PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

ST Johnstone vs Raith Rovers Result & Analysis

Date: 22/07/2025
Time: 18:45
Final 3-1
ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
Vs
63%
23%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ST Johnstone win✓ Hit
62.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers win✗ Miss
14.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W01L05L23L02L21W12L02L31W10WH·CEL06/04A·DUN12/04H·CEL20/04A·MOT26/04H·KIL03/05H·ROS10/05A·HEA14/05H·DUN18/05A·EAS12/07A·INV19/07
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.570.881.441.001.71
vs Stronger (12)0.582.000.501.500.672.50
vs Similar (17)1.181.351.101.401.291.29
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D33D30W10W11D31W11D51W51W24LA·PAR21/03A·MOR25/03A·HAM29/03H·AYR05/04H·AIR12/04A·FAL19/04H·MOR26/04A·QUE02/05A·ELG12/07H·EAS15/07
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.331.501.141.691.50
vs Stronger (1)0.005.00--0.005.00
vs Similar (29)1.661.211.501.141.801.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.6%
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.6%
0-0
7.0%
3-1 ✓
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
ST Johnstone goals ↓
Raith Rovers goals →
01234
07.0%4.1%2.2%0.6%0.1%
111%11%4.2%1.2%0.3%
212%9.8%4.2%1.2%0.2%
37.6%6.4%2.7%0.8%0.2%
43.7%3.2%1.3%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ST Johnstone goals (down), columns = Raith Rovers goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Livingston
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
Dundee Utd
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Airdrie United
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
ST Johnstone
1.80
Queen's Park
1.80
Partick
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Montrose
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Morton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Kilmarnock
1.00
Inverness CT
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Dumbarton
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
Elgin
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
ST Johnstone is 0.05 points better than Raith Rovers in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Airdrie United
3.20
Queen's Park
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Falkirk
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ayr Utd
2.25
Clyde
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Dundee Utd
2.00
Ross County
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Livingston
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Dumbarton
1.00
Dunfermline
1.00
Stranraer
1.00
Inverness CT
0.75
Morton
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Elgin
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Brechin
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Kelty Hearts
0.50
Stirling
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
ST Johnstone is 0.45 goals better than Raith Rovers in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 1.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
ST Mirren
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Dundee
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Falkirk
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Ayr Utd
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Montrose
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Celtic
1.50
Morton
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Brechin
2.50
Stranraer
2.50
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Peterhead
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
East Kilbride
4.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
ST Johnstone is 0.40 goals worse than Raith Rovers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

For 4.2 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

150197844529556411251644101587141115778H·DUNA·HEAH·ROSH·KILA·MOTA·DUNH·CELA·HIBH·ABEA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

60312113211421423120434353642A·INVH·DUNA·HEAH·ROSH·KILA·MOTA·DUNH·CELA·HIBA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

