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Stirling vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 04/03/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 3-2
Stirling
Stirling
Vs
49%
26%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Stirling win✓ Hit
49.2%
Avg Implied 57.2% · @ 1.60
Edge
-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied 23.5% · @ 3.89
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 19.3% · @ 4.73
Edge
+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L31W13L21W31W10W11D21W22D00DH·ANN12/11H·EAS19/11A·STR03/12A·ELG23/12H·STE31/12H·STR28/01A·EAS04/02A·BON14/02A·ANN18/02A·FOR25/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.002.210.861.381.12
vs Stronger (15)1.201.071.331.331.110.89
vs Similar (15)2.330.932.880.501.711.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L01L40W40W01L11D01L02L30W02LA·ANN23/12H·DUM31/12A·BON07/01A·STR14/01H·FOR28/01A·ELG04/02H·EAS11/02A·STE18/02H·ELG21/02H·ANN25/02
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.430.871.471.331.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.600.701.250.751.830.67
vs Weaker (20)0.851.800.731.731.001.89
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.0%
@ 1.70+1.0%
Under 2.5
44.0%
@ 2.07-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.6%
Under 3.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.4%
No
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
Stirling goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
06.5%5.3%3.8%1.5%0.4%
18.2%12%6.6%2.6%0.8%
28.1%9.6%5.7%2.3%0.7%
34.7%5.6%3.3%1.3%0.4%
42.0%2.4%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stirling goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stirling
2.03
Dumbarton
1.72
Annan Athletic
1.42
East Fife
1.39
Forfar
1.33
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Stranraer
1.25
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Albion Rvs
1.08
Stirling is 0.94 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stirling
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.69
East Fife
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.42
Dumbarton
1.36
Albion Rvs
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Stranraer
1.19
Forfar
1.03
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.00
Stirling is 0.56 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 1.31).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stirling
1.03
Dumbarton
1.08
Forfar
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
Albion Rvs
1.33
East Fife
1.39
Annan Athletic
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.53
Stranraer
1.58
Elgin
1.72
Stirling is 0.31 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.33).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

StirlingStirling

For 5.8 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

15010221045310658410243546912129131112127915A·FORA·ANNA·BONA·EASH·STRH·STEA·ELGA·STRH·EASH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

701143235111332321122756235333A·FORA·ANNA·BONA·EASH·STRH·STEA·ELGA·STRH·EASH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 11.4 · Total 21.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

2808961313141711813813151113121095917192728212126251914A·FORA·ANNA·BONA·EASH·STRH·STEA·ELGA·STRH·EASH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 6.0 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

1604318646354411365124554414108814111610H·ANNH·ELGA·STEH·EASA·ELGH·FORA·STRA·BONH·DUMA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

9022212224213313452434643490H·ANNH·ELGA·STEH·EASA·ELGH·FORA·STRA·BONH·DUMA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 13.1 · Total 23.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

340127101051410816138197131118171781219201918292720293420H·ANNH·ELGA·STEH·EASA·ELGH·FORA·STRA·BONH·DUMA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.09.09.04.03.24.821.921.322.4
vs Stronger (22)8.57.39.24.54.04.823.625.022.6
vs Similar (28)9.49.98.83.72.74.820.619.122.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line36%42%31%56%38%73%50%46%54%
% under line64%58%69%44%62%27%50%54%46%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.28.99.53.94.23.622.021.023.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)8.17.68.53.94.33.622.421.123.3
vs Weaker (33)9.79.410.13.94.23.521.820.922.9
% over line40%28%52%54%56%52%48%36%60%
% under line60%72%48%46%44%48%52%64%40%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.4
Forfar
10.1
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.6
Annan Athletic
9.6
Stranraer
9.3
Albion Rvs
9.2
East Fife
9.1
Stirling
9.0
Elgin
8.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.4
Elgin
4.4
Dumbarton
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Stirling
4.0
Stenhousemuir
3.9
Albion Rvs
3.9
East Fife
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Forfar
3.6

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Elgin
22.5
Albion Rvs
22.0
Forfar
21.9
Stirling
21.9
Bonnyrigg Rose
21.8
Stranraer
21.2
Annan Athletic
20.9
East Fife
20.9
Stenhousemuir
20.9
Dumbarton
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.4%
Under 9.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.1%
Under 3.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
54.0%
Under 21.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W12L10W21W00D00D10W02L00DH·ANN12/11H·EAS19/11A·STR03/12A·ELG23/12H·STE31/12H·STR28/01A·EAS04/02A·BON14/02A·ANN18/02A·FOR25/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.601.290.430.690.75
vs Stronger (15)0.600.530.500.670.670.44
vs Similar (15)1.330.671.880.250.711.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D30W10W00D10W01L00D00D00DA·ANN23/12H·DUM31/12A·BON07/01A·STR14/01H·FOR28/01A·ELG04/02H·EAS11/02A·STE18/02H·ELG21/02H·ANN25/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.400.400.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.900.300.500.501.170.17
vs Weaker (20)0.450.600.360.360.560.89
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W01L11D10W10W11D11D20W00DH·ANN12/11H·EAS19/11A·STR03/12A·ELG23/12H·STE31/12H·STR28/01A·EAS04/02A·BON14/02A·ANN18/02A·FOR25/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.400.930.430.690.38
vs Stronger (15)0.600.530.830.670.440.44
vs Similar (15)1.000.271.000.251.000.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L01L10W30W01L01L00D02L30W02LA·ANN23/12H·DUM31/12A·BON07/01A·STR14/01H·FOR28/01A·ELG04/02H·EAS11/02A·STE18/02H·ELG21/02H·ANN25/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.930.471.070.530.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.700.400.750.250.670.50
vs Weaker (20)0.401.200.361.360.441.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards82.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.580.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls76.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards71.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls70.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
STI wins
4
Draws
2
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stirling vs Albion Rvs · H/A from STI
DateH/AGameScore
05/11/22AAlbion Rvs Vs STI1-1
03/09/22HSTI Vs Albion Rvs1-1
23/04/22AAlbion Rvs Vs STI1-1
22/03/22HSTI Vs Albion Rvs0-1
13/11/21AAlbion Rvs Vs STI1-0
28/08/21HSTI Vs Albion Rvs2-1
06/04/21HSTI Vs Albion Rvs1-1
28/11/20AAlbion Rvs Vs STI0-1

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/02/23AForfar Vs STI0-0
18/02/23AAnnan Athletic Vs STI2-2
14/02/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STI1-2
04/02/23AEast Fife Vs STI1-1
28/01/23HSTI Vs Stranraer1-0
31/12/22HSTI Vs Stenhousemuir3-1
23/12/22AElgin Vs STI1-2
03/12/22AStranraer Vs STI3-1
19/11/22HSTI Vs East Fife3-1
12/11/22HSTI Vs Annan Athletic0-2

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/02/23HAR Vs Annan Athletic0-2
21/02/23HAR Vs Elgin3-0
18/02/23AStenhousemuir Vs AR2-0
11/02/23HAR Vs East Fife0-1
04/02/23AElgin Vs AR1-1
28/01/23HAR Vs Forfar0-1
14/01/23AStranraer Vs AR0-4
07/01/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs AR0-4
31/12/22HAR Vs Dumbarton0-1
23/12/22AAnnan Athletic Vs AR5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDD1.36
HomeWLWWW1.42
AwayWDWDD1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%42%31%
AVG goals2.622.922.35
Over 1.5 %74%79%69%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %28%33%23%
Scored1.381.621.15
Conceded1.241.291.19
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners8.988.969.00
Cards4.043.214.81
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL1.06
HomeLLLWL0.88
AwayLWWDL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%20%32%
AVG goals2.482.242.72
Over 1.5 %64%56%72%
Over 2.5 %40%40%40%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.040.841.24
Conceded1.441.401.48
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners9.188.889.48
Cards3.904.243.56

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StirlingStirling3673
58%
2.0
6737+30
2.9
83%
61%
36%
9.7
47%
4.3
58%
21.4
47%
0
0001.91.0
-
2DumbartonDumbarton3662
50%
1.7
4939+10
2.4
69%
42%
25%
9.3
47%
4.9
72%
20.5
44%
0
0001.41.1
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3651
39%
1.4
6151+10
3.1
86%
67%
44%
9.9
50%
4.3
64%
20.2
44%
0
0001.71.4
-
4East FifeEast Fife3650
39%
1.4
5450+4
2.9
78%
58%
36%
9.7
42%
4.4
64%
21.4
44%
0
0001.51.4
-
5ForfarForfar3648
36%
1.3
3743-6
2.2
67%
39%
17%
10.7
58%
3.7
56%
22.0
50%
0
0001.01.2
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3647
33%
1.3
5155-4
2.9
86%
61%
33%
11.1
72%
4.1
61%
20.8
33%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StranraerStranraer3645
33%
1.2
4357-14
2.8
72%
47%
39%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.1
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
31%
1.2
3647-11
2.3
67%
39%
19%
9.5
50%
4.3
61%
22.1
58%
0
0001.01.3
-
9ElginElgin3640
31%
1.1
4462-18
2.9
81%
61%
33%
8.8
42%
4.2
64%
21.8
53%
0
0001.21.7
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs
3639
31%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
72%
47%
28%
9.9
53%
4.3
67%
22.0
47%
0
0001.31.3
-
Scotland: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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