SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Result & Analysis

The contest between SpVgg Greuther Führth and Fortuna Düsseldorf is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win at 40 %. The draw sits at 28 % and the away side at 32 %. The expected total of goals is 2.7, so a modest 2-goal match is most likely, with a 13.4 % chance of a 1-1 scoreline. Greuther Führth, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.43 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Fortuna, on the road, has only 0.46 goals per game but concedes 1.31. The suggested picks are: Over 2.5 cards 82.5 %, Over 19.5 fouls 77.9 %, Over 1.5 76.5 %, Under 11.5 corners 73.3 %, Under 3.5 71.2 %, and Under 5.5 cards 70.6 %. The match’s edge lies in the high card and foul totals, while the corner count is expected to stay below 11.5. All figures are presented as percentages, and the single most likely scoreline remains 1-1.

SpVgg Greuther Fü rth’s recent run of LDWLW, now coming off a defeat, was enough to keep the home side’s confidence high, and the model’s pick of a Home win at 40 % proved correct as the final score was 3-0. The pre-match favourite was the Home win, and the model’s selection was right. The suggested picks all hit except the Under 5.5 cards, which missed. Over 2.5 cards hit at 82.5 %, Over 19.5 fouls at 77.9 %, Over 1.5 at 76.5 %, Under 11.5 corners at 73.3 %, Under 3.5 at 71.2 %, and Under 5.5 cards missed at 70.6 %. The game delivered on the model’s expectations.