This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.83
0.69
1.31
0.86
2.43
vs Stronger (21)
0.90
2.19
0.82
1.73
1.00
2.70
vs Similar (9)
0.44
1.00
0.40
0.40
0.50
1.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.7%
@ 1.58-1.7%
Under 2.5
42.3%
@ 2.31+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.3%
Under 3.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.2%
No
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.0%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.5%
Sporting Gijon goals ↓
FC Cartagena goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
4.3%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
1
8.6%
11%
5.5%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.3%
9.9%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
6.0%
6.4%
3.4%
1.2%
0.3%
4
2.9%
3.1%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sporting Gijon goals (down), columns = FC Cartagena goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Levante
1.88
Elche
1.83
Oviedo
1.78
Mirandes
1.78
Racing Santander
1.64
Almeria
1.59
Granada CF
1.55
Huesca
1.52
Eibar
1.38
Albacete
1.38
Sporting Gijon
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Cordoba
1.31
Cadiz
1.31
Malaga
1.26
Castellón
1.26
Deportivo La Coruna
1.26
Zaragoza
1.21
Eldense
1.07
Tenerife
0.86
Racing Ferrol
0.71
FC Cartagena
0.55
Sporting Gijon is 0.79 points better than FC Cartagena in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.55).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Almeria
1.68
Levante
1.64
Racing Santander
1.57
Castellón
1.55
Granada CF
1.55
Mirandes
1.48
Elche
1.40
Cordoba
1.40
Huesca
1.38
Sporting Gijon
1.36
Albacete
1.36
Zaragoza
1.33
Deportivo La Coruna
1.33
Oviedo
1.33
Cadiz
1.31
Eibar
1.05
Eldense
1.05
Malaga
1.00
Burgos
0.98
Tenerife
0.83
FC Cartagena
0.79
Racing Ferrol
0.52
Sporting Gijon is 0.57 goals better than FC Cartagena in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 0.79).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Elche
0.81
Eibar
0.98
Levante
1.00
Oviedo
1.00
Mirandes
1.00
Malaga
1.10
Burgos
1.14
Huesca
1.17
Cadiz
1.26
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Deportivo La Coruna
1.29
Granada CF
1.29
Tenerife
1.31
Racing Santander
1.32
Almeria
1.32
Albacete
1.36
Castellón
1.50
Zaragoza
1.50
Eldense
1.50
Cordoba
1.50
Racing Ferrol
1.52
FC Cartagena
1.86
Sporting Gijon is 0.57 goals better than FC Cartagena in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.86).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Elche
62%
Castellón
57%
Cordoba
56%
Deportivo La Coruna
54%
Almeria
53%
Malaga
52%
Racing Santander
52%
Oviedo
52%
Granada CF
51%
Zaragoza
51%
Eibar
50%
Sporting Gijon
50%
Levante
49%
Burgos
49%
Tenerife
48%
Cadiz
48%
Racing Ferrol
48%
Eldense
46%
Mirandes
45%
Huesca
44%
Albacete
43%
FC Cartagena
40%
Sporting Gijon is 9.9 percentage points better than FC Cartagena in terms of average possession (50% vs 40%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sporting Gijon
For 4.3 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 7.9 · Total 21.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Cartagena
For 2.6 · Against 6.6 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 12.5 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting Gijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.6
9.4
4.8
5.0
4.6
23.7
23.5
23.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
9.5
9.7
9.4
4.8
4.8
4.8
23.6
23.5
23.8
vs Weaker (4)
9.0
9.0
9.0
4.8
7.5
2.0
24.0
24.5
23.0
% over line
46%
50%
42%
70%
75%
65%
65%
62%
67%
% under line
54%
50%
58%
30%
25%
35%
35%
38%
33%
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.0
8.3
3.9
3.9
3.8
23.9
24.8
23.0
vs Stronger (32)
8.8
9.7
7.9
4.3
4.3
4.3
24.8
26.3
23.3
vs Similar (17)
8.6
7.9
9.4
3.2
3.2
3.2
22.2
22.1
22.3
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
36%
33%
39%
54%
52%
56%
68%
71%
65%
% under line
64%
67%
61%
46%
48%
44%
32%
29%
35%
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Deportivo La Coruna
10.6
Racing Santander
9.9
Albacete
9.7
Zaragoza
9.6
Cordoba
9.6
Levante
9.6
Malaga
9.5
Sporting Gijon
9.5
Huesca
9.5
Almeria
9.5
Granada CF
9.5
Eldense
9.4
Castellón
9.3
Tenerife
9.3
Eibar
9.2
Racing Ferrol
9.0
Oviedo
9.0
Burgos
8.9
Mirandes
8.8
Elche
8.7
FC Cartagena
8.7
Cadiz
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.4
Zaragoza
6.1
Malaga
5.6
Mirandes
5.5
Elche
5.5
Cadiz
5.4
Burgos
5.4
Cordoba
5.3
Almeria
5.2
Granada CF
5.1
Sporting Gijon
5.0
Huesca
5.0
Tenerife
4.9
Oviedo
4.8
Eibar
4.8
Albacete
4.6
Eldense
4.6
Castellón
4.3
Levante
4.3
Deportivo La Coruna
4.2
Racing Ferrol
4.2
FC Cartagena
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Malaga
29.0
Racing Santander
28.9
Cadiz
28.7
Cordoba
28.3
Elche
28.1
Zaragoza
27.9
Tenerife
27.7
Oviedo
27.1
Mirandes
27.0
Almeria
26.6
Granada CF
26.5
Racing Ferrol
26.1
Castellón
24.8
Eldense
24.8
Burgos
24.7
Eibar
24.5
Levante
24.1
Deportivo La Coruna
23.9
Huesca
23.7
Sporting Gijon
23.6
FC Cartagena
23.6
Albacete
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.5%
Under 9.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
71.0%
Under 3.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
68.1%
Under 21.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.43
0.57
0.36
0.25
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.41
0.37
0.54
0.15
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.87
0.50
0.69
0.43
1.07
vs Stronger (21)
0.48
1.10
0.55
0.91
0.40
1.30
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.33
0.40
0.20
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.87
0.71
0.93
0.81
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.81
0.93
0.77
1.00
0.86
0.86
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.97
0.19
0.62
0.43
1.36
vs Stronger (21)
0.43
1.10
0.27
0.82
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (9)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.20
0.00
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sporting Gijon
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juan Otero29%
Jonathan Dubasin21%
Carlos Dotor15%
Gaspar Campos15%
Víctor Campuzano12%
César Gelabert12%
Nico Serrano11%
Ignacio Méndez10%
Jordy Caicedo8%
Róber Pier6%
Lander Olaetxea6%
Guille Rosas5%
José Ángel4%
Diego Sánchez3%
Ignacio Martín2%
Nikola Maraš0%
Christian Sanchez0%
Eric Curbelo0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Kevin Vázquez0%
Jesús Bernal0%
Pablo García0%
Dani Queipo0%
Alex Oyón0%
Pierre Mbemba0%
Iker Martinez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
José Ángel31%
Jordy Caicedo23%
Guille Rosas23%
Lander Olaetxea22%
Pablo García22%
Róber Pier21%
Eric Curbelo20%
Nikola Maraš18%
Christian Sanchez17%
Jonathan Dubasin16%
Ignacio Méndez15%
César Gelabert15%
Dani Queipo14%
Víctor Campuzano12%
Gaspar Campos12%
Nico Serrano11%
Diego Sánchez10%
Kevin Vázquez10%
Juan Otero9%
Jesús Bernal8%
Carlos Dotor8%
Ignacio Martín7%
Rubén Yáñez3%
Alex Oyón0%
Pierre Mbemba0%
Iker Martinez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jonathan Dubasin21%
Pablo García17%
Gaspar Campos12%
