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ST Johnstone vs Morton Result & Analysis

Date: 20/07/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
Vs
35%
30%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Morton
Morton
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ST Johnstone win✓ Hit
34.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Morton win✗ Miss
34.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L12L21W02L13L01L12L11D21W21WA·CEL16/03H·DUN30/03A·HIB06/04H·KIL13/04H·HIB27/04A·ABE04/05A·LIV11/05H·ROS15/05A·MOT19/05A·BRE13/07
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.330.931.400.931.27
vs Stronger (12)0.751.580.671.830.831.33
vs Similar (17)1.001.181.111.110.881.25
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L11D11D14L21W00D00D13L03L10WA·AIR06/04A·AYR09/04A·AYR09/04H·DUN12/04A·ARB20/04H·RAI27/04H·RAI27/04A·INV03/05A·EAS13/07H·BRE16/07
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.871.270.671.001.07
vs Stronger (5)0.801.400.331.671.501.00
vs Similar (25)1.200.761.500.420.921.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.8%
Under 1.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.2%
Under 2.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.5%
Under 3.5
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.7%
0-1
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-0 ✓
6.5%
ST Johnstone goals ↓
Morton goals →
01234
011%9.8%6.6%2.6%0.8%
19.7%14%7.8%3.1%0.9%
26.5%7.8%4.6%1.8%0.5%
32.6%3.1%1.8%0.7%0.2%
40.8%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ST Johnstone goals (down), columns = Morton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Livingston
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
Falkirk
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
ST Johnstone
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
Queen's Park
1.80
Airdrie United
1.80
Partick
1.75
Montrose
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Morton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Kilmarnock
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Inverness CT
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Dumbarton
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
Elgin
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Buckie Thistle
0.00
ST Johnstone is 0.30 points better than Morton in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Queen's Park
3.20
Airdrie United
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Rangers
2.50
Falkirk
2.50
Clyde
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Ross County
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Livingston
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Buckie Thistle
1.25
Dumbarton
1.00
Dunfermline
1.00
Stranraer
1.00
Morton
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Elgin
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Inverness CT
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Brechin
0.50
Stirling
0.50
Kelty Hearts
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Kilmarnock
0.00
ST Mirren
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
ST Johnstone is 1.45 goals better than Morton in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 0.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
Dundee
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
ST Mirren
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
Falkirk
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Dundee Utd
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Montrose
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
Ayr Utd
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Celtic
1.50
Morton
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Stirling
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Brechin
2.50
Stranraer
2.50
Peterhead
2.75
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
Edinburgh City
4.00
East Kilbride
4.00
Buckie Thistle
4.25
ST Johnstone is 0.10 goals better than Morton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

For 4.0 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

160374484471726313112210221081211881613124A·MOTH·ROSA·LIVA·ABEH·HIBH·KILA·HIBH·DUNA·CELH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

6011412211215132241533136344A·MOTH·ROSA·LIVA·ABEH·HIBA·HIBH·DUNA·CELH·LIVA·ABE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 9.9 · Total 19.9

⚠️ Fouls

3109761191215101188146689136151616172125192212171931A·MOTH·ROSA·LIVA·ABEH·HIBH·KILA·HIBH·DUNA·CELH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MortonMorton

For 5.3 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

11062177174518137888116910H·RAIA·AYRH·QUEA·RAIA·QUEH·AYRH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

6021324233122413566145H·RAIA·AYRH·QUEA·RAIA·QUEH·AYRH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 11.0 · Total 24.0

