This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.67
1.00
1.44
1.43
1.93
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
1.70
1.00
1.17
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (20)
1.30
1.65
1.00
1.60
1.60
1.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.1%
No
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
3-0 â
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
St Patrick's Athl. goals ↓
Sligo Rovers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
4.6%
2.9%
1.0%
0.2%
1
9.3%
12%
5.4%
1.8%
0.5%
2
9.7%
9.9%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
3
6.1%
6.2%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.8%
2.9%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = St Patrick's Athl. goals (down), columns = Sligo Rovers goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.83
Derry City
1.75
Shelbourne
1.64
Bohemians
1.50
St Patrick's Athl.
1.44
Drogheda United
1.42
Sligo Rovers
1.14
Waterford
1.14
Galway United
1.08
Cork City
0.67
Bray Wanderers
0.00
St Patrick's Athl. is 0.31 points better than Sligo Rovers in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.14).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.56
Derry City
1.44
Shelbourne
1.33
Bohemians
1.33
Sligo Rovers
1.17
St Patrick's Athl.
1.17
Waterford
1.16
Drogheda United
1.06
Galway United
1.03
Bray Wanderers
1.00
Cork City
0.92
St Patrick's Athl. and Sligo Rovers are level in goals scored per game (both 1.17).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
St Patrick's Athl.
0.89
Shamrock Rovers
0.92
Shelbourne
1.03
Drogheda United
1.06
Bohemians
1.08
Derry City
1.08
Galway United
1.22
Sligo Rovers
1.50
Waterford
1.65
Cork City
1.69
Bray Wanderers
2.00
St Patrick's Athl. is 0.61 goals better than Sligo Rovers in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.50).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
60%
Shelbourne
57%
Bohemians
56%
St Patrick's Athl.
54%
Derry City
54%
Sligo Rovers
49%
Waterford
47%
Cork City
46%
Galway United
41%
Drogheda United
36%
St Patrick's Athl. is 5.0 percentage points better than Sligo Rovers in terms of average possession (54% vs 49%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
St Patrick's Athl.
For 6.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.7
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.6 · Total 5.9
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 14.0 · Total 24.1
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sligo Rovers
For 4.8 · Against 6.8 · Total 11.6
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.1
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 9.3 · Total 18.3
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St Patrick's Athl.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.7
10.3
3.9
4.0
3.8
21.9
21.2
22.6
vs Stronger (5)
5.0
5.0
-
0.4
0.7
0.0
20.0
20.0
-
vs Similar (34)
9.8
9.4
10.2
4.1
3.9
4.3
21.6
20.6
22.3
vs Weaker (11)
10.9
11.0
10.8
4.9
5.8
3.8
22.8
22.3
23.5
% over line
46%
44%
47%
64%
64%
64%
41%
33%
47%
% under line
54%
56%
53%
36%
36%
36%
59%
67%
53%
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
8.9
11.7
5.1
4.8
5.3
23.7
24.2
23.0
vs Stronger (16)
9.9
9.2
10.6
5.5
4.7
6.6
24.1
23.5
24.7
vs Similar (34)
10.4
8.7
12.1
4.9
4.9
4.8
23.5
24.6
22.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
33%
74%
66%
65%
67%
64%
71%
57%
% under line
47%
67%
26%
34%
35%
33%
36%
29%
43%
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bohemians
10.6
Cork City
10.5
Waterford
10.2
St Patrick's Athl.
10.1
Sligo Rovers
10.1
Drogheda United
9.9
Galway United
9.5
Shamrock Rovers
9.2
Shelbourne
8.8
Derry City
8.5
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Derry City
5.9
Bohemians
5.8
Shelbourne
5.7
Waterford
5.6
Sligo Rovers
5.4
St Patrick's Athl.
5.4
Shamrock Rovers
5.3
Cork City
5.0
Galway United
5.0
Drogheda United
4.7
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cork City
24.9
Derry City
24.4
Waterford
24.2
Galway United
24.0
Bohemians
23.9
Sligo Rovers
23.6
St Patrick's Athl.
