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Stirling vs Bonnyrigg Rose Result & Analysis

Date: 11/03/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Stirling
Stirling
Vs
52%
28%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Stirling win✓ Hit
52.3%
Avg Implied 60.7% · @ 1.51
Edge
-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 21.9% · @ 4.18
Edge
+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose win✗ Miss
20.2%
Avg Implied 17.4% · @ 5.28
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W13L21W31W10W11D21W22D00D32WH·EAS19/11A·STR03/12A·ELG23/12H·STE31/12H·STR28/01A·EAS04/02A·BON14/02A·ANN18/02A·FOR25/02H·ALB04/03
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.032.430.931.381.12
vs Stronger (15)1.401.131.831.501.110.89
vs Similar (15)2.330.932.880.501.711.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W04L04L01L12L10W12L01L11D10WH·STR23/12H·ALB07/01A·ANN21/01A·DUM28/01H·ANN04/02A·STR11/02H·STI14/02H·STE25/02H·FOR28/02A·ELG04/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.041.561.211.860.851.23
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.891.890.753.251.000.80
vs Weaker (18)1.111.391.401.300.751.50
Clean sheet %26% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.3%
Under 1.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.4%
@ 1.65-11.1%
Under 2.5
54.6%
@ 2.14+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.1%
Under 3.5
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.0%
2-0
10.4%
0-0
9.5%
2-1 ✓
9.4%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
Stirling goals ↓
Bonnyrigg Rose goals →
01234
09.5%6.3%3.4%1.0%0.2%
112%13%5.4%1.6%0.4%
210%9.4%4.3%1.3%0.3%
35.5%5.0%2.3%0.7%0.2%
42.2%2.0%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stirling goals (down), columns = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stirling
2.03
Dumbarton
1.72
Annan Athletic
1.42
East Fife
1.39
Forfar
1.33
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Stranraer
1.25
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Albion Rvs
1.08
Stirling is 0.86 points better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 1.17).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stirling
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.69
East Fife
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.42
Dumbarton
1.36
Albion Rvs
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Stranraer
1.19
Forfar
1.03
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.00
Stirling is 0.86 goals better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stirling
1.03
Dumbarton
1.08
Forfar
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
Albion Rvs
1.33
East Fife
1.39
Annan Athletic
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.53
Stranraer
1.58
Elgin
1.72
Stirling is 0.28 goals better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.31).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

StirlingStirling

For 6.0 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

15087102210453106584102435415121291311121279H·ALBA·FORA·ANNA·BONA·EASH·STRH·STEA·ELGA·STRH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

704311432351113323217275623533H·ALBA·FORA·ANNA·BONA·EASH·STRH·STEA·ELGA·STRH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 11.1 · Total 21.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

2809689613131417118138131511131210915171927282121262519H·ALBA·FORA·ANNA·BONA·EASH·STRH·STEA·ELGA·STRH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 5.4 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

16025535654849795315633781191216144116A·ELGH·FORH·STEH·STIA·STRH·ANNA·DUMA·ANNH·ALBH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

701252132122124131121735332543A·ELGH·FORH·STEH·STIA·STRH·ANNA·DUMA·ANNH·ALBH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 9.7 · Total 22.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

3501281520117141313915695861811131220351827222114142925A·ELGH·FORH·STEH·STIA·STRH·ANNA·DUMA·ANNH·ALBH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.49.04.13.34.821.720.922.4
vs Stronger (23)8.78.19.24.64.34.823.224.022.6
vs Similar (27)9.610.38.83.72.64.820.418.722.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line38%46%31%56%38%73%48%42%54%
% under line62%54%69%44%62%27%52%58%46%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (27)9.510.09.04.33.94.621.823.120.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)8.29.27.43.43.83.222.022.521.6
vs Weaker (18)10.210.310.04.74.05.521.723.319.6
% over line48%57%38%59%57%62%56%57%54%
% under line52%43%62%41%43%38%44%43%46%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.7
Dumbarton
10.4
Forfar
10.2
Annan Athletic
9.8
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.5
Stranraer
9.4
Albion Rvs
9.3
Stirling
9.2
East Fife
9.1
Elgin
8.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Elgin
4.3
Dumbarton
4.3
Stranraer
4.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.3
Stirling
4.1
Albion Rvs
4.0
Stenhousemuir
3.9
East Fife
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.7
Forfar
3.7

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Elgin
22.5
Albion Rvs
21.9
Bonnyrigg Rose
21.8
Forfar
21.8
Stirling
21.7
Stranraer
21.2
East Fife
21.0
Annan Athletic
20.8
Stenhousemuir
20.8
Dumbarton
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.5%
Under 9.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.6%
Under 3.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
40.6%
Under 21.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W12L10W21W00D00D10W02L00D22DH·EAS19/11A·STR03/12A·ELG23/12H·STE31/12H·STR28/01A·EAS04/02A·BON14/02A·ANN18/02A·FOR25/02H·ALB04/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.671.430.570.690.75
vs Stronger (15)0.730.670.831.000.670.44
vs Similar (15)1.330.671.880.250.711.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W03L01L01L12L00D01L00D00D00DH·STR23/12H·ALB07/01A·ANN21/01A·DUM28/01H·ANN04/02A·STR11/02H·STI14/02H·STE25/02H·FOR28/02A·ELG04/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.480.810.500.930.460.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.441.110.251.750.600.60
vs Weaker (18)0.500.670.600.600.380.75
Clean sheet %44% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L11D10W10W11D11D20W00D10WH·EAS19/11A·STR03/12A·ELG23/12H·STE31/12H·STR28/01A·EAS04/02A·BON14/02A·ANN18/02A·FOR25/02H·ALB04/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.371.000.360.690.38
vs Stronger (15)0.670.471.000.500.440.44
vs Similar (15)1.000.271.000.251.000.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L03L00D00D10W11D01L11D10WH·STR23/12H·ALB07/01A·ANN21/01A·DUM28/01H·ANN04/02A·STR11/02H·STI14/02H·STE25/02H·FOR28/02A·ELG04/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.740.710.930.380.54
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.440.780.501.500.400.20
vs Weaker (18)0.610.720.800.700.380.75
Clean sheet %48% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls86.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards77.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards76.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls74.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.572.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
STI wins
0
Draws
1
BR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stirling vs Bonnyrigg Rose · H/A from STI
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STI1-2
29/10/22HSTI Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-1
27/08/22ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STI1-0

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/23HSTI Vs Albion Rvs3-2
25/02/23AForfar Vs STI0-0
18/02/23AAnnan Athletic Vs STI2-2
14/02/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STI1-2
04/02/23AEast Fife Vs STI1-1
28/01/23HSTI Vs Stranraer1-0
31/12/22HSTI Vs Stenhousemuir3-1
23/12/22AElgin Vs STI1-2
03/12/22AStranraer Vs STI3-1
19/11/22HSTI Vs East Fife3-1

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/23AElgin Vs BR0-1
28/02/23HBR Vs Forfar1-1
25/02/23HBR Vs Stenhousemuir0-1
14/02/23HBR Vs Stirling1-2
11/02/23AStranraer Vs BR0-1
04/02/23HBR Vs Annan Athletic1-2
28/01/23ADumbarton Vs BR1-0
21/01/23AAnnan Athletic Vs BR4-0
07/01/23HBR Vs Albion Rvs0-4
23/12/22HBR Vs Stranraer3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDW1.40
HomeLWWWW1.50
AwayWDWDD1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%46%31%
AVG goals2.683.042.35
Over 1.5 %74%79%69%
Over 2.5 %52%62%42%
Over 3.5 %30%38%23%
Scored1.421.711.15
Conceded1.261.331.19
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners9.189.389.00
Cards4.103.334.81
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW1.00
HomeLLLLD1.00
AwayDLLWW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%29%23%
AVG goals2.593.072.08
Over 1.5 %74%86%62%
Over 2.5 %44%50%38%
Over 3.5 %26%36%15%
Scored1.041.210.85
Conceded1.561.861.23
BTTS48%57%38%
Clean Sheet26%21%31%
Corners9.5210.009.00
Cards4.263.934.62

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StirlingStirling3673
58%
2.0
6737+30
2.9
83%
61%
36%
9.7
47%
4.3
58%
21.4
47%
0
0001.91.0
-
2DumbartonDumbarton3662
50%
1.7
4939+10
2.4
69%
42%
25%
9.3
47%
4.9
72%
20.5
44%
0
0001.41.1
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3651
39%
1.4
6151+10
3.1
86%
67%
44%
9.9
50%
4.3
64%
20.2
44%
0
0001.71.4
-
4East FifeEast Fife3650
39%
1.4
5450+4
2.9
78%
58%
36%
9.7
42%
4.4
64%
21.4
44%
0
0001.51.4
-
5ForfarForfar3648
36%
1.3
3743-6
2.2
67%
39%
17%
10.7
58%
3.7
56%
22.0
50%
0
0001.01.2
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3647
33%
1.3
5155-4
2.9
86%
61%
33%
11.1
72%
4.1
61%
20.8
33%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StranraerStranraer3645
33%
1.2
4357-14
2.8
72%
47%
39%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.1
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose		3642
31%
1.2
3647-11
2.3
67%
39%
19%
9.5
50%
4.3
61%
22.1
58%
0
0001.01.3
-
9ElginElgin3640
31%
1.1
4462-18
2.9
81%
61%
33%
8.8
42%
4.2
64%
21.8
53%
0
0001.21.7
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs		3639
31%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
72%
47%
28%
9.9
53%
4.3
67%
22.0
47%
0
0001.31.3
-
Scotland: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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