This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Granada CF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
2.03
1.13
1.27
0.93
2.80
vs Stronger (15)
1.13
2.20
1.14
1.57
1.12
2.75
vs Similar (15)
0.93
1.87
1.12
1.00
0.71
2.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.2%
Under 1.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.2%
Under 2.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.1%
Under 3.5
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.8%
No
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1 ✓
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
3-0
5.0%
Sporting Gijon goals ↓
Granada CF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.6%
3.8%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
1
6.4%
10%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
2
7.4%
9.6%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
3
5.0%
6.4%
4.2%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.5%
3.2%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sporting Gijon goals (down), columns = Granada CF goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Real Madrid
2.45
Barcelona
2.37
Atletico Madrid
2.05
Sevilla
1.89
Villarreal
1.76
Real Sociedad
1.68
Athletic Club
1.66
Espanyol
1.47
Alaves
1.45
Eibar
1.42
Malaga
1.21
Valencia
1.21
Celta Vigo
1.18
Las Palmas
1.03
Real Betis
1.03
Deportivo La Coruna
0.95
Leganes
0.92
Sporting Gijon
0.82
Osasuna
0.58
Granada CF
0.53
Sporting Gijon is 0.29 points better than Granada CF in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 0.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barcelona
3.05
Real Madrid
2.79
Atletico Madrid
1.84
Sevilla
1.82
Real Sociedad
1.55
Eibar
1.47
Villarreal
1.47
Valencia
1.47
Celta Vigo
1.39
Las Palmas
1.39
Athletic Club
1.39
Malaga
1.29
Espanyol
1.29
Deportivo La Coruna
1.13
Sporting Gijon
1.11
Alaves
1.08
Real Betis
1.08
Osasuna
1.05
Leganes
0.95
Granada CF
0.79
Sporting Gijon is 0.32 goals better than Granada CF in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 0.79).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Atletico Madrid
0.71
Villarreal
0.87
Barcelona
0.97
Real Madrid
1.08
Alaves
1.13
Athletic Club
1.13
Sevilla
1.29
Espanyol
1.32
Eibar
1.34
Real Sociedad
1.39
Malaga
1.45
Leganes
1.45
Deportivo La Coruna
1.61
Real Betis
1.68
Valencia
1.71
Celta Vigo
1.82
Sporting Gijon
1.89
Las Palmas
1.95
Granada CF
2.16
Osasuna
2.47
Sporting Gijon is 0.26 goals better than Granada CF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.89 vs 2.16).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sporting Gijon
For 5.5 · Against 5.5 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 14.6 · Total 30.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Granada CF
For 4.5 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.5 · Against 14.3 · Total 31.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting Gijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
8.5
9.8
5.2
5.0
5.4
28.0
26.5
29.5
vs Stronger (27)
9.5
8.9
10.2
4.4
4.5
4.3
27.1
25.0
29.8
vs Similar (23)
8.8
7.9
9.5
6.1
5.8
6.4
29.0
28.8
29.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
32%
56%
70%
64%
76%
92%
88%
96%
% under line
56%
68%
44%
30%
36%
24%
8%
12%
4%
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Granada CF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.2
10.1
5.9
6.0
5.7
27.4
27.1
27.6
vs Stronger (24)
10.5
10.9
10.3
5.6
5.0
6.1
27.2
27.1
27.2
vs Similar (26)
9.8
9.7
9.8
6.1
6.7
5.3
27.6
27.1
28.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
60%
56%
82%
80%
84%
84%
76%
92%
% under line
42%
40%
44%
18%
20%
16%
16%
24%
8%
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Deportivo La Coruna
11.1
Sevilla
10.8
Real Sociedad
10.6
Real Madrid
10.5
Valencia
10.3
Alaves
10.2
Atletico Madrid
10.2
Malaga
10.2
Granada CF
10.1
Real Betis
10.0
Villarreal
9.8
Espanyol
9.4
Athletic Club
9.3
Eibar
9.2
Barcelona
9.2
Sporting Gijon
9.2
Las Palmas
9.2
Celta Vigo
8.9
Osasuna
8.6
Leganes
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Alaves
6.2
Malaga
6.1
Granada CF
5.9
Sevilla
5.8
Real Betis
5.6
Real Sociedad
5.6
Las Palmas
5.6
Celta Vigo
5.5
Athletic Club
5.5
Leganes
5.4
Valencia
5.3
Espanyol
5.3
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Real Madrid
5.2
Barcelona
5.1
Eibar
4.9
Osasuna
4.8
Villarreal
4.8
Atletico Madrid
4.5
Deportivo La Coruna
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Leganes
31.3
Real Betis
30.2
Valencia
30.1
Sevilla
28.9
Real Sociedad
28.8
Espanyol
28.2
Las Palmas
28.2
Alaves
28.0
Sporting Gijon
28.0
Malaga
