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Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath Result & Analysis

Date: 03/08/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
vs
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stenhousemuir win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arbroath win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D11D22D11D02L40W03L14L04LA·DUM30/03H·EAS06/04H·ELG13/04A·CLY20/04H·BON27/04A·STR04/05H·BUC13/07A·DUN16/07H·AYR23/07A·FAL27/07← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.131.381.001.141.29
vs Stronger (19)1.261.111.420.751.001.71
vs Similar (5)1.000.401.500.500.670.33
vs Weaker (6)1.501.831.003.001.751.25
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L12L05L05L05L05L02L03L00D10WA·AYR13/04H·MOR20/04H·QUE27/04H·QUE27/04A·RAI03/05A·RAI03/05H·DUN16/07H·ANN20/07A·INV23/07A·BON27/07← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
3.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.532.870.792.210.313.44
vs Stronger (10)0.603.000.801.800.404.20
vs Similar (19)0.532.790.882.380.273.09
vs Weaker (1)0.003.000.003.00--
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arbroath
1.78
Inverness CT
1.61
Cove Rangers
1.58
Queen of Sth
1.53
Stenhousemuir
1.47
Alloa
1.42
Kelty Hearts
1.22
Montrose
1.11
Annan Athletic
1.00
Dumbarton
0.97
Stenhousemuir is 0.31 points worse than Arbroath in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.78).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
1.72
Arbroath
1.61
Alloa
1.53
Dumbarton
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.33
Queen of Sth
1.28
Inverness CT
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.14
Kelty Hearts
1.11
Montrose
1.11
Stenhousemuir is 0.28 goals worse than Arbroath in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.61).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Inverness CT
1.06
Queen of Sth
1.14
Arbroath
1.17
Cove Rangers
1.22
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Kelty Hearts
1.28
Alloa
1.31
Montrose
1.36
Dumbarton
1.83
Annan Athletic
1.89
Stenhousemuir is 0.08 goals worse than Arbroath in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

For 5.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

12045476324102366533725691196129116911A·STRH·BONA·CLYH·ELGH·EASA·DUMH·PETA·FORH·SPAA·BON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

9031114521213142134119334613A·STRH·BONA·CLYH·ELGH·EASA·DUMH·PETA·FORH·SPAA·BON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 10.8 · Total 24.7

⚠️ Fouls

3701289121361416151081121722151012151120211930251928372226A·STRH·BONA·CLYH·ELGH·EASA·DUMH·PETA·FORH·SPAA·BON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArbroathArbroath

For 2.4 · Against 5.7 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

11056152519252644116710788A·RAIH·QUEA·AYRH·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 0.7 · Total 1.7

🟨 Cards

40121131120121143A·RAIH·QUEA·AYRH·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 9.4 · Total 19.4

⚠️ Fouls

2601676913121313648158623152526102314A·RAIH·QUEA·AYRH·RAIA·QUEA·AYRH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.69.63.84.13.622.222.721.7
vs Stronger (28)9.69.49.83.33.33.323.625.022.2
vs Similar (13)11.912.411.34.95.64.221.520.622.5
vs Weaker (9)8.810.87.24.04.23.819.419.819.2
% over line52%65%39%54%56%52%46%43%48%
% under line48%35%61%46%44%48%54%57%52%
This opponent (Arbroath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.09.80.50.60.419.620.219.0
vs Stronger (16)10.19.810.51.21.51.020.920.521.2
vs Similar (33)7.37.57.00.20.20.116.319.510.0
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line36%33%40%6%8%4%55%50%60%
% under line64%67%60%94%92%96%45%50%40%
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Kelty Hearts
11.0
Arbroath
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.3
Montrose
10.2
Cove Rangers
10.1
Annan Athletic
10.0
Inverness CT
10.0
Queen of Sth
10.0
Alloa
9.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Annan Athletic
4.7
Dumbarton
4.0
Stenhousemuir
4.0
Montrose
4.0
Queen of Sth
3.7
Kelty Hearts
3.6
Alloa
3.5
Arbroath
3.4
Cove Rangers
3.2
Inverness CT
2.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stenhousemuir
21.9
Kelty Hearts
21.7
Montrose
21.1
Queen of Sth
21.0
Annan Athletic
20.9
Arbroath
20.9
Dumbarton
20.5
Inverness CT
19.3
Alloa
19.2
Cove Rangers
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
64.4%
Under 9.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.6%
Under 3.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
42.6%
Under 21.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W11D10W01L20W02L12L02LA·DUM30/03H·EAS06/04H·ELG13/04A·CLY20/04H·BON27/04A·STR04/05H·BUC13/07A·DUN16/07H·AYR23/07A·FAL27/07← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.500.880.310.640.71
vs Stronger (19)0.790.580.920.250.571.14
vs Similar (5)0.400.000.500.000.330.00
vs Weaker (6)1.000.671.001.001.000.50
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D03L03L02L02L00D01L00D00DA·AYR13/04H·MOR20/04H·QUE27/04H·QUE27/04A·RAI03/05A·RAI03/05H·DUN16/07H·ANN20/07A·INV23/07A·BON27/07← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.031.230.001.000.061.44
vs Stronger (10)0.101.100.000.400.201.80
vs Similar (19)0.001.320.001.380.001.27
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L11D01L01L20W01L02L02LA·DUM30/03H·EAS06/04H·ELG13/04A·CLY20/04H·BON27/04A·STR04/05H·BUC13/07A·DUN16/07H·AYR23/07A·FAL27/07← League TwoLeague One →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.500.690.500.57
vs Stronger (19)0.470.530.500.500.430.57
vs Similar (5)0.600.401.000.500.330.33
vs Weaker (6)0.501.170.002.000.750.75
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L12L02L02L03L03L02L02L00D10WA·AYR13/04H·MOR20/04H·QUE27/04H·QUE27/04A·RAI03/05A·RAI03/05H·DUN16/07H·ANN20/07A·INV23/07A·BON27/07← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.630.791.210.252.00
vs Stronger (10)0.501.900.801.400.202.40
vs Similar (19)0.531.470.881.000.271.82
vs Weaker (1)0.002.000.002.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards86.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls84.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners75.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards74.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls73.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
Stenhousemuir and Arbroath have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
Stenhousemuir and Arbroath have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
Stenhousemuir and Arbroath have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (7)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Stenhousemuir and Arbroath have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
STE wins
0
Draws
3
ARB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath · H/A from STE
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/19AArbroath Vs STE0-2
12/01/19HSTE Vs Arbroath1-4
01/12/18AArbroath Vs STE5-2
22/09/18HSTE Vs Arbroath1-2

