This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Johnstone
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.33
0.94
1.31
0.57
1.36
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
1.42
0.43
1.71
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.11
1.28
1.33
1.00
0.89
1.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.9%
Under 1.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.6%
@ 2.50-6.1%
Under 2.5
68.4%
@ 1.51+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.8%
Under 3.5
86.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.3%
No
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.5%
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13.6%
2-0 ✓
11.4%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
ST Mirren goals ↓
ST Johnstone goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
8.4%
3.4%
0.8%
0.1%
1
17%
14%
4.3%
1.0%
0.2%
2
11%
7.9%
2.7%
0.6%
0.1%
3
4.8%
3.4%
1.2%
0.3%
0.0%
4
1.5%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ST Mirren goals (down), columns = ST Johnstone goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.45
Rangers
2.24
Heart Of Midlothian
1.79
Partick
1.75
Kilmarnock
1.47
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.24
Hibernian
1.21
Motherwell
1.13
Dundee
1.11
Ross County
1.02
ST Johnstone
0.92
Raith Rovers
0.75
Livingston
0.66
Airdrie United
0.50
ST Mirren is 0.32 points better than ST Johnstone in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 0.92).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.29
Partick
1.75
Airdrie United
1.50
Motherwell
1.47
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Dundee
1.29
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.21
Ross County
1.10
Raith Rovers
1.00
Livingston
0.76
ST Johnstone
0.76
ST Mirren is 0.45 goals better than ST Johnstone in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 0.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.79
Rangers
0.84
Heart Of Midlothian
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.16
ST Mirren
1.37
Aberdeen
1.37
ST Johnstone
1.42
Partick
1.50
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.55
Ross County
1.70
Dundee
1.79
Livingston
1.84
Airdrie United
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
ST Mirren is 0.05 goals better than ST Johnstone in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.42).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
69%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
55%
Hibernian
53%
Aberdeen
49%
Motherwell
46%
ST Mirren
45%
Kilmarnock
45%
Ross County
44%
Dundee
44%
ST Johnstone
44%
Livingston
43%
ST Mirren is 1.7 percentage points better than ST Johnstone in terms of average possession (45% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
ST Mirren
For 5.5 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 10.7 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Johnstone
For 2.8 · Against 6.1 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 9.6 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Mirren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
9.8
11.8
1.7
1.6
1.8
21.5
19.8
23.2
vs Stronger (27)
11.2
9.3
13.0
1.6
1.5
1.7
21.5
21.0
22.0
vs Similar (23)
10.4
10.1
10.7
1.9
1.8
1.9
21.5
18.7
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
69%
62%
77%
26%
21%
31%
46%
38%
54%
% under line
31%
38%
23%
74%
79%
69%
54%
62%
46%
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Johnstone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.2
11.2
2.1
2.5
1.7
22.5
24.1
20.5
vs Stronger (20)
10.0
8.9
11.6
2.6
3.0
2.1
22.1
23.3
20.4
vs Similar (30)
10.2
9.6
10.9
1.8
2.1
1.5
22.8
25.0
20.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
43%
58%
34%
35%
33%
58%
71%
42%
% under line
50%
57%
42%
66%
65%
67%
42%
29%
58%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.8
Ross County
11.2
ST Mirren
11.1
Dundee
11.0
Kilmarnock
10.7
Heart Of Midlothian
10.6
Motherwell
10.4
Rangers
10.2
Hibernian
10.2
Aberdeen
10.2
ST Johnstone
10.1
Partick
10.0
Airdrie United
9.9
Livingston
9.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Hibernian
4.5
Heart Of Midlothian
4.5
Aberdeen
4.4
Rangers
4.4
Motherwell
4.1
Ross County
4.1
Livingston
4.1
ST Johnstone
3.9
Dundee
3.9
Kilmarnock
3.8
Celtic
3.6
ST Mirren
3.4
Partick
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
25.1
Motherwell
24.7
Livingston
24.2
Ross County
23.5
Kilmarnock
23.4
Heart Of Midlothian
23.4
Hibernian
23.3
ST Johnstone
22.8
ST Mirren
21.8
Dundee
21.4
Rangers
21.3
Partick
20.3
Celtic
19.5
Airdrie United
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.4%
Under 9.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.9%
Under 3.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
39.5%
Under 21.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ST Mirren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.47
0.53
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (16)
0.75
0.81
0.38
0.88
1.12
0.75
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.36
0.57
0.14
0.14
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Johnstone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.33
0.50
0.25
0.29
0.43
vs Stronger (12)
0.08
0.33
0.14
0.29
0.00
0.40
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.33
0.78
0.22
0.44
