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Sporting Lieşti vs Metalul Buzău Result & Analysis

Date: 04/12/2025
Time: 12:00
Final 4-7
Sporting Lieşti
Sporting Lieşti
Vs
38%
21%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Metalul Buzău
Metalul Buzău
Romania: Cupa României
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sporting Lieşti win✗ Miss
38.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău win✓ Hit
40.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sporting LieştiSporting Lieşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W21W23L31W21W21W33DH·UNI31/07A·VOI07/08H·FOC15/08H·UNI06/08A·VII13/08H·CS 27/08H·OŢE28/10
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.291.572.401.802.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)2.502.003.003.002.001.00
vs Weaker (5)2.201.402.251.502.001.00
Clean sheet %0% (-24pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalul Buzău) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L01L42W51W21W12L40W20W11D02LA·POL20/09H·CSM27/09A·TUN04/10H·DUM18/10A·CON25/10H·UNI29/10H·MUS01/11A·CS 08/11H·CSA22/11A·CSM30/11← Liga IICupa României →
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.301.471.001.731.60
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (21)1.431.431.300.901.551.91
vs Weaker (8)2.250.752.250.752.250.75
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Lieşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%2%05%114%218%319%416%525%6+
The model estimates around 4.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.2%
Under 1.5
6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
79.6%
Under 2.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.4%
Under 3.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
78.2%
No
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-2
7.3%
1-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-2
5.1%
1-3
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
Sporting Lieşti goals ↓
Metalul Buzău goals →
01234
02.1%2.4%3.3%2.4%1.3%
12.4%7.1%6.9%5.0%2.7%
23.1%6.8%7.3%5.2%2.8%
32.2%4.7%5.1%3.6%2.0%
41.2%2.5%2.7%1.9%1.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sporting Lieşti goals (down), columns = Metalul Buzău goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Paşcani
2.57
CFR 1907 Cluj
2.33
Dumbrăviţa
2.33
CSM Reşiţa
2.29
Metalul Buzău
2.29
Minaur Baia Mare
2.25
FC Botosani
2.25
Csikszereda
2.20
AFC Hermannstadt
2.12
Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei
2.00
Slatina
2.00
Dunarea Calarasi
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
Bihor Oradea
2.00
U Craiova 1948
2.00
Alexandria
2.00
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
2.00
Focşani
2.00
Progresul Pecica
2.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
2.00
FCSB
2.00
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Sporting Lieşti
2.00
Jiul Petroşani
2.00
Universitatea Alba Iulia
2.00
Petrolul Potcoava
2.00
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
2.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
2.00
Sănătatea Cluj
2.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
1.89
CS Afumati
1.83
Rapid
1.80
Universitatea Craiova
1.75
Minerul Lupeni
1.75
Politehnica Iasi
1.60
Farul Constanta
1.60
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
Râmnicu Sărat
1.50
Pucioasa
1.50
Avântul Reghin
1.50
Plopeni
1.50
Tunari
1.50
Braila
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
CSM Satu Mare
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.50
Odorheiu Secuiesc
1.50
Peciu Nou
1.50
SCM Zalău
1.50
Blejoi
1.50
Metalurgistul Cugir
1.50
Gilortul
1.50
Gheorgheni
1.50
Gloria Băneasa
1.50
Gloria Bistriţa
1.50
Urban Titu
1.50
Viitorul Dăești
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.50
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.40
Arges Pitesti
1.40
Oţelul
1.33
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.25
Timişul Şag
1.03
USV Iaşi
1.03
CIL Blaj
1.03
Gloria al Oraşului Geoag
1.03
Victoria Cumpăna
1.03
Soimii Gura Humorului
1.03
Unirea Tășnad
1.03
Prima
1.03
Valenii de Munte
1.03
Viitorul Arad
1.03
Răuceşti
1.03
Săcele
1.03
Academica Balș
1.03
Olimpia Satu Mare
1.03
Sport Team Bucureşti
1.03
Sânandrei
1.03
Păușești
1.03
Speed Academy
1.03
Diosig-Bihardiószeg
1.03
ACS FC Dinamo Bucuresti
1.03
CSM Fetești
1.03
Baicoi
1.03
Voinţa Livezile
1.03
Vulturul Mintiu Gherlii
1.03
Codlea
1.03
Medgidia
1.03
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
1.03
Covurluiul
1.03
CSM FC Vaslui
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.00
SCM Gloria Buzău
1.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.00
Sânmartin
1.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
1.00
Şomuz Fălticeni
1.00
CSM Bacău
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.87
Agricola Borcea
0.86
Uta Arad
0.67
Crişul Sântandrei
0.50
Bucovina Rădăuţi
0.50
Concordia
0.50
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.50
Aerostar Bacau
0.50
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.33
CSM Adjud
0.00
Metaloglobus
0.00
ACS Mediaş 2022
0.00
Vediţa Coloneşti
0.00
ACS Târgu Mureș 1898
0.00
Progresul Fundulea
0.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
0.00
Oltul Curtişoara
0.00
Unirea Dej
0.00
Universitatea Cluj
0.00
Chindia Targoviste
0.00
Unirea Slobozia
0.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
0.00
Progresul Spartac
0.00
Unirea Bascov
0.00
LPS HD Clinceni
0.00
Târgu Secuiesc
0.00
Axiopolis
0.00
Flacăra Moreni
0.00
Avântul Periam
0.00
Viitorul Onesti
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Cetatea
0.00
Sighetu Marmaţiei
0.00
Voința Limpeziș
0.00
Tricolorul Breaza
0.00
Viitorul Cluj
0.00
Filiaşi
0.00
Unirea Braniştea
0.00
Stiinta Miroslava
0.00
Municipal Braşov
0.00
Păuleşti
0.00
Sporting Roşiori
0.00
Vârfu Câmpului
0.00
Sporting Lieşti is 0.29 points worse than Metalul Buzău in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Gilortul
5.50
Urban Titu
5.50
Viitorul Dăești
4.50
Progresul Pecica
4.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
3.56
Slatina
3.50
Avântul Reghin
3.50
CSM Satu Mare
3.50
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
3.50
Paşcani
3.00
Bihor Oradea
3.00
Tunari
3.00
Gheorgheni
3.00
Ştefăneşti
2.80
Minaur Baia Mare
2.75
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
2.67
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
2.67
Minerul Lupeni
2.50
Metalurgistul Cugir
2.50
Sănătatea Cluj
2.43
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
2.33
Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei
2.33
Alexandria
2.33
CFR 1907 Cluj
2.33
Universitatea Alba Iulia
2.33
Farul Constanta
2.20
Râmnicu Sărat
2.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
2.00
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
2.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
2.00
FCSB
2.00
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.00
Sporting Lieşti
2.00
LPS HD Clinceni
2.00
Sânmartin
2.00
Flacăra Moreni
2.00
Viitorul Onesti
2.00
SCM Zalău
2.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.00
Sighetu Marmaţiei
2.00
Blejoi
2.00
Şomuz Fălticeni
2.00
Vârfu Câmpului
2.00
AFC Hermannstadt
1.88
Metalul Buzău
1.86
Rapid
1.80
Oţelul
1.67
Dumbrăviţa
1.67
Timişul Şag
1.62
USV Iaşi
1.62
CIL Blaj
1.62
Gloria al Oraşului Geoag
1.62
Victoria Cumpăna
1.62
Soimii Gura Humorului
1.62
Unirea Tășnad
1.62
Prima
1.62
Valenii de Munte
1.62
Viitorul Arad
1.62
Răuceşti
1.62
Săcele
1.62
Academica Balș
1.62
Olimpia Satu Mare
1.62
Sport Team Bucureşti
1.62
Sânandrei
1.62
Păușești
1.62
Speed Academy
1.62
Diosig-Bihardiószeg
1.62
ACS FC Dinamo Bucuresti
1.62
CSM Fetești
1.62
Baicoi
1.62
Voinţa Livezile
1.62
Vulturul Mintiu Gherlii
1.62
Codlea
1.62
Medgidia
1.62
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
1.62
Covurluiul
1.62
Crişul Sântandrei
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
Plopeni
1.50
Braila
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Jiul Petroşani
1.50
Peciu Nou
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.50
CSM Reşiţa
1.43
CS Dinamo București
1.36
Focşani
1.33
CS Afumati
1.33
Popești-Leordeni
1.33
Petrolul Potcoava
1.33
FC Botosani
1.25
Universitatea Craiova
1.25
Arges Pitesti
1.20
Csikszereda
1.20
CSM Adjud
1.00
Metaloglobus
1.00
ACS Mediaş 2022
1.00
Pucioasa
1.00
Vediţa Coloneşti
1.00
CSM FC Vaslui
1.00
Progresul Fundulea
1.00
U Craiova 1948
1.00
Politehnica Iasi
1.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
1.00
Uta Arad
1.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
Progresul Spartac
1.00
Aerostar Bacau
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Avântul Periam
1.00
Cetatea
1.00
Voința Limpeziș
1.00
Agricola Borcea
1.00
Tricolorul Breaza
1.00
Viitorul Cluj
1.00
Filiaşi
1.00
Unirea Braniştea
1.00
Păuleşti
1.00
Gloria Bistriţa
1.00
Sporting Roşiori
1.00
CSM Bacău
1.00
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
0.80
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.60
Gloria Băneasa
0.50
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.33
ACS Târgu Mureș 1898
0.00
Oltul Curtişoara
0.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
SCM Gloria Buzău
0.00
Unirea Dej
0.00
Universitatea Cluj
0.00
Chindia Targoviste
0.00
Unirea Slobozia
0.00
Concordia
0.00