José Ángel8%
Guille Rosas8%
Nico Serrano6%
Víctor Campuzano5%
César Gelabert5%
Kevin Vázquez5%
Nikola Maraš4%
Diego Sánchez3%
Juan Otero3%
Lander Olaetxea3%
Ignacio Méndez2%
Ignacio Martín2%
Jordy Caicedo0%
Christian Sanchez0%
Eric Curbelo0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Róber Pier0%
Jesús Bernal0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Dani Queipo0%
Alex Oyón0%
Pierre Mbemba0%
Iker Martinez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nico Serrano28%
Juan Otero23%
Jonathan Dubasin21%
Gaspar Campos12%
Ignacio Méndez8%
Víctor Campuzano8%
Dani Queipo7%
José Ángel4%
César Gelabert2%
Jordy Caicedo0%
Nikola Maraš0%
Christian Sanchez0%
Eric Curbelo0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Kevin Vázquez0%
Róber Pier0%
Lander Olaetxea0%
Jesús Bernal0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Ignacio Martín0%
Diego Sánchez0%
Alex Oyón0%
Pierre Mbemba0%
Iker Martinez0%
FC Cartagena
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Millán32%
Luis Muñoz18%
Daniel Luna18%
Nacho Martínez14%
Salim El Jebari12%
Gaston Valles11%
Pocho Román10%
Cedric Teguia9%
Andy Rodríguez8%
José Machín8%
Rafael Núñez7%
Jairo Izquierdo5%
Martín Aguirregabiria3%
Alfredo Ortuño3%
Sergio Guerrero3%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Julián Delmás0%
Dani Escriche0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
José Antonio Ríos0%
Hugo González0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Jesús Hernández0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jesús Hernández60%
Damián Musto50%
Nacho Martínez36%
Sergio Guerrero32%
José Machín31%
Martín Aguirregabiria28%
Andrija Vukčević26%
Dani Escriche22%
Jorge Moreno20%
Pocho Román19%
Pedro Alcalá19%
Luis Muñoz18%
Assane Ndiaye Dione12%
Salim El Jebari12%
Daniel Luna12%
Andy Rodríguez11%
Kiko Olivas10%
Nikola Šipčić9%
Jairo Izquierdo9%
Julián Delmás7%
Alfredo Ortuño5%
Pablo Cuñat5%
José Antonio Ríos5%
Cedric Teguia5%
Gaston Valles4%
Hugo González0%
Rafael Núñez0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Álex Millán0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nacho Martínez21%
Jairo Izquierdo14%
Salim El Jebari12%
Luis Muñoz9%
Dani Escriche8%
Rafael Núñez7%
Daniel Luna6%
Óscar Clemente6%
José Antonio Ríos5%
Cedric Teguia5%
Martín Aguirregabiria3%
Andy Rodríguez3%
José Machín0%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Alfredo Ortuño0%
Julián Delmás0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
Hugo González0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Álex Millán0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Sergio Guerrero0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Pocho Román0%
Gaston Valles0%
Jesús Hernández0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cedric Teguia14%
Gaston Valles11%
Álex Millán11%
Luis Muñoz9%
José Machín8%
Dani Escriche5%
Hugo González5%
Andy Rodríguez3%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Alfredo Ortuño0%
Julián Delmás0%
Martín Aguirregabiria0%
Nacho Martínez0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
José Antonio Ríos0%
Rafael Núñez0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Sergio Guerrero0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Daniel Luna0%
Salim El Jebari0%
Pocho Román0%
Jesús Hernández0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Mirandes
Oviedo
Levante
Elche
Racing Santander
Almeria
Granada CF
Huesca
Eibar
Albacete
Cadiz
Cordoba
Burgos
Castellón
Deportivo La Coruna
Malaga
Zaragoza
Eldense
Tenerife
Racing Ferrol