This opponent (Galway United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galway United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.43
1.47
1.53
1.00
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.23
1.43
1.47
1.53
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.0%
Under 1.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.2%
Under 2.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.9%
Under 3.5
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.7%
No
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.9%
2-0
13.4%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-0 â
8.0%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
4.8%
St Patrick's Athl. goals ↓
Galway United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
4.8%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
1
14%
11%
3.6%
0.8%
0.1%
2
13%
9.3%
3.2%
0.7%
0.1%
3
8.0%
5.5%
1.9%
0.4%
0.1%
4
3.6%
2.5%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = St Patrick's Athl. goals (down), columns = Galway United goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.96
St Patrick's Athl.
1.72
Bohemians
1.72
Dundalk
1.38
Shelbourne
1.30
Galway United
1.21
Derry City
1.17
Waterford
1.10
Drogheda United
0.97
Sligo Rovers
0.79
St Patrick's Athl. is 0.51 points better than Galway United in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 1.21).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bohemians
1.72
Shamrock Rovers
1.64
Dundalk
1.59
St Patrick's Athl.
1.55
Derry City
1.41
Shelbourne
1.37
Waterford
1.34
Galway United
1.29
Drogheda United
1.14
Sligo Rovers
0.79
St Patrick's Athl. is 0.27 goals better than Galway United in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.29).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
St Patrick's Athl.
0.86
Shamrock Rovers
0.96
Bohemians
1.17
Derry City
1.38
Shelbourne
1.44
Galway United
1.50
Dundalk
1.55
Sligo Rovers
1.66
Drogheda United
1.66
Waterford
1.66
St Patrick's Athl. is 0.64 goals better than Galway United in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.50).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
62%
Bohemians
59%
St Patrick's Athl.
55%
Derry City
54%
Shelbourne
53%
Dundalk
52%
Sligo Rovers
46%
Drogheda United
40%
Galway United
40%
Waterford
39%
St Patrick's Athl. is 15.5 percentage points better than Galway United in terms of average possession (55% vs 40%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
St Patrick's Athl.
For 5.9 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.1
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 12.7 · Total 22.8
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Galway United
For 6.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 11.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 10.9 · Total 21.8
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St Patrick's Athl.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.0
10.6
4.4
4.4
4.4
22.8
23.4
22.2
vs Stronger (2)
3.5
5.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
20.0
20.0
20.0
vs Similar (34)
10.3
9.8
10.7
4.8
5.1
4.6
22.7
23.8
21.8
vs Weaker (14)
11.4
11.0
11.8
3.6
3.2
4.2
23.3
23.0
23.7
% over line
60%
55%
65%
64%
56%
72%
56%
64%
48%
% under line
40%
45%
35%
36%
44%
28%
44%
36%
52%
This opponent (Galway United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galway United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.8
10.1
4.4
4.6
4.2
22.7
23.7
21.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
10.4
10.8
10.1
4.4
4.6
4.2
22.7
23.7
21.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
62%
54%
64%
72%
56%
60%
67%
54%
% under line
42%
38%
46%
36%
28%
44%
40%
33%
46%
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sligo Rovers
11.2
Waterford
11.0
Galway United
10.4
Dundalk
10.3
Drogheda United
10.3
Bohemians
10.2
St Patrick's Athl.
10.0
Shelbourne
9.6
Derry City
9.2
Shamrock Rovers
8.6
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Derry City
5.5
Dundalk
5.1
St Patrick's Athl.
5.1
Shamrock Rovers
4.9
Bohemians
4.9
Shelbourne
4.9
Waterford
4.9
Galway United
4.6
Drogheda United
4.5
Sligo Rovers
4.5
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Derry City
23.2
Dundalk
23.2
Bohemians
23.1
Galway United
22.9
Waterford
22.8
St Patrick's Athl.