Unirea Bascov
0.00
Târgu Secuiesc
0.00
Axiopolis
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Stiinta Miroslava
0.00
Municipal Braşov
0.00
Sporting Lieşti is 0.14 goals better than Metalul Buzău in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
SCM Gloria Buzău
0.00
Csikszereda
0.40
Dunarea Calarasi
0.50
Avântul Reghin
0.50
U Craiova 1948
0.50
FC Botosani
0.50
Universitatea Craiova
0.50
Odorheiu Secuiesc
0.50
SCM Zalău
0.50
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
0.60
Politehnica Iasi
0.60
Universitatea Alba Iulia
0.67
Petrolul Potcoava
0.67
Metalul Buzău
0.71
AFC Hermannstadt
0.75
Petrolul Ploiesti
0.75
Unirea Alba Iulia
0.78
Rapid
0.80
CSM Reşiţa
0.86
Paşcani
1.00
Slatina
1.00
CSM FC Vaslui
1.00
Oltul Curtişoara
1.00
Unirea Dej
1.00
FCSB
1.00
Universitatea Cluj
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
Dumbrăviţa
1.00
CS Afumati
1.00
FC Bacau
1.00
Concordia
1.00
Jiul Petroşani
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
Axiopolis
1.00
Gloria Băneasa
1.00
CSM Bacău
1.00
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.00
Sănătatea Cluj
1.14
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.17
Minerul Lupeni
1.25
Alexandria
1.33
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
1.33
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
1.33
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.33
Oţelul
1.33
Popești-Leordeni
1.33
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
1.33
Farul Constanta
1.40
Plopeni
1.50
Minaur Baia Mare
1.50
Tunari
1.50
Progresul Pecica
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
Peciu Nou
1.50
Blejoi
1.50
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
1.50
Arges Pitesti
1.60
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.60
Focşani
1.67
Sporting Lieşti
1.67
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
1.67
Agricola Borcea
1.71
Crişul Sântandrei
2.00
Metaloglobus
2.00
Râmnicu Sărat
2.00
Pucioasa
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
Bihor Oradea
2.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
2.00
Progresul Spartac
2.00
Aerostar Bacau
2.00
Târgu Secuiesc
2.00
Sânmartin
2.00
Avântul Periam
2.00
Înainte Modelu
2.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.00
Şomuz Fălticeni
2.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
2.00
Tricolorul Breaza
2.00
Gheorgheni
2.00
Unirea Braniştea
2.00
Gloria Bistriţa
2.00
Urban Titu
2.00
Sporting Roşiori
2.00
Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei
2.33
Uta Arad
2.33
Timişul Şag
2.34
USV Iaşi
2.34
CIL Blaj
2.34
Gloria al Oraşului Geoag
2.34
Victoria Cumpăna
2.34
Soimii Gura Humorului
2.34
Unirea Tășnad
2.34
Prima
2.34
Valenii de Munte
2.34
Viitorul Arad
2.34
Răuceşti
2.34
Săcele
2.34
Academica Balș
2.34
Olimpia Satu Mare
2.34
Sport Team Bucureşti
2.34
Sânandrei
2.34
Păușești
2.34
Speed Academy
2.34
Diosig-Bihardiószeg
2.34
ACS FC Dinamo Bucuresti
2.34
CSM Fetești
2.34
Baicoi
2.34
Voinţa Livezile
2.34
Vulturul Mintiu Gherlii
2.34
Codlea
2.34
Medgidia
2.34
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
2.34
Covurluiul
2.34
CSM Satu Mare
2.50
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.50
Gilortul
2.50
Viitorul Dăești
2.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
2.67
CS Dinamo București
2.78
Olimpic Zărneşti
3.00
Braila
3.00
Viitorul Onesti
3.00
Sighetu Marmaţiei
3.00
Voința Limpeziș
3.00
Filiaşi
3.00
Stiinta Miroslava
3.00
Păuleşti
3.00
CSM Adjud
3.50
ACS Mediaş 2022
4.00
Vediţa Coloneşti
4.00
Unirea Bascov
4.00
LPS HD Clinceni
4.00
Flacăra Moreni
4.00
Cetatea
4.00
Viitorul Cluj
4.00
Municipal Braşov
4.00
Vârfu Câmpului
4.00
Progresul Fundulea
5.00
ACS Târgu Mureș 1898
7.00
Sporting Lieşti is 0.95 goals worse than Metalul Buzău in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 0.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sporting Lieşti or Draw✗ Miss
59.7%
Avg Implied -
38%
21%
40%
covers Sporting Lieşti + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sporting Lieşti or Metalul Buzău✓ Hit
78.7%
Avg Implied -
38%
21%
40%
covers Sporting Lieşti + Metalul Buzău
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Metalul Buzău✓ Hit
61.7%
Avg Implied -
38%
21%
40%
covers Draw + Metalul Buzău
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sporting Lieşti over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.7%
Under
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Lieşti over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
62.0%
Under
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Lieşti over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
35.0%
Under