23.1
Shamrock Rovers
22.3
Shelbourne
22.2
Drogheda United
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.7%
Under 9.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
82.8%
Under 3.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
52.4%
Under 21.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
St Patrick's Athl.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.67
0.60
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
4.00
0.00
4.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.59
0.64
0.36
0.55
0.82
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.14
1.00
0.33
0.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.50
0.69
0.71
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.00
0.83
0.67
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.70
0.30
0.70
0.80
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
St Patrick's Athl.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.73
0.40
0.33
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.50
0.55
0.18
0.45
0.82
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.57
1.33
1.33
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.87
0.50
0.75
0.71
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.70
0.17
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.95
0.70
0.90
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 1.5
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
St Patrick's Athl.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mason Melia29%
Aidan Keena15%
Christopher Forrester14%
Zachary Elbouzedi13%
Simon Power10%
Conor Carty8%
Kian Leavy7%
Jason McClelland7%
Luke Turner7%
Joe Redmond6%
Ryan McLaughlin5%
Brandon Kavanagh4%
Jamie Lennon3%
Jake Mulraney3%
Barry Baggley0%
Tom Grivosti0%
Sean Hoare0%
Anto Breslin0%
Axel Sjoberg0%
Jordon Garrick0%
Joseph Anang0%
Al-Amin Kazeem0%
Romal Palmer0%
Darren Robinson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tom Grivosti48%
Jamie Lennon43%
Sean Hoare36%
Romal Palmer25%
Jake Mulraney23%
Axel Sjoberg21%
Barry Baggley21%
Anto Breslin18%
Joe Redmond17%
Al-Amin Kazeem15%
Jordon Garrick14%
Darren Robinson11%
Mason Melia9%
Brandon Kavanagh7%
Jason McClelland7%
Ryan McLaughlin5%
Aidan Keena5%
Zachary Elbouzedi4%
Christopher Forrester4%
Joseph Anang3%
Simon Power0%
Luke Turner0%
Conor Carty0%
Kian Leavy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jordon Garrick14%
Barry Baggley12%
Brandon Kavanagh11%
Christopher Forrester11%
Mason Melia9%
Kian Leavy7%
Simon Power7%
Jason McClelland7%
Jake Mulraney6%
Anto Breslin6%
Joe Redmond6%
Aidan Keena5%
Tom Grivosti5%
Zachary Elbouzedi4%
Axel Sjoberg4%
Jamie Lennon3%
Ryan McLaughlin0%
Sean Hoare0%
Luke Turner0%
Joseph Anang0%
Al-Amin Kazeem0%
Romal Palmer0%
Conor Carty0%
Darren Robinson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mason Melia29%
Aidan Keena25%
Brandon Kavanagh19%
Jordon Garrick14%
Simon Power7%
Jake Mulraney6%
Anto Breslin6%
Christopher Forrester4%
Kian Leavy4%
Barry Baggley3%
Joe Redmond3%
Ryan McLaughlin0%
Tom Grivosti0%
Sean Hoare0%
Jamie Lennon0%
Zachary Elbouzedi0%
Jason McClelland0%
Axel Sjoberg0%
Luke Turner0%
Joseph Anang0%
Al-Amin Kazeem0%
Romal Palmer0%
Conor Carty0%
Darren Robinson0%
Sligo Rovers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Owen Elding33%
Ryan O'Kane18%
Francely Lomboto17%
Jad Hakiki16%
Cian Kavanagh15%
Patrick McClean14%
Wilson Waweru12%
Gareth McElroy11%
Reece Hutchinson10%
Oliver Denham5%
Stephen Mallon0%
Jake Doyle Hayes0%
Sam Sargeant0%
Connor Malley0%
Ciaron Harkin0%
John Mahon0%
William Fitzgerald0%
Ronan Manning0%
Matthew Wolfe0%
Oskar van Hattum0%
Edwin Agbaje0%
Sean Stewart0%
Harvey Lintott0%
Seb Quirk0%
Conor Walsh0%
James McManus0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Daire Patton0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jake Doyle Hayes53%
John Mahon47%
Connor Malley40%
Ciaron Harkin33%
Edwin Agbaje33%
Cian Kavanagh23%
Conor Reynolds22%
Matthew Wolfe19%
Jad Hakiki19%
Harvey Lintott18%
Daire Patton17%
Oliver Denham16%
Gareth McElroy16%
James McManus15%
Owen Elding15%
Reece Hutchinson15%
Patrick McClean14%
Francely Lomboto13%
William Fitzgerald12%
Ronan Manning12%
Oskar van Hattum10%
Sean Stewart10%
Seb Quirk8%
Kyle McDonagh7%
Sam Sargeant7%
Stephen Mallon0%
Wilson Waweru0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Conor Walsh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
William Fitzgerald18%
Owen Elding12%
Jake Doyle Hayes12%
Ciaron Harkin11%
Connor Malley10%
Oskar van Hattum10%
Matthew Wolfe10%
Harvey Lintott9%
Daire Patton8%
Ronan Manning6%
Gareth McElroy5%
Reece Hutchinson5%
Cian Kavanagh4%
Jad Hakiki3%
Stephen Mallon0%
Sam Sargeant0%
Patrick McClean0%
John Mahon0%
Wilson Waweru0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Oliver Denham0%
Edwin Agbaje0%
Francely Lomboto0%
Sean Stewart0%
Seb Quirk0%
Conor Walsh0%
James McManus0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Owen Elding33%
Jad Hakiki25%
Ryan O'Kane18%
Cian Kavanagh15%
Gareth McElroy11%
Seb Quirk8%
Francely Lomboto4%
Stephen Mallon0%
Jake Doyle Hayes0%
Sam Sargeant0%
Connor Malley0%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Patrick McClean0%
Ciaron Harkin0%
John Mahon0%
William Fitzgerald0%
Wilson Waweru0%
Ronan Manning0%
Matthew Wolfe0%
Oskar van Hattum0%
Oliver Denham0%
Edwin Agbaje0%
Sean Stewart0%
Harvey Lintott0%
Conor Walsh0%
James McManus0%
Conor Reynolds0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Daire Patton0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
St Patrick's Athl.'s squad is €2m more valuable than Sligo Rovers's (€5m vs €3m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
St Patrick's Athl. and Sligo Rovers have a similar attack value (both €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
St Patrick's Athl. and Sligo Rovers have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
St Patrick's Athl. and Sligo Rovers have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Waterford
Galway United
Cork City
Bray Wanderers