22.6
Shamrock Rovers
22.2
Drogheda United
21.6
Shelbourne
21.4
Sligo Rovers
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.0%
Under 9.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
62.4%
Under 3.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
54.2%
Under 21.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
St Patrick's Athl.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.80
0.40
0.47
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.36
0.70
0.40
0.25
0.33
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.50
1.00
0.40
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Galway United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galway United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.60
0.67
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.50
0.57
0.60
0.67
0.40
0.47
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
St Patrick's Athl.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.40
1.27
0.13
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.50
0.80
0.20
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
0.12
2.20
0.00
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Galway United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galway United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
0.87
0.87
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.73
0.87
0.87
0.87
0.60
0.87
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
St Patrick's Athl.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anthony Olusanya50%
A. Keena26%
K. Leavy25%
Ryan Edmondson22%
Zachary Elbouzedi20%
R. Palmer17%
Christopher Forrester11%
S. Hoare9%
Max Mata8%
Anto Breslin5%
J. Lennon4%
D. Nugent4%
J. Brown4%
B. Baggley4%
Luke Turner4%
D. Rogers0%
Tom Grivosti0%
J. McClelland0%
J. Redmond0%
Ronan Boyce0%
Joseph Anang0%
Glory Nzingo0%
Ryan Sheridan0%
Sam Rooney0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Hoare27%
Anthony Olusanya25%
J. Lennon25%
Ryan Sheridan25%
Ronan Boyce20%
J. Brown19%
R. Palmer17%
Ryan Edmondson15%
J. Redmond14%
Luke Turner11%
Tom Grivosti10%
K. Leavy8%
Max Mata8%
Christopher Forrester5%
J. McClelland5%
Anto Breslin5%
Joseph Anang4%
D. Nugent4%
B. Baggley4%
A. Keena0%
D. Rogers0%
Zachary Elbouzedi0%
Glory Nzingo0%
Sam Rooney0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryan Sheridan25%
A. Keena17%
Zachary Elbouzedi13%
K. Leavy12%
J. Brown12%
Luke Turner11%
J. McClelland10%
J. Lennon8%
J. Redmond7%
R. Palmer6%
Christopher Forrester5%
Ryan Edmondson4%
B. Baggley4%
D. Rogers0%
Tom Grivosti0%
Anthony Olusanya0%
S. Hoare0%
D. Nugent0%
Anto Breslin0%
Max Mata0%
Ronan Boyce0%
Joseph Anang0%
Glory Nzingo0%
Sam Rooney0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Keena26%
Ryan Edmondson26%
Max Mata15%
K. Leavy12%
Christopher Forrester11%
Luke Turner7%
Zachary Elbouzedi7%
R. Palmer6%
J. McClelland5%
J. Brown4%
B. Baggley0%
D. Rogers0%
Tom Grivosti0%
Anthony Olusanya0%
S. Hoare0%
D. Nugent0%
J. Lennon0%
Anto Breslin0%
J. Redmond0%
Ronan Boyce0%
Joseph Anang0%
Glory Nzingo0%
Ryan Sheridan0%
Sam Rooney0%
Galway United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kristopher Twardek29%
Frantz Pierrot22%
J. Keohane13%
Francely Lomboto11%
M. Wolfe9%
A. Bolger8%
S. Walsh8%
E. McCarthy8%
Axel Piesold8%
D. Hurley7%
Killian Brouder5%
Wasiri Ola Williams4%
Dylan Connolly0%
Conor McCormack0%
Al-Amin Kazeem0%
Gianfranco Facchineri0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Hugo Cunha0%
Connor Barratt0%
Arthur Parker0%
Evan Watts0%
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau0%
Lee Devitt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leigh Kavanagh20%
Wasiri Ola Williams20%
S. Walsh19%
D. Hurley19%
M. Wolfe18%
Gianfranco Facchineri17%
A. Bolger16%
Lee Devitt16%
Connor Barratt16%
Al-Amin Kazeem15%
Kristopher Twardek14%
J. Keohane13%
Evan Watts10%
Frantz Pierrot9%
Conor McCormack8%
Arthur Parker8%
E. McCarthy8%
Axel Piesold8%
Francely Lomboto5%
Killian Brouder5%
Dylan Connolly0%
Hugo Cunha0%
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kristopher Twardek24%
D. Hurley22%
J. Keohane13%
S. Walsh12%
A. Bolger8%
Axel Piesold8%
M. Wolfe5%
Wasiri Ola Williams4%
Dylan Connolly0%
Conor McCormack0%
Killian Brouder0%
Al-Amin Kazeem0%
Frantz Pierrot0%
Gianfranco Facchineri0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Francely Lomboto0%
E. McCarthy0%
Hugo Cunha0%
Connor Barratt0%
Arthur Parker0%
Evan Watts0%
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau0%
Lee Devitt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Walsh15%
Frantz Pierrot13%
Francely Lomboto11%
Kristopher Twardek10%
J. Keohane9%
D. Hurley7%
M. Wolfe5%
A. Bolger4%
E. McCarthy4%
Dylan Connolly0%
Conor McCormack0%
Killian Brouder0%
Al-Amin Kazeem0%
Gianfranco Facchineri0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Hugo Cunha0%
Connor Barratt0%
Arthur Parker0%
Wasiri Ola Williams0%
Axel Piesold0%
Evan Watts0%
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau0%
Lee Devitt0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
St Patrick's Athl.'s squad is €2m more valuable than Galway United's (€5m vs €3m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
St Patrick's Athl. and Galway United have a similar attack value (both €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
St Patrick's Athl. and Galway United have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
St Patrick's Athl. and Galway United have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Derry City
Waterford
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers