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Stará Ľubovňa vs Púchov Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 1-0
Stará Ľubovňa
Stará Ľubovňa
Vs
50%
25%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Púchov
Púchov
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stará Ľubovňa win✓ Hit
50.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Púchov win✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L02L30W00D22D20W20W11D13L40WH·PÚC25/04A·LIP03/05H·LOK09/05A·ŽIL16/05A·LOK26/07A·ŽIL03/08H·ŠAM09/08H·SLÁ16/08A·POH22/08A·HAR27/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.031.501.081.281.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (27)1.481.111.641.181.381.06
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PúchovPúchov

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W32W21W31W11D13L11D25L23L31WA·STA25/04H·LOK03/05A·ZLA09/05H·PET16/05H·SLO25/07A·MAL03/08H·LOK09/08A·ŽIL17/08H·ŠAM23/08A·LED27/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.571.801.271.531.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.711.531.751.121.671.89
vs Weaker (13)1.621.621.861.431.331.83
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Stará Ľubovňa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.9%
Under 1.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.5%
Under 2.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.1%
Under 3.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.7%
No
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
1-0 ✓
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.4%
Stará Ľubovňa goals ↓
Púchov goals →
01234
05.4%4.5%3.5%1.5%0.5%
17.1%11%6.6%2.8%0.9%
27.6%9.6%6.1%2.6%0.8%
34.7%6.0%3.8%1.6%0.5%
42.2%2.8%1.8%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stará Ľubovňa goals (down), columns = Púchov goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.62
Petržalka
1.60
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Malženice
1.57
Komárno
1.50
Zlaté Moravce
1.47
Pohronie
1.47
Inter Bratislava
1.40
Slovan Bratislava II
1.33
Šamorín
1.27
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.17
Považská Bystrica
1.10
Žilina II
1.10
Slávia TU Košice
1.07
Púchov
0.97
Stará Ľubovňa
0.87
Stará Ľubovňa is 0.10 points worse than Púchov in terms of average points per game (0.87 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.03
Zlaté Moravce
1.90
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.83
Pohronie
1.57
Komárno
1.50
Petržalka
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.47
Šamorín
1.47
Malženice
1.47
Žilina II
1.43
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.37
Považská Bystrica
1.27
Slávia TU Košice
1.27
Stará Ľubovňa
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Púchov
1.10
Stará Ľubovňa is 0.07 goals better than Púchov in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.10).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Komárno
0.50
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.83
Petržalka
1.03
Pohronie
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.22
Malženice
1.27
Šamorín
1.53
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.57
Slovan Bratislava II
1.60
Považská Bystrica
1.63
Zlaté Moravce
1.63
Púchov
1.67
Stará Ľubovňa
1.73
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.73
Slávia TU Košice
1.80
Žilina II
1.97
Stará Ľubovňa is 0.07 goals worse than Púchov in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L02L20W00D10W10W00D00D11D10WH·PÚC25/04A·LIP03/05H·LOK09/05A·ŽIL16/05A·LOK26/07A·ŽIL03/08H·ŠAM09/08H·SLÁ16/08A·POH22/08A·HAR27/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.670.580.560.56
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.670.590.730.640.620.56
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PúchovPúchov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W21W10W21W01L01L11D11D22D21WA·STA25/04H·LOK03/05A·ZLA09/05H·PET16/05H·SLO25/07A·MAL03/08H·LOK09/08A·ŽIL17/08H·ŠAM23/08A·LED27/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.771.200.730.870.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.120.711.120.751.110.67
vs Weaker (13)0.920.851.290.710.501.00
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Stará Ľubovňa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stará Ľubovňa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stará Ľubovňa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stará Ľubovňa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D10W00D12L10W20W11D02L30WH·PÚC25/04A·LIP03/05H·LOK09/05A·ŽIL16/05A·LOK26/07A·ŽIL03/08H·ŠAM09/08H·SLÁ16/08A·POH22/08A·HAR27/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.470.830.500.720.44
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.810.520.910.550.750.50
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PúchovPúchov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D11D10W10W12L00D14L01L10WA·STA25/04H·LOK03/05A·ZLA09/05H·PET16/05H·SLO25/07A·MAL03/08H·LOK09/08A·ŽIL17/08H·ŠAM23/08A·LED27/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.600.530.671.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.590.820.620.380.561.22
vs Weaker (13)0.690.770.570.710.830.83
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Stará Ľubovňa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stará Ľubovňa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stará Ľubovňa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stará Ľubovňa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (24)
€3m
DBB (24)
€3m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (10)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DBB (6)
€1m
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (9)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
SĽ wins
0
Draws
2
PÚC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stará Ľubovňa vs Púchov · H/A from SĽ
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/25HSĽ Vs Púchov0-3
05/10/24APúchov Vs SĽ1-0

Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/25AHarichovce Vs SĽ0-4
22/08/25APohronie Vs SĽ3-1
16/08/25HSĽ Vs Slávia TU Košice1-1
09/08/25HSĽ Vs Šamorín2-0
03/08/25AŽilina II Vs SĽ0-2
26/07/25ALokomotíva Zvolen Vs SĽ2-2
16/05/25AŽilina II Vs SĽ0-0
09/05/25HSĽ Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen3-0
03/05/25ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs SĽ2-0
25/04/25HSĽ Vs Púchov0-3

PúchovPúchov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/25ALednické Rovne Vs PÚC1-3
23/08/25HPÚC Vs Šamorín2-3
17/08/25AŽilina II Vs PÚC5-2
09/08/25HPÚC Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen1-1
03/08/25AMalženice Vs PÚC3-1
25/07/25HPÚC Vs Slovan Bratislava II1-1
16/05/25HPÚC Vs Petržalka3-1
09/05/25AZlaté Moravce Vs PÚC1-2
03/05/25HPÚC Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen3-2
25/04/25AStará Ľubovňa Vs PÚC0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stará Ľubovňa
Stará Ľubovňa
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.20
HomeWLWWD1.40
AwayDDWLW1.05
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%33%30%
AVG goals2.312.402.25
Over 1.5 %69%80%60%
Over 2.5 %46%47%45%
Over 3.5 %23%20%25%
Scored1.261.331.20
Conceded1.061.071.05
BTTS34%40%30%
Clean Sheet37%40%35%
Corners---
Cards---
Púchov
Púchov
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLW1.38
HomeWWDDL1.54
AwayWWLLW1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%35%
AVG goals3.283.123.42
Over 1.5 %86%83%88%
Over 2.5 %66%58%73%
Over 3.5 %44%46%42%
Scored1.621.711.54
Conceded1.661.421.88
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dukla Banská BystricaDukla Banská Bystrica3066
67%
2.2
6125+36
2.9
77%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.8
-
2Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen3252
44%
1.6
4739+8
2.7
72%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.2
-
3PetržalkaPetržalka3048
47%
1.6
4531+14
2.5
67%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.0
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš3048
43%
1.6
5547+8
3.4
90%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.6
-
5MalženiceMalženice3047
43%
1.6
4438+6
2.7
70%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
6PohroniePohronie3044
37%
1.5
4735+12
2.7
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.61.2
-
7Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce3044
40%
1.5
5749+8
3.5
83%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.91.6
-
8Inter BratislavaInter Bratislava3042
40%
1.4
3536-1
2.4
70%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.2
-
9Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II3040
33%
1.3
4548-3
3.1
83%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín3038
33%
1.3
4446-2
3.0
87%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.51.5
-
11Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom3035
30%
1.2
4152-11
3.1
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
12Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica3033
27%
1.1
3849-11
2.9
83%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.6
-
13Žilina IIŽilina II3033
30%
1.1
4359-16
3.4
77%
57%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.0
-
14Slávia TU KošiceSlávia TU Košice3032
27%
1.1
3854-16
3.1
83%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
15PúchovPúchov3029
20%
1.0
3350-17
2.8
67%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
16Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa3026
20%
0.9
3552-17
2.9
83%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
17KomárnoKomárno23
50%
1.5
31+2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.50.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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