Stabaek vs Ranheim Result & Analysis

Date: 26/08/2026

Time: 17:00

Final 4-2

Stabaek

51%

21%

28%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Ranheim

Norway: 1. Division

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 13 Player market rates 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Stabaek’s recent four-game winning streak, highlighted by a 4-0 triumph over Egersund, sets the tone for this clash. The model’s most likely outcome is a home win, with a 51 % chance, followed by a 21 % draw and a 28 % away win. The expected total is 4.2 goals, and the most probable total-goals line is 6 or more, capturing 24 % of the probability mass. The single score the model deems most likely is 2-1 for Stabaek, with an 7.8 % chance.

Stabaek averages 1.73 goals scored and 2.45 conceded at home against teams of similar strength, while Ranheim, on the road, averages 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The model’s suggested picks focus on low-scoring halves and overall totals: Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.6 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (94.3 %), Under 7.5 (93.7 %), Over 1.5 (92.8 %), Away under 1.5 HT goals (92.4 %), Home over 0.5 goals (91.0 %), and Away under 3.5 goals (89.5 %). Each selection carries its own probability, with edges ranging from 2 % to 10 %.

Results analysis

Stabaek’s five-game winning run continued as they secured a 4-2 victory over Ranheim, confirming the model’s prediction that a home win would materialise. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 51% probability and the outcome matched the forecast. The model’s selections largely paid off: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.2%, Under 7.5 at 93.7%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 93.7%, Over 1.5 at 92.8%, Home over 0.5 goals at 91.0%, and Away under 3.5 goals at 89.5%. Only Away under 1.5 HT goals missed, with a 91.5% probability. The model’s overall accuracy was high, with most picks realised.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stabaek win✓ Hit

51.4%

Avg Implied 66.3% · @ 1.39

Edge

-14.9%

Best 5 market prices

888Sport

1.44

Unibet

1.42

Betano

1.40

William Hil

1.40

10Bet

1.40

Draw✗ Miss

20.7%

Avg Implied 17.5% · @ 5.24

Edge

+3.1%

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

5.75

Pinnacle

5.71

Dafabet

5.60

BetVictor

5.50

Marathonbet

5.45

Ranheim win✗ Miss

27.9%

Avg Implied 16.2% · @ 5.69

Edge

+11.7%

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

6.50

Pinnacle

6.33

1xBet

6.06

Marathonbet

6.05

Betfair

6.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Stabaek

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.4

Avg scored

2.9

Avg conceded

1.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.10	1.83	2.14	1.93	2.06	1.75
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (23)	1.65	2.30	1.73	2.45	1.58	2.17
vs Weaker (7)	3.57	0.29	3.67	0.00	3.50	0.50
Clean sheet %	23% (+1pp vs league)

This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ranheim

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.3

Avg scored

2.4

Avg conceded

1.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.77	1.83	1.79	1.79	1.75	1.88
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	3.00	0.00	4.00	1.00	2.00
vs Similar (28)	1.86	1.75	1.92	1.62	1.80	1.87
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	13% (-9pp vs league)

This opponent (Stabaek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 4.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (24%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