3201089712171216171514151310101051691118162928322923202120H·DUNA·HEAH·ROSH·KILA·MOTA·DUNH·CELA·HIBH·ABEA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.611.69.63.03.22.922.622.123.1
vs Stronger (18)11.812.810.93.23.23.221.220.921.5
vs Similar (30)9.710.78.83.13.13.123.623.024.2
vs Weaker (2)---0.0-0.0---
% over line54%58%50%42%54%31%59%58%60%
% under line46%42%50%58%46%69%41%42%40%
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (47)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.8
Aberdeen
11.6
Ross County
11.5
Falkirk
11.4
Hibernian
11.3
Morton
11.2
Motherwell
11.2
Dundee Utd
11.1
Kilmarnock
10.7
Dumbarton
10.7
ST Johnstone
10.7
Dunfermline
10.6
Rangers
10.6
Airdrie United
10.6
Dundee
10.5
Heart Of Midlothian
10.5
Stirling
10.4
Arbroath
10.3
Kelty Hearts
10.1
ST Mirren
10.1
Partick
10.1
Annan Athletic
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Cove Rangers
10.0
Clyde
9.8
Forfar
9.6
East Fife
9.6
Stenhousemuir
9.5
Montrose
9.4
Stranraer
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Elgin
9.2
Spartans
9.1
Livingston
9.0
Inverness CT
8.9
Peterhead
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Ayr Utd
5.5
Peterhead
5.1
Morton
4.7
Aberdeen
4.6
Elgin
4.6
Forfar
4.6
Edinburgh City
4.5
Dundee Utd
4.4
Clyde
4.3
ST Mirren
4.3
Stirling
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Motherwell
4.1
Hibernian
4.1
Partick
4.0
Stranraer
4.0
Spartans
4.0
Heart Of Midlothian
3.9
ST Johnstone
3.9
East Fife
3.9
Kilmarnock
3.9
Dundee
3.8
Livingston
3.7
Annan Athletic
3.7
Stenhousemuir
3.7
Dumbarton
3.7
Dunfermline
3.6
Montrose
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Celtic
3.5
Airdrie United
3.5
Inverness CT
3.4
Ross County
3.3
Kelty Hearts
3.3
Arbroath
3.1
Cove Rangers
2.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.8
Peterhead
24.6
Elgin
23.8
Edinburgh City
23.8
Livingston
23.5
Aberdeen
23.3
East Fife
23.1
Clyde
22.6
Morton
22.2
ST Johnstone
22.1
Motherwell
22.0
Spartans
22.0
Falkirk
21.9
Stenhousemuir
21.8
Kilmarnock
21.7
ST Mirren
21.7
Stirling
21.5
Rangers
21.4
Heart Of Midlothian
21.4
Dundee Utd
21.0
Inverness CT
20.9
Ross County
20.7
Airdrie United
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Montrose
20.1
Partick
20.0
Dunfermline
20.0
Hibernian
19.9
Annan Athletic
19.8
Dundee
19.7
Kelty Hearts
19.7
Stranraer
19.6
Arbroath
19.6
Dumbarton
18.9
Celtic
18.4
Cove Rangers
18.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
1.9%
Under 3.5
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ST Johnstone or Draw✓ Hit
85.6%
Avg Implied -
63%
23%
14%
covers ST Johnstone + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone or Raith Rovers✓ Hit
77.0%
Avg Implied -
63%
23%
14%
covers ST Johnstone + Raith Rovers
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Raith Rovers✗ Miss
37.4%
Avg Implied -
63%
23%
14%
covers Draw + Raith Rovers
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.0%
Under
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
58.4%
Under
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
31.4%
Under
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
13.6%
Under
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
57.1%
Under
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
20.8%
Under
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.4%
Under
94.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to ST Johnstone, so a minus line means ST Johnstone give that many goals of a start and Raith Rovers receive them. At -1, ST Johnstone must win by two or more to land; a one-goal ST Johnstone win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (ST Johnstone)Actual: Draw
ST Johnstone -2
19.2%
Draw -2
19.5%
Raith Rovers +2
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (ST Johnstone)Actual: ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone -1
38.8%
Draw -1
23.8%
Raith Rovers +1
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (ST Johnstone)Actual: ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone +1
85.6%
Draw +1
9.7%
Raith Rovers -1
4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (ST Johnstone)Actual: ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone +2
95.3%
Draw +2
3.6%
Raith Rovers -2
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L04L12L01L11D02L01L01L00DH·CEL06/04A·DUN12/04H·CEL20/04A·MOT26/04H·KIL03/05H·ROS10/05A·HEA14/05H·DUN18/05A·EAS12/07A·INV19/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.930.310.810.211.07
vs Stronger (12)0.251.170.330.830.171.50
vs Similar (17)0.290.820.300.800.290.86
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W10W00D11D01L11D20W30W00DA·PAR21/03A·MOR25/03A·HAM29/03H·AYR05/04H·AIR12/04A·FAL19/04H·MOR26/04A·QUE02/05A·ELG12/07H·EAS15/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.500.860.430.810.56
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (29)0.860.450.860.430.870.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L11D01L10W10W01L30W10WH·CEL06/04A·DUN12/04H·CEL20/04A·MOT26/04H·KIL03/05H·ROS10/05A·HEA14/05H·DUN18/05A·EAS12/07A·INV19/07
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.560.620.790.64
vs Stronger (12)0.330.830.170.670.501.00
vs Similar (17)0.880.530.800.601.000.43
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D12L20W10W00D30W00D31W21W24LA·PAR21/03A·MOR25/03A·HAM29/03H·AYR05/04H·AIR12/04A·FAL19/04H·MOR26/04A·QUE02/05A·ELG12/07H·EAS15/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.830.640.710.880.94
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (29)0.790.760.640.710.930.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards99.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards99.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 7.599.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals98.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards98.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 6.597.5%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap95.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals94.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.593.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.5 cards91.9%-------✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals86.4%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals86.0%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw85.6%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap85.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.584.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals79.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.1%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away77.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

ST Johnstone · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ruari Paton33%
Cheick Diabate33%
Kai Fotheringham33%
Josh Fowler33%
Jason Holt0%
Sam Stanton0%
Logan Chalmers0%
Liam Smith0%
Jamie Gullan0%
Reece McAlear0%
Toby Steward0%
Zach Mitchell0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Liam Smith33%
Jamie Gullan33%
Cheick Diabate33%
Jason Holt0%
Sam Stanton0%
Logan Chalmers0%
Ruari Paton0%
Reece McAlear0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Toby Steward0%
Zach Mitchell0%
Josh Fowler0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sam Stanton33%
Jamie Gullan33%
Josh Fowler33%
Jason Holt0%
Logan Chalmers0%
Liam Smith0%
Ruari Paton0%
Reece McAlear0%
Cheick Diabate0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Toby Steward0%
Zach Mitchell0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jamie Gullan33%
Jason Holt0%
Sam Stanton0%
Logan Chalmers0%
Liam Smith0%
Ruari Paton0%
Reece McAlear0%
Cheick Diabate0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Toby Steward0%
Zach Mitchell0%
Josh Fowler0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
ST Johnstone's squad is €4m more valuable than Raith Rovers's (€5m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
ST Johnstone's attack is €2m more valuable than Raith Rovers's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
ST Johnstone and Raith Rovers have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
ST Johnstone's defence is €2m more valuable than Raith Rovers's (€2m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SJ wins
0
Draws
0
RR wins

Head-to-head

ST Johnstone vs Raith Rovers · H/A from SJ
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/07/25AInverness CT Vs SJ0-1
12/07/25AEast Kilbride Vs SJ1-3
18/05/25HSJ Vs Dundee0-2
14/05/25AHeart Of Midlothian Vs SJ2-1
10/05/25HSJ Vs Ross County2-1
03/05/25HSJ Vs Kilmarnock0-2
26/04/25AMotherwell Vs SJ3-2
20/04/25HSJ Vs Celtic0-5
12/04/25ADundee Utd Vs SJ1-0
06/04/25HSJ Vs Celtic1-0

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/07/25HRR Vs East Kilbride2-4
12/07/25AElgin Vs RR1-5
02/05/25AQueen's Park Vs RR1-5
26/04/25HRR Vs Morton1-1
19/04/25AFalkirk Vs RR1-3
12/04/25HRR Vs Airdrie United1-1
05/04/25HRR Vs Ayr Utd1-0
29/03/25AHamilton Academical Vs RR0-3
25/03/25AMorton Vs RR3-3
21/03/25APartick Vs RR0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.18
HomeWLLWL1.33
AwayLLLWW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%42%31%
AVG goals2.802.672.92
Over 1.5 %78%71%85%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %26%21%31%
Scored1.161.171.15
Conceded1.641.501.77
BTTS52%46%58%
Clean Sheet24%33%15%
Corners10.5611.589.60
Cards4.004.223.80
Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWL1.42
HomeWWDDL1.71
AwayDWWWW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%31%
AVG goals2.762.672.85
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %52%42%62%
Over 3.5 %24%21%27%
Scored1.421.541.31
Conceded1.341.121.54
BTTS44%46%42%
Clean Sheet32%42%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ST JohnstoneST Johnstone48103
60%
2.1
8734+53
2.5
67%
44%
29%
10.0
50%
4.8
83%
22.5
67%
5
2121.80.7
-
2PartickPartick4889
48%
1.9
7246+26
2.5
75%
44%
27%
10.7
67%
4.6
58%
20.2
33%
3
1111.51.0
-
3DunfermlineDunfermline4874
44%
1.5
6949+20
2.5
73%
44%
25%
7.0
8%
4.8
83%
23.9
67%
4
2021.41.0
-
4ArbroathArbroath4871
38%
1.5
6055+5
2.4
69%
46%
21%
8.2
33%
4.2
67%
23.8
67%
1
0001.21.1
-
5MortonMorton4850
21%
1.0
4866-18
2.4
71%
44%
25%
10.2
58%
4.5
50%
23.4
58%
1
0001.01.4
-
6Ross CountyRoss County4849
25%
1.0
5075-25
2.6
69%
50%
29%
8.0
25%
3.9
58%
22.8
67%
1
0011.01.6
-
7Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United5047
20%
0.9
4667-21
2.3
64%
46%
22%
10.6
67%
3.3
50%
18.3
25%
0
0000.91.3
-
8Raith RoversRaith Rovers3645
33%
1.2
4342+1
2.4
75%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.21.2
-
9
RR
Raith Rvs		3645
33%
1.2
4342+1
2.4
75%
42%
19%
9.6
47%
4.3
56%
21.0
53%
0
0001.21.2
-
10Queens ParkQueens Park3641
25%
1.1
3548-13
2.3
67%
39%
19%
8.7
39%
4.1
69%
21.8
56%
0
0001.01.3
-
11QueenQueen's Park3641
25%
1.1
3548-13
2.3
67%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
12
A
Ayr		3639
22%
1.1
3847-9
2.4
69%
42%
17%
10.0
50%
4.5
69%
22.4
58%
0
0001.11.3
-
13Ayr UtdAyr Utd3639
22%
1.1
3847-9
2.4
69%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.3
-
14Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic49
75%
2.2
54+1
2.2
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
15StenhousemuirStenhousemuir45
25%
1.2
54+1
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
16Queen of the SouthQueen of the South22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Scotland: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches