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ST Mirren vs East Kilbride Result & Analysis

Date: 21/07/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 4-3
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Vs
67%
18%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
East Kilbride
East Kilbride
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ST Mirren win✓ Hit
66.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
17.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride win✗ Miss
15.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D02L01L03L20W11D11D10W40W40WA·CEL19/04H·LIV25/04A·DUN02/05H·KIL09/05A·ABE12/05H·DUN17/05A·PAR21/05H·PAR25/05A·DUM11/07A·COV18/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.300.581.251.331.33
vs Stronger (9)0.891.111.000.330.831.50
vs Similar (20)0.951.450.441.561.361.36
vs Weaker (1)4.000.00--4.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W11D21W01L40W10W50W30W23L53WH·STI21/03A·SPA28/03H·ANN04/04A·FOR11/04H·EDI18/04A·DUM25/04H·CLY02/05H·DUN11/07A·COV14/07H·DUM18/07← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.332.401.402.001.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)2.121.882.002.002.201.80
vs Weaker (22)2.231.142.501.251.901.00
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%2%06%115%219%320%416%523%6+
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.1%
Under 1.5
7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
77.4%
Under 2.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.3%
Under 3.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.5%
No
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-0
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
4-1
5.4%
3-2
5.2%
ST Mirren goals ↓
East Kilbride goals →
01234
02.3%1.6%1.5%0.7%0.2%
14.0%6.8%4.1%1.8%0.6%
26.4%8.5%5.7%2.5%0.8%
35.9%7.8%5.2%2.3%0.8%
44.0%5.4%3.6%1.6%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ST Mirren goals (down), columns = East Kilbride goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
ST Johnstone
2.60
Partick
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Rangers
2.33
ST Mirren
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Motherwell
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Celtic
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Inverness CT
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Stranraer
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Annan Athletic
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Elgin
0.00
ST Mirren is 0.75 points better than East Kilbride in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
Ross County
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.33
Inverness CT
2.25
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Partick
2.17
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Morton
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Aberdeen
1.50
Arbroath
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Cove Rangers
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Annan Athletic
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Elgin
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Brechin
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
ST Mirren and East Kilbride are level in goals scored per game (both 2.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
ST Johnstone
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Celtic
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Spartans
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Stirling
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
ST Mirren is 1.88 goals better than East Kilbride in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 3.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ST MirrenST Mirren

For 5.4 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

1501021614658785738547111127511151310131112H·DUNA·ABEH·KILA·DUNH·LIVA·CELA·CELH·ABEA·FALH·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

502311221312122212135223434324H·PARA·PARH·DUNA·ABEH·KILA·DUNH·LIVA·CELA·CELH·ABE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.0

⚠️ Fouls

290101011141111129131013101412815141571120252221232326232918H·DUNA·ABEH·KILA·DUNH·LIVA·CELA·CELH·ABEA·FALH·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

For 4.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

12055231234554681374436105127101091089H·CLYA·DUMH·EDIA·FORH·ANNA·SPAH·STIA·STRH·ELGA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

8022222441244443312324465648635H·CLYA·DUMH·EDIA·FORH·ANNA·SPAH·STIA·STRH·ELGA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.2

⚠️ Fouls

36071214139151758179151762115716121719272422252423362329H·CLYA·DUMH·EDIA·FORH·ANNA·SPAH·STIA·STRH·ELGA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ST MirrenST Mirren

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.110.611.63.13.72.622.321.423.2
vs Stronger (19)11.010.311.73.44.32.422.122.222.0
vs Similar (30)11.110.711.53.03.22.822.420.624.2
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line72%75%70%36%61%15%57%50%65%
% under line28%25%30%64%39%85%43%50%35%
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.410.44.03.54.626.424.728.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)9.58.210.82.42.52.324.623.825.5
vs Weaker (33)10.611.010.34.83.96.127.024.929.0
% over line58%56%61%60%52%70%81%78%83%
% under line42%44%39%40%48%30%19%22%17%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.9
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Dundee
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Inverness CT
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Kilmarnock
24.7
Falkirk
24.5
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
ST Johnstone
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Montrose
22.3
Dundee
22.2
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Inverness CT
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Ross County
21.5
Dunfermline
21.3
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.4%
Under 9.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.2%
Under 3.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
1.5%
Under 21.5
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ST Mirren or Draw✓ Hit
84.3%
Avg Implied -
67%
18%
16%
covers ST Mirren + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren or East Kilbride✓ Hit
82.4%
Avg Implied -
67%
18%
16%
covers ST Mirren + East Kilbride
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or East Kilbride✗ Miss
33.3%
Avg Implied -
67%
18%
16%
covers Draw + East Kilbride
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
93.6%
Under
6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
76.1%
Under
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
52.0%
Under
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
29.8%
Under
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.6%
Under
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
38.4%
Under
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
15.0%
Under
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to ST Mirren, so a minus line means ST Mirren give that many goals of a start and East Kilbride receive them. At -1, ST Mirren must win by two or more to land; a one-goal ST Mirren win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (ST Mirren)Actual: East Kilbride
ST Mirren -2
28.3%
Draw -2
18.8%
East Kilbride +2
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (ST Mirren)Actual: Draw
ST Mirren -1
47.1%
Draw -1
19.6%
East Kilbride +1
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (ST Mirren)Actual: ST Mirren
ST Mirren +1
84.3%
Draw +1
9.2%
East Kilbride -1
6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (ST Mirren)Actual: ST Mirren
ST Mirren +2
93.5%
Draw +2
4.4%
East Kilbride -2
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ST MirrenST Mirren

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D01L01L10W01L10W00D20W20WA·CEL19/04H·LIV25/04A·DUN02/05H·KIL09/05A·ABE12/05H·DUN17/05A·PAR21/05H·PAR25/05A·DUM11/07A·COV18/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.570.250.420.610.67
vs Stronger (9)0.220.670.330.330.170.83
vs Similar (20)0.500.550.220.440.730.64
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D00D01L10W10W30W10W00D31WH·STI21/03A·SPA28/03H·ANN04/04A·FOR11/04H·EDI18/04A·DUM25/04H·CLY02/05H·DUN11/07A·COV14/07H·DUM18/07← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.601.400.601.000.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.750.751.001.000.600.60
vs Weaker (22)1.360.551.500.501.200.60
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ST MirrenST Mirren

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W02L00D02L10W10W01L10W20W20WA·CEL19/04H·LIV25/04A·DUN02/05H·KIL09/05A·ABE12/05H·DUN17/05A·PAR21/05H·PAR25/05A·DUM11/07A·COV18/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.730.330.830.720.67
vs Stronger (9)0.670.440.670.000.670.67
vs Similar (20)0.450.900.221.110.640.73
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (East Kilbride) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D21W00D30W00D20W20W23L22DH·STI21/03A·SPA28/03H·ANN04/04A·FOR11/04H·EDI18/04A·DUM25/04H·CLY02/05H·DUN11/07A·COV14/07H·DUM18/07← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.731.000.801.000.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.381.121.001.001.601.20
vs Weaker (22)0.860.591.000.750.700.40
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Kilbride over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls99.9%--------
Under 23.5 fouls99.6%--------
Under 21.5 fouls98.5%--------
Under 19.5 fouls95.5%--------
Away under 3.5 goals95.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.594.4%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals93.6%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap93.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.592.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.588.0%-------✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals85.0%-------✗ Miss
Home or Draw84.3%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap84.3%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away82.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.1%--------
Over 2.577.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.577.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards76.4%--------
Under 11.5 corners76.4%--------
Home over 1.5 goals76.1%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals73.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals70.2%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

ST Mirren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Paul Nsio33%
Samuel Ramos33%
Luke Thomas0%
Alexander Gogić0%
Chris Mochrie0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Jacob Chapman0%
Jake Young0%
Ryan Carr0%
Eseosa Sule0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Carr100%
Luke Thomas33%
Jake Young33%
Alexander Gogić0%
Chris Mochrie0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Jacob Chapman0%
Paul Nsio0%
Eseosa Sule0%
Samuel Ramos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexander Gogić33%
Samuel Ramos33%
Luke Thomas0%
Chris Mochrie0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Jacob Chapman0%
Jake Young0%
Ryan Carr0%
Paul Nsio0%
Eseosa Sule0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eseosa Sule67%
Luke Thomas0%
Alexander Gogić0%
Chris Mochrie0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Jacob Chapman0%
Jake Young0%
Ryan Carr0%
Paul Nsio0%
Samuel Ramos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
ST Mirren's squad is €7m more valuable than East Kilbride's (€8m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
ST Mirren's attack is €1m more valuable than East Kilbride's (€1m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
ST Mirren's midfield is €3m more valuable than East Kilbride's (€3m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
ST Mirren's defence is €3m more valuable than East Kilbride's (€3m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SM wins
0
Draws
0
EK wins

Head-to-head

ST Mirren vs East Kilbride · H/A from SM
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/07/26ACove Rangers Vs SM0-4
11/07/26ADumbarton Vs SM0-4
25/05/26HSM Vs Partick1-0
21/05/26APartick Vs SM1-1
17/05/26HSM Vs Dundee Utd1-1
12/05/26AAberdeen Vs SM0-2
09/05/26HSM Vs Kilmarnock0-3
02/05/26ADundee Vs SM1-0
25/04/26HSM Vs Livingston0-2
19/04/26ACeltic Vs SM2-2

East KilbrideEast Kilbride

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/07/26HEK Vs Dumbarton5-3
14/07/26ACove Rangers Vs EK3-2
11/07/26HEK Vs Dunfermline3-0
02/05/26HEK Vs Clyde5-0
25/04/26ADumbarton Vs EK0-1
18/04/26HEK Vs Edinburgh City4-0
11/04/26AForfar Vs EK1-0
04/04/26HEK Vs Annan Athletic2-1
28/03/26ASpartans Vs EK1-1
21/03/26HEK Vs Stirling3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.16
HomeWLLDW1.35
AwayLWDWW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%35%22%
AVG goals2.441.872.93
Over 1.5 %74%57%89%
Over 2.5 %38%26%48%
Over 3.5 %24%13%33%
Scored1.120.781.41
Conceded1.321.091.52
BTTS46%26%63%
Clean Sheet24%39%11%
Corners11.0710.5511.60
Cards3.423.823.04
East Kilbride
East Kilbride
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.74
HomeWWWWW1.78
AwayLDLWL1.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%56%52%
AVG goals3.823.893.74
Over 1.5 %94%100%87%
Over 2.5 %76%78%74%
Over 3.5 %58%63%52%
Scored2.122.192.04
Conceded1.701.701.70
BTTS64%59%70%
Clean Sheet24%30%17%
Corners10.3910.3910.39
Cards5.565.225.89

🏆 17. League Table

ST Mirren plays in Scotland - Premiership
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic39
100%
3.0
82+6
3.3
67%
67%
33%
11.3
67%
2.7
33%
19.7
33%
116
5620412.70.7
66%
2ST MirrenST Mirren37
67%
2.3
63+3
3.0
67%
33%
33%
11.7
67%
3.7
67%
27.0
67%
8
1332.01.0
46%
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
100%
33%
10.3
67%
4.0
50%
24.7
100%
22
12462.31.0
53%
4DundeeDundee46
50%
1.5
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
10.2
50%
3.8
50%
20.2
50%
5
1221.20.8
44%
5HibernianHibernian36
67%
2.0
54+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
9.7
67%
2.7
33%
24.3
100%
20
7851.71.3
47%
6MotherwellMotherwell35
33%
1.7
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
9.7
67%
4.0
100%
28.7
100%
16
10151.71.3
58%
7RangersRangers34
33%
1.3
33+0
2.0
67%
33%
0%
12.3
100%
5.0
67%
30.0
100%
136
3844541.01.0
58%
8Dundee UtdDundee Utd44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.8
50%
5.0
75%
24.2
100%
11
4341.21.8
42%
9ST JohnstoneST Johnstone33
33%
1.0
56-1
3.7
67%
67%
33%
9.3
33%
3.5
50%
21.0
33%
5
2121.72.0
-
10AberdeenAberdeen33
33%
1.0
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
10.3
67%
6.0
100%
28.0
67%
15
4470.71.3
48%
11FalkirkFalkirk31
0%
0.3
14-3
1.7
67%
33%
0%
9.0
33%
4.3
100%
30.0
67%
6
2130.31.3
51%
12KilmarnockKilmarnock30
0%
0.0
413-9
5.7
100%
100%
100%
9.7
33%
3.7
67%
21.3
67%
7
3231.34.3
42%
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
East Kilbride plays in Scotland - League One
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical513
80%
2.6
110+11
2.2
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.0
-
2Ross CountyRoss County412
100%
3.0
102+8
3.0
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.50.5
-
3Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic58
40%
1.6
62+4
1.6
60%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.4
-
4East KilbrideEast Kilbride57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
5PeterheadPeterhead57
40%
1.4
46-2
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
6East FifeEast Fife56
20%
1.2
32+1
1.0
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.60.4
-
7MontroseMontrose56
40%
1.2
611-5
3.4
100%
100%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
8Cove RangersCove Rangers54
20%
0.8
36-3
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.2
-
9Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United53
0%
0.6
28-6
2.0
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.41.6
-
10Queen of the SouthQueen of the South40
0%
0.0
210-8
3.0
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

← all matches