92.8%

@ 1.05+3.5%

Under 1.5

7.2%

@ 8.73-3.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.07

Bet365

1.06

888Sport

1.05

Superbet

1.05

Betfair

1.05

Under

Bet365

10.00

888Sport

9.50

Betfair

9.00

1xBet

8.70

Superbet

8.20

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

78.8%

@ 1.21+2.3%

Under 2.5

21.2%

@ 3.94-2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.24

Betano

1.24

10Bet

1.22

Superbet

1.22

888Sport

1.22

Under

BetVictor

4.20

Bet365

4.20

Pinnacle

4.11

Betfair

4.00

888Sport

4.00

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

60.2%

@ 1.58+1.4%

Under 3.5

39.8%

@ 2.25-1.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.62

Betano

1.60

Betfair

1.60

Pinnacle

1.60

Superbet

1.58

Under

Pinnacle

2.37

Betfair

2.30

888Sport

2.25

BetVictor

2.25

Betano

2.25

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

76.3%

@ 1.36+8.3%

23.7%

@ 2.89-8.3%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Betfair

1.40

Bet365

1.40

Betano

1.39

Superbet

1.37

William Hil

1.36

888Sport

3.10

BetVictor

3.00

1xBet

2.94

William Hil

2.90

Unibet

2.90

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

2-1

7.8%@ 8.50+2.5%

1-1

7.2%@ 11.76+3.3%

2-2

7.0%@ 12.30+3.3%

3-1

6.3%@ 9.26+1.4%

1-2

5.8%@ 17.03+3.1%

3-2

5.6%@ 12.75+2.1%

2-0

4.4%@ 11.21+0.4%

2-3

4.1%@ 26.48+2.4%

Stabaek goals ↓

	Ranheim goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.2%	2.1%	2.4%	1.4%	0.6%
1	3.0%	7.2%	5.8%	3.4%	1.5%
2	4.4%	7.8%	7.0%	4.1%	1.8%
3	3.5%	6.3%	5.6%	3.3%	1.5%
4	2.1%	3.8%	3.4%	2.0%	0.9%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stabaek goals (down), columns = Ranheim goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Stabaek

2.50

Kongsvinger

2.17

hodd

2.14

Haugesund

2.14

Stromsgodset

1.86

Bryne

1.86

Lyn

1.83

Strommen

1.67

Egersund

1.57

Sogndal

1.17

ODD Ballklubb

1.14

Asane

0.83

Sandnes ULF

0.57

Raufoss

0.50

Ranheim

0.50

Moss

0.29

Stabaek is 2.00 points better than Ranheim in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 0.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Stabaek

3.50

Haugesund

3.14

Lyn

3.00

Kongsvinger

2.83

Ranheim

2.50

hodd

2.43

Stromsgodset

2.14

ODD Ballklubb

2.00

Strommen

2.00

Sogndal

1.83

Egersund

1.71

Asane

1.67

Moss

1.29

Bryne

1.14

Sandnes ULF

1.14

Raufoss

1.00

Stabaek is 1.00 goals better than Ranheim in terms of goals scored per game (3.50 vs 2.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Bryne

1.00

Stabaek

1.17

Haugesund

1.57

Stromsgodset

1.57

Egersund

1.71

Kongsvinger

1.83

Strommen

1.83

Sogndal

2.00

Lyn

2.17

Moss

2.29

ODD Ballklubb

2.29

Sandnes ULF

2.29

Asane

2.33

hodd

2.86

Raufoss

3.00

Ranheim

3.33

Stabaek is 2.17 goals better than Ranheim in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 3.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Stabaek or Draw✓ Hit

72.1%

Avg Implied 83.6% · @ 1.11

Edge

-11.5%

51%

21%

28%

covers Stabaek + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

1.17

888Sport

1.14

Betano

1.14

BetVictor

1.13

William Hil

1.12

Stabaek or Ranheim✓ Hit

79.3%

Avg Implied 83.0% · @ 1.12

Edge

-3.6%

51%

21%

28%

covers Stabaek + Ranheim

Best 5 market prices

888Sport

1.17

William Hil

1.15

Bet365

1.14

Betano

1.14

Unibet

1.13

Draw or Ranheim✗ Miss

48.6%

Avg Implied 33.5% · @ 2.79

Edge

+15.1%

51%

21%

28%

covers Draw + Ranheim

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

3.00

Betano

2.92

BetVictor

2.90

1xBet

2.88

Marathonbet

2.88

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Stabaek over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

91.0%

@ 1.03-0.5%

Under

9.0%

@ 11.15+0.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.05

888Sport

1.04

Bet365

1.04

Betfair

1.03

1xBet

1.01

Under

Bet365

13.00

1xBet

12.00

888Sport

12.00

Betfair

10.50

Betano

8.25

Stabaek over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

69.3%

@ 1.23-6.2%

Under

30.7%

@ 3.79+6.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.25

Betano

1.25

1xBet

1.25

Unibet

1.24

Superbet

1.23

Under

Pinnacle

4.15

BetVictor

4.10

Betfair

4.00

Marathonbet

3.84

Bet365

3.75

Stabaek over/under 2.5Actual: Over

Over

43.2%

@ 1.74-10.1%

Under

56.8%

@ 1.99+10.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.80

Unibet

1.77

10Bet

1.75

Pinnacle

1.75

Superbet

1.75

Under

Betfair

2.10

Pinnacle

2.08

BetVictor

2.05

Marathonbet

2.04

1xBet

2.00

Stabaek over/under 3.5Actual: Over

Over

22.3%

@ 2.87-10.1%

Under

77.7%

@ 1.37+10.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.00

Unibet

3.00

888Sport

3.00

Pinnacle

2.93

Betfair

2.88

Under

1xBet

1.42

Betano

1.40

BetVictor

1.40

Pinnacle

1.39

Marathonbet

1.38

Ranheim over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

83.1%

@ 1.29+11.1%

Under

16.9%

@ 3.30-11.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.32

Bet365

1.30

Pinnacle

1.30

1xBet

1.30

Superbet

1.30

Under

888Sport

3.50

Pinnacle

3.43

Bet365

3.40

Unibet

3.30

10Bet

3.30

Ranheim over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

53.0%

@ 2.38+14.1%

Under

47.0%

@ 1.52-14.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.50

Pinnacle

2.48

Betano

2.42

BetVictor

2.40

Superbet

2.40

Under

888Sport

1.57

Unibet

1.54

Pinnacle

1.54

Bet365

1.53

Marathonbet

1.52

Ranheim over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

26.3%

@ 5.46+9.3%

Under

73.7%

@ 1.12-9.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

6.00

1xBet

6.00

BetVictor

5.75

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

5.40

Under

Bet365

1.14

888Sport

1.14

Betano

1.14

Unibet

1.13

Superbet

1.12

Ranheim over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

10.5%

@ 11.94+2.6%

Under

89.5%

@ 1.03-2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

15.00

888Sport

13.00

Betfair

10.00

Betano

9.75

Under

888Sport

1.03

Bet365

1.03

Betfair

1.03

Betano

1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Stabaek, so a minus line means Stabaek give that many goals of a start and Ranheim receive them. At -1, Stabaek must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stabaek win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Stabaek)Actual: Draw

