This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior Virton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.22
1.44
1.20
1.40
1.25
1.50
vs Stronger (9)
1.22
1.44
1.20
1.40
1.25
1.50
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
22% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liège II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.1%
Under 1.5
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.8%
Under 2.5
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.9%
Under 3.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.0%
No
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.0%
2-1 ✓
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
0-0
4.3%
Standard Liège II goals ↓
Excelsior Virton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.3%
5.3%
5.9%
3.7%
1.7%
1
4.2%
11%
9.0%
5.6%
2.6%
2
3.9%
7.3%
6.8%
4.2%
2.0%
3
2.0%
3.7%
3.5%
2.1%
1.0%
4
0.8%
1.4%
1.3%
0.8%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Standard Liège II goals (down), columns = Excelsior Virton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
RWDM
2.16
SK Beveren
2.12
Lommel United
1.59
Club Brugge II
1.53
Deinze
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
K. Lierse S.K.
1.44
Dender
1.22
RSC Anderlecht II
1.16
Standard Liège II
0.84
KRC Genk II
0.81
Excelsior Virton
0.78
Standard Liège II is 0.06 points better than Excelsior Virton in terms of average points per game (0.84 vs 0.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SK Beveren
2.38
RWDM
2.03
Lommel United
1.66
K. Lierse S.K.
1.66
Club Brugge II
1.59
Deinze
1.53
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Beerschot VA
1.34
Dender
1.28
KRC Genk II
1.12
Excelsior Virton
1.00
Standard Liège II
0.97
Standard Liège II is 0.03 goals worse than Excelsior Virton in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
RWDM
0.91
SK Beveren
1.06
Beerschot VA
1.28
Lommel United
1.44
Deinze
1.47
Dender
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.50
Excelsior Virton
1.59
RSC Anderlecht II
1.75
KRC Genk II
1.81
K. Lierse S.K.
1.84
Standard Liège II
1.88
Standard Liège II is 0.28 goals worse than Excelsior Virton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 1.59).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Standard Liège II
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Excelsior Virton
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Standard Liège II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior Virton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Standard Liège II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beerschot VA
11.0
SK Beveren
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Beerschot VA
4.6
SK Beveren
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SK Beveren
25.9
Beerschot VA
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Standard Liège II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.78
0.78
0.75
0.50
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
0.78
0.75
0.50
0.80
1.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
44% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior Virton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.44
0.80
0.40
0.25
0.50
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.44
0.80
0.40
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
78% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liège II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Standard Liège II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liège II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liège II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Standard Liège II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.44
1.11
0.75
2.25
0.20
0.20
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.11
0.75
2.25
0.20
0.20
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
44% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior Virton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.00
0.40
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.00
0.40
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liège II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Standard Liège II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liège II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liège II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Standard Liège II · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Romaine Mundle25%
Soufiane Benjdida23%
Oscar Olivier20%
Brahim Ghalidi17%
Daan Dierckx14%
Anisse Brrou10%
Jorge Ruvalcaba9%
Samy Tory8%
Noah Makembo-Ntemo5%
Ilyes Ziani4%
William Bianda0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Birame Diaw0%
Faroukou Cisse0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Adrien Giunta0%
Noah Mawete Kinsiona0%
Rayan Berberi0%
Hakim Sahabo0%
Tom Poitoux0%
Noah Dodeigne0%
Mouad El Fanis0%
Léandre Kuavita0%
Thiago Paulo da Silva0%
Rabby Mateta Pepa0%
Amine Benfriha0%
Steeven Assengue0%
Adriano Mansala0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oscar Olivier60%
Anisse Brrou50%
Adriano Mansala50%
Léandre Kuavita40%
Lucas Noubi33%
Daan Dierckx32%
Noah Mawete Kinsiona30%
Soufiane Benjdida27%
Jorge Ruvalcaba27%
Birame Diaw26%
Romaine Mundle25%
Henry Lawrence24%
Samy Tory23%
Hakim Sahabo18%
Steeven Assengue17%
Noah Dodeigne16%
Thiago Paulo da Silva14%
Rabby Mateta Pepa14%
Brahim Ghalidi13%
Ilyes Ziani12%
William Bianda11%
Rayan Berberi11%
Mouad El Fanis10%
Amine Benfriha10%
Matthieu Epolo9%
Adrien Giunta8%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Faroukou Cisse0%
Tom Poitoux0%
Noah Makembo-Ntemo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brahim Ghalidi17%
Ibe Hautekiet17%
Ilyes Ziani12%
Anisse Brrou10%
Oscar Olivier10%
Hakim Sahabo9%
Noah Mawete Kinsiona9%
Samy Tory8%
Rabby Mateta Pepa7%
Noah Makembo-Ntemo5%
William Bianda0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Daan Dierckx0%
Birame Diaw0%
Romaine Mundle0%
Faroukou Cisse0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Soufiane Benjdida0%
Adrien Giunta0%
Jorge Ruvalcaba0%
Rayan Berberi0%
Tom Poitoux0%
Noah Dodeigne0%
Mouad El Fanis0%
Léandre Kuavita0%
Thiago Paulo da Silva0%
Amine Benfriha0%
Steeven Assengue0%
Adriano Mansala0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Romaine Mundle50%
Soufiane Benjdida32%
Léandre Kuavita10%
Brahim Ghalidi9%
Ilyes Ziani8%
Thiago Paulo da Silva7%
Daan Dierckx5%
William Bianda0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Birame Diaw0%
Anisse Brrou0%
Faroukou Cisse0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Adrien Giunta0%
Noah Mawete Kinsiona0%
Jorge Ruvalcaba0%
Rayan Berberi0%
Hakim Sahabo0%
Tom Poitoux0%
Noah Dodeigne0%
Samy Tory0%
Mouad El Fanis0%
Rabby Mateta Pepa0%
Amine Benfriha0%
Noah Makembo-Ntemo0%
Steeven Assengue0%
Oscar Olivier0%
Adriano Mansala0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€26m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
KLS (21)
€5m
RWD (7)
€2m
EV (11)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
RWD (2)
€1m
EV (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€15m
DEN (6)
€3m
SB (5)
€3m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
RWD (1)
€0m
EV (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
DEN (9)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
EV (6)
€1m
RWD (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
SLI wins
0
Draws
0
EV wins
Head-to-head
Standard Liège II vs Excelsior Virton · H/A from SLI
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
RWDM
SK Beveren
Lommel United
Club Brugge II
Deinze
Beerschot VA
K. Lierse S.K.
Dender
RSC Anderlecht II
KRC Genk II