PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Stará Ľubovňa vs Považská Bystrica Result & Analysis

Date: 28/09/2024
Time: 13:30
Final 1-1
Stará Ľubovňa
Stará Ľubovňa
Vs
39%
30%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stará Ľubovňa win✗ Miss
39.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica win✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L12L00D01L21W40W12L00D02L41WH·ZLA27/07A·POH02/08H·PET10/08A·ŠAM18/08H·TAT24/08A·STA28/08A·SLO01/09H·HUM14/09A·MAL21/09A·VRA25/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.100.500.751.671.33
vs Stronger (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Similar (8)1.251.250.001.001.671.33
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L31W31W13L20W31W11D13L31W11DH·SLO27/07H·MAL03/08H·LOK17/08A·ZLA23/08A·KYS28/08H·PET31/08A·PÚC06/09A·TAT14/09H·HUM21/09A·DOL25/09
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.371.791.291.441.44
vs Stronger (10)1.701.401.001.002.171.67
vs Similar (18)1.501.282.121.251.001.30
vs Weaker (2)2.002.002.002.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Stará Ľubovňa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.6%
Under 1.5
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.0%
Under 2.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.3%
Under 3.5
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.0%
No
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.4%
0-0
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.6%
Stará Ľubovňa goals ↓
Považská Bystrica goals →
01234
011%8.9%5.6%2.0%0.5%
111%14%7.1%2.6%0.7%
27.7%8.3%4.5%1.6%0.4%
33.3%3.5%1.9%0.7%0.2%
41.0%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stará Ľubovňa goals (down), columns = Považská Bystrica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tatran Prešov
2.42
Zlaté Moravce
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.69
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.65
Púchov
1.50
Petržalka
1.42
Malženice
1.31
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.31
Žilina II
1.19
Šamorín
1.15
Pohronie
1.12
Slovan Bratislava II
1.08
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.88
Stará Ľubovňa is 0.77 points worse than Považská Bystrica in terms of average points per game (0.92 vs 1.69).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tatran Prešov
1.96
Púchov
1.62
Považská Bystrica
1.62
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.62
Zlaté Moravce
1.58
Pohronie
1.42
Malženice
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.27
Petržalka
1.23
Žilina II
1.23
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.15
Šamorín
1.12
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.77
Stará Ľubovňa is 0.69 goals worse than Považská Bystrica in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 1.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlaté Moravce
0.69
Tatran Prešov
0.73
Petržalka
1.00
Stará Ľubovňa
1.15
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.19
Považská Bystrica
1.35
Púchov
1.38
Humenné
1.50
Žilina II
1.50
Šamorín
1.54
Malženice
1.54
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.58
Slovan Bratislava II
1.65
Pohronie
1.96
Stará Ľubovňa is 0.19 goals better than Považská Bystrica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.35).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D01L21W20W01L00D02L30WH·ZLA27/07A·POH02/08H·PET10/08A·ŠAM18/08H·TAT24/08A·STA28/08A·SLO01/09H·HUM14/09A·MAL21/09A·VRA25/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.500.500.250.830.67
vs Stronger (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Similar (8)0.620.500.000.000.830.67
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D20W11D10W00D11D00D10W11DH·SLO27/07H·MAL03/08H·LOK17/08A·ZLA23/08A·KYS28/08H·PET31/08A·PÚC06/09A·TAT14/09H·HUM21/09A·DOL25/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.500.790.430.810.56
vs Stronger (10)0.900.500.500.251.170.67
vs Similar (18)0.780.391.000.250.600.50
vs Weaker (2)0.501.500.501.50--
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Stará Ľubovňa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stará Ľubovňa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stará Ľubovňa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stará Ľubovňa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L12L00D00D00D20W11D00D00D11DH·ZLA27/07A·POH02/08H·PET10/08A·ŠAM18/08H·TAT24/08A·STA28/08A·SLO01/09H·HUM14/09A·MAL21/09A·VRA25/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.600.000.500.830.67
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (8)0.620.750.001.000.830.67
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L20W11D02L10W31W00D13L21W00DH·SLO27/07H·MAL03/08H·LOK17/08A·ZLA23/08A·KYS28/08H·PET31/08A·PÚC06/09A·TAT14/09H·HUM21/09A·DOL25/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.871.000.860.620.88
vs Stronger (10)0.800.900.500.751.001.00
vs Similar (18)0.720.891.121.000.400.80
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.500.50--
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Stará Ľubovňa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stará Ľubovňa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stará Ľubovňa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stará Ľubovňa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SĽ wins
0
Draws
0
PB wins

Head-to-head

Stará Ľubovňa vs Považská Bystrica · H/A from SĽ
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/09/24AVranov nad Topľou Vs SĽ1-4
21/09/24AMalženice Vs SĽ2-0
14/09/24HSĽ Vs Humenné0-0
01/09/24ASlovan Bratislava II Vs SĽ2-1
28/08/24AStarý Smokovec Vs SĽ0-4
24/08/24HSĽ Vs Tatran Prešov2-1
18/08/24AŠamorín Vs SĽ1-0
10/08/24HSĽ Vs Petržalka0-0
02/08/24APohronie Vs SĽ2-1
27/07/24HSĽ Vs Zlaté Moravce0-2

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/09/24ADolný Kubín Vs PB1-1
21/09/24HPB Vs Humenné3-1
14/09/24ATatran Prešov Vs PB3-1
06/09/24APúchov Vs PB1-1
31/08/24HPB Vs Petržalka3-1
28/08/24AKysucké Nové Mesto Vs PB0-2
23/08/24AZlaté Moravce Vs PB3-1
17/08/24HPB Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen3-1
03/08/24HPB Vs Malženice3-1
27/07/24HPB Vs Slovan Bratislava II1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stará Ľubovňa
Stará Ľubovňa
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.10
HomeLDWD1.25
AwayLWLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%25%33%
AVG goals2.301.253.00
Over 1.5 %70%50%83%
Over 2.5 %50%25%67%
Over 3.5 %20%0%33%
Scored1.200.501.67
Conceded1.100.751.33
BTTS40%25%50%
Clean Sheet30%50%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWD1.60
HomeLWWWW1.84
AwayLWDLD1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%52%32%
AVG goals3.143.402.88
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %58%68%48%
Over 3.5 %48%56%40%
Scored1.782.041.52
Conceded1.361.361.36
BTTS70%80%60%
Clean Sheet22%16%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov2663
77%
2.4
5119+32
2.7
69%
58%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.7
-
2Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce2652
62%
2.0
4118+23
2.3
62%
35%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.60.7
-
3Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica2644
50%
1.7
4235+7
3.0
81%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš2643
46%
1.7
4231+11
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.61.2
-
5PúchovPúchov2639
42%
1.5
4236+6
3.0
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6PetržalkaPetržalka2637
38%
1.4
3226+6
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.0
-
7MalženiceMalženice2634
38%
1.3
3340-7
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen2634
38%
1.3
3041-11
2.7
73%
62%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II2631
35%
1.2
3239-7
2.7
69%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.5
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín2630
35%
1.2
2940-11
2.7
81%
54%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.5
-
11PohroniePohronie2629
31%
1.1
3751-14
3.4
88%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II2628
31%
1.1
3343-10
2.9
85%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
13Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa2624
23%
0.9
2430-6
2.1
62%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
14HumennéHumenné2623
19%
0.9
2039-19
2.3
73%
42%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

← all matches