Stabaek -2

17.3%

@ 3.03-12.4%

Draw -2

15.2%

@ 4.45-5.0%

Ranheim +2

67.5%

@ 1.79+17.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

3.25

Unibet

3.15

Betfair

2.88

Marathonbet

2.83

Draw

Bet365

4.75

Marathonbet

4.45

Betfair

4.33

Unibet

4.25

Away

Marathonbet

1.83

Betfair

1.83

Bet365

1.80

Unibet

1.71

Handicap -1 (Stabaek)Actual: Stabaek

Stabaek -1

32.5%

@ 1.92-14.1%

Draw -1

18.9%

@ 4.19-2.5%

Ranheim +1

48.6%

@ 2.80+16.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

10Bet

2.00

Unibet

1.97

Bet365

1.91

Marathonbet

1.90

Betfair

1.83

Draw

Bet365

4.50

Betfair

4.33

Marathonbet

4.10

10Bet

4.00

Unibet

4.00

Away

Betfair

3.00

Marathonbet

2.88

10Bet

2.75

Bet365

2.75

Unibet

2.60

Handicap +1 (Stabaek)Actual: Stabaek

Stabaek +1

72.1%

@ 1.13-5.2%

Draw +1

13.8%

@ 6.65+0.7%

Ranheim -1

14.1%

@ 9.13+4.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.17

Unibet

1.12

Marathonbet

1.10

Draw

Bet365

8.00

Unibet

7.00

Marathonbet

4.95

Away

Bet365

11.00

Unibet

10.00

Marathonbet

6.40

Handicap +2 (Stabaek)Actual: Stabaek

Stabaek +2

85.9%

@ 1.05-4.1%

Draw +2

8.3%

@ 15.00+2.0%

Ranheim -2

5.8%

@ 26.00+2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.05

Draw

Bet365

15.00

Away

Bet365

26.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Stabaek

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.9

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.93	0.67	0.93	0.79	0.94	0.56
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (23)	0.78	0.83	0.73	1.00	0.83	0.67
vs Weaker (7)	1.43	0.14	1.67	0.00	1.25	0.25
Clean sheet %	43% (+21pp vs league)

This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ranheim

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.4

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.60	0.77	0.64	0.71	0.56	0.81
vs Stronger (2)	0.00	2.00	0.00	3.00	0.00	1.00
vs Similar (28)	0.64	0.68	0.69	0.54	0.60	0.80
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	43% (+21pp vs league)

This opponent (Stabaek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

77.7%

@ 1.13-4.1%

Under 0.5

22.3%

@ 5.11+4.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.17

William Hil

1.15

Bet365

1.14

Superbet

1.13

Betfair

1.13

Under

Betfair

5.50

Bet365

5.50

BetVictor

5.40

Superbet

5.10

Marathonbet

5.00

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

45.9%

@ 1.70-8.6%

Under 1.5

54.1%

@ 2.04+8.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.78

William Hil

1.73

1xBet

1.72

Pinnacle

1.72

Marathonbet

1.72

Under

Betfair

2.10

Bet365

2.10

Pinnacle

2.10

Superbet

2.05

10Bet

2.05

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

22.9%

@ 3.16-6.4%

Under 2.5

77.1%

@ 1.31+6.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

3.25

Bet365

3.25

William Hil

3.20

Betano

3.20

Betfair

3.20

Under

Bet365

1.33

Superbet

1.32

Marathonbet

1.30

Betano

1.30

William Hil

1.30

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Stabaek over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

60.4%

@ 1.34-8.7%

Under

39.6%

@ 3.00+8.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.36

1xBet

1.32

Under

1xBet

3.10

Betano

2.90

Stabaek over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over

Over

24.8%

@ 2.53-11.9%

Under

75.2%

@ 1.47+11.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.57

Pinnacle

2.56

Unibet

2.55

Marathonbet

2.52

1xBet

2.50

Under

Pinnacle

1.51

Superbet

1.48

1xBet

1.46

Marathonbet

1.46

Betano

1.45

Stabaek over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

6.3%

@ 5.70-9.8%

Under

93.7%

@ 1.09+9.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.90

Betano

5.50

Under

Betano

1.11

1xBet

1.08

Ranheim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

39.7%

@ 2.10-4.6%

Under

60.3%

@ 1.67+4.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.23

Betano

2.12

Superbet

2.10

Marathonbet

2.06

1xBet

2.04

Under

1xBet

1.69

Unibet

1.68

Marathonbet

1.66

Superbet

1.66

Betano

1.65

Ranheim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over

Over

8.5%

@ 6.42-5.9%

Under

91.5%

@ 1.08+5.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

6.75

1xBet

6.60

Betano

5.90

Under

Betano

1.10

Marathonbet

1.07

1xBet

1.06

Ranheim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.6%

@ 11.00-6.8%

Under

98.4%

@ 1.01+6.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

11.00

Under

Betano

1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Stabaek

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.5

Avg scored

1.7

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.17	1.17	1.21	1.14	1.12	1.19
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (23)	0.87	1.48	1.00	1.45	0.75	1.50
vs Weaker (7)	2.14	0.14	2.00	0.00	2.25	0.25
Clean sheet %	37% (+15pp vs league)

This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ranheim

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.9

Avg scored

1.6

Avg conceded

1.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.17	1.07	1.14	1.07	1.19	1.06
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	1.00	0.00	1.00	1.00	1.00
vs Similar (28)	1.21	1.07	1.23	1.08	1.20	1.07
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	27% (+5pp vs league)