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Lieşti over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
16.1%
Under
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.4%
Under
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
63.3%
Under
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
36.4%
Under
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
17.1%
Under
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Sporting Lieşti, so a minus line means Sporting Lieşti give that many goals of a start and Metalul Buzău receive them. At -1, Sporting Lieşti must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sporting Lieşti win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sporting Lieşti)Actual: Metalul Buzău
Sporting Lieşti -2
10.2%
Draw -2
11.5%
Metalul Buzău +2
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Sporting Lieşti)Actual: Metalul Buzău
Sporting Lieşti -1
21.7%
Draw -1
16.6%
Metalul Buzău +1
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Sporting Lieşti)Actual: Metalul Buzău
Sporting Lieşti +1
59.7%
Draw +1
17.0%
Metalul Buzău -1
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Sporting Lieşti)Actual: Metalul Buzău
Sporting Lieşti +2
76.7%
Draw +2
12.1%
Metalul Buzău -2
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sporting LieştiSporting Lieşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W11D21W20W01L11DH·UNI31/07A·VOI07/08H·FOC15/08H·UNI06/08A·VII13/08H·CS 27/08H·OŢE28/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.290.571.000.802.000.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.500.501.001.002.000.00
vs Weaker (5)1.200.601.000.752.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalul Buzău) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D20W30W20W10W10W10W00D02LA·POL20/09H·CSM27/09A·TUN04/10H·DUM18/10A·CON25/10H·UNI29/10H·MUS01/11A·CS 08/11H·CSA22/11A·CSM30/11← Liga IICupa României →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.470.530.270.800.67
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (21)0.520.620.400.400.640.82
vs Weaker (8)1.120.121.000.001.250.25
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Lieşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sporting Lieşti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Lieşti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Lieşti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sporting LieştiSporting Lieşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L12L10W01L20W22DH·UNI31/07A·VOI07/08H·FOC15/08H·UNI06/08A·VII13/08H·CS 27/08H·OŢE28/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.001.401.000.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.001.502.002.000.001.00
vs Weaker (5)1.000.801.250.750.001.00
Clean sheet %29% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalul Buzău) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L22D21W01L02L30W10W11D00DA·POL20/09H·CSM27/09A·TUN04/10H·DUM18/10A·CON25/10H·UNI29/10H·MUS01/11A·CS 08/11H·CSA22/11A·CSM30/11← Liga IICupa României →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.830.930.730.930.93
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (21)0.900.810.900.500.911.09
vs Weaker (8)1.120.621.250.751.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Lieşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sporting Lieşti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Lieşti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Lieşti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalul Buzău over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.593.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.593.2%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals88.4%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals87.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.586.2%-------✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals83.9%-------✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals82.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.579.6%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away78.7%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap78.3%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes78.2%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap76.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.574.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
AH (37)
€11m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
AH (13)
€5m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
PP (5)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
AH (9)
€2m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
