This opponent (Drogheda United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.97
1.64
0.71
1.12
1.19
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
1.40
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.80
vs Similar (19)
1.53
0.74
2.11
0.56
1.00
0.90
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.5%
Under 2.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.1%
Under 3.5
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
0-0 â
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
5.0%
St Patrick's Athl. goals ↓
Drogheda United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
4.4%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
1
9.8%
11%
5.0%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
9.9%
4.8%
1.5%
0.4%
3
6.6%
6.3%
3.0%
1.0%
0.2%
4
3.1%
3.0%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = St Patrick's Athl. goals (down), columns = Drogheda United goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.83
Derry City
1.75
Shelbourne
1.64
Bohemians
1.50
St Patrick's Athl.
1.44
Drogheda United
1.42
Sligo Rovers
1.14
Waterford
1.14
Galway United
1.08
Cork City
0.67
Bray Wanderers
0.00
St Patrick's Athl. is 0.03 points better than Drogheda United in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.42).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.56
Derry City
1.44
Shelbourne
1.33
Bohemians
1.33
Sligo Rovers
1.17
St Patrick's Athl.
1.17
Waterford
1.16
Drogheda United
1.06
Galway United
1.03
Bray Wanderers
1.00
Cork City
0.92
St Patrick's Athl. is 0.11 goals better than Drogheda United in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.06).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
St Patrick's Athl.
0.89
Shamrock Rovers
0.92
Shelbourne
1.03
Drogheda United
1.06
Bohemians
1.08
Derry City
1.08
Galway United
1.22
Sligo Rovers
1.50
Waterford
1.65
Cork City
1.69
Bray Wanderers
2.00
St Patrick's Athl. is 0.17 goals better than Drogheda United in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.06).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
60%
Shelbourne
57%
Bohemians
56%
St Patrick's Athl.
54%
Derry City
54%
Sligo Rovers
49%
Waterford
47%
Cork City
46%
Galway United
41%
Drogheda United
36%
St Patrick's Athl. is 17.7 percentage points better than Drogheda United in terms of average possession (54% vs 36%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
St Patrick's Athl.
For 5.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.3
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.8 · Total 20.7
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Drogheda United
For 4.5 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.3
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 10.2 · Total 19.9
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St Patrick's Athl.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.1
10.2
4.3
4.2
4.3
22.5
22.1
22.9
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
10.0
9.5
10.4
4.6
4.3
4.8
22.5
22.2
22.7
vs Weaker (12)
10.7
11.5
9.8
4.8
5.3
4.3
22.7
22.0
23.6
% over line
49%
53%
45%
70%
67%
73%
46%
37%
55%
% under line
51%
47%
55%
30%
33%
27%
54%
63%
45%
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.2
10.1
4.0
4.5
3.5
22.1
22.7
21.5
vs Stronger (16)
9.9
8.5
11.6
4.1
4.9
3.2
21.0
22.2
19.6
vs Similar (33)
9.5
9.6
9.5
4.1
4.4
3.8
22.6
22.9
22.3
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
41%
38%
45%
54%
62%
46%
59%
62%
55%
% under line
59%
62%
55%
46%
38%
54%
41%
38%
45%
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bohemians
10.8
Cork City
10.5
Waterford
10.1
Sligo Rovers
10.0
St Patrick's Athl.
9.9
Drogheda United
9.9
Galway United
9.9
Shamrock Rovers
9.2
Shelbourne
8.9
Derry City
8.6
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bohemians
5.9
Shelbourne
5.8
Derry City
5.6
Sligo Rovers
5.4
Waterford
5.4
Shamrock Rovers
5.2
Cork City
5.2
St Patrick's Athl.
5.1
Galway United
4.8
Drogheda United
4.5
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cork City
25.5
Sligo Rovers
24.9
Derry City
24.8
Bohemians
24.5
Waterford
24.5
Galway United
24.0
St Patrick's Athl.
