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Stenhousemuir vs Forfar Result & Analysis

Date: 11/07/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Vs
61%
25%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Forfar
Forfar
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stenhousemuir win✓ Hit
60.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Forfar win✗ Miss
14.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D30W11D02L10W20W11D11D31W01LA·EAS28/03H·HAM04/04H·INV11/04A·COV18/04H·ALL25/04A·MON02/05A·QUE05/05H·QUE09/05A·ALL13/05H·ALL16/05← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.701.810.501.290.93
vs Stronger (30)1.570.701.810.501.290.93
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ForfarForfar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D02L22D21W10W10W40W11D13L12LH·SPA21/03A·ELG24/03A·DUM28/03H·ELG04/04H·EAS11/04A·STR18/04H·EDI25/04A·ANN02/05H·HAM05/05A·HAM09/05← League OneLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.371.531.401.471.33
vs Stronger (13)1.081.691.251.620.801.80
vs Similar (15)1.931.132.001.171.891.11
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.7%
Under 1.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.8%
Under 2.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.6%
Under 3.5
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.7%
No
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.7%
2-0 ✓
12.8%
1-1
11.8%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.1%
Stenhousemuir goals ↓
Forfar goals →
01234
09.5%5.1%2.2%0.5%0.1%
114%12%3.9%0.9%0.2%
213%9.3%3.4%0.8%0.2%
37.4%5.4%2.0%0.5%0.1%
43.2%2.4%0.9%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stenhousemuir goals (down), columns = Forfar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
ST Johnstone
2.60
Partick
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Rangers
2.33
ST Mirren
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Motherwell
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Celtic
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Inverness CT
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Stranraer
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Annan Athletic
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Elgin
0.00
Stenhousemuir and Forfar are level in average points per game (both 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
Ross County
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.33
Inverness CT
2.25
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Partick
2.17
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Morton
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Aberdeen
1.50
Arbroath
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Cove Rangers
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Annan Athletic
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Elgin
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Brechin
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Stenhousemuir and Forfar are level in goals scored per game (both 0.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
ST Johnstone
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Celtic
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Spartans
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Stirling
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
Stenhousemuir and Forfar are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

For 5.5 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

14027713454441047411838498798141121112A·MONH·ALLA·COVH·INVH·HAMA·EASH·KELA·PETA·QUEA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

7011251255164231342267507647A·MONH·ALLA·COVH·INVH·HAMA·EASH·KELA·PETA·QUEA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 13.8 · Total 27.4

⚠️ Fouls

380771591117131511181011201817181910131514242828292138352928A·MONH·ALLA·COVH·INVH·HAMA·EASH·KELA·PETA·QUEA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ForfarForfar

For 4.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

13085821543642615267591131067108681210A·ANNH·EDIA·STRH·EASH·ELGA·DUMA·ELGH·SPAA·SPAA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

7025214421211121112075613232A·ANNH·EDIA·STRH·EASH·ELGA·DUMA·ELGH·SPAA·SPAA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.2

⚠️ Fouls

350131081391151718179129161010141091223212022352125202421A·ANNH·EDIA·STRH·EASH·ELGA·DUMA·ELGH·SPAA·SPAA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.68.68.73.93.74.126.827.426.3
vs Stronger (48)8.68.68.73.93.64.327.027.826.3
vs Similar (1)10.010.0-8.08.0-20.020.0-
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line41%37%44%60%56%65%78%79%78%
% under line59%63%56%40%44%35%22%21%22%
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ForfarForfar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.48.83.43.43.524.324.024.6
vs Stronger (22)9.09.18.83.13.32.825.424.327.0
vs Similar (23)8.79.48.03.43.43.524.024.323.7
vs Weaker (5)11.410.512.05.04.55.322.021.022.7
% over line45%45%45%50%50%50%71%68%75%
% under line55%55%55%50%50%50%29%32%25%
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.9
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Dundee
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Inverness CT
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Kilmarnock
24.7
Falkirk
24.5
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
ST Johnstone
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Montrose
22.3
Dundee
22.2
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Inverness CT
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Ross County
21.5
Dunfermline
21.3
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.6%
Under 9.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.9%
Under 3.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.8%
Under 21.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stenhousemuir or Draw✓ Hit
85.8%
Avg Implied -
61%
25%
14%
covers Stenhousemuir + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir or Forfar✓ Hit
74.7%
Avg Implied -
61%
25%
14%
covers Stenhousemuir + Forfar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Forfar✗ Miss
39.4%
Avg Implied -
61%
25%
14%
covers Draw + Forfar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.5%
Under
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
51.9%
Under
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.4%
Under
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.9%
Under
90.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
51.7%
Under
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
16.6%
Under
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Stenhousemuir, so a minus line means Stenhousemuir give that many goals of a start and Forfar receive them. At -1, Stenhousemuir must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stenhousemuir win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Stenhousemuir)Actual: Draw
Stenhousemuir -2
16.2%
Draw -2
19.2%
Forfar +2
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Stenhousemuir)Actual: Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir -1
35.4%
Draw -1
25.2%
Forfar +1
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Stenhousemuir)Actual: Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir +1
85.8%
Draw +1
9.9%
Forfar -1
4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Stenhousemuir)Actual: Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir +2
95.8%
Draw +2
3.4%
Forfar -2
0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W01L01L00D10W10W11D20W00DA·EAS28/03H·HAM04/04H·INV11/04A·COV18/04H·ALL25/04A·MON02/05A·QUE05/05H·QUE09/05A·ALL13/05H·ALL16/05← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.230.940.190.710.29
vs Stronger (30)0.830.230.940.190.710.29
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %80% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ForfarForfar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D20W21W10W00D20W11D01L00DH·SPA21/03A·ELG24/03A·DUM28/03H·ELG04/04H·EAS11/04A·STR18/04H·EDI25/04A·ANN02/05H·HAM05/05A·HAM09/05← League OneLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.570.800.670.870.47
vs Stronger (13)0.540.920.881.000.000.80
vs Similar (15)1.130.330.830.331.330.33
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W10W01L10W10W01L00D11D01LA·EAS28/03H·HAM04/04H·INV11/04A·COV18/04H·ALL25/04A·MON02/05A·QUE05/05H·QUE09/05A·ALL13/05H·ALL16/05← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.470.880.310.570.64
vs Stronger (30)0.730.470.880.310.570.64
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Forfar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ForfarForfar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L02L00D00D10W20W00D12L12LH·SPA21/03A·ELG24/03A·DUM28/03H·ELG04/04H·EAS11/04A·STR18/04H·EDI25/04A·ANN02/05H·HAM05/05A·HAM09/05← League OneLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.800.730.730.600.87
vs Stronger (13)0.540.770.380.620.801.00
vs Similar (15)0.800.801.170.830.560.78
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Forfar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals99.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals96.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.596.0%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap95.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls92.6%--------
Home under 3.5 goals90.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.589.5%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw85.8%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap85.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls84.8%--------
Away under 1.5 goals83.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards83.4%--------
Home over 0.5 goals82.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.8%--------
Under 3.576.4%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away74.7%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals74.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls73.2%--------
Over 1.571.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Stenhousemuir and Forfar have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Stenhousemuir and Forfar have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Stenhousemuir and Forfar have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
STE wins
4
Draws
1
FOR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stenhousemuir vs Forfar · H/A from STE
DateH/AGameScore
16/03/24AForfar Vs STE1-1
06/01/24HSTE Vs Forfar2-1
04/11/23AForfar Vs STE1-3
05/08/23HSTE Vs Forfar0-0
25/03/23HSTE Vs Forfar1-1
11/02/23AForfar Vs STE1-1
10/12/22HSTE Vs Forfar1-2
27/08/22AForfar Vs STE1-2

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HSTE Vs Alloa Athletic0-1
13/05/26AAlloa Athletic Vs STE1-3
09/05/26HSTE Vs Queen of the South1-1
05/05/26AQueen of the South Vs STE1-1
02/05/26AMontrose Vs STE0-2
25/04/26HSTE Vs Alloa1-0
18/04/26ACove Rangers Vs STE2-0
11/04/26HSTE Vs Inverness CT1-1
04/04/26HSTE Vs Hamilton3-0
28/03/26AEast Fife Vs STE2-2

ForfarForfar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26AHamilton Academical Vs FOR2-1
05/05/26HFOR Vs Hamilton Academical1-3
02/05/26AAnnan Athletic Vs FOR1-1
25/04/26HFOR Vs Edinburgh City4-0
18/04/26AStranraer Vs FOR0-1
11/04/26HFOR Vs East Kilbride1-0
04/04/26HFOR Vs Elgin2-1
28/03/26ADumbarton Vs FOR2-2
24/03/26AElgin Vs FOR2-0
21/03/26HFOR Vs Spartans1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWL1.72
HomeWDWDL1.89
AwayDLWDW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%39%
AVG goals2.282.372.17
Over 1.5 %66%63%70%
Over 2.5 %40%44%35%
Over 3.5 %26%33%17%
Scored1.401.631.13
Conceded0.880.741.04
BTTS44%44%43%
Clean Sheet42%48%35%
Corners8.658.638.67
Cards5.275.325.22
Forfar
Forfar
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.28
HomeDWWWL1.54
AwayLDWDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%21%
AVG goals2.482.462.50
Over 1.5 %70%65%75%
Over 2.5 %46%42%50%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.201.311.08
Conceded1.281.151.42
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet32%38%25%
Corners9.129.368.85
Cards4.104.054.15

🏆 17. League Table

Stenhousemuir plays in Scotland - Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir410
75%
2.5
82+6
2.5
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.5
-
2PartickPartick48
50%
2.0
41+3
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.2
-
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers47
50%
1.8
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.20.8
-
4ArbroathArbroath47
50%
1.8
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
-
5LivingstonLivingston46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.00.8
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
7DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
23-1
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2020.50.8
-
8Inverness CTInverness CT43
0%
0.8
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.0
-
9MortonMorton41
0%
0.2
26-4
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.5
-
10QueenQueen's Park41
0%
0.2
16-5
1.8
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.21.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
Forfar plays in Scotland - League Two
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ElginElgin511
60%
2.2
175+12
4.4
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.41.0
-
2ClydeClyde510
60%
2.0
116+5
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3ForfarForfar58
40%
1.6
65+1
2.2
80%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City58
40%
1.6
78-1
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
5StranraerStranraer57
40%
1.4
66+0
2.4
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
6SpartansSpartans56
20%
1.2
1211+1
4.6
80%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.42.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic56
40%
1.2
67-1
2.6
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
8Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts56
40%
1.2
710-3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.42.0
-
9StirlingStirling54
20%
0.8
612-6
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
10DumbartonDumbarton53
20%
0.6
210-8
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.0
-
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

← all matches