⚠️ Fouls

310138191213121213117141391221312525182721H·RAIA·AYRH·QUEA·RAIA·QUEH·AYRH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.48.911.82.83.22.421.723.419.9
vs Stronger (20)10.98.812.83.33.43.221.122.819.6
vs Similar (29)10.09.110.92.63.12.122.123.820.3
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line55%37%74%42%48%36%50%63%37%
% under line45%63%26%58%52%64%50%37%63%
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.68.710.51.31.31.423.723.224.2
vs Stronger (8)10.09.011.03.52.24.821.820.523.0
vs Similar (42)9.48.510.20.91.10.824.624.524.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line50%33%67%20%20%20%50%50%50%
% under line50%67%33%80%80%80%50%50%50%
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.9
Rangers
11.3
Heart Of Midlothian
11.2
Dundee
11.1
Dundee Utd
11.1
Ross County
11.1
Kelty Hearts
11.0
Morton
10.9
ST Mirren
10.8
Motherwell
10.8
Falkirk
10.8
Kilmarnock
10.7
Arbroath
10.7
Dunfermline
10.7
Aberdeen
10.5
Dumbarton
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.3
Hibernian
10.3
Stirling
10.3
Montrose
10.2
ST Johnstone
10.1
Cove Rangers
10.1
Forfar
10.1
Annan Athletic
10.0
Partick
10.0
Brechin
10.0
Inverness CT
10.0
Edinburgh City
10.0
Stranraer
9.9
Airdrie United
9.9
Clyde
9.8
East Fife
9.6
Livingston
9.5
Spartans
9.4
Peterhead
8.8
Elgin
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.8
Annan Athletic
4.7
Heart Of Midlothian
4.3
Morton
4.3
Rangers
4.2
Aberdeen
4.1
Kilmarnock
4.0
Dumbarton
4.0
Stenhousemuir
4.0
Dundee
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Hibernian
4.0
Falkirk
4.0
Montrose
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
ST Johnstone
3.8
Ross County
3.8
East Fife
3.7
Dunfermline
3.6
Elgin
3.6
Edinburgh City
3.6
Celtic
3.6
Kelty Hearts
3.6
Stranraer
3.5
Brechin
3.5
Partick
3.5
Livingston
3.5
Arbroath
3.4
Clyde
3.4
Forfar
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Spartans
3.2
ST Mirren
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Inverness CT
2.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.8
Aberdeen
24.2
Livingston
23.9
Elgin
23.7
Forfar
23.7
Kilmarnock
22.8
Heart Of Midlothian
22.7
Motherwell
22.4
ST Johnstone
22.3
Morton
22.3
Ross County
22.2
Dundee Utd
22.2
Rangers
21.9
Stenhousemuir
21.9
Falkirk
21.8
Kelty Hearts
21.7
Hibernian
21.6
East Fife
21.5
ST Mirren
21.3
Montrose
21.1
Annan Athletic
20.9
Arbroath
20.9
Spartans
20.9
Dumbarton
20.5
Edinburgh City
20.4
Clyde
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Stirling
20.2
Stranraer
20.0
Dundee
20.0
Partick
19.9
Celtic
19.5
Inverness CT
19.3
Dunfermline
19.3
Cove Rangers
18.8
Airdrie United
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.8%
Under 9.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
72.1%
Under 3.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.6%
Under 21.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ST Johnstone or Draw✓ Hit
65.1%
Avg Implied -
35%
30%
35%
covers ST Johnstone + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone or Morton✓ Hit
69.5%
Avg Implied -
35%
30%
35%
covers ST Johnstone + Morton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Morton✗ Miss
65.4%
Avg Implied -
35%
30%
35%
covers Draw + Morton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.3%
Under
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
33.1%
Under
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.7%
Under
88.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
69.5%
Under
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.3%
Under
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.8%
Under
88.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to ST Johnstone, so a minus line means ST Johnstone give that many goals of a start and Morton receive them. At -1, ST Johnstone must win by two or more to land; a one-goal ST Johnstone win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (ST Johnstone)Actual: Draw
ST Johnstone -2
4.9%
Draw -2
10.2%
Morton +2
84.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (ST Johnstone)Actual: ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone -1
15.1%
Draw -1
19.5%
Morton +1
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (ST Johnstone)Actual: ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone +1
65.1%
Draw +1
19.7%
Morton -1
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (ST Johnstone)Actual: ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone +2
84.7%
Draw +2
10.3%
Morton -2
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D01L02L00D10W01L20W10WA·CEL16/03H·DUN30/03A·HIB06/04H·KIL13/04H·HIB27/04A·ABE04/05A·LIV11/05H·ROS15/05A·MOT19/05A·BRE13/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.430.400.530.470.33
vs Stronger (12)0.170.420.170.500.170.33
vs Similar (17)0.590.470.560.560.620.38
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D11D02L00D00D00D11D02L00DA·AIR06/04A·AYR09/04A·AYR09/04H·DUN12/04A·ARB20/04H·RAI27/04H·RAI27/04A·INV03/05A·EAS13/07H·BRE16/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.500.400.330.470.67
vs Stronger (5)0.401.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.440.400.500.170.380.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D21W01L11D01L02L10W01L11DA·CEL16/03H·DUN30/03A·HIB06/04H·KIL13/04H·HIB27/04A·ABE04/05A·LIV11/05H·ROS15/05A·MOT19/05A·BRE13/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.900.530.870.470.93
vs Stronger (12)0.581.170.501.330.671.00
vs Similar (17)0.410.710.560.560.250.88
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D12L21W00D00D02L01L10WA·AIR06/04A·AYR09/04A·AYR09/04H·DUN12/04A·ARB20/04H·RAI27/04H·RAI27/04A·INV03/05A·EAS13/07H·BRE16/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.370.870.330.530.40
vs Stronger (5)0.400.400.330.670.500.00
vs Similar (25)0.760.361.000.250.540.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals96.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.596.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.590.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals88.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals88.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls86.8%--------
Over 2.5 cards86.7%--------
Away +2 handicap84.9%-------✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap84.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners79.2%--------
Under 3.578.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls75.6%--------
Over 3.5 cards72.1%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