This opponent (Stabaek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

84.3%

@ 1.07-2.9%

Under 0.5

15.7%

@ 7.33+2.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.08

Bet365

1.08

William Hil

1.08

1xBet

1.05

Under

Bet365

8.00

1xBet

7.80

William Hil

7.00

Betano

6.50

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

59.0%

@ 1.40-6.8%

Under 1.5

41.0%

@ 2.70+6.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.44

Superbet

1.42

William Hil

1.40

Betano

1.39

1xBet

1.38

Under

Marathonbet

2.77

1xBet

2.77

Betano

2.75

Superbet

2.67

William Hil

2.62

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

32.1%

@ 2.24-9.1%

Under 2.5

67.9%

@ 1.57+9.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

2.40

Superbet

2.27

Unibet

2.25

10Bet

2.25

Bet365

2.25

Under

Betano

1.62

1xBet

1.60

Marathonbet

1.60

Bet365

1.57

10Bet

1.57

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Stabaek over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

66.1%

@ 1.20-11.1%

Under

33.9%

@ 4.05+11.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.21

1xBet

1.19

Under

1xBet

4.10

Betano

4.00

Stabaek over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over

Over

33.1%

@ 1.95-14.4%

Under

66.9%

@ 1.76+14.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.00

1xBet

1.96

Marathonbet

1.93

Betano

1.91

Under

Betano

1.80

Marathonbet

1.78

1xBet

1.75

Superbet

1.73

Stabaek over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

14.3%

@ 3.83-9.8%

Under

85.7%

@ 1.22+9.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

4.00

Betano

3.65

Under

Betano

1.24

1xBet

1.19

Ranheim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

47.4%

@ 1.76-5.1%

Under

52.6%

@ 1.95+5.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.78

Marathonbet

1.77

Superbet

1.75

1xBet

1.74

Under

1xBet

1.97

Superbet

1.97

Betano

1.93

Marathonbet

1.92

Ranheim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

15.1%

@ 4.65-4.7%

Under

84.9%

@ 1.15+4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.85

1xBet

4.70

Betano

4.40

Under

Betano

1.17

Marathonbet

1.14

1xBet

1.14

Ranheim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

3.8%

@ 9.25-6.2%

Under

96.2%

@ 1.03+6.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

9.25

Under

Betano

1.03

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals	98.4%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.8%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	96.2%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.2%	✓ Hit
Under 7.5	93.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	1xBet 1.04	Betano 1.04	-	-	+2.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	93.7%	1.09	Betano 1.11	1xBet 1.08	-	-	-	+9.8%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	92.8%	1.05	Betano 1.07	Bet365 1.06	888Sport 1.05	Superbet 1.05	Betfair 1.05	+3.5%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	91.5%	1.08	Betano 1.10	Marathonbet 1.07	1xBet 1.06	-	-	+5.9%	✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals	91.0%	1.03	Betano 1.05	888Sport 1.04	Bet365 1.04	Betfair 1.03	1xBet 1.01	-0.5%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	89.5%	1.03	888Sport 1.03	Bet365 1.03	Betfair 1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-2.6%	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	86.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.11	Betano 1.11	Pinnacle 1.11	Superbet 1.09	1xBet 1.08	+2.0%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	85.9%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-4.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	85.7%	1.22	Betano 1.24	1xBet 1.19	-	-	-	+9.8%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	84.9%	1.15	Betano 1.17	Marathonbet 1.14	1xBet 1.14	-	-	+4.7%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	84.3%	1.07	Betano 1.08	Bet365 1.08	William Hil 1.08	1xBet 1.05	-	-2.9%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	83.1%	1.29	Betano 1.32	Bet365 1.30	Pinnacle 1.30	1xBet 1.30	Superbet 1.30	+11.1%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	79.3%	1.12	888Sport 1.17	William Hil 1.15	Bet365 1.14	Betano 1.14	Unibet 1.13	-3.6%	✓ Hit
Over 2.5	78.8%	1.21	Pinnacle 1.24	Betano 1.24	10Bet 1.22	Superbet 1.22	888Sport 1.22	+2.3%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals	77.7%	1.13	Betano 1.17	William Hil 1.15	Bet365 1.14	Superbet 1.13	Betfair 1.13	-4.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	77.7%	1.37	1xBet 1.42	Betano 1.40	BetVictor 1.40	Pinnacle 1.39	Marathonbet 1.38	+10.1%	✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals	77.1%	1.31	Bet365 1.33	Superbet 1.32	Marathonbet 1.30	Betano 1.30	William Hil 1.30	+6.4%	✗ Miss
BTTS Yes	76.3%	1.36	Betfair 1.40	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.39	Superbet 1.37	William Hil 1.36	+8.3%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	75.6%	1.25	Pinnacle 1.27	Betano 1.26	Superbet 1.25	BetVictor 1.25	888Sport 1.25	+1.2%	✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals	75.2%	1.47	Pinnacle 1.51	Superbet 1.48	1xBet 1.46	Marathonbet 1.46	Betano 1.45	+11.9%	✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals	73.7%	1.12	Bet365 1.14	888Sport 1.14	Betano 1.14	Unibet 1.13	Superbet 1.12	-9.3%	✓ Hit
Home or Draw	72.1%	1.11	Bet365 1.17	888Sport 1.14	Betano 1.14	BetVictor 1.13	William Hil 1.12	-11.5%	✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap	72.1%	1.13	Bet365 1.17	Unibet 1.12	Marathonbet 1.10	-	-	-5.2%	✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Stabaek · 2023/24

Anytime goalscorer

Matches in which the player scored

Kasper Høgh36%

Mushaga Bakenga24%

Simen Wangberg15%

Kevin Kabran15%

Kaloyan Kalinov Kostadinov8%

Rasmus Eggen Vinge8%

Curtis Edwards7%

Nikolas Walstad5%

Kasper Pedersen4%

Sturla Ottesen4%

Nicolai Naess3%

Gaute Hoberg Vetti0%

Tobias Pachonik0%

Andreas Skovgaard0%

Fredrik Haugen0%

Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen0%

Fredrik Krogstad0%

Jonatan Lucca0%

Isak Pettersson0%

Herman Geelmuyden0%

Keegan Jelacic0%

Aleksander Andresen0%

Luca Kjerrumgaard0%

Oskar Spiten-Nysaether0%

Sebastian Olderheim0%

To be booked (yellow)

