This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.43
1.20
1.47
1.47
1.40
vs Stronger (24)
1.25
1.62
1.33
1.75
1.17
1.50
vs Similar (6)
1.67
0.67
0.67
0.33
2.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.3%
Under 1.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.0%
@ 1.63-5.9%
Under 2.5
48.0%
@ 2.24+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.8%
Under 3.5
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.4%
No
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-0 ✓
8.5%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.3%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth goals ↓
Wehen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
6.0%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
1
9.2%
13%
6.5%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.5%
9.5%
5.3%
2.0%
0.6%
3
4.6%
5.2%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.9%
2.1%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SpVgg Greuther Fürth goals (down), columns = Wehen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Holstein Kiel
2.06
FC St. Pauli
2.03
Jahn Regensburg
2.00
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.83
Hamburger SV
1.72
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
Hannover 96
1.56
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
Hertha BSC
1.33
FC Schalke 04
1.31
SV Elversberg
1.28
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.22
1. FC Nürnberg
1.22
1. FC Magdeburg
1.17
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.11
Hansa Rostock
0.94
Wehen
0.94
SV Wehen
0.92
VfL Osnabrück
0.86
SpVgg Greuther Fürth is 0.61 points better than Wehen in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2.08
Jahn Regensburg
2.00
Hertha BSC
1.94
Karlsruher SC
1.94
Holstein Kiel
1.92
Hamburger SV
1.89
FC St. Pauli
1.81
Hannover 96
1.72
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.69
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.58
FC Schalke 04
1.53
SV Elversberg
1.42
1. FC Magdeburg
1.33
1. FC Nürnberg
1.28
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.14
SV Wehen
1.08
Wehen
1.06
Hansa Rostock
0.92
VfL Osnabrück
0.89
SpVgg Greuther Fürth is 0.52 goals better than Wehen in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC St. Pauli
1.06
Holstein Kiel
1.14
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.19
Hannover 96
1.25
Hamburger SV
1.25
Karlsruher SC
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.44
Wehen
1.47
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.50
SV Wehen
1.50
Jahn Regensburg
1.50
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
SC Paderborn 07
1.56
Hansa Rostock
1.64
FC Schalke 04
1.69
Hertha BSC
1.75
SV Elversberg
1.83
1. FC Nürnberg
1.83
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.86
VfL Osnabrück
1.97
SpVgg Greuther Fürth is 0.03 goals better than Wehen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
1. FC Magdeburg
61%
FC St. Pauli
57%
Hamburger SV
57%
SC Paderborn 07
54%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
53%
Holstein Kiel
52%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
52%
Karlsruher SC
51%
Hannover 96
51%
FC Schalke 04
50%
SV Elversberg
48%
Hertha BSC
47%
SV Wehen
46%
VfL Osnabrück
46%
1. FC Nürnberg
46%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
44%
Hansa Rostock
43%
Eintracht Braunschweig
42%
Jahn Regensburg
32%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
For 7.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 13.2 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
W
Wehen
For 5.0 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 12.0 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.4
11.2
1.5
1.7
1.4
26.1
23.2
29.0
vs Stronger (3)
13.0
-
13.0
2.0
0.0
3.0
24.0
-
24.0
vs Similar (40)
10.2
9.2
11.2
1.5
1.8
1.2
26.9
23.7
30.2
vs Weaker (7)
10.0
10.0
10.0
1.4
1.5
1.3
23.7
22.0
27.0
% over line
75%
62%
88%
20%
16%
24%
81%
75%
88%
% under line
25%
38%
12%
80%
84%
76%
19%
25%
12%
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (47)
10.3
10.5
10.1
4.7
4.3
5.0
24.3
24.1
24.4
vs Stronger (37)
10.6
10.4
10.9
4.5
4.2
4.9
23.5
23.4
23.7
vs Similar (10)
9.1
10.8
7.4
5.2
4.8
5.6
27.0
26.8
27.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
58%
57%
72%
67%
78%
70%
67%
74%
% under line
43%
42%
43%
28%
33%
22%
30%
33%
26%
This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Nürnberg
11.4
Hamburger SV
11.2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.9
SV Wehen
10.5
FC Schalke 04
10.5
VfL Osnabrück
10.4
Hannover 96
10.3
Wehen
10.3
Hansa Rostock
10.3
Hertha BSC
10.2
Holstein Kiel
10.2
SC Paderborn 07
10.1
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
9.9
SV Elversberg
9.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9.8
Karlsruher SC
9.7
1. FC Magdeburg
9.3
FC St. Pauli
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Wehen
5.2
1. FC Magdeburg
5.1
Hamburger SV
5.0
1. FC Nürnberg
4.8
Wehen
4.7
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.6
Holstein Kiel
4.5
SV Elversberg
4.5
Hansa Rostock
4.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.4
FC Schalke 04
4.4
VfL Osnabrück
4.3
SC Paderborn 07
4.3
Hannover 96
4.2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.2
Karlsruher SC
4.1
FC St. Pauli
4.0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3.8
Hertha BSC
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
1. FC Kaiserslautern
27.4
VfL Osnabrück
26.6
1. FC Magdeburg
26.0
Eintracht Braunschweig
25.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
25.8
Hertha BSC
24.9
SV Elversberg
24.5
Hansa Rostock
24.5
Wehen
24.3
1. FC Nürnberg
24.2
SV Wehen
24.2
Hannover 96
24.0
FC Schalke 04
23.7
Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.2
Holstein Kiel
23.1
SC Paderborn 07
22.1
FC St. Pauli
22.1
Hamburger SV
21.9
Karlsruher SC
21.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.1%
Under 9.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.5%
Under 3.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
73.5%
Under 21.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.62
0.44
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
-
-
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.67
0.69
0.54
0.55
0.82
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.00
0.33
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.53
0.80
0.93
0.40
vs Stronger (24)
0.62
0.62
0.58
0.92
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (6)
1.17
0.50
0.33
0.33
2.00
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.70
1.44
0.44
0.43
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.88
0.75
1.23
0.38
0.45
1.18
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.50
2.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.53
1.00
vs Stronger (24)
0.62
1.00
0.75
0.83
0.50
1.17
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.17
0.33
0.00
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Armindo Sieb30%
Branimir Hrgota27%
Tim Lemperle19%
Julian Green16%
Dickson Abiama15%
Damian Michalski10%
Robert Wagner10%
Simon Asta6%
Jomaine Consbruch4%
Gideon Jung4%
Lukas Petkov3%
Dennis Srbeny3%
Oussama Haddadi0%
Gian-Luca Itter0%
Niko Giesselmann0%
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou0%
Marco Meyerhofer0%
Maximilian Dietz0%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Oualid Mhamdi0%
Philipp Müller0%
Leander Popp0%
Daniel Pfaffenroth0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gideon Jung32%
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou29%
Maximilian Dietz23%
Daniel Pfaffenroth20%
Philipp Müller17%
Julian Green16%
Simon Asta16%
Branimir Hrgota15%
Damian Michalski14%
Robert Wagner13%
Lukas Petkov10%
Niko Giesselmann10%
Oualid Mhamdi10%
Marco Meyerhofer10%
Jonas Urbig9%
Armindo Sieb9%
Dickson Abiama8%
Oussama Haddadi7%
Gian-Luca Itter7%
Dennis Srbeny6%
Tim Lemperle6%
Jomaine Consbruch4%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu0%
Leander Popp0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julian Green20%
Tim Lemperle16%
Branimir Hrgota15%
Robert Wagner13%
Simon Asta12%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu9%
Dickson Abiama8%
Dennis Srbeny6%
Jomaine Consbruch4%
Oussama Haddadi4%
Gideon Jung4%
Damian Michalski3%
Lukas Petkov3%
Armindo Sieb3%
Gian-Luca Itter0%
Niko Giesselmann0%
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou0%
Marco Meyerhofer0%
Maximilian Dietz0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Oualid Mhamdi0%
Philipp Müller0%
Leander Popp0%
Daniel Pfaffenroth0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Branimir Hrgota27%
Armindo Sieb21%
Dickson Abiama15%
Tim Lemperle12%
Julian Green8%
Lukas Petkov7%
Dennis Srbeny6%
Robert Wagner3%
Oussama Haddadi0%
Gideon Jung0%
Simon Asta0%
Gian-Luca Itter0%
Niko Giesselmann0%
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou0%
Marco Meyerhofer0%
Damian Michalski0%
Jomaine Consbruch0%
Maximilian Dietz0%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Oualid Mhamdi0%
Philipp Müller0%
Leander Popp0%
Daniel Pfaffenroth0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
Hannover 96
Hertha BSC
FC Schalke 04
SV Elversberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Hansa Rostock
SV Wehen
VfL Osnabrück
Jahn Regensburg