0.83
Reus Deportiu
0.74
Sevilla B
0.69
Sporting Gijon is 0.52 goals better than Almeria in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 0.90).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cadiz
0.69
Osasuna
0.81
Sporting Gijon
0.95
Huesca
0.95
Numancia
0.98
Reus Deportiu
1.00
Alcorcon
1.00
Zaragoza
1.05
Almeria
1.07
Albacete
1.10
Rayo Vallecano
1.14
Lugo
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Tenerife
1.19
Granada CF
1.19
Gimnastic
1.19
Barcelona B
1.29
Valladolid
1.31
Sevilla B
1.43
Cordoba
1.55
Cultural Leonesa
1.60
Mallorca
1.62
Sporting Gijon is 0.12 goals better than Almeria in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 1.07).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sporting Gijon
For 6.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 14.3 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Almeria
For 5.2 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 13.8 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting Gijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.2
10.0
4.8
4.6
4.9
28.4
28.4
28.4
vs Stronger (21)
9.9
9.1
10.8
4.7
4.4
5.0
28.2
26.6
30.0
vs Similar (24)
9.4
9.3
9.4
5.1
5.2
5.0
28.6
30.2
27.0
vs Weaker (5)
9.2
8.5
9.7
3.4
2.5
4.0
28.0
27.5
28.3
% over line
48%
36%
60%
64%
56%
72%
90%
92%
88%
% under line
52%
64%
40%
36%
44%
28%
10%
8%
12%
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
12.0
10.8
1.2
1.0
1.4
30.2
26.0
35.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
11.6
11.7
11.5
1.1
1.3
0.9
32.2
28.7
37.5
vs Weaker (24)
11.3
12.3
10.3
1.3
0.7
2.0
28.5
23.3
33.7
% over line
73%
83%
60%
16%
16%
16%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
27%
17%
40%
84%
84%
84%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barcelona B
12.1
Valladolid
11.7
Almeria
11.5
Huesca
11.4
Lugo
10.9
Mallorca
10.6
Rayo Vallecano
10.6
Zaragoza
10.6
Cadiz
10.4
Granada CF
10.2
Cordoba
10.1
Cultural Leonesa
9.9
Tenerife
9.9
Numancia
9.8
Gimnastic
9.7
Sporting Gijon
9.6
Oviedo
9.2
Albacete
9.1
Alcorcon
9.1
Osasuna
8.8
Reus Deportiu
8.4
Sevilla B
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sevilla B
6.4
Numancia
6.4
Gimnastic
6.1
Zaragoza
6.0
Valladolid
5.9
Albacete
5.8
Tenerife
5.8
Huesca
5.6
Almeria
5.5
Oviedo
5.5
Rayo Vallecano
5.4
Osasuna
5.2
Cadiz
5.2
Cultural Leonesa
5.2
Granada CF
5.1
Alcorcon
5.0
Mallorca
4.8
Sporting Gijon
4.8
Barcelona B
4.6
Lugo
4.5
Cordoba
4.5
Reus Deportiu
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Alcorcon
35.0
Albacete
34.8
Tenerife
33.3
Valladolid
33.2
Lugo
32.9
Cordoba
32.1
Oviedo
31.2
Mallorca
30.9
Cultural Leonesa
30.6
Zaragoza
30.4
Cadiz
30.3
Almeria
30.2
Gimnastic
29.4
Sevilla B
28.8
Reus Deportiu
28.7
Sporting Gijon
28.4
Rayo Vallecano
28.1
Barcelona B
27.8
Granada CF
27.3
Numancia
27.3
Huesca
27.3
Osasuna
26.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.5%
Under 9.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
81.2%
Under 3.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.3%
Under 21.5
2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.53
0.40
0.33
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.80
0.50
0.50
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.33
0.40
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.40
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.69
0.50
0.29
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.67
0.57
0.57
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (15)
0.60
0.33
0.78
0.44
0.33
0.17
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.90
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.70
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.60
0.78
0.78
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.20
2.00
0.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.62
0.56
0.29
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.73
0.57
0.57
0.25
0.88
vs Weaker (15)
0.53
0.47
0.67
0.56
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sporting Gijon · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juan Otero33%
Alejo Sarco33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pablo Vázquez33%
Guille Rosas33%
Nacho Martín33%
Aimar Duñabeitia33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikita Iosifov33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juan Otero33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Almeria · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Federico Bonini33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrián Embarba33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Stefan Džodić0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Nicolás Melamed0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
ALB (27)
€18m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
CL (20)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Sporting Gijon's squad is €26m less valuable than Almeria's (€28m vs €54m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALM (11)
€38m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
GC (5)
€6m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
CL (8)
€3m
HUE (9)
€2m
Sporting Gijon's attack is €24m less valuable than Almeria's (€14m vs €38m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OSA (4)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
CL (4)
€1m
Sporting Gijon and Almeria have a similar midfield value (both €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
MAL (10)
€16m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
COR (12)
€7m
ALB (10)
€5m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€2m
HUE (8)
€2m
Sporting Gijon's defence is €3m less valuable than Almeria's (€9m vs €11m).
Spain: Segunda División 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Rayo Vallecano
Huesca
Zaragoza
Valladolid
Numancia
Oviedo
Cadiz
Osasuna
Granada CF
Tenerife
Lugo
Alcorcon
Gimnastic
Cordoba
Albacete
Cultural Leonesa
Mallorca