AH (15)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SL wins
0
Draws
0
MB wins

Head-to-head

Sporting Lieşti vs Metalul Buzău · H/A from SL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Sporting LieştiSporting Lieşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/10/25HSL Vs Oţelul3-3
27/08/25HSL Vs CS Afumati2-1
13/08/25AViitorul Onesti Vs SL1-2
06/08/25HSL Vs Unirea Braniştea3-1
15/08/24HSL Vs Focşani2-3
07/08/24AVoinţa Cudalbi Vs SL1-2
31/07/24HSL Vs Unirea Braniştea2-1

Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/25ACSM Reşiţa Vs MB2-0
22/11/25HMB Vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti1-1
08/11/25ACS Dinamo București Vs MB0-2
01/11/25HMB Vs Muscelul Câmpulung Elite4-0
29/10/25HMB Vs Universitatea Cluj1-2
25/10/25AConcordia Vs MB1-2
18/10/25HMB Vs Dumbrăviţa5-1
04/10/25ATunari Vs MB2-4
27/09/25HMB Vs CSM Satu Mare0-1
20/09/25APolitehnica Iasi Vs MB2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sporting Lieşti
Sporting Lieşti
Romania: Cupa României
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD2.29
HomeWLWWD2.00
AwayWW3.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %71%60%100%
AVG goals3.864.203.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %100%100%100%
Over 3.5 %43%60%0%
Scored2.292.402.00
Conceded1.571.801.00
BTTS100%100%100%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Metalul Buzău
Metalul Buzău
Romania: Cupa României
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.68
HomeLWLWD1.65
AwayLWWWL1.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals2.602.193.04
Over 1.5 %66%58%75%
Over 2.5 %50%42%58%
Over 3.5 %28%19%38%
Scored1.561.421.71
Conceded1.040.771.33
BTTS38%27%50%
Clean Sheet44%50%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

Metalul Buzău plays in Romania - Liga II
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara3169
68%
2.2
5021+29
2.3
58%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.60.7
-
2FC VoluntariFC Voluntari3164
61%
2.1
5124+27
2.4
68%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.60.8
-
3Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe3064
63%
2.1
4923+26
2.4
77%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.60.8
-
4ASA Targu MuresASA Targu Mures2851
54%
1.8
5329+24
2.9
79%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.0
-
5Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău2850
57%
1.8
4932+17
2.9
71%
54%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.81.1
-
6Bihor OradeaBihor Oradea3150
48%
1.6
5645+11
3.3
87%
71%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.5
-
7CSA Steaua BucureştiCSA Steaua Bucureşti3149
48%
1.6
4946+3
3.1
81%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.5
-
8SlatinaSlatina2843
43%
1.5
4032+8
2.6
79%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.41.1
-
9FC BacauFC Bacau2842
43%
1.5
3537-2
2.6
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.3
-
10ConcordiaConcordia2841
43%
1.5
3929+10
2.4
68%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.41.0
-
11Politehnica IasiPolitehnica Iasi2841
43%
1.5
3228+4
2.1
61%
36%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
12CSM ReşiţaCSM Reşiţa2840
43%
1.4
4139+2
2.9
82%
46%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.51.4
-
13Chindia TargovisteChindia Targoviste3040
40%
1.3
4241+1
2.8
77%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.41.4
-
14CS AfumatiCS Afumati2837
39%
1.3
3835+3
2.6
71%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.2
-
15Gloria BistriţaGloria Bistriţa2834
32%
1.2
3937+2
2.7
82%
57%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.3
-
16Viitorul ŞelimbărViitorul Şelimbăr3034
30%
1.1
3842-4
2.7
73%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.4
-
17DumbrăviţaDumbrăviţa2832
32%
1.1
3140-9
2.5
64%
46%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.4
-
18CSM Satu MareCSM Satu Mare2828
29%
1.0
3554-19
3.2
79%
57%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.9
-
19TunariTunari2827
21%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
86%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
20CS Dinamo BucureștiCS Dinamo București3026
20%
0.9
2948-19
2.6
83%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.6
-
21Ceahlăul Piatra NeamţCeahlăul Piatra Neamţ2820
18%
0.7
2462-38
3.1
86%
61%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
22Muscelul Câmpulung EliteMuscelul Câmpulung Elite2811
7%
0.4
1472-58
3.1
71%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.6
-
Romania: Liga II 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →

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