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ST Mirren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.73
0.67
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (16)
0.44
1.00
0.50
1.12
0.38
0.88
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.43
1.00
0.14
0.29
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Johnstone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
1.00
0.44
1.06
0.29
0.93
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
1.08
0.29
1.43
0.00
0.60
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.94
0.56
0.78
0.44
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
ST Mirren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mikael Mandron20%
Mark O'Hara18%
Toyosi Olusanya17%
Jonah Ayunga12%
Greg Kiltie12%
Stav Nachmani11%
Alex Greive11%
James Scott9%
Ryan Strain6%
Scott Tanser5%
Alexander Gogić5%
Lewis Jamieson5%
Charles Dunne5%
James Bolton4%
Conor McMenamin4%
Keanu Baccus3%
Marcus Fraser3%
Jaden Brown0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Zachary Hemming0%
Richard Taylor0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Thierry Small0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Keanu Baccus29%
Ryan Strain24%
Richard Taylor19%
Alexander Gogić18%
Scott Tanser16%
Conor McMenamin15%
Mark O'Hara14%
Toyosi Olusanya14%
Ryan Flynn9%
Caolan Boyd-Munce9%
Zachary Hemming8%
Jonah Ayunga6%
Mikael Mandron6%
Marcus Fraser5%
James Bolton4%
Greg Kiltie3%
Jaden Brown0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Thierry Small0%
Alex Greive0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Greg Kiltie15%
Mark O'Hara11%
Scott Tanser11%
Mikael Mandron9%
Caolan Boyd-Munce9%
Ryan Strain6%
Conor McMenamin4%
Keanu Baccus3%
Toyosi Olusanya3%
Alexander Gogić3%
Jaden Brown0%
Jonah Ayunga0%
James Bolton0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Zachary Hemming0%
Richard Taylor0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Thierry Small0%
Alex Greive0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mikael Mandron14%
Stav Nachmani11%
Jonah Ayunga6%
Greg Kiltie6%
Toyosi Olusanya6%
Scott Tanser5%
Richard Taylor4%
Caolan Boyd-Munce3%
Ryan Strain0%
Keanu Baccus0%
Mark O'Hara0%
Jaden Brown0%
James Bolton0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Charles Dunne0%
James Scott0%
Alexander Gogić0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Conor McMenamin0%
Zachary Hemming0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Thierry Small0%
Alex Greive0%
ST Johnstone
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adama Sidibeh33%
Nicky Clark29%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka18%
Connor Smith9%
Dara Costelloe8%
David Keltjens7%
Chris Kane7%
Diallang Jaiyesimi6%
Tony Gallacher6%
Graham Carey6%
Maksym Kucheriavyi4%
Andy Considine3%
Ryan McGowan3%
Matthew Smith3%
Sven Sprangler0%
James Brown0%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Luke Jephcott0%
Stevie May0%
Liam Gordon0%
Drey Wright0%
Cameron MacPherson0%
Sam McClelland0%
Daniel Phillips0%
Luke Robinson0%
Jay Turner-Cooke0%
Kerr Smith0%
Oludare Olufunwa0%
Franio Franczak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sam McClelland43%
Daniel Phillips30%
David Keltjens29%
Sven Sprangler26%
Cameron MacPherson25%
Ryan McGowan24%
Luke Robinson22%
Maksym Kucheriavyi21%
Chris Kane20%
Connor Smith18%
Stevie May14%
Adama Sidibeh13%
Franio Franczak12%
Matthew Smith12%
Graham Carey11%
Drey Wright11%
Dimitar Mitov11%
Liam Gordon9%
James Brown9%
Oludare Olufunwa9%
Dara Costelloe8%
Andy Considine7%
Diallang Jaiyesimi6%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka6%
Tony Gallacher6%
Luke Jephcott0%
Nicky Clark0%
Jay Turner-Cooke0%
Kerr Smith0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Graham Carey25%
Matthew Smith9%
Stevie May7%
Diallang Jaiyesimi6%
Luke Robinson6%
Daniel Phillips6%
Sven Sprangler0%
James Brown0%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka0%
Luke Jephcott0%
Andy Considine0%
Connor Smith0%
Liam Gordon0%
Drey Wright0%
Chris Kane0%
Cameron MacPherson0%
Ryan McGowan0%
Nicky Clark0%
Dara Costelloe0%
Tony Gallacher0%
David Keltjens0%
Sam McClelland0%
Jay Turner-Cooke0%
Kerr Smith0%
Oludare Olufunwa0%
Maksym Kucheriavyi0%
Franio Franczak0%
Adama Sidibeh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adama Sidibeh13%
Diallang Jaiyesimi12%
Nicky Clark10%
Cameron MacPherson8%
Dara Costelloe8%
Chris Kane7%
Graham Carey6%
Stevie May4%
Maksym Kucheriavyi4%
Liam Gordon3%
Sven Sprangler0%
James Brown0%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka0%
Luke Jephcott0%
Matthew Smith0%
Andy Considine0%
Connor Smith0%
Drey Wright0%
Ryan McGowan0%
Tony Gallacher0%
David Keltjens0%
Sam McClelland0%
Daniel Phillips0%
Luke Robinson0%
Jay Turner-Cooke0%
Kerr Smith0%
Oludare Olufunwa0%
Franio Franczak0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
ST Mirren's squad is €2m more valuable than ST Johnstone's (€8m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
ST Mirren and ST Johnstone have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
ST Mirren's midfield is €2m more valuable than ST Johnstone's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
ST Mirren's defence is €1m more valuable than ST Johnstone's (€3m vs €2m).
Scotland: Premiership 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →