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St. Andrews vs Melita Result & Analysis

Date: 26/11/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 0-3
St. Andrews
St. Andrews
Vs
39%
26%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Melita
Melita
Malta: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Andrews win✗ Miss
39.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Melita win✓ Hit
35.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

St. AndrewsSt. Andrews

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L02L22D02L12L11D31W01L01L02LH·LIJ10/04A·FGU16/04H·MAR22/04A·FGU17/09H·LIJ23/09A·ATT30/09H·ZEB22/10A·ZEJ26/10H·SEN29/10A·SWI04/11
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.371.501.561.001.14
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (19)1.111.421.181.821.000.88
vs Weaker (10)1.701.102.201.001.201.20
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Melita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MelitaMelita

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L23L50W21W22D40W33D20W04L21WA·SLI08/04H·ZEJ16/04A·NAX22/04H·TAR17/09A·PIE24/09H·MSI01/10A·MAR21/10H·ZUR24/10A·ZAB28/10H·LUQ04/11
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.331.801.131.471.53
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.001.500.001.00
vs Similar (21)1.761.572.001.441.581.67
vs Weaker (6)2.000.502.250.251.501.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Andrews) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.4%
Under 1.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.1%
Under 2.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.8%
Under 3.5
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.0%
No
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
St. Andrews goals ↓
Melita goals →
01234
05.3%5.5%5.0%2.5%1.0%
15.9%12%8.1%4.1%1.6%
25.6%8.6%6.6%3.4%1.3%
33.1%4.7%3.6%1.8%0.7%
41.2%1.9%1.5%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = St. Andrews goals (down), columns = Melita goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Melita
2.36
Zabbar St. Patrick
2.04
Marsa
1.60
Swieqi United
1.58
Fgura United
1.54
Pietà Hotspurs
1.52
Senglea Athletic
1.40
Zurrieq
1.40
Lija Athletic
1.33
Tarxien Rainbows
1.29
Luqa St. Andrew's
1.24
Zebbug Rangers
1.21
Zejtun Corinthians
1.12
St. Andrews
1.12
Attard
0.75
Msida St. Joseph
0.33
St. Andrews is 1.24 points worse than Melita in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 2.36).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Melita
2.24
Marsa
1.76
Fgura United
1.62
Zabbar St. Patrick
1.52
Zebbug Rangers
1.50
Swieqi United
1.42
Pietà Hotspurs
1.40
Luqa St. Andrew's
1.32
Lija Athletic
1.29
Tarxien Rainbows
1.25
St. Andrews
1.16
Senglea Athletic
1.12
Zurrieq
1.08
Zejtun Corinthians
0.96
Attard
0.92
Msida St. Joseph
0.67
St. Andrews is 1.08 goals worse than Melita in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 2.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zabbar St. Patrick
0.80
Tarxien Rainbows
0.92
Swieqi United
0.96
Melita
0.96
Zejtun Corinthians
1.00
Senglea Athletic
1.08
Marsa
1.20
Pietà Hotspurs
1.24
Fgura United
1.33
St. Andrews
1.40
Zebbug Rangers
1.42
Zurrieq
1.44
Luqa St. Andrew's
1.60
Lija Athletic
1.83
Attard
1.92
Msida St. Joseph
2.21
St. Andrews is 0.44 goals worse than Melita in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 0.96).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

St. AndrewsSt. Andrews

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D10W00D02L01L01L11D01L02LA·VIT26/02H·ATT04/03A·QRE12/03H·SWI31/03A·FGU16/04H·MAR22/04H·LIJ23/09A·ATT30/09H·SEN29/10A·SWI04/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.480.930.440.940.540.92
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (20)0.350.950.251.080.500.75
vs Weaker (8)0.880.751.000.500.751.00
Clean sheet %41% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Melita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MelitaMelita

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D02L50W20W12L30W10W10W01L01LA·SLI08/04H·ZEJ16/04A·NAX22/04H·TAR17/09A·PIE24/09H·MSI01/10A·MAR21/10H·ZUR24/10A·ZAB28/10H·LUQ04/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.530.880.501.000.57
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (22)1.000.550.890.441.080.62
vs Weaker (5)1.200.401.200.40--
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Andrews) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
St. Andrews over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Melita over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Melita over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Melita over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

St. AndrewsSt. Andrews

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W10W00D00D21W11D00D00D00DA·VIT26/02H·ATT04/03A·QRE12/03H·SWI31/03A·FGU16/04H·MAR22/04H·LIJ23/09A·ATT30/09H·SEN29/10A·SWI04/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.760.520.880.560.620.46
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.750.600.830.580.620.62
vs Weaker (8)0.880.251.000.500.750.00
Clean sheet %59% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Melita) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MelitaMelita

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W00D01L10W10W23L10W03L20WA·SLI08/04H·ZEJ16/04A·NAX22/04H·TAR17/09A·PIE24/09H·MSI01/10A·MAR21/10H·ZUR24/10A·ZAB28/10H·LUQ04/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.930.940.810.641.07
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.500.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.861.051.111.000.691.08
vs Weaker (5)1.000.601.000.60--
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Andrews) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
St. Andrews over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Melita over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Melita over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Melita over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZSP (24)
€4m
TR (8)
€1m
SU (2)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZSP (6)
€1m
TR (2)
€0m
SU (2)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZSP (6)
€1m
TR (2)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZSP (12)
€2m
TR (4)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SA wins
0
Draws
1
MEL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

St. Andrews vs Melita · H/A from SA
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/22AMelita Vs SA6-2

St. AndrewsSt. Andrews

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/23ASwieqi United Vs SA2-0
29/10/23HSA Vs Senglea Athletic0-1
26/10/23AZejtun Corinthians Vs SA1-0
22/10/23HSA Vs Zebbug Rangers3-1
30/09/23AAttard Vs SA1-1
23/09/23HSA Vs Lija Athletic1-2
17/09/23AFgura United Vs SA2-0
22/04/23HSA Vs Marsaskala2-2
16/04/23AFgura United Vs SA2-0
10/04/23HSA Vs Lija Athletic1-3

MelitaMelita

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/23HMEL Vs Luqa St. Andrew's2-1
28/10/23AZabbar St. Patrick Vs MEL4-0
24/10/23HMEL Vs Zurrieq2-0
21/10/23AMarsa Vs MEL3-3
01/10/23HMEL Vs Msida St. Joseph4-0
24/09/23APietà Hotspurs Vs MEL2-2
17/09/23HMEL Vs Tarxien Rainbows2-1
22/04/23ANaxxar Lions Vs MEL0-5
16/04/23HMEL Vs Zejtun Corinthians2-3
08/04/23ASliema Wanderers Vs MEL1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

St. Andrews
St. Andrews
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.26
HomeLDLWL1.28
AwayLLDLL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%33%35%
AVG goals2.632.942.29
Over 1.5 %80%89%71%
Over 2.5 %43%61%24%
Over 3.5 %29%39%18%
Scored1.201.391.00
Conceded1.431.561.29
BTTS46%67%24%
Clean Sheet26%11%41%
Corners---
Cards---
Melita
Melita
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.41
HomeLWWWW1.59
AwayLWDDL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%47%29%
AVG goals3.063.123.00
Over 1.5 %82%82%82%
Over 2.5 %62%65%59%
Over 3.5 %35%29%41%
Scored1.681.821.53
Conceded1.381.291.47
BTTS44%59%29%
Clean Sheet29%24%35%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MelitaMelita2559
72%
2.4
5624+32
3.2
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
2Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick2551
60%
2.0
3820+18
2.3
60%
36%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.50.8
-
3MarsaMarsa2540
44%
1.6
4430+14
3.0
76%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
4Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United2438
42%
1.6
3423+11
2.4
62%
42%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
5Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs2538
44%
1.5
3531+4
2.6
68%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
6Fgura UnitedFgura United2437
42%
1.5
3932+7
3.0
71%
54%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
7Senglea AthleticSenglea Athletic2535
36%
1.4
2827+1
2.2
60%
32%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
8ZurrieqZurrieq2535
40%
1.4
2736-9
2.5
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
9Lija AthleticLija Athletic2432
38%
1.3
3144-13
3.1
83%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
10Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows2431
29%
1.3
3022+8
2.2
46%
38%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.20.9
-
11Luqa St. AndrewLuqa St. Andrew's2531
32%
1.2
3340-7
2.9
72%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
12Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers2429
33%
1.2
3634+2
2.9
79%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
13St. AndrewsSt. Andrews2528
28%
1.1
2935-6
2.6
68%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
14Zejtun CorinthiansZejtun Corinthians2427
25%
1.1
2324-1
2.0
54%
25%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15AttardAttard2418
17%
0.8
2246-24
2.8
83%
46%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
16Msida St. JosephMsida St. Joseph248
8%
0.3
1653-37
2.9
75%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
Malta: Challenge League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Challenge League stats & trends →

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