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Stabaek vs hodd Result & Analysis

Date: 27/07/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 6-0
Stabaek
Stabaek
Vs
47%
25%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
hodd
hodd
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Stabaek a 47% win probability against hodd in the Norway: 1. Division on 2026-07-27, with 25% for the draw and 28% for hodd. The model estimates around 3.1 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (22%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (11.5%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (83%).

Results analysis

Stabaek finished 6-0 against hodd (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 47% home win, 25% draw and 28% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (83%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stabaek win✓ Hit
47.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
hodd win✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StabaekStabaek

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D11D30W22D50W20W31W23L15L03LH·STA30/08A·EGE13/09H·RAU21/09H·ODD05/10A·SKE18/10H·ASA22/10A·HOD25/10A·MJO29/10H·LYN02/11A·LIL08/11
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.771.601.731.401.80
vs Stronger (2)0.003.000.003.000.003.00
vs Similar (18)1.282.221.442.441.112.00
vs Weaker (10)2.200.702.200.202.201.20
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

hoddhodd

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W21W01L04L33D03L13L00D00D43WA·ODD13/09H·MOS20/09H·LYN29/09A·LIL04/10H·ASA18/10A·KON22/10H·STA25/10A·EGE01/11H·AAL08/11H·STR04/07
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.801.501.620.932.00
vs Stronger (11)0.641.640.671.670.601.60
vs Similar (17)1.652.002.111.671.122.38
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Stabaek) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.6%
Under 2.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.3%
Under 3.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.6%
No
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
Stabaek goals ↓
hodd goals →
01234
05.4%4.8%3.9%1.7%0.6%
16.8%12%7.0%3.1%1.0%
27.0%9.4%6.3%2.8%0.9%
34.2%5.6%3.8%1.7%0.6%
41.9%2.5%1.7%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stabaek goals (down), columns = hodd goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kongsvinger
1.74
Egersund
1.72
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Haugesund
1.54
Stromsgodset
1.48
Sogndal
1.43
Bryne
1.42
Sandnes ULF
1.23
Strommen
1.11
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
hodd
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Stabaek is 0.07 points worse than hodd in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.10).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
2.10
Haugesund
1.79
Egersund
1.72
Stromsgodset
1.72
Bryne
1.65
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.43
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Strommen
1.29
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
hodd
1.13
Stabaek is 0.37 goals better than hodd in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.13).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lyn
1.23
Egersund
1.34
Haugesund
1.40
Stromsgodset
1.46
Bryne
1.51
Kongsvinger
1.52
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Sandnes ULF
1.74
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Strommen
1.93
Moss
2.12
Stabaek is 0.03 goals worse than hodd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.77 vs 1.73).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StabaekStabaek

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W21W20W10W21W21W02L01LH·STA30/08A·EGE13/09H·RAU21/09H·ODD05/10A·SKE18/10H·ASA22/10A·HOD25/10A·MJO29/10H·LYN02/11A·LIL08/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.530.670.730.73
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (18)0.560.830.670.890.440.78
vs Weaker (10)0.900.300.400.001.400.60
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

hoddhodd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W00D01L12L02L12L00D00D32WA·ODD13/09H·MOS20/09H·LYN29/09A·LIL04/10H·ASA18/10A·KON22/10H·STA25/10A·EGE01/11H·AAL08/11H·STR04/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.830.940.690.571.00
vs Stronger (11)0.550.550.500.500.600.60
vs Similar (17)1.001.001.330.780.621.25
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Stabaek) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stabaek over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stabaek over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stabaek over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StabaekStabaek

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W20W01L30W10W10W02L13L02LH·STA30/08A·EGE13/09H·RAU21/09H·ODD05/10A·SKE18/10H·ASA22/10A·HOD25/10A·MJO29/10H·LYN02/11A·LIL08/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.071.071.070.671.07
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (18)0.721.390.781.560.671.22
vs Weaker (10)1.300.401.800.200.800.60
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

hoddhodd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D01L03L21W01L01L00D00D11DA·ODD13/09H·MOS20/09H·LYN29/09A·LIL04/10H·ASA18/10A·KON22/10H·STA25/10A·EGE01/11H·AAL08/11H·STR04/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.970.560.940.361.00
vs Stronger (11)0.091.090.171.170.001.00
vs Similar (17)0.651.000.780.890.501.12
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Stabaek) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stabaek over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stabaek over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stabaek over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (27)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (25)
€9m
STR (23)
€7m
BRY (23)
€6m
KON (26)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (21)
€4m
MOS (24)
€4m
LYN (25)
€4m
RAN (23)
€4m
HOD (21)
€3m
ASA (24)
€3m
SU (22)
€3m
RAU (21)
€2m
STR (24)
€2m
Stabaek's squad is €6m more valuable than hodd's (€9m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASA (0)
€0m
BRY (0)
€0m
EGE (0)
€0m
HAU (0)
€0m
HOD (0)
€0m
KON (0)
€0m
LYN (0)
€0m
MOS (0)
€0m
OB (0)
€0m
RAN (0)
€0m
RAU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
SOG (0)
€0m
STA (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASA (0)
€0m
BRY (0)
€0m
EGE (0)
€0m
HAU (0)
€0m
HOD (0)
€0m
KON (0)
€0m
LYN (0)
€0m
MOS (0)
€0m
OB (0)
€0m
RAN (0)
€0m
RAU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
SOG (0)
€0m
STA (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASA (0)
€0m
BRY (0)
€0m
EGE (0)
€0m
HAU (0)
€0m
HOD (0)
€0m
KON (0)
€0m
LYN (0)
€0m
MOS (0)
€0m
OB (0)
€0m
RAN (0)
€0m
RAU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
SOG (0)
€0m
STA (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
STA wins
1
Draws
0
HOD wins

Head-to-head

Stabaek vs hodd · H/A from STA
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25Ahodd Vs STA1-3
31/03/25HSTA Vs hodd1-1

StabaekStabaek

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25ALillestrom Vs STA3-0
02/11/25HSTA Vs Lyn1-5
29/10/25AMjondalen Vs STA3-2
25/10/25Ahodd Vs STA1-3
22/10/25HSTA Vs Asane2-0
18/10/25ASkeid Vs STA0-5
05/10/25HSTA Vs ODD Ballklubb2-2
21/09/25HSTA Vs Raufoss3-0
13/09/25AEgersund Vs STA1-1
30/08/25HSTA Vs Start1-1

hoddhodd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/07/26HHOD Vs Stromsgodset4-3
08/11/25HHOD Vs Aalesund0-0
01/11/25AEgersund Vs HOD0-0
25/10/25HHOD Vs Stabaek1-3
22/10/25AKongsvinger Vs HOD3-0
18/10/25HHOD Vs Asane3-3
04/10/25ALillestrom Vs HOD4-0
29/09/25HHOD Vs Lyn0-1
20/09/25HHOD Vs Moss2-1
13/09/25AODD Ballklubb Vs HOD1-2

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Stabaek
Stabaek
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.14
HomeDWDWL1.27
AwayDWWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%35%25%
AVG goals3.423.383.46
Over 1.5 %90%92%88%
Over 2.5 %70%73%67%
Over 3.5 %40%38%42%
Scored1.561.691.42
Conceded1.861.692.04
BTTS66%65%67%
Clean Sheet22%31%12%
Corners---
Cards---
hodd
hodd
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDW1.16
HomeLDLDW1.36
AwayDWLLD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals2.702.842.56
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %30%36%24%
Scored1.101.400.80
Conceded1.601.441.76
BTTS54%60%48%
Clean Sheet16%12%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BryneBryne613
67%
2.2
85+3
2.2
83%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0001.30.8
-
2StabaekStabaek412
100%
3.0
163+13
4.8
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0004.00.8
-
3hoddhodd512
80%
2.4
1416-2
6.0
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0002.83.2
-
4EgersundEgersund510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0002.01.4
-
5HaugesundHaugesund59
60%
1.8
1711+6
5.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0003.42.2
-
6KongsvingerKongsvinger49
75%
2.2
127+5
4.8
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0003.01.8
-
7LynLyn47
50%
1.8
128+4
5.0
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0003.02.0
-
8StromsgodsetStromsgodset57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
100%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
0001.81.6
-
9SogndalSogndal46
50%
1.5
77+0
3.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.81.8
-
10ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb55
20%
1.0
912-3
4.2
80%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0001.82.4
-
11StrommenStrommen44
25%
1.0
79-2
4.0
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.82.2
-
12AsaneAsane44
25%
1.0
710-3
4.2
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.82.5
-
13RanheimRanheim43
25%
0.8
1011-1
5.2
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0002.52.8
-
14RaufossRaufoss43
25%
0.8
512-7
4.2
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.23.0
-
15MossMoss51
0%
0.2
612-6
3.6
100%
100%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.22.4
-
16Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF61
0%
0.2
516-11
3.5
83%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.82.7
-
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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