23.6
Shelbourne
23.6
Drogheda United
22.5
Shamrock Rovers
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.7%
Under 9.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.4%
Under 3.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
42.4%
Under 21.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
St Patrick's Athl.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.33
1.14
0.29
0.62
0.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.40
1.22
0.22
0.55
0.55
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.25
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.30
0.79
0.21
0.56
0.38
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.40
0.40
0.20
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.26
1.00
0.22
0.60
0.30
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
St Patrick's Athl.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
0.86
0.50
0.69
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.70
0.67
0.33
0.91
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.25
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.86
0.50
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.00
0.40
0.80
0.80
1.20
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.47
1.11
0.33
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 1.5
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 3.5 cards
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
St Patrick's Athl.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mason Melia29%
Aidan Keena15%
Christopher Forrester14%
Zachary Elbouzedi13%
Simon Power10%
Conor Carty8%
Kian Leavy7%
Jason McClelland7%
Luke Turner7%
Joe Redmond6%
Ryan McLaughlin5%
Brandon Kavanagh4%
Jamie Lennon3%
Jake Mulraney3%
Barry Baggley0%
Tom Grivosti0%
Sean Hoare0%
Anto Breslin0%
Axel Sjoberg0%
Jordon Garrick0%
Joseph Anang0%
Al-Amin Kazeem0%
Romal Palmer0%
Darren Robinson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tom Grivosti48%
Jamie Lennon43%
Sean Hoare36%
Romal Palmer25%
Jake Mulraney23%
Axel Sjoberg21%
Barry Baggley21%
Anto Breslin18%
Joe Redmond17%
Al-Amin Kazeem15%
Jordon Garrick14%
Darren Robinson11%
Mason Melia9%
Brandon Kavanagh7%
Jason McClelland7%
Ryan McLaughlin5%
Aidan Keena5%
Zachary Elbouzedi4%
Christopher Forrester4%
Joseph Anang3%
Simon Power0%
Luke Turner0%
Conor Carty0%
Kian Leavy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jordon Garrick14%
Barry Baggley12%
Brandon Kavanagh11%
Christopher Forrester11%
Mason Melia9%
Kian Leavy7%
Simon Power7%
Jason McClelland7%
Jake Mulraney6%
Anto Breslin6%
Joe Redmond6%
Aidan Keena5%
Tom Grivosti5%
Zachary Elbouzedi4%
Axel Sjoberg4%
Jamie Lennon3%
Ryan McLaughlin0%
Sean Hoare0%
Luke Turner0%
Joseph Anang0%
Al-Amin Kazeem0%
Romal Palmer0%
Conor Carty0%
Darren Robinson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mason Melia29%
Aidan Keena25%
Brandon Kavanagh19%
Jordon Garrick14%
Simon Power7%
Jake Mulraney6%
Anto Breslin6%
Christopher Forrester4%
Kian Leavy4%
Barry Baggley3%
Joe Redmond3%
Ryan McLaughlin0%
Tom Grivosti0%
Sean Hoare0%
Jamie Lennon0%
Zachary Elbouzedi0%
Jason McClelland0%
Axel Sjoberg0%
Luke Turner0%
Joseph Anang0%
Al-Amin Kazeem0%
Romal Palmer0%
Conor Carty0%
Darren Robinson0%
Drogheda United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Thomas25%
Warren Davis19%
Dare Kareem19%
Douglas James-Taylor15%
Conor Keeley15%
Paul Doyle14%
Elicha Ahui12%
Darragh Markey10%
George Cooper8%
Ryan Brennan6%
Shane Farrell6%
Luke Heeney6%
Thomas Oluwa3%
Conor Kane0%
Luke Dennison0%
Jack Stretton0%
Andrew Quinn0%
Owen Lambe0%
Kieran Cruise0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Aaron Harper-Bailey0%
Steve Zishim Bawa0%
Bridel Bosakani0%
James Bolger0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Elicha Ahui38%
Ryan Brennan28%
Luke Heeney27%
Josh Thomas25%
Shane Farrell24%
Conor Keeley21%
Darragh Markey19%
Steve Zishim Bawa14%
Kieran Cruise12%
Andrew Quinn10%
Owen Lambe9%
Warren Davis9%
Conor Kane9%
Douglas James-Taylor8%
Thomas Oluwa6%
Dare Kareem6%
Luke Dennison6%
Paul Doyle0%
Jack Stretton0%
George Cooper0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Aaron Harper-Bailey0%
Bridel Bosakani0%
James Bolger0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Shane Farrell9%
Conor Keeley9%
Owen Lambe6%
Warren Davis6%
Conor Kane6%
Kieran Cruise6%
Thomas Oluwa3%
Darragh Markey3%
Andrew Quinn3%
Ryan Brennan3%
Luke Heeney3%
Douglas James-Taylor0%
Paul Doyle0%
Luke Dennison0%
Jack Stretton0%
Josh Thomas0%
George Cooper0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Aaron Harper-Bailey0%
Steve Zishim Bawa0%
Bridel Bosakani0%
James Bolger0%
Dare Kareem0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Douglas James-Taylor38%
Josh Thomas25%
Conor Keeley9%
James Bolger8%
George Cooper8%
Thomas Oluwa6%
Owen Lambe3%
Warren Davis3%
Darragh Markey0%
Paul Doyle0%
Ryan Brennan0%
Shane Farrell0%
Luke Heeney0%
Conor Kane0%
Luke Dennison0%
Jack Stretton0%
Andrew Quinn0%
Kieran Cruise0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Aaron Harper-Bailey0%
Steve Zishim Bawa0%
Bridel Bosakani0%
Dare Kareem0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
St Patrick's Athl.'s squad is €2m more valuable than Drogheda United's (€5m vs €3m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
St Patrick's Athl. and Drogheda United have a similar attack value (both €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
St Patrick's Athl. and Drogheda United have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
St Patrick's Athl. and Drogheda United have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Cork City
Bray Wanderers