ST Johnstone are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 66% chance of a home win, 21% for a draw and 14% for an East Fife victory. The 66% figure reflects the Saints’ strong home form, scoring an average of 1.93 goals and conceding only 0.5 against similar opposition, while East Fife have struggled away, scoring just 0.83 and conceding 1.33. The expected total of 3.2 goals points to a lively affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 2-0 for the home side, with a 10.3% probability. The model’s selection list includes an array of low-foul and low-goal picks: Under 25.5 fouls (99.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.4%), Under 7.5 (98.3%), Under 23.5 fouls (98.2%), Under 6.5 (95.5%), Home +2 handicap (95.1%), Under 21.5 fouls (95.0%) and Away under 2.5 goals (92.8%). These reflect the expectation of a tight, low-foul contest dominated by the home side’s defensive solidity.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, ST Johnstone, failed to deliver, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call incorrect. The model had given ST Johnstone a 66% chance of victory, yet the result was a stalemate. The final score of 1-1 matched the actual outcome, confirming the draw. The model’s selection for a home win was wrong, while every other suggested pick hit: Under 25.5 fouls at 99.4%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.4%, Under 7.5 at 98.3%, Under 23.5 fouls at 98.2%, Under 6.5 at 95.5%, Home +2 handicap at 95.1%, Under 21.5 fouls at 95.0%, and Away under 2.5 goals at 92.8%. The upset underscored the volatility of the competition.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
ST Johnstone win✗ Miss
65.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
20.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
East Fife win✗ Miss
13.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
ST Johnstone
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.53
1.87
0.47
1.40
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.63
0.48
1.93
0.50
1.31
0.46
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Fife
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.67
0.93
1.67
0.73
1.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.87
1.57
0.91
1.82
0.83
1.33
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
2.00
1.00
1.25
0.33
3.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.0%
Under 2.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.7%
Under 3.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.9%
No
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
1-1 ✓
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
ST Johnstone goals ↓
East Fife goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
3.0%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
1
8.3%
9.6%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
2
10%
9.8%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
3
7.7%
7.3%
3.5%
1.1%
0.3%
4
4.3%
4.1%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ST Johnstone goals (down), columns = East Fife goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
Partick
2.50
ST Johnstone
2.40
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Motherwell
2.29
ST Mirren
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Celtic
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Falkirk
2.00
Rangers
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Ross County
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Queen's Park
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Inverness CT
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Clyde
1.25
Stranraer
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Forfar
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Edinburgh City
0.25
Annan Athletic
0.25
Elgin
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
ST Johnstone is 1.40 points better than East Fife in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
Celtic
3.00
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
Ross County
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Rangers
2.33
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Inverness CT
2.25
Partick
2.17
Morton
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Motherwell
1.57
Arbroath
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Cove Rangers
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Elgin
0.50
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Brechin
0.00
ST Johnstone is 2.33 goals better than East Fife in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 0.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
ST Johnstone
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Celtic
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Rangers
1.67
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Stirling
2.25
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
ST Johnstone is 1.40 goals better than East Fife in terms of goals conceded per game (0.60 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
ST Johnstone
For 7.3 · Against 3.3 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 12.0 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
East Fife
For 4.2 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 9.6 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Johnstone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.0
9.7
1.3
1.4
1.2
21.8
25.3
18.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
10.0
10.0
10.0
1.4
1.5
1.3
22.5
25.3
19.7
vs Weaker (5)
8.0
-
8.0
0.4
0.0
0.7
13.0
-
13.0
% over line
46%
50%
43%
22%
27%
17%
62%
83%
43%
% under line
54%
50%
57%
78%
73%
83%
38%
17%
57%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Fife
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.0
9.0
3.1
3.3
2.9
22.8
23.0
22.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (37)
9.2
9.4
9.0
3.2
3.4
2.9
22.8
23.5
22.0
vs Weaker (13)
10.5
11.8
9.2
2.8
2.8
2.9
23.0
21.7
24.3
% over line
48%
55%
41%
44%
44%
44%
57%
64%
50%
% under line
52%
45%
59%
56%
56%
56%
43%
36%
50%
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
ST Johnstone
10.2
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.8
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Hamilton Academical
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.1
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Dundee
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Cove Rangers
3.2
Inverness CT
3.2
Hamilton Academical
3.0
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Falkirk
24.5
Kilmarnock
24.4
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
ST Johnstone
22.4
Montrose
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Inverness CT
21.6
Dunfermline
21.3
Ross County
21.0
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Hamilton Academical
9.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
63.4%
Under 9.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.3%
Under 3.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
5.0%
Under 21.5
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ST Johnstone or Draw✓ Hit
86.1%
Avg Implied -
66%
21%
14%
covers ST Johnstone + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone or East Fife✗ Miss
79.4%
Avg Implied -
66%
21%
14%
covers ST Johnstone + East Fife
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or East Fife✓ Hit
34.4%
Avg Implied -
66%
21%
14%
covers Draw + East Fife
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
89.4%
Under
10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
65.6%
Under
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
38.9%
Under
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
18.9%
Under
81.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
61.6%
Under
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
24.8%
Under
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.2%
Under
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to ST Johnstone, so a minus line means ST Johnstone give that many goals of a start and East Fife receive them. At -1, ST Johnstone must win by two or more to land; a one-goal ST Johnstone win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (ST Johnstone)Actual: East Fife
ST Johnstone -2
23.4%
Draw -2
19.9%
East Fife +2
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (ST Johnstone)Actual: East Fife
ST Johnstone -1
43.3%
Draw -1
22.3%
East Fife +1
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (ST Johnstone)Actual: ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone +1
86.1%
Draw +1
9.0%
East Fife -1
4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (ST Johnstone)Actual: ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone +2
95.1%
Draw +2
3.6%
East Fife -2
1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ST Johnstone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.37
1.07
0.33
0.27
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.67
0.33
1.07
0.36
0.23
0.31
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Fife
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.83
0.27
0.80
0.40
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.39
0.91
0.36
1.00
0.42
0.83
vs Weaker (7)
0.14
0.57
0.00
0.25
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ST Johnstone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.17
0.80
0.13
1.13
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.96
0.15
0.86
0.14
1.08
0.15
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
83% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
East Fife
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.67
0.87
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.65
0.55
0.82
0.42
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
1.43
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 19.5 fouls
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
ST Johnstone's squad is €5m more valuable than East Fife's (€5m vs €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
ST Johnstone's attack is €2m more valuable than East Fife's (€2m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
ST Johnstone and East Fife have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
ST Johnstone's defence is €2m more valuable than East Fife's (€2m vs €0m).
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Celtic
Dundee
ST Mirren
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
Aberdeen
Rangers
Falkirk
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
Hamilton Academical
Ross County
East Kilbride
Alloa Athletic
Peterhead
Cove Rangers
Montrose
Airdrie United
Queen of the South