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/07/24AFalkirk Vs STE4-0
23/07/24HSTE Vs Ayr Utd1-4
16/07/24ADundee Utd Vs STE3-0
13/07/24HSTE Vs Buckie Thistle4-0
04/05/24AStranraer Vs STE2-0
27/04/24HSTE Vs Bonnyrigg Rose1-1
20/04/24AClyde Vs STE2-2
13/04/24HSTE Vs Elgin1-1
06/04/24HSTE Vs East Fife0-0
30/03/24ADumbarton Vs STE0-0

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/07/24ABonnyrigg Rose Athletic Vs ARB0-1
23/07/24AInverness CT Vs ARB0-0
20/07/24HARB Vs Annan Athletic0-3
16/07/24HARB Vs Dundee0-2
03/05/24ARaith Rvs Vs ARB5-0
03/05/24ARaith Rovers Vs ARB5-0
27/04/24HARB Vs Queen's Park0-5
27/04/24HARB Vs Queens Park0-5
20/04/24HARB Vs Morton1-2
13/04/24AAyr Vs ARB5-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Scotland: League One
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.66
HomeDDDWL1.68
AwayDDLLL1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%44%44%
AVG goals2.442.482.40
Over 1.5 %70%64%76%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.321.401.24
Conceded1.121.081.16
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet42%48%36%
Corners10.0910.579.61
Cards4.174.433.91
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: League One
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW0.70
HomeLLLLL0.76
AwayLLLDW0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%20%16%
AVG goals3.302.963.64
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %72%68%76%
Over 3.5 %40%32%48%
Scored0.881.040.72
Conceded2.421.922.92
BTTS42%56%28%
Clean Sheet14%12%16%
Corners9.369.009.80
Cards2.272.671.80

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArbroathArbroath3664
53%
1.8
5842+16
2.8
81%
61%
25%
10.4
56%
3.4
44%
19.7
31%
1
0001.61.2
-
2Inverness CTInverness CT3658
44%
1.6
4538+7
2.3
67%
36%
19%
8.9
42%
3.5
44%
21.4
50%
1
0001.21.1
-
3Cove RangersCove Rangers3657
44%
1.6
6244+18
2.9
86%
61%
36%
9.4
47%
2.6
22%
18.6
25%
0
0001.71.2
-
4
QO
Queen of Sth
3655
44%
1.5
4641+5
2.4
72%
44%
19%
8.7
31%
4.2
67%
21.5
51%
0
0001.31.1
-
5StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3653
42%
1.5
4845+3
2.6
72%
53%
31%
9.4
39%
3.7
44%
21.1
47%
0
0001.31.2
-
6
A
Alloa
3651
36%
1.4
5547+8
2.8
75%
50%
36%
10.4
61%
4.1
58%
20.5
42%
0
0001.51.3
-
7Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3644
31%
1.2
4046-6
2.4
75%
42%
25%
10.0
50%
3.2
42%
19.3
28%
1
1001.11.3
-
8MontroseMontrose3640
25%
1.1
4049-9
2.5
72%
50%
25%
9.3
40%
3.9
61%
20.2
34%
0
0001.11.4
-
9Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3636
28%
1.0
4168-27
3.0
81%
53%
36%
9.5
56%
3.6
47%
19.4
31%
0
0001.11.9
-
10DumbartonDumbarton3635
22%
1.0
5166-15
3.2
92%
67%
47%
11.0
53%
3.7
47%
19.2
25%
0
0001.41.8
-
Scotland: League One 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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