27.9
Celta Vigo
27.4
Granada CF
27.4
Osasuna
26.8
Athletic Club
26.6
Barcelona
26.4
Atletico Madrid
26.0
Villarreal
25.9
Eibar
25.7
Real Madrid
25.2
Deportivo La Coruna
24.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.6%
Under 9.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.1%
Under 3.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.3%
Under 21.5
10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.73
0.60
0.80
0.27
0.67
vs Stronger (16)
0.44
0.94
0.44
0.78
0.43
1.14
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.50
0.83
0.83
0.12
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Granada CF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.60
0.47
0.53
1.20
vs Stronger (15)
0.73
0.87
0.71
0.43
0.75
1.25
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.80
0.50
0.50
0.29
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Granada CF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Granada CF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Granada CF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.17
0.80
1.20
0.53
1.13
vs Stronger (16)
0.50
1.44
0.67
1.44
0.29
1.43
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.86
1.00
0.83
0.75
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Granada CF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.20
0.53
0.80
0.40
1.60
vs Stronger (15)
0.40
1.33
0.43
1.14
0.38
1.50
vs Similar (15)
0.53
1.07
0.62
0.50
0.43
1.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Granada CF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Granada CF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Granada CF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sporting Gijon · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juan Otero33%
Alejo Sarco33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pablo Vázquez33%
Guille Rosas33%
Nacho Martín33%
Aimar Duñabeitia33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikita Iosifov33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juan Otero33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Granada CF · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pedro Alemañ33%
Alejandro Marqués33%
Bourama Dembelé33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
José Manuel Arnáiz0%
Rubén Alcaraz0%
Manuel Lama0%
Sergio López0%
Baïla Diallo0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Owen Emeka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio López67%
Gerard Gumbau33%
Rubén Alcaraz33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
José Manuel Arnáiz0%
Pedro Alemañ0%
Manuel Lama0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Baïla Diallo0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Bourama Dembelé0%
Owen Emeka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Lama33%
Sergio López33%
Baïla Diallo33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
José Manuel Arnáiz0%
Rubén Alcaraz0%
Pedro Alemañ0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Bourama Dembelé0%
Owen Emeka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
José Manuel Arnáiz33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
Rubén Alcaraz0%
Pedro Alemañ0%
Manuel Lama0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Sergio López0%
Baïla Diallo0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Bourama Dembelé0%
Owen Emeka0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
DLC (29)
€84m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (27)
€41m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
GC (18)
€17m
EIB (24)
€15m
Sporting Gijon's squad is €11m more valuable than Granada CF's (€28m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
CV (9)
€57m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
Sporting Gijon's attack is €9m more valuable than Granada CF's (€14m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
Sporting Gijon's midfield is €2m more valuable than Granada CF's (€5m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
OSA (10)
€33m
DLC (13)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
LP (10)
€13m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
EIB (10)
€5m
Sporting Gijon and Granada CF have a similar defence value (both €9m).
Spain: La Liga 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
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Real Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Villarreal
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
Espanyol
Alaves
Eibar
Malaga
Valencia
Celta Vigo
Las Palmas
Real Betis
Deportivo La Coruna
Leganes
Osasuna