Matches in which the player was booked

Herman Geelmuyden27%

Andreas Skovgaard18%

Jonatan Lucca18%

Simen Wangberg15%

Fredrik Krogstad11%

Curtis Edwards11%

Kaloyan Kalinov Kostadinov8%

Rasmus Eggen Vinge8%

Kasper Høgh7%

Nicolai Naess7%

Mushaga Bakenga7%

Kevin Kabran5%

Nikolas Walstad5%

Isak Pettersson3%

Gaute Hoberg Vetti0%

Kasper Pedersen0%

Tobias Pachonik0%

Fredrik Haugen0%

Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen0%

Sturla Ottesen0%

Keegan Jelacic0%

Aleksander Andresen0%

Luca Kjerrumgaard0%

Oskar Spiten-Nysaether0%

Sebastian Olderheim0%

Anytime assist

Matches in which the player assisted

Rasmus Eggen Vinge15%

Nikolas Walstad14%

Fredrik Krogstad11%

Nicolai Naess10%

Kasper Høgh7%

Sturla Ottesen7%

Mushaga Bakenga7%

Kevin Kabran5%

Kaloyan Kalinov Kostadinov4%

Kasper Pedersen4%

Gaute Hoberg Vetti0%

Tobias Pachonik0%

Andreas Skovgaard0%

Fredrik Haugen0%

Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen0%

Simen Wangberg0%

Jonatan Lucca0%

Curtis Edwards0%

Isak Pettersson0%

Herman Geelmuyden0%

Keegan Jelacic0%

Aleksander Andresen0%

Luca Kjerrumgaard0%

Oskar Spiten-Nysaether0%

Sebastian Olderheim0%

Over 2.5 shots

Matches with 3+ shots taken

Kasper Høgh29%

Mushaga Bakenga17%

Luca Kjerrumgaard9%

Fredrik Haugen8%

Simen Wangberg8%

Kevin Kabran5%

Fredrik Krogstad4%

Nicolai Naess3%

Gaute Hoberg Vetti0%

Kasper Pedersen0%

Tobias Pachonik0%

Andreas Skovgaard0%

Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen0%

Jonatan Lucca0%

Curtis Edwards0%

Isak Pettersson0%

Nikolas Walstad0%

Kaloyan Kalinov Kostadinov0%

Herman Geelmuyden0%

Sturla Ottesen0%

Keegan Jelacic0%

Aleksander Andresen0%

Rasmus Eggen Vinge0%

Oskar Spiten-Nysaether0%

Sebastian Olderheim0%

Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

STA (24)

€9m

OB (25)

€9m

HAU (24)

€9m

STR (22)

€7m

BRY (21)

€6m

KON (24)

€6m

EGE (25)

€5m

SOG (19)

€4m

MOS (21)

€4m

LYN (23)

€4m

RAN (22)

€4m

HOD (20)

€3m

ASA (22)

€3m

SU (21)

€3m

RAU (17)

€2m

STR (19)

€2m

Stabaek's squad is €5m more valuable than Ranheim's (€9m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

STA (9)

€5m

STR (9)

€3m

HAU (8)

€3m

KON (10)

€3m

OB (6)

€3m

BRY (6)

€2m

MOS (6)

€2m

HOD (7)

€1m

ASA (7)

€1m

RAN (6)

€1m

EGE (5)

€1m

LYN (5)

€1m

SOG (6)

€1m

SU (5)

€1m

STR (5)

€1m

RAU (4)

€0m

Stabaek's attack is €4m more valuable than Ranheim's (€5m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

OB (7)

€3m

HAU (6)

€2m

STR (5)

€2m

STA (5)

€2m

LYN (9)

€2m

BRY (5)

€1m

EGE (8)

€1m

RAN (5)

€1m

SOG (5)

€1m

SU (7)

€1m

KON (3)

€1m

MOS (6)

€1m

HOD (4)

€1m

RAU (4)

€0m

ASA (4)

€0m

STR (4)

€0m

Stabaek and Ranheim have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

HAU (10)

€4m

OB (12)

€3m

STA (10)

€3m

BRY (10)

€2m

SOG (8)

€2m

EGE (12)

€2m

STR (8)

€2m

KON (11)

€2m

MOS (9)

€2m

ASA (11)

€2m

RAN (11)

€2m

HOD (9)

€1m

LYN (9)

€1m

RAU (9)

€1m

SU (9)

€1m

STR (10)

€1m

Stabaek and Ranheim have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings

STA wins

Draws

RAN wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stabaek vs Ranheim · H/A from STA

Date	H/A	Game	Score
23/08/25	A	Ranheim Vs STA	1-1
28/06/25	H	STA Vs Ranheim	1-2
10/08/24	H	STA Vs Ranheim	3-0
22/05/24	A	Ranheim Vs STA	3-0
16/10/22	H	STA Vs Ranheim	3-2
09/05/22	A	Ranheim Vs STA	0-1

Stabaek

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
16/08/26	A	Egersund Vs STA	0-4
08/08/26	H	STA Vs Lyn	4-3
02/08/26	A	Raufoss Vs STA	0-2
27/07/26	H	STA Vs hodd	6-0
08/11/25	A	Lillestrom Vs STA	3-0
02/11/25	H	STA Vs Lyn	1-5
29/10/25	A	Mjondalen Vs STA	3-2
25/10/25	A	hodd Vs STA	1-3
22/10/25	H	STA Vs Asane	2-0
18/10/25	A	Skeid Vs STA	0-5

Ranheim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
15/08/26	H	RAN Vs Stromsgodset	1-3
09/08/26	A	Strommen Vs RAN	1-4
03/08/26	H	RAN Vs Haugesund	3-4
26/07/26	A	Sogndal Vs RAN	3-2
22/11/25	A	Egersund Vs RAN	3-2
08/11/25	A	Sogndal Vs RAN	0-3
01/11/25	H	RAN Vs Skeid	4-2
25/10/25	A	Lillestrom Vs RAN	2-1
22/10/25	H	RAN Vs Mjondalen	3-0
18/10/25	A	ODD Ballklubb Vs RAN	1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stabaek

Norway: 1. Division

Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWWWW	1.42
Home	DWLWW	1.38
Away	WLLWW	1.46

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	38%	42%
AVG goals	3.66	3.83	3.50
Over 1.5 %	94%	96%	92%
Over 2.5 %	74%	79%	69%
Over 3.5 %	48%	50%	46%
Scored	1.96	2.00	1.92
Conceded	1.70	1.83	1.58
BTTS	64%	71%	58%
Clean Sheet	26%	25%	27%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Ranheim

Norway: 1. Division

Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LLLWL	1.52
Home	LWWLL	1.25
Away	LWLLW	1.77

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	33%	54%
AVG goals	3.42	3.29	3.54
Over 1.5 %	88%	83%	92%
Over 2.5 %	68%	67%	69%
Over 3.5 %	38%	42%	35%
Scored	1.76	1.50	2.00
Conceded	1.66	1.79	1.54
BTTS	70%	67%	73%
Clean Sheet	16%	12%	19%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Stabaek	6	15	83%	2.5	21	7	+14	4.7	100%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	5	2	3	3.5	1.2	-
2	Haugesund	7	15	71%	2.1	22	11	+11	4.7	100%	86%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	3	2	4	3.1	1.6	-
3	hodd	7	15	71%	2.1	17	20	-3	5.3	100%	100%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	2.4	2.9	-
4	Kongsvinger	6	13	67%	2.2	17	11	+6	4.7	83%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	1	2	2.8	1.8	-
5	Stromsgodset	7	13	57%	1.9	15	11	+4	3.7	100%	57%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	7	3	2	2	2.1	1.6	-
6	Bryne	7	13	57%	1.9	8	7	+1	2.1	86%	29%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	2	1	2	1.1	1.0	-
7	Lyn	6	11	50%	1.8	18	13	+5	5.2	100%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	2	1	3.0	2.2	-
8	Egersund	7	11	43%	1.6	12	12	+0	3.4	100%	71%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	1	2	1.7	1.7	-
9	Strommen	6	10	50%	1.7	12	11	+1	3.8	83%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	2.0	1.8	-
10	ODD Ballklubb	7	8	29%	1.1	14	16	-2	4.3	71%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	3	3	3	2.0	2.3	-
11	Sogndal	6	7	33%	1.2	11	12	-1	3.8	100%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	1.8	2.0	-
12	Asane	6	5	17%	0.8	10	14	-4	4.0	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	0	2	1.7	2.3	-
13	Sandnes ULF	7	4	14%	0.6	8	16	-8	3.4	86%	43%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.1	2.3	-
14	Ranheim	6	3	17%	0.5	15	20	-5	5.8	100%	100%	100%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	2.5	3.3	-
15	Raufoss	6	3	17%	0.5	6	18	-12	4.0	100%	83%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	0	1	1.0	3.0	-
16	Moss	7	2	0%	0.3	9	16	-7	3.6	100%	100%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	2	1.3	2.3	-

Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches

Stabaek vs Ranheim Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Stabaek

Ranheim

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Stabaek

Ranheim

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Stabaek

Ranheim

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

🎽 13. Player market rates

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Stabaek

Ranheim

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature