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ST Mirren vs Motherwell Result & Analysis

Date: 16/12/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Vs
40%
31%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Motherwell
Motherwell
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The encounter between ST Mirren and Motherwell is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but the odds of a draw or an away victory still substantial. The predicted probabilities are 40% for a ST Mirren win, 31% for a draw and 29% for a Motherwell win, making the home side the slight favourite. On average, the match is expected to see 2.3 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 28% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 14.5% chance. ST Mirren, playing at home against a similarly-strength opponent, averages 1.86 goals scored and only 0.43 conceded, while Motherwell, on the road, averages 1.18 scored and 1.09 conceded. Suggested selections include Under 3.5 goals at 80.4%, Over 8.5 corners at 79.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 79.4%, Under 25.5 fouls at 77.0%, Over 2.5 cards at 75.4% (miss), and Over 19.5 fouls at 70.2%. All figures are expressed as percentages.

Results analysis

The 0-0 stalemate surprised everyone, especially after ST Mirren’s recent form hinted at a win. The pre-match favourite, the model’s Home win call, had a 40% probability, but the result was a draw, so the model’s pick was wrong. The match lived up to the model’s other selections: Under 3.5 goals hit at 80.4%, Over 8.5 corners at 79.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 79.4%, Under 25.5 fouls at 77.0%, and Over 19.5 fouls at 70.2%. Only the Over 2.5 cards call missed, with a 75.4% probability. The game’s quiet finish matched the most likely 2-goal total, though the scoreline remained 0-0.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ST Mirren win✗ Miss
40.1%
Avg Implied 47.1% · @ 2.00
Edge
-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.9%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.30
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Motherwell win✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.87
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L40W12L22D04L10W01L02L01L20WH·RAN08/10H·ST 28/10A·CEL01/11H·HIB08/11A·DUN11/11H·LIV25/11A·ROS28/11A·RAN03/12A·ST 06/12H·ROS09/12
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.601.501.431.001.75
vs Stronger (15)1.272.331.142.431.382.25
vs Similar (15)1.200.871.860.430.621.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MotherwellMotherwell

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L33D24L01L22D12L11D33D03L11DA·LIV07/10H·ROS28/10H·ABE01/11A·KIL04/11A·ST 07/11H·HEA11/11A·CEL25/11H·DUN02/12A·ROS05/12H·ST 09/12
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.371.811.621.071.07
vs Stronger (5)1.001.801.503.000.671.00
vs Similar (25)1.561.281.861.431.181.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.7%
Under 1.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.8%
@ 2.28-1.6%
Under 2.5
60.2%
@ 1.61+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.6%
Under 3.5
80.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.1%
No
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0 ✓
11.6%
1-0
11.5%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.4%
ST Mirren goals ↓
Motherwell goals →
01234
012%9.2%5.4%1.8%0.5%
112%14%6.8%2.3%0.6%
28.0%8.2%4.2%1.4%0.4%
33.4%3.4%1.8%0.6%0.2%
41.0%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ST Mirren goals (down), columns = Motherwell goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celtic
2.45
Rangers
2.24
Heart Of Midlothian
1.79
Partick
1.75
Kilmarnock
1.47
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.24
Hibernian
1.21
Motherwell
1.13
Dundee
1.11
Ross County
1.02
ST Johnstone
0.92
Raith Rovers
0.75
Livingston
0.66
Airdrie United
0.50
ST Mirren is 0.11 points better than Motherwell in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.13).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.29
Partick
1.75
Airdrie United
1.50
Motherwell
1.47
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Dundee
1.29
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.21
Ross County
1.10
Raith Rovers
1.00
Livingston
0.76
ST Johnstone
0.76
ST Mirren is 0.26 goals worse than Motherwell in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.47).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.79
Rangers
0.84
Heart Of Midlothian
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.16
ST Mirren
1.37
Aberdeen
1.37
ST Johnstone
1.42
Partick
1.50
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.55
Ross County
1.70
Dundee
1.79
Livingston
1.84
Airdrie United
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
ST Mirren is 0.18 goals better than Motherwell in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.55).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
69%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
55%
Hibernian
53%
Aberdeen
49%
Motherwell
46%
ST Mirren
45%
Kilmarnock
45%
Ross County
44%
Dundee
44%
ST Johnstone
44%
Livingston
43%
ST Mirren is 0.4 percentage points worse than Motherwell in terms of average possession (45% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ST MirrenST Mirren

For 5.0 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

1401047585773473121247310147131210114141113H·ROSA·ST A·RANA·ROSH·LIVA·DUNH·HIBA·CELH·ST H·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.9

🟨 Cards

5021231211132222222342125424H·ROSA·ST A·RANA·ROSH·LIVA·DUNH·HIBA·CELH·ST H·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 9.6 · Total 20.0

⚠️ Fouls

2509121098914111310126991299581621191725231818211424H·ROSA·ST A·RANA·ROSH·LIVA·DUNH·HIBA·CELH·ST H·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MotherwellMotherwell

For 3.8 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1503236442134107639146453598151413125108H·ST A·ROSH·DUNA·CELH·HEAA·ST A·KILH·ABEH·ROSA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

70244241422112612241316656337454A·ROSH·DUNA·CELH·HEAA·ST A·KILH·ABEH·ROSA·LIVH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 10.1 · Total 21.8

⚠️ Fouls

2901111914699813121811129146109151222231517252921201927H·ST A·ROSH·DUNA·CELH·HEAA·ST A·KILH·ABEH·ROSA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ST MirrenST Mirren

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.49.810.91.21.11.321.820.522.9
vs Stronger (25)10.39.012.01.11.30.921.322.519.7
vs Similar (25)10.410.510.31.20.81.622.118.524.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line65%62%67%20%17%23%47%50%44%
% under line35%38%33%80%83%77%53%50%56%
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MotherwellMotherwell

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.58.612.61.61.81.424.023.624.5
vs Stronger (9)9.710.09.51.41.01.823.023.023.0
vs Similar (41)10.68.413.71.61.91.324.223.625.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line53%44%62%26%31%21%71%67%75%
% under line47%56%38%74%69%79%29%33%25%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.5
ST Mirren
10.9
Dundee
10.9
Motherwell
10.8
Ross County
10.7
Kilmarnock
10.6
Aberdeen
10.5
ST Johnstone
10.5
Heart Of Midlothian
10.3
Hibernian
10.1
Rangers
10.0
Partick
10.0
Livingston
9.9
Airdrie United
9.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Heart Of Midlothian
4.7
Hibernian
4.5
Aberdeen
4.4
Rangers
4.3
Motherwell
4.1
Livingston
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.1
Ross County
4.0
Celtic
3.7
Dundee
3.7
Kilmarnock
3.7
ST Mirren
3.5
Partick
3.4
Airdrie United
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Motherwell
26.0
Aberdeen
25.7
Livingston
24.8
Heart Of Midlothian
24.1
Hibernian
23.5
Ross County
23.3
Kilmarnock
23.0
ST Johnstone
22.8
ST Mirren
22.5
Dundee
21.9
Rangers
21.6
Partick
20.4
Celtic
20.1
Airdrie United
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
69.7%
Under 9.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.6%
Under 3.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
53.7%
Under 21.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ST MirrenST Mirren

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W11D01L02L10W00D01L00D00DH·RAN08/10H·ST 28/10A·CEL01/11H·HIB08/11A·DUN11/11H·LIV25/11A·ROS28/11A·RAN03/12A·ST 06/12H·ROS09/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.860.430.440.75
vs Stronger (15)0.670.800.570.570.751.00
vs Similar (15)0.600.401.140.290.120.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MotherwellMotherwell

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L00D02L01L00D12L02L00DA·LIV07/10H·ROS28/10H·ABE01/11A·KIL04/11A·ST 07/11H·HEA11/11A·CEL25/11H·DUN02/12A·ROS05/12H·ST 09/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.500.560.500.290.50
vs Stronger (5)0.200.600.500.500.000.67
vs Similar (25)0.480.480.570.500.360.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ST MirrenST Mirren

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L30W01L21W02L00D01L01L01L20WH·RAN08/10H·ST 28/10A·CEL01/11H·HIB08/11A·DUN11/11H·LIV25/11A·ROS28/11A·RAN03/12A·ST 06/12H·ROS09/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.000.641.000.561.00
vs Stronger (15)0.601.530.571.860.621.25
vs Similar (15)0.600.470.710.140.500.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MotherwellMotherwell

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L33D22D01L20W11D11D21W01L11DA·LIV07/10H·ROS28/10H·ABE01/11A·KIL04/11A·ST 07/11H·HEA11/11A·CEL25/11H·DUN02/12A·ROS05/12H·ST 09/12
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.871.251.120.790.57
vs Stronger (5)0.801.201.002.500.670.33
vs Similar (25)1.080.801.290.930.820.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners79.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls77.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls70.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