ST Johnstone
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Elliot Watt25%
Makenzie Kirk23%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka19%
Nicky Clark17%
Daniels Balodis15%
Božo Mikulić14%
Graham Carey12%
Josh McPake8%
Taylor Steven7%
Adama Sidibeh6%
Jack Sanders5%
Drey Wright3%
Sven Sprangler0%
Víctor Griffith0%
Barry Douglas0%
Jason Holt0%
Matthew Smith0%
Uche Ikpeazu0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Cameron MacPherson0%
Jonathan Svedberg0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Kyle Cameron0%
David Keltjens0%
Joshua Rae0%
Stephen Duke-McKenna0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Sam Curtis0%
André Raymond0%
Maksym Kucheriavyi0%
Aaron Essel0%
Franio Franczak0%
Zach Mitchell0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Uche Ikpeazu50%
Cameron MacPherson43%
Aaron Essel33%
André Raymond29%
Jason Holt29%
Sven Sprangler27%
Elliot Watt25%
Maksym Kucheriavyi25%
Jonathan Svedberg20%
Barry Douglas19%
Jack Sanders18%
Lewis Neilson18%
Adama Sidibeh13%
Zach Mitchell12%
Matthew Smith10%
Víctor Griffith9%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka8%
Sam Curtis8%
Andrew Fisher7%
Joshua Rae7%
Taylor Steven7%
Nicky Clark7%
Drey Wright6%
Graham Carey3%
Makenzie Kirk3%
Božo Mikulić0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Kyle Cameron0%
David Keltjens0%
Josh McPake0%
Stephen Duke-McKenna0%
Franio Franczak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maksym Kucheriavyi25%
Jonathan Svedberg20%
Josh McPake15%
Elliot Watt12%
André Raymond12%
Graham Carey9%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka8%
Sam Curtis8%
Nicky Clark7%
Aaron Essel7%
Adama Sidibeh6%
Matthew Smith5%
Jack Sanders5%
Makenzie Kirk3%
Sven Sprangler0%
Víctor Griffith0%
Božo Mikulić0%
Barry Douglas0%
Jason Holt0%
Uche Ikpeazu0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Drey Wright0%
Cameron MacPherson0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Kyle Cameron0%
David Keltjens0%
Joshua Rae0%
Stephen Duke-McKenna0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Taylor Steven0%
Franio Franczak0%
Zach Mitchell0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Uche Ikpeazu50%
Adama Sidibeh26%
Makenzie Kirk17%
Elliot Watt12%
Stephen Duke-McKenna9%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka8%
Josh McPake8%
Nicky Clark3%
Drey Wright3%
Sven Sprangler0%
Víctor Griffith0%
Božo Mikulić0%
Barry Douglas0%
Jason Holt0%
Graham Carey0%
Matthew Smith0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Cameron MacPherson0%
Jonathan Svedberg0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Kyle Cameron0%
David Keltjens0%
Joshua Rae0%
Jack Sanders0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Sam Curtis0%
André Raymond0%
Maksym Kucheriavyi0%
Taylor Steven0%
Aaron Essel0%
Franio Franczak0%
Zach Mitchell0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
ST Johnstone's squad is €4m more valuable than Morton's (€5m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
ST Johnstone's attack is €2m more valuable than Morton's (€2m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
ST Johnstone and Morton have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
ST Johnstone's defence is €2m more valuable than Morton's (€2m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SJ wins
0
Draws
0
MOR wins

Head-to-head

ST Johnstone vs Morton · H/A from SJ
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/07/24ABrechin Vs SJ1-2
19/05/24AMotherwell Vs SJ1-2
15/05/24HSJ Vs Ross County1-1
11/05/24ALivingston Vs SJ2-1
04/05/24AAberdeen Vs SJ1-0
27/04/24HSJ Vs Hibernian1-3
13/04/24HSJ Vs Kilmarnock0-2
06/04/24AHibernian Vs SJ1-2
30/03/24HSJ Vs Dundee1-2
16/03/24ACeltic Vs SJ3-1

MortonMorton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/07/24HMOR Vs Brechin1-0
13/07/24AEast Fife Vs MOR3-0
03/05/24AInverness CT Vs MOR3-1
27/04/24HMOR Vs Raith Rovers0-0
27/04/24HMOR Vs Raith Rvs0-0
20/04/24AArbroath Vs MOR1-2
12/04/24HMOR Vs Dundee Utd1-4
09/04/24AAyr Vs MOR1-1
09/04/24AAyr Utd Vs MOR1-1
06/04/24AAirdrie United Vs MOR3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWW1.00
HomeDLLLD1.04
AwayWLLWW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%24%24%
AVG goals2.202.202.20
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %34%28%40%
Over 3.5 %14%16%12%
Scored0.800.840.76
Conceded1.401.361.44
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet22%20%24%
Corners10.378.9511.79
Cards3.924.443.39
Morton
Morton
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLW1.36
HomeWLDDW1.56
AwayDDWLL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%24%
AVG goals2.282.362.20
Over 1.5 %64%68%60%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %22%16%28%
Scored1.161.281.04
Conceded1.121.081.16
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet42%40%44%
Corners9.588.6710.50
Cards5.585.335.83

🏆 17. League Table

ST Johnstone plays in Scotland - Premiership
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3892
76%
2.4
11226+86
3.6
92%
74%
47%
11.8
71%
3.5
41%
18.7
29%
116
5620412.90.7
74%
2RangersRangers3875
58%
2.0
8041+39
3.2
82%
66%
42%
11.1
71%
4.0
65%
20.9
53%
136
3844542.11.1
63%
3HibernianHibernian3858
39%
1.5
6250+12
2.9
87%
61%
37%
11.5
71%
4.4
70%
20.6
45%
20
7851.61.3
45%
4Dundee UtdDundee Utd3853
39%
1.4
4554-9
2.6
66%
45%
29%
10.9
71%
4.2
50%
20.9
39%
11
4341.21.4
44%
5AberdeenAberdeen3853
39%
1.4
4861-13
2.9
74%
61%
34%
11.9
74%
4.9
78%
22.8
61%
15
4471.31.6
53%
6Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3852
39%
1.4
5247+5
2.6
71%
55%
29%
10.8
58%
4.2
59%
21.2
50%
22
12461.41.2
54%
7ST MirrenST Mirren3850
37%
1.3
5359-6
2.9
82%
66%
34%
10.1
61%
4.6
61%
21.7
55%
8
1331.41.6
42%
8MotherwellMotherwell3849
37%
1.3
4663-17
2.9
82%
71%
26%
11.2
61%
4.5
65%
23.4
66%
16
10151.21.7
42%
9KilmarnockKilmarnock3844
32%
1.2
4564-19
2.9
74%
45%
34%
10.4
63%
4.0
54%
22.2
53%
7
3231.21.7
44%
10DundeeDundee3841
29%
1.1
5777-20
3.5
92%
68%
47%
10.4
63%
3.7
50%
20.3
34%
5
1221.52.0
44%
11Ross CountyRoss County4038
22%
0.9
4070-30
2.8
78%
55%
28%
11.8
74%
3.2
41%
20.9
50%
1
0011.01.8
40%
12ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3832
24%
0.8
3868-30
2.8
82%
61%
24%
10.6
53%
4.2
58%
22.8
61%
5
2121.01.8
53%
13LivingstonLivingston410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
0.0
0%
-
0%
4
1112.20.8
-
14Ayr UtdAyr Utd23
50%
1.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
9.0
100%
-
0%
2
1010.51.0
-
15PartickPartick43
25%
0.8
25-3
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
4.5
50%
-
0%
3
1110.51.2
-
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
Morton plays in Scotland - Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FalkirkFalkirk52104
60%
2.0
10150+51
2.9
77%
54%
37%
11.4
56%
4.1
44%
22.1
56%
6
2131.91.0
-
2LivingstonLivingston52103
58%
2.0
8538+47
2.4
73%
54%
12%
8.8
50%
5.2
69%
24.4
62%
4
1111.60.7
-
3PartickPartick5282
44%
1.6
6552+13
2.2
67%
42%
10%
9.5
38%
4.6
69%
20.8
44%
3
1111.21.0
-
4MortonMorton5274
37%
1.4
6264-2
2.4
71%
42%
21%
11.8
69%
4.2
69%
19.7
38%
1
0001.21.2
-
5
A
Ayr		3663
50%
1.8
5739+18
2.7
78%
42%
25%
9.9
53%
4.4
72%
22.5
61%
0
0001.61.1
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd3663
50%
1.8
5739+18
2.7
78%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.1
-
7Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United5656
27%
1.0
5893-35
2.7
75%
52%
29%
11.4
50%
3.6
56%
22.3
62%
0
0001.01.7
-
8Raith RoversRaith Rovers3653
42%
1.5
4743+4
2.5
75%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.2
-
9
RR
Raith Rvs		3653
42%
1.5
4743+4
2.5
75%
42%
19%
7.9
28%
4.1
58%
23.1
67%
0
0001.31.2
-
10DunfermlineDunfermline5249
25%
0.9
4064-24
2.0
60%
31%
12%
9.2
38%
3.9
50%
22.9
62%
4
2020.81.2
-
11
H
Hamilton		3636
28%
1.0
3864-26
2.8
78%
61%
31%
10.9
50%
4.1
53%
23.0
69%
0
0001.11.8
-
12Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical3636
28%
1.0
3864-26
2.8
78%
61%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Queens ParkQueens Park3635
25%
1.0
3655-19
2.5
75%
53%
19%
11.8
64%
4.0
58%
19.4
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
14QueenQueen's Park3635
25%
1.0
3655-19
2.5
75%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.5
-
15Cove RangersCove Rangers45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
16Queen of the SouthQueen of the South21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.0
-
17StenhousemuirStenhousemuir20
0%
0.0
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
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Scotland: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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