PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Stirling vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Stirling
Stirling
Vs
38%
29%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Stirling win✓ Hit
37.6%
Avg Implied 60.0% · @ 1.53
Edge
-22.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied 22.7% · @ 4.04
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
33.6%
Avg Implied 17.2% · @ 5.33
Edge
+16.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W01L10W12L13L22D10W13L13L30WA·COW17/04H·EDI20/04A·EDI24/04H·QUE27/04A·ELG29/04H·STR01/05A·STE31/07H·KEL07/08A·ANN14/08A·STR21/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.270.791.361.941.19
vs Stronger (16)1.441.500.881.882.001.12
vs Similar (14)1.361.000.670.671.881.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-552W02L10W10W11D02L20W22D03L01LA·ELG17/04H·STR20/04H·ANN24/04A·STE29/04H·BRE01/05A·COW04/05H·EDI31/07H·STE07/08A·ELG14/08H·ANN21/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.770.871.401.272.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.231.690.831.501.571.86
vs Weaker (17)0.941.820.891.331.002.38
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.0%
Under 1.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.7%
@ 1.65-7.8%
Under 2.5
51.3%
@ 2.15+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.9%
Under 3.5
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
2-1 ✓
8.4%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
Stirling goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
08.5%8.0%5.8%2.5%0.8%
18.6%14%7.9%3.3%1.1%
26.7%8.4%5.4%2.3%0.7%
33.0%3.8%2.4%1.0%0.3%
41.0%1.3%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stirling goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kelty Hearts
2.25
Forfar
1.67
Annan Athletic
1.64
Edinburgh City
1.44
Stenhousemuir
1.36
Stranraer
1.31
Stirling
1.17
Albion Rvs
1.08
Elgin
1.03
Cowdenbeath
0.81
Stirling is 0.08 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kelty Hearts
1.89
Annan Athletic
1.78
Forfar
1.58
Stranraer
1.39
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.19
Stirling
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.03
Elgin
0.92
Cowdenbeath
0.78
Stirling is 0.11 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.03).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kelty Hearts
0.78
Forfar
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.28
Stirling
1.28
Cowdenbeath
1.36
Edinburgh City
1.36
Annan Athletic
1.42
Elgin
1.42
Stranraer
1.50
Albion Rvs
1.61
Stirling is 0.33 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.61).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

StirlingStirling

For 5.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

16052623858674223106435378111313651678A·STRA·ANNH·KELA·STEH·STRA·ELGH·QUEA·EDIH·EDIA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70112211432412232132427243524A·STRA·ANNH·KELA·STEH·STRA·ELGH·QUEA·EDIH·EDIA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 11.1 · Total 22.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

3002010156710101513121091414914911111030211725251928232021A·STRA·ANNH·KELA·STEH·STRA·ELGH·QUEA·EDIH·EDIA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

1406341015317142771835589146486149813H·ANNA·ELGH·STEH·EDIA·COWH·BREA·STEH·ANNH·STRA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80234311231223515441244810H·ANNA·ELGH·STEH·EDIA·COWH·BREA·STEH·ANNH·STRA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 10.6 · Total 21.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

280612171117958121012121314151067101318282613222427251323H·ANNA·ELGH·STEH·EDIA·COWH·BREA·STEH·ANNH·STRA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.710.13.83.34.323.623.423.7
vs Stronger (29)10.010.69.43.73.44.123.323.523.1
vs Similar (21)10.910.810.94.03.14.724.023.224.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line56%70%44%56%39%70%66%65%67%
% under line44%30%56%44%61%30%34%35%33%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.410.83.33.63.122.621.523.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)11.611.611.63.33.53.222.021.622.4
vs Weaker (26)9.69.49.83.33.62.923.121.524.9
% over line55%50%60%48%52%44%57%54%60%
% under line45%50%40%52%48%56%43%46%40%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albion Rvs
10.6
Stirling
10.4
Cowdenbeath
10.2
Stenhousemuir
10.0
Elgin
10.0
Kelty Hearts
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.7
Stranraer
9.7
Edinburgh City
9.0
Forfar
8.3

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.5
Elgin
4.1
Stenhousemuir
4.0
Stirling
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.5
Stranraer
3.4
Albion Rvs
3.3
Forfar
3.1
Kelty Hearts
2.2

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.5
Cowdenbeath
24.4
Stirling
23.6
Elgin
22.7
Albion Rvs
22.6
Stenhousemuir
22.5
Stranraer
22.5
Forfar
22.2
Edinburgh City
22.0
Kelty Hearts
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.6%
Under 9.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.0%
Under 3.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
65.5%
Under 21.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W01L10W01L02L11D00D02L02L20WA·COW17/04H·EDI20/04A·EDI24/04H·QUE27/04A·ELG29/04H·STR01/05A·STE31/07H·KEL07/08A·ANN14/08A·STR21/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.730.140.861.060.62
vs Stronger (16)0.441.060.001.250.880.88
vs Similar (14)0.860.360.330.331.250.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L00D10W00D01L20W00D02L01LA·ELG17/04H·STR20/04H·ANN24/04A·STE29/04H·BRE01/05A·COW04/05H·EDI31/07H·STE07/08A·ELG14/08H·ANN21/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.900.200.730.601.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.541.080.171.000.861.14
vs Weaker (17)0.290.760.220.560.381.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D11D11D11D10W11D11D10WA·COW17/04H·EDI20/04A·EDI24/04H·QUE27/04A·ELG29/04H·STR01/05A·STE31/07H·KEL07/08A·ANN14/08A·STR21/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.530.640.500.880.56
vs Stronger (16)1.000.440.880.621.120.25
vs Similar (14)0.500.640.330.330.620.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W01L10W00D11D01L00D22D01L00DA·ELG17/04H·STR20/04H·ANN24/04A·STE29/04H·BRE01/05A·COW04/05H·EDI31/07H·STE07/08A·ELG14/08H·ANN21/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.870.670.670.671.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.690.620.670.500.710.71
vs Weaker (17)0.651.060.670.780.621.38
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards89.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls79.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards77.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.575.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
STI wins
1
Draws
2
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stirling vs Albion Rvs · H/A from STI
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/21HSTI Vs Albion Rvs1-1
28/11/20AAlbion Rvs Vs STI0-1
04/01/20AAlbion Rvs Vs STI0-3
02/11/19HSTI Vs Albion Rvs3-0
31/08/19AAlbion Rvs Vs STI2-1
09/03/19HSTI Vs Albion Rvs0-1
12/02/19HSTI Vs Albion Rvs1-0
26/01/19AAlbion Rvs Vs STI0-5

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/21AStranraer Vs STI0-3
14/08/21AAnnan Athletic Vs STI3-1
07/08/21HSTI Vs Kelty Hearts1-3
31/07/21AStenhousemuir Vs STI0-1
01/05/21HSTI Vs Stranraer2-2
29/04/21AElgin Vs STI3-1
27/04/21HSTI Vs Queens Park1-2
24/04/21AEdinburgh City Vs STI0-1
20/04/21HSTI Vs Edinburgh City0-1
17/04/21ACowdenbeath Vs STI1-5

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/21HAR Vs Annan Athletic0-1
14/08/21AElgin Vs AR3-0
07/08/21HAR Vs Stenhousemuir2-2
31/07/21HAR Vs Edinburgh City2-0
04/05/21ACowdenbeath Vs AR2-0
01/05/21HAR Vs Brechin1-1
29/04/21AStenhousemuir Vs AR0-1
24/04/21HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-0
20/04/21HAR Vs Stranraer0-2
17/04/21AElgin Vs AR2-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLW1.56
HomeLLLDL1.17
AwayWLWLW1.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%30%56%
AVG goals2.582.262.85
Over 1.5 %64%52%74%
Over 2.5 %48%39%56%
Over 3.5 %30%22%37%
Scored1.420.961.81
Conceded1.161.301.04
BTTS50%43%56%
Clean Sheet40%43%37%
Corners10.3610.7010.07
Cards3.843.264.33
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLL0.98
HomeWDWDL1.16
AwayWWWLL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%32%20%
AVG goals2.962.763.16
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.181.241.12
Conceded1.781.522.04
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet14%16%12%
Corners10.5910.4210.76
Cards3.323.563.08

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3681
67%
2.2
6828+40
2.7
69%
47%
33%
9.0
39%
3.2
36%
20.0
33%
1
1001.90.8
-
2ForfarForfar3660
44%
1.7
5736+21
2.6
78%
36%
28%
9.3
47%
3.1
44%
22.2
47%
0
0001.61.0
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3659
50%
1.6
6451+13
3.2
86%
64%
42%
9.5
47%
3.8
53%
21.7
46%
0
0001.81.4
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3652
39%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.9
50%
3.1
36%
19.6
31%
0
0001.21.4
-
5StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3649
36%
1.4
4746+1
2.6
78%
42%
28%
9.8
53%
3.7
61%
21.2
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StranraerStranraer3647
36%
1.3
5054-4
2.9
81%
53%
33%
8.8
39%
4.3
58%
22.1
53%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StirlingStirling3642
31%
1.2
4146-5
2.4
67%
44%
25%
8.4
25%
3.8
56%
21.7
47%
0
0001.11.3
-
8
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
28%
1.1
3758-21
2.6
67%
50%
33%
8.8
33%
3.0
33%
20.1
42%
0
0001.01.6
-
9ElginElgin3637
25%
1.0
3351-18
2.3
81%
36%
19%
8.1
22%
3.9
53%
22.9
60%
0
0000.91.4
-
10CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3629
19%
0.8
2849-21
2.1
64%
36%
17%
9.1
33%
3.9
53%
21.5
53%
0
0000.81.4
-
Scotland: League Two 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

← all matches