ST Mirren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mikael Mandron20%
Mark O'Hara18%
Toyosi Olusanya17%
Jonah Ayunga12%
Greg Kiltie12%
Stav Nachmani11%
Alex Greive11%
James Scott9%
Ryan Strain6%
Scott Tanser5%
Alexander Gogić5%
Lewis Jamieson5%
Charles Dunne5%
James Bolton4%
Conor McMenamin4%
Keanu Baccus3%
Marcus Fraser3%
Jaden Brown0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Zachary Hemming0%
Richard Taylor0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Thierry Small0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Keanu Baccus29%
Ryan Strain24%
Richard Taylor19%
Alexander Gogić18%
Scott Tanser16%
Conor McMenamin15%
Mark O'Hara14%
Toyosi Olusanya14%
Ryan Flynn9%
Caolan Boyd-Munce9%
Zachary Hemming8%
Jonah Ayunga6%
Mikael Mandron6%
Marcus Fraser5%
James Bolton4%
Greg Kiltie3%
Jaden Brown0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Thierry Small0%
Alex Greive0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Greg Kiltie15%
Mark O'Hara11%
Scott Tanser11%
Mikael Mandron9%
Caolan Boyd-Munce9%
Ryan Strain6%
Conor McMenamin4%
Keanu Baccus3%
Toyosi Olusanya3%
Alexander Gogić3%
Jaden Brown0%
Jonah Ayunga0%
James Bolton0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Zachary Hemming0%
Richard Taylor0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Thierry Small0%
Alex Greive0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mikael Mandron14%
Stav Nachmani11%
Jonah Ayunga6%
Greg Kiltie6%
Toyosi Olusanya6%
Scott Tanser5%
Richard Taylor4%
Caolan Boyd-Munce3%
Ryan Strain0%
Keanu Baccus0%
Mark O'Hara0%
Jaden Brown0%
James Bolton0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Alexander Gogić0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Conor McMenamin0%
Zachary Hemming0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Thierry Small0%
Alex Greive0%
Motherwell
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mika Biereth43%
Moses Ebiye33%
Luca Ross33%
Thelonius Bair32%
Conor Wilkinson21%
Blair Spittal19%
Jack Vale15%
Sam Nicholson12%
Dan Casey11%
Jonathan Obika10%
Adam Devine10%
Andy Halliday8%
Shane Blaney8%
Harrison Paton8%
Bevis Mugabi6%
Callum Slattery5%
Davor Zdravkovski4%
Georgie Gent3%
Paul McGinn3%
Pape Souaré0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
Oli Shaw0%
Liam Kelly0%
Calum Butcher0%
Brodie Spencer0%
Lennon Miller0%
Mark Ferrie0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Calum Butcher47%
Brodie Spencer39%
Callum Slattery35%
Pape Souaré33%
Dan Casey29%
Conor Wilkinson21%
Davor Zdravkovski19%
Georgie Gent17%
Stephen O'Donnell16%
Harrison Paton15%
Jack Vale15%
Mika Biereth14%
Blair Spittal14%
Sam Nicholson12%
Lennon Miller12%
Paul McGinn10%
Andy Halliday8%
Liam Kelly8%
Bevis Mugabi6%
Oli Shaw5%
Shane Blaney4%
Thelonius Bair3%
Jonathan Obika0%
Moses Ebiye0%
Adam Devine0%
Mark Ferrie0%
Luca Ross0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Blair Spittal30%
Mika Biereth29%
Georgie Gent17%
Jack Vale15%
Thelonius Bair13%
Stephen O'Donnell11%
Oli Shaw11%
Andy Halliday8%
Lennon Miller8%
Conor Wilkinson7%
Dan Casey7%
Brodie Spencer6%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Bevis Mugabi0%
Pape Souaré0%
Callum Slattery0%
Shane Blaney0%
Jonathan Obika0%
Moses Ebiye0%
Liam Kelly0%
Paul McGinn0%
Harrison Paton0%
Calum Butcher0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Adam Devine0%
Mark Ferrie0%
Luca Ross0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thelonius Bair21%
Blair Spittal14%
Jack Vale8%
Conor Wilkinson7%
Brodie Spencer6%
Oli Shaw5%
Callum Slattery5%
Andy Halliday0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Bevis Mugabi0%
Pape Souaré0%
Shane Blaney0%
Jonathan Obika0%
Moses Ebiye0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
Liam Kelly0%
Paul McGinn0%
Harrison Paton0%
Calum Butcher0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Dan Casey0%
Mika Biereth0%
Georgie Gent0%
Adam Devine0%
Lennon Miller0%
Mark Ferrie0%
Luca Ross0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
ST Mirren's squad is €8m less valuable than Motherwell's (€8m vs €16m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
ST Mirren's attack is €8m less valuable than Motherwell's (€1m vs €10m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
ST Mirren's midfield is €2m more valuable than Motherwell's (€3m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
ST Mirren's defence is €2m less valuable than Motherwell's (€3m vs €5m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
SM wins
2
Draws
4
MOT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

ST Mirren vs Motherwell · H/A from SM
DateH/AGameScore
16/09/23AMotherwell Vs SM0-1
15/02/23AMotherwell Vs SM2-1
28/01/23HSM Vs Motherwell1-0
31/07/22HSM Vs Motherwell0-1
02/04/22AMotherwell Vs SM4-2
01/02/22HSM Vs Motherwell1-1
27/10/21AMotherwell Vs SM2-2
10/04/21AMotherwell Vs SM1-0

ST MirrenST Mirren

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/12/23HSM Vs Ross County2-0
06/12/23AST Johnstone Vs SM1-0
03/12/23ARangers Vs SM2-0
28/11/23ARoss County Vs SM1-0
25/11/23HSM Vs Livingston1-0
11/11/23ADundee Vs SM4-0
08/11/23HSM Vs Hibernian2-2
01/11/23ACeltic Vs SM2-1
28/10/23HSM Vs ST Johnstone4-0
08/10/23HSM Vs Rangers0-3

MotherwellMotherwell

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/12/23HMOT Vs ST Johnstone1-1
05/12/23ARoss County Vs MOT3-0
02/12/23HMOT Vs Dundee3-3
25/11/23ACeltic Vs MOT1-1
11/11/23HMOT Vs Heart Of Midlothian1-2
07/11/23AST Johnstone Vs MOT2-2
04/11/23AKilmarnock Vs MOT1-0
01/11/23HMOT Vs Aberdeen2-4
28/10/23HMOT Vs Ross County3-3
07/10/23ALivingston Vs MOT2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.24
HomeLWDWW1.79
AwayLLLLL0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%50%15%
AVG goals2.722.622.81
Over 1.5 %78%75%81%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %30%29%31%
Scored1.161.460.88
Conceded1.561.171.92
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet24%38%12%
Corners10.359.7510.89
Cards3.473.253.67
Motherwell
Motherwell
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 0 Wins / 5 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLD1.12
HomeDLLDD1.15
AwayLLDDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%31%25%
AVG goals2.803.192.38
Over 1.5 %82%88%75%
Over 2.5 %52%69%33%
Over 3.5 %24%27%21%
Scored1.321.501.12
Conceded1.481.691.25
BTTS60%69%50%
Clean Sheet20%19%21%
Corners10.478.5612.62
Cards5.005.754.25

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3893
76%
2.4
9530+65
3.3
89%
74%
34%
12.8
76%
3.4
44%
19.9
29%
116
5620412.50.8
69%
2RangersRangers3885
71%
2.2
8732+55
3.1
84%
66%
37%
11.3
66%
4.0
66%
22.0
50%
136
3844542.30.8
63%
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3868
53%
1.8
5442+12
2.5
68%
45%
24%
12.2
79%
4.2
62%
22.2
55%
22
12461.41.1
55%
4KilmarnockKilmarnock3856
37%
1.5
4644+2
2.4
63%
42%
29%
11.0
68%
4.4
67%
22.7
53%
7
3231.21.2
45%
5AberdeenAberdeen3848
32%
1.3
4852-4
2.6
76%
47%
29%
10.2
61%
4.4
63%
24.5
74%
15
4471.31.4
49%
6ST MirrenST Mirren3847
34%
1.2
4652-6
2.6
74%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.2
44%
21.5
45%
8
1331.21.4
45%
7HibernianHibernian3846
29%
1.2
5259-7
2.9
84%
66%
39%
10.4
63%
4.1
61%
20.7
37%
20
7851.41.6
53%
8MotherwellMotherwell3843
26%
1.1
5659-3
3.0
82%
55%
34%
10.6
61%
4.2
59%
21.9
53%
16
10151.51.6
46%
9DundeeDundee3842
26%
1.1
4968-19
3.1
79%
63%
39%
11.4
74%
4.1
56%
19.5
32%
5
1221.31.8
44%
10Ross CountyRoss County4041
25%
1.0
4468-24
2.8
75%
52%
35%
11.2
66%
3.9
61%
22.0
53%
1
0011.11.7
44%
11ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3835
21%
0.9
2954-25
2.2
74%
37%
16%
10.4
55%
3.9
58%
21.7
50%
5
2120.81.4
44%
12LivingstonLivingston3825
13%
0.7
2970-41
2.6
74%
47%
29%
9.2
39%
3.5
46%
23.6
66%
4
1110.81.8
43%
13PartickPartick47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.5
-
14Raith RoversRaith Rovers43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.02.2
-
15Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United21
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
Scotland: Premiership 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches