The model sees Metaloglobus as the clear favourite, rating an 73 % chance of victory against \u015etef\u0103ne\u015fti. The home side’s recent 3-1 win shows they can score, yet their home form against stronger opponents shows a modest 2.57 average goals scored and 1.86 conceded, while Metaloglobus averages 2.57 away goals for and 1.86 conceded against this tier. The expected total of 4.0 goals and a 21 % probability of a 6+ scoreline signal a high-scoring affair, but the most likely exact score is 1-2 for Metaloglobus, with an 8.6 % chance. The model’s picks echo this narrative: Home under 3.5 goals (97.5 %), Away +2 handicap (96.0 %), Under 7.5 (95.1 %), Away over 0.5 goals (94.4 %), Over 1.5 (91.2 %), Home under 2.5 goals (90.2 %), Under 6.5 (89.2 %), and Draw or Away (89.1 %). Home win stands at 11 %, draw at 16 %, and away win at 73 %.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ştefăneşti win
9.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
14.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus win
75.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ştefăneşti
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.08
1.92
2.57
1.86
1.50
2.00
vs Stronger (12)
1.67
2.08
2.57
1.86
0.40
2.40
vs Similar (1)
7.00
0.00
-
-
7.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
15% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Metaloglobus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metaloglobus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
2.00
1.14
1.43
1.06
2.50
vs Stronger (12)
0.92
1.92
1.00
1.50
0.88
2.12
vs Similar (18)
1.22
2.06
1.20
1.40
1.25
2.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ştefăneşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
91.7%
Under 1.5
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76.9%
Under 2.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
57.6%
Under 3.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.3%
1-3
8.3%
0-2
7.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
6.2%
1-1
6.1%
0-4
5.8%
0-1
4.7%
Ştefăneşti goals ↓
Metaloglobus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.3%
4.7%
7.8%
7.8%
5.8%
1
1.3%
6.1%
8.3%
8.3%
6.2%
2
1.0%
2.9%
4.4%
4.4%
3.3%
3
0.3%
1.0%
1.5%
1.5%
1.2%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ştefăneşti goals (down), columns = Metaloglobus goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.60
Slatina
2.60
Concordia
2.40
CSM Reşiţa
2.40
Popești-Leordeni
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.80
FC Bacau
1.60
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.60
Metalul Buzău
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
CS Afumati
1.40
Ştefăneşti
1.20
Bihor Oradea
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
ASA Targu Mures
0.80
CS Dinamo București
0.60
Dumbrăviţa
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.40
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.20
Unirea Slobozia
0.20
Ştefăneşti is 0.20 points worse than Metaloglobus in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Concordia
2.20
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.20
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
FC Bacau
2.00
Slatina
2.00
CSM Reşiţa
1.80
Gloria Bistriţa
1.40
Metaloglobus
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Bihor Oradea
1.20
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.20
CS Afumati
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.00
Metalul Buzău
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.80
Dumbrăviţa
0.80
Ştefăneşti
0.80
ASA Targu Mures
0.60
Unirea Slobozia
0.60
CSM Satu Mare
0.20
Ştefăneşti is 0.60 goals worse than Metaloglobus in terms of goals scored per game (0.80 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.40
Slatina
0.40
Gloria Bistriţa
0.80
Bihor Oradea
0.80
Chindia Targoviste
1.00
FC Bacau
1.00
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.00
Popești-Leordeni
1.20
Dumbrăviţa
1.20
CSM Reşiţa
1.20
Metalul Buzău
1.20
CSM Satu Mare
1.20
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.40
Cetatea Suceava
1.40
Concordia
1.60
ASA Targu Mures
1.60
Metaloglobus
1.60
Unirea Slobozia
1.80
CS Afumati
1.80
CS Dinamo București
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.20
Ştefăneşti is 0.40 goals worse than Metaloglobus in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ştefăneşti or Draw
24.3%
Avg Implied -
10%
15%
76%
covers Ştefăneşti + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ştefăneşti or Metaloglobus
85.4%
Avg Implied -
10%
15%
76%
covers Ştefăneşti + Metaloglobus
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Metaloglobus
90.3%
Avg Implied -
10%
15%
76%
covers Draw + Metaloglobus
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ştefăneşti over/under 0.5
Over
65.3%
Under
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ştefăneşti over/under 1.5
Over
28.5%
Under
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ştefăneşti over/under 2.5
Over
9.1%
Under
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ştefăneşti over/under 3.5
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 0.5
Over
95.0%
Under
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 1.5
Over
79.9%
Under
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 2.5
Over
57.5%
Under
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 3.5
Over
35.1%
Under
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ştefăneşti, so a minus line means Ştefăneşti give that many goals of a start and Metaloglobus receive them. At -1, Ştefăneşti must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ştefăneşti win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ştefăneşti)
Ştefăneşti -2
0.9%
Draw -2
2.5%
Metaloglobus +2
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ştefăneşti)
Ştefăneşti -1
3.4%
Draw -1
6.2%
Metaloglobus +1
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ştefăneşti)
Ştefăneşti +1
24.3%
Draw +1
18.6%
Metaloglobus -1
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ştefăneşti)
Ştefăneşti +2
42.9%
Draw +2
20.1%
Metaloglobus -2
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ştefăneşti
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.30
1.20
1.40
0.80
1.20
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.44
1.20
1.40
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Metaloglobus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metaloglobus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.43
0.71
0.56
0.94
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.62
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.39
1.06
0.30
0.80
0.50
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ştefăneşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ştefăneşti over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ştefăneşti over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ştefăneşti over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ştefăneşti
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.90
0.80
0.80
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.00
0.80
0.80
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Metaloglobus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metaloglobus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.17
0.71
0.71
0.50
1.56
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
1.42
0.25
1.00
0.25
1.62
vs Similar (18)
0.83
1.00
0.90
0.60
0.75
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ştefăneşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ştefăneşti over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ştefăneşti over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ştefăneşti over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metaloglobus over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 3.5 goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 1.5 goals
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away win
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Metaloglobus · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Florin Purece29%
Yassine Zakir23%
Dragos Ionut Huiban15%
Daniel Popa14%
Stefan Visic12%
Ely Fernandes11%
Robert Bădescu10%
David Irimia8%
Adrian Sîrbu8%
Moses Abbey7%
Desley Ubbink5%
Damia Sabater3%
Benjamin Hadžić0%
George Alexandru Caramalău0%
Andrei Sava0%
George Gavrilas0%
Robert Neacsu0%
Nedelcovici0%
Mike Cestor0%
Christ Kouadio0%
Cosmin Florin Achim0%
Alexandru Țîrlea0%
Bruno Carvalho0%
Omar Pasagić0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Tarek Aggoun0%
Razvan Milea0%
Marian Lis0%
Alexandru Gheorghe0%
Giovani Ghimfus0%
Endri Celaj0%
Alexandru Irimia0%
Gabriel Dumitru0%
Mircea-Mario Tache0%
Martins Toutou Mpondo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nedelcovici50%
Mike Cestor50%
Gabriel Dumitru33%
David Irimia28%
Desley Ubbink26%
Cosmin Florin Achim25%
Endri Celaj25%
Moses Abbey24%
Aboubacar Camara24%
Bruno Carvalho21%
Tarek Aggoun20%
Damia Sabater18%
George Alexandru Caramalău18%
Christ Kouadio18%
Robert Neacsu16%
Alexandru Irimia15%
Benjamin Hadžić12%
Omar Pasagić11%
Yassine Zakir10%
Alexandru Țîrlea9%
Alexandru Gheorghe8%
Giovani Ghimfus8%
George Gavrilas8%
Ely Fernandes7%
Florin Purece7%
Andrei Sava7%
Marian Lis4%
Stefan Visic4%
Dragos Ionut Huiban3%
Daniel Popa0%
Razvan Milea0%
Robert Bădescu0%
Adrian Sîrbu0%
Mircea-Mario Tache0%
Martins Toutou Mpondo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Florin Purece21%
Christ Kouadio12%
Damia Sabater8%
Moses Abbey7%
Andrei Sava7%
Yassine Zakir6%
George Alexandru Caramalău6%
Omar Pasagić6%
Desley Ubbink5%
Stefan Visic4%
Dragos Ionut Huiban3%
Benjamin Hadžić0%
George Gavrilas0%
Robert Neacsu0%
Nedelcovici0%
Mike Cestor0%
Ely Fernandes0%
Daniel Popa0%
Cosmin Florin Achim0%
Alexandru Țîrlea0%
Bruno Carvalho0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Tarek Aggoun0%
Razvan Milea0%
Robert Bădescu0%
Marian Lis0%
Alexandru Gheorghe0%
Adrian Sîrbu0%
Giovani Ghimfus0%
Endri Celaj0%
Alexandru Irimia0%
David Irimia0%
Gabriel Dumitru0%
Mircea-Mario Tache0%
Martins Toutou Mpondo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Popa14%
Stefan Visic8%
Gabriel Dumitru8%
Florin Purece7%
Yassine Zakir6%
Dragos Ionut Huiban5%
David Irimia4%
Ely Fernandes4%
Benjamin Hadžić0%
George Alexandru Caramalău0%
Andrei Sava0%
George Gavrilas0%
Robert Neacsu0%
Nedelcovici0%
Mike Cestor0%
Desley Ubbink0%
Christ Kouadio0%
Cosmin Florin Achim0%
Damia Sabater0%
Alexandru Țîrlea0%
Bruno Carvalho0%
Omar Pasagić0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Tarek Aggoun0%
Razvan Milea0%
Robert Bădescu0%
Marian Lis0%
Alexandru Gheorghe0%
Adrian Sîrbu0%
Giovani Ghimfus0%
Endri Celaj0%
Alexandru Irimia0%
Moses Abbey0%
Mircea-Mario Tache0%
Martins Toutou Mpondo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (37)
€11m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
ATM (22)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
Ştefăneşti and Metaloglobus have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (13)
€5m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
ATM (7)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
Ştefăneşti and Metaloglobus have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
ATM (4)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
Ştefăneşti and Metaloglobus have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (15)
€5m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
ATM (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
Ştefăneşti and Metaloglobus have